Is Tesla overvalued?NASDAQ:TSLA is the fifth largest listing on TradingView based on market cap and has been a huge center of focus within the investment community, whether it is the more seasoned investor or trader to the inexperienced speculator who throws money at Bitcoin and various growth companies. Despite all of this there are many factors that the majority of the investing community fail to acknowledge or believe it doesn't affect the company's performance.
Personally despite the crazy stock prices and lack of build quality within their physical product, I have a considerable amount of faith in the earning potential of Tesla for a couple of reasons. First of all, one should notice that at the time of writing Tesla's PE ratio is sitting at a whopping 370.66 (comparable to the firms during the dotcom bubble) and they have a considerable amount of debt but nothing that threatens their operation or is completely disproportional to any other company. It certainly would not be appropriate to compare them to other solely electric automotive manufacturers as their financial statements often seem less welcoming than Normandy beach on D-day.
On the contrary to all the fore mentioned facts, Tesla's earning power has increased considerably between 2019 to 2020 and is looking towards the upside for 2021. In the past 4 years, any deficits have turned to income and their overall assets has increased consistently. Quite frankly, considering the speculative factors, such as the management of the company and their overall market monopoly, Tesla appears to be a rather profitable long term investment. Electric cars seem to be inevitable considering the carbon emissions issues and the fact that any other alternatives such as bio-fuel and hydrogen cars don't seem to be covering as much ground as quickly, and their market monopoly will keep the firm in good stead for the future potentially forming the "next Ford Motor Company" according to a reporter from Bloomberg.
Once again, all opinions and comments are greatly appreciated, I thoroughly enjoy listening to others' opinions and perceptions of the market.
TL;DR: Tesla is beginning to look like a promising investment for the long term as their financials steady and seem to head for an upward curve.
Electriccars
$NIO Bull Flagging$NIO - Chinese Electric Vehicle Maker
From a technical perspective, this stock looks nicely set-up for another leg higher. If we zoom out from the chart above to the Monthly and Weekly time-frames, we see this same bull flag consolidating above major support at roughly $30. It is always a great sign to see confluence of trading signals when zooming out to the higher time-frames. Ideally, that is what you want in a trade (i.e. as many indicators and time-frames saying the same thing). For me personally, I like to see confluence from the monthly all the way down to the hourly and 30-minute charts. Those have historically been the best set-ups for my system.
Looking at the Daily chart, I can see some resistance at roughly $45, $47, $50, and then $55. If the stock got above $55, then $60 is like a magnet for price and would come relatively quickly I believe. Then above $60 we would test the all-time highs of $65, and if we get above I see a price target of ~$100, which is a measured move based on the $35 range of the wedge pattern that has formed.
Considering we are near the upper end of the range of the pattern, now would not be the best time to buy, considering we could drop back to support near $35 or go as low as $30-$31. These price levels would be good spots for low risks trades back up towards the downtrend line near $40. These levels could also be utilized for a low risk longer term trade/investment, as the risk is very clearly defined.
I see numerous other trades that could materialize, one being the breakout over $45. This should then trigger long side buying momentum, and one could target $47, $50, $55, $60, and eventually even $65 if we get there. I would sell majority of my position within that range, and leave a small runner for that $100 price target. It's always best to lock in gains, leaving a small runner so we can still participate in any further upside of the trade, while also freeing up capital to put to work on other trades/pay ourselves for the hard work of trading.
A wise trader once told me; "Never try to guess a top or bottom for exiting a trade; leave a small runner, and let the market take you out. This is how great trades can turn into spectacular ones."
From a fundamental perspective, the EV space is certainly a hot sector right now, and this stock has gotten attention before from both institutional players and the retail crowd. As the US government continues to push and incentivize the transition to EV's, and with the Biden admin being weaker on China vs the Trump admin, I think $NIO has a solid economic and political landscape behind it to propel the stock higher.
Full Disclosure: I am not an advisor/financial planner, these are strictly my ideas and are not meant in any way to be financial advice. Trading and investing carry substantial risk of loss and should only be done by those whom have the financial capacity to handle losses. I have no financial interest or connection in this company, and I am not a licensed financial analyst. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XPeng G9 First LookThe company will hold the third-quarter conference call on November 23.
XPeng Motors will unveil the G9 SUV, the company's fourth model and the first after its brand refresh, on November 19 at 11:00 a.m. Beijing time.
Photos of the model have already appeared in the XPeng app before the model was officially unveiled.
As previously reported by yiche.com, the new model will be based on the same Edward platform as XPeng's flagship sedan P7, which supports a wheelbase range of 2,800-3,100mm.
