Is BTC Bullish again?Ok so we broke out of the triangle to the upside not really my primary expectation. However BTC loves to do the opposite of what we are preparing for :). If this really is the bottom and we are going to move up impulsively we can already count a 1 2 pattern and 3 waves up in a wave 3 in sub waves. We still need a 4 down and 5 up! Looks like we have started wave 4. Price targets $19463 is the 50% fib would be ideal. Then we can focus on higher prices on wave 5 approximately to $20800 to 23k depending on where wave 4 finishes. If we go below the 50% fib the next support is 0.618 at $19245. If we go below this I would question if this wasn't just a C wave up before we go down impulsively in 5 waves to 17k
ARE YOU BULLISH OR BEARISH ON BTC RIGHT NOW?
Elliottwaveforecasts
GER40 midterm outlook The German benchmark index should not have reached its low yet. I expect that the downward trend should find its end in the area between 11044 and 11449 and from here, at least for the moment, a strong correction should begin, if not new record highs could be reached from here.
LUNC Bullish or Bearish?Im not really sure about LUNC we have a clear impulse up and a corrective move down. However we kinda just reversed in the middle of nowhere. We did not hit the 0.786 fib or we didnt hit the 1.618 fib the length of wave A. Cant really see any support where we had a reversal. Wouldnt be surprised if we come back down to test either of these fibs. If your trading LUNC bearcareful :)
Elliott Wave View On Dollar Index DXYLarger trend of Dollar index remains BULLISH, from 2008 lows we have 5-wave structure, let's see if we continue to push higher and take 112-113 Fibonacci resistance or we go lower right away. To prove the end of the wave V, we need an impulsive structure to downside.
Nifty fall till 17500 Levels | Wave C confirmed on Daily chartLooking at the current market condition it is very clear that the top of wave B is completed here & also today big red candle gave us the indication that it is going for the wave C
-in the downside wave C projects minimum around 61% so first target would be 17511 which is minimum projection & after that it can retrace till 100% (17257) - 127% (17100)
-Yesterday's analysis of wave 5 on 15 min chart was invalidated & ABC correction is formed
-Form now on till the wave C is completed i am bearish on market & after that we will see new waves which will target All time High & will drive markets to new highs hopefully :)
*This theory gets invalidated if today's high is broken*
Ideas for profits which i am considering : one can buy OTM puts for the next month expiry & square of positions when targets are archived on the spot chart
Disclaimer : this is not recommendation or tips this is my personal view for the markets & i am not SEBI registered analyst.
DXY next moveAs my analysis before, I mentioned that DXY could started to bullish again from 107.9 and other asset are tanking.
This is my view of DXY for this week :
DXY is now in corrective move and could sweep the liquidity between 109-108 area before continue upwards
We will have FED % rate news release on 21th Wednesday with 75bps forecast
This news will decide the next DXY move.
Nifty going for 17800 Retest-As we can see from recovery from today's low nifty bounced & made high of 17667 & then came profit booking.
-from this point market looks bullish & looks like market is most likely going for the 3rd wave
-one can buy above 17666 & target should be 17816 around level after that it may get extended or it may not.
-If nifty breaks today's low then this whole theory gets invalidated.
Elliott Wave Cheat SheetAlthough Elliott Wave Theory is vast subject and needs in depth study, I'm sharing a cheat sheet for those who have started to learn about the same. This should help them in understanding things better.
Also, try to correlate the cheat sheet with Nifty50 daily chart and be amazed to see how nicely the Elliott wave principles were followed there in the recent wave.
At the same time, please use discretion while following this cheat sheet as this sheet covers only the basic aspects of Elliott Wave principles.
Keep (l)earning and keep sharing!!
BTC USDT ELLIOT WAVE , Market Maker , Pattern AnalysisBTC USD.
I was going through the charts and found a pattern that could play out... Of course, everything here is definitely NFA.
This is a 1H BTC chart.
This anlysis combines Elliot Waves, Market Maker strategy along with some basic technical analysis .
The green background showing were done with the first 5 waves and on the red background part price is currently sitting on the beginning of the last third leg.