The model is expected to be priced at around CNY 300,000 (USD 47,000), equipped with a more advanced autonomous driving system with LiDAR and support for XPILOT 4.0, the report said.
Early last month, a Weibo user said that the XPeng G9 could be officially launched in the fourth quarter of 2022.
The car's wheelbase is between 3050-3100mm, which is longer than the NIO ES8 and Li Auto's Li ONE. But the car may be less than 5 meters long, possibly slightly shorter than the latter two, according to the blogger.
Its price may lie in the range of CNY 300,000 to 400,000, between the P7, which starts at CNY 229,900, and the P7 Wing edition, which costs CNY 409,900, the blogger said.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China
For the full article with the images, please visit the original link.
Tesla Can Deal with Supply Chain Shortage Unlike Chinese PeersBYD is positioned well, too.
The global automotive industry is facing a deepening supply chain crisis. For one, Toyota: it slashed 40% of its planned production in September. Another case is French carmaker Renault: it expects to cut production by 500,000 cars this year. Although many companies have been making decisive moves, they haven’t seen much relief so far. On the other hand, NEV leader Tesla (TSLA:NASDAQ) delivered another record quarter again.
Why didn't the shortage bother Tesla much? When will this supply chain mess be over? What's the crisis' implication on EV stock valuations? This article will answer these three questions.
As we argued in our latest research report, there are at least four major factors causing this component shortage:
The capacity cycle in the semiconductor industry
Lockdowns affecting key suppliers
Fast-growing demand for electronics
Climate hazards and natural events
The first and third reasons reveal the long-term bottleneck in the chip industry. Among other implications, this means most OEMs now need to pay more to get essential components. With its great cost control and supply chain integration, Tesla is likely to remain the least affected EV brand. Among Chinese companies, BYD can resist surging costs – but to a smaller extent than Tesla. NIO, XPeng and Li Auto will have to spend more money to deliver cars on time. Li Auto, for example, is said to buy chips at 800 times the normal price. We'll start with the semiconductor chip-related reasons.
An eventful year
The semiconductor shortage is both accidental and inevitable. Auto chips only account for 10% of the global semiconductor capacity. But the mounting demand for auto chips occurred along with a trough in the semiconductor market cycle, which has significantly affected global chip production. Before this trough, the most commoditized types of integrated circuits, like DRAM, had seen their prices declining, which made the sector's largest players postpone capacity expansion. Meanwhile, the pandemic forced workers far away from their assembly lines. In Kuala Lumpur, for instance, testing and packaging plants had to shut down for almost three months since June this year. The pandemic also disordered the consuming patterns: demand for all electronics, especially PCs, smartphones and tablets surged during the outbreak. Lastly, the automotive semiconductor supply chain was also hit by a few climate change-caused black swans. In February, extreme weather in Texas caused widespread power outages, affecting manufacturing activities at Samsung, NXP and Infineon.
Dawn in 2022
The crunch is likely to be relieved in 2022 but it will take years to fully meet the industry's needs. Predicting supply chain relief timing is hard, as most companies can only focus on a small segment within the whole sector. We found that most players believe the situation had improved by July but will remain an issue, at least until the end of 2021. Only a few CEOs have expressed longer-term worries.
However, some have extended their auto industry recovery time estimations. IHS Markit's newest forecast indicates that the industry will not enter a recovery phase until 2023. The CEO of chipmaker STMicroelectronics, Jean-Marc Chery, claimed the shortage would likely last at least two years. "Things will improve in 2022 gradually," he said, "but we will return to a normal situation … not before the first half of 2023."
Besides, capacity expansion is rather costly and slow. Auto IDMs don't want to invest heavily in exorbitant fabs, especially those for leading process nodes. But even if some chip designer wants to invest in such a project, it takes around two years to build a fabrication plant and start production. Recently, some Tier-1 companies are changing their asset-light strategies. Bosch, for example, plans to invest more than EUR 400 million in 2022 to expand its fabs in Dresden and Reutlingen, Germany, and its semiconductor testing center in Penang, Malaysia.
Favored electric cars
Albeit auto brands can't get components on time, many of them are now prioritizing EV production. This is quite unusual, given that EV model, on average, need more chips of various kinds; it's also surprising that at the moment consumers need to wait less time to get an EV: "Mercedes EQC, a recently launched EV, has a two-month delivery time, while a GLC, which features a traditional powertrain, has five months," according to IHS Markit. On the other hand, pure EV brands, like Tesla, NIO and Xpeng, keep delivering record sales. The former's fundamentals, however, differ significantly from those of its Chinese peers. Here's why:
1. Tesla's impressive growth is a key negotiation tool. Almost any supplier wants to do business with the one-trillion-dollar tech giant and doesn't want to miss Tesla's future orders.
2. Tesla is self-designing and producing more components than a typical EV brand. The company designs and produces key parts of its models such as electromotors, electronic control systems and battery management systems. What's more, Tesla now designs chips and 4680 batteries in-house. Via developing essential parts of the supply chain, the company has a better understanding of what can happen at other links.
3. Tesla's cars have fewer components. The company is known for decreasing the use of radars and other accessories.
BYD is another 'partly crisis-proof' company in the sector. The Warren Buffet-backed car maker also designs, makes and sells EV batteries and chips, among other products. From January to September, BYD sold 337,579 new energy vehicles, up 204.29% year on year. But the company has reportedly suffered rising costs. According to its Q3 results, BYD achieved operating revenue of CNY 54.31 billion in the third quarter, a year-on-year increase of 21.98%; net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses was CNY 518 million, down 67.17% year-on-year. More expensive raw materials contributed to the profit decline.
NIO, XPeng and Li Auto are facing levitating cost pressure, and their stocks are likely to plateau after the Q3 results are posted.
Proterra PTRA (1D) Mid Term Plan - LongHi Traders,
This is just my Idea about very potential company for next 5-10 years. (If electromobility can win th battle against hydrogen, than this is one of TESLA competitors.)
Consider your RRR Strategy + Fundaments (Entire market could get into Bear market as well).
Buy zone right now is around 10-7 USD ... Sell zones are marked for partial take profit.
Always look for RSI and MACD Convergencies / DIvergencie - in this ase at least 1D/1W timeframe.
Good luck and enjoy the game ;)
Waiting for the Triangle pattern to be finished | NIOToday we will take a look at the current formation on NIO
From a technical perspective, we are observing a triangle pattern. But what is a triangle pattern?
Ralph Nelson Elliott one of the fathers of modern technical analysis, and the creator of the Elliott Wave theory, Identified that the price moves on impulse and corrective sequences.
One is followed by the other one. Based on that he defined 4 types of corrective patterns
-Flat
-Zig-Zag
-Irregular
-Triangle
He also created a system that helps us know when a pattern is finished or we should keep waiting. The example we will use is a triangle pattern. Triangle patterns have 5 waves ABCDE, once we are able to count those waves and we can define clear edges both on the top and bottom of the pattern, we can think about breakouts and the beginning of a new impulse.
In the current situation of NIO, we can count ABCD, and we should wait for E to be sure that the pattern is finished. Once we have that, we can define activation levels as you can see on the chart, and we can define invalidation levels below the structure. The targets of these structures can be defined using fibo extensions or cloned channels.
The main purpose of this is to find situations that we are sure are finished and avoid engaging on charts that we don't have certainty about that.
So my conclusion on NIO is that the pattern is not finished yet, and I would like to see that E wave before thinking about the idea of a new bullish trend happening. Thanks for reading!
NIO's Q3 Earnings Call: Here's Everything You Need to KnowThe company is considering IPO in Hong Kong.
NIO reported its third-quarter earnings on Wednesday morning Beijing Time and held an analyst conference call afterward to address the most important concerns of investors.
Here's a summary from CnEVPost, and there's also a live text of our transcript of the call at the end of the article.
Vehicle Deliveries
Current NIO deliveries are primarily affected by supply chain volatility and are expected to reach 23,500 to 25,500 units in the fourth quarter, said William Li, founder, chairman, and CEO of NIO.
NIO's new orders continue to grow, with a record high of new orders in October, he said.
Chip supply is now better than the worst of the third quarter, but still faces challenges. The good thing is that NIO has adapted to the situation and always finds some solutions when possible, Li said.
Compared to the automotive industry as a whole, NIO has a relatively small share of sales, so it faces fewer difficulties compared to established car companies, he said.
Many of NIO's domain controllers are developed by itself, so it has some advantages in finding alternative chips.
Power battery giant CATL is trying to ensure the supply of batteries to NIO, but this is still the ceiling of NIO's delivery volume.
The JAC NIO plant will have a few more upgrades to follow, but they won't have as big an impact as they did in October. New NIO models will be built in the new plant, and there will be a capacity creep, but it won't have an impact on the production of existing models, Li said.
ET7 and New Models
NIO plans to have the ET7 available in showrooms around the Chinese New Year, which comes on February 1, according to Li.