I use channels for S/R , and fib circles for timing the moves. I think if we might see a move when we cross the circle, or close to it and since the wave cannot be considered if the price breaks the previous higher high, and we have already seen previous waves develop, i have to assume the pattern is valid, and we may see 20141 as highest it can go.... for now.. maybe.
Ill add some more confluence...The chart also has 3 vector candles that need to be recovered marked by the red arrows on the chart .. which gives it an even higher probability of the drop.
The pink line and the green arrow is showing where we could see the last point where it could bounce from, before heading down..
The Cyan line represents the measured move we could see in the next leg.... which also adds to the confluence of this idea...
There also an alternate version of the chart, which expands the fib circle a little more just in case the price lingers on a bit, but i would still expect a move right around where the next ring crossing is.
Comments and Thoughts are welcome..
BTC 20,550/20,850 then 18,950BTC has many fibs lining up in the same place - at 20,850. That is the 1.414 of AC, the 1.272 of OC, the Elliot Wave impulse of 2.14, and also this same level 20,850 is the 0.236 fib from 25,188 to current support (19.5k).
It would be a good idea to short this level if it hits. I expect a bounce (or drop) from 20,550 which is the 1.618 impulse from the bottom.
The target of the Short to then flip LONG is 18,950. Then we can continue to trade the channel.
Last stand for BTC BullsThere is a lack of a clear impulsive structure to the upside which makes it difficult to clearly say whether or not the price action is bullish or bearish . This is the only real bullish count that would pave the way for new all time highs. If we assume that ~17,500 was the bottom then we are looking at an impulse in minor 1 a complex correction in minor 2 and a three of three extension in wave ((i)) of 3. The price rejected at 24,666 which is the 1.618 of W in the bearish count so in order to consider this current move a wave 3 we would need to see that pivot get cleared. Price below 20,670 will invalidate the bullish impulse since wave (ii) will have retraced >100% of wave (i). It's important to note that the volumes are very low for a wave 3 which casts doubt on the bullish count.
ETHEREUM Has Turned Into A WXY and this is what it means... Welcome to NewWave Traders
Here you will find that I use Elliott Wave as my main pattern identification system, however I pair it up with 3 other components to create the NewWave System that allows me to navigate the market the same way, thus providing consistency in my trading results, confidence in my execution and makes trading much more enjoyable and reliable.
Follow my trade ideas and I'll be keeping them updated weekly every Monday for #BTC and #ETH and Every Friday for #Altcoins.
Today's chart is on Ethereum. It was climbing impulsively, but the last leg it printed with a hard rejected made a 7 swing pattern shifting it to a wxy as the top no longer qualifies for being an expanded B wave. The rejection was hard enough to be seen as impulsive, which places high probability on it being the first wave of a larger pattern.
As such, I'm looking for a larger B wave rally to show bullish strength as we can then consolidate sideways with higher probability vs. A shallow rally that gets rejected under the .618 fib retracement and the red supply block which then places more weight on the impulse down printing.
As of this analysis I think the green ABC will be the one to play out, but the inflection point between the 2 counts is still a bit away and we'll know more on the retracement in the short term.
See my signature below on how to connect with us further to help you with your trading.
Ambuja Cement This stock has completed 4th wave on daily time frame, and now possibly we are in 5th wave, once resistance trendline is broken then it would be a good trigger point to go long, stock had reached that trendline and currently trying to break, once it's broken, then bulls can take charge, also trend indicators and wave counts are suggesting to go long.
Overall wave structure on daily time frame
Macd in daily positive crossover and Uptick and also above zero line
Macd in weekly positive crossover and Uptick and also above zero line
RSI trendline breakout on daily time frame, uptick and also above 60
Price pushing upper bollinger band to open more upside
RK's Mass psychological Cloud buy activated
Dmi adx also positive on daily time frame
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
Crude Oil (1D) Correction probably finished, Ready for Rally ? Hello Traders,
Seems like Crude oil formed amazing 1:1 (A:C) Corrective pattern as setup for next Bullish Rally.
So there could be several more months with prices and gains for miners. Also it could cause increase of Inflation and Electricity prices.
I´m staying out of this market, because I really lack experience how to play it (Any advice in comments is highly appreciated).
My best guess is to find some undervalued Oil Miners if its still possible. (well played with OXY Mr. Buffet)...
Enjoy the markets and stay green ;)