The release of the ET7's assisted driving capabilities will be a long-term process, and NIO will consider a number of factors, including regulations, safety and reliability, and will not deliberately make demonstrations of autonomous driving.
NIO's 150 kWh battery is moving forward on schedule, with availability scheduled for the fourth quarter of next year, and is still on track.
Development of NIO's NAD hardware and software systems is well underway, and in addition to the ET7, development of two other new models based on the NT2.0 platform is on schedule, with deliveries to customers expected to begin in the second half of next year, Li said.
With the growth in scale, NIO's long-term target for the margin of vehicles based on NT2 models is 25 percent. NIO will reach that goal if it reaches 300,000 units of annual production capacity.
NIO's current models will be upgraded to the NT2 platform, but it will manage the pace carefully. The development work for the upgrade is already underway.
Many of NIO's new models are being developed in parallel, and the costs will be reflected in the financial statements over time.
NIO will offer some hardware upgrades to existing models next year when they become available. The company has considered the possibility of upgrades in the design of its products.
New Plant and Capacity Growth
In addition to the upgrade of the JAC NIO plant, the construction of NIO's second plant in NeoPark is proceeding on schedule.
Construction of the plant started on April 29 and the main structure was topped out on August 26. Equipment installation will start at the end of November and the plant will be officially put into operation in the third quarter of next year.
With the completion of NIO's second plant, the two plants can reach a maximum annual capacity of 600,000 units with double shifts, which can meet the needs in the short term.
About Norway and European Expansion
NIO's work in Norway has met expectations, with a quarter of the test drive customers placing orders, much more efficiently than in China.
NIO ES8 orders in Norway exceeded expectations, with 92 percent of consumers choosing the battery rental service BaaS, Li said.
NIO hopes to establish an after-sales service system in Norway before aggressively pushing sales.
The company's low deliveries in Norway in September and October were not due to a lack of orders, but rather a controlled pace, and NIO's deliveries in Norway will increase significantly in November.
NIO will enter at least five additional European countries next year, all offering NT2-based products. The ES8, based on the first-generation platform, will only be available in Norway.
Regulatory Credits and Subsidy Withdrawal
Most of NIO's sales of regulatory credits materialized in the third quarter, earlier than last year.
Li said NEV penetration has risen quickly this year, as has the price of regulatory credits, and expects that next year the price of regulatory credits may be lower than it is now.
In response to a question about China's subsidy rollback for NEVs, Li said the average selling price of NIO vehicles is high and the expected subsidy rollback won't have much of an impact on it.
The following is the text of CnEVPost's live report of the conference call:
NIO's new orders continue to grow, with a record high of new orders in October, said William Li, founder, chairman, and CEO of NIO.
Current NIO deliveries are mainly affected by supply fluctuations, and total deliveries are expected to reach 23,500 to 25,500 units in the fourth quarter of 2021.
Development of NIO's NAD hardware and software systems is well underway, and in addition to the ET7, development of two other new models based on the NT2.0 platform is on schedule for delivery to customers starting in the second half of next year, Li said.
In addition to the upgrade of the JAC NIO plant, NIO's second plant in NeoPark will start installing equipment at the end of November and will be officially put into operation in the third quarter of next year, said Li.
NIO ES8 orders in Norway exceeded expectations, with 92 percent of consumers opting for the company's battery rental service BaaS, Li said.
The JAC NIO plant will have small amount of renovations to follow, but they won't have as big an impact as they did in October. New NIO models will be built in the new plant and there will be a capacity creep, but it won't have an impact on the production of existing models, Li said.
Most of the sales of regulatory credits occurred in the third quarter, earlier than last year.
With the growth in scale, NIO's long-term target for vehicle margin based on the NT2 platform is 25 percent.
NIO plans to have the ET7 available in showrooms around Chinese New Year, which arrives on February 1, Li said.
The current chip supply is better than the worst third quarter, but still faces challenges. The good thing is that NIO has adapted to the situation and always finds some solutions as much as possible.
Compared to the whole automotive industry, NIO's sales account for a relatively small percentage, so the difficulties it faces are also relatively smaller than those of established car companies.
Many domain controllers are developed by NIO itself, so it has some advantages in finding alternative chips.
CATL is trying its best to ensure the supply of batteries to NIO, but it is still the ceiling of NIO's delivery volume.
The average selling price of NIO vehicles is high, and the expected subsidy withdrawal will not have much impact on it.
The release of ET7's assisted driving capability will be a long-term process, and NIO will consider a number of factors including regulations, safety, and reliability, and will not deliberately go for autonomous driving demonstrations.
NIO's 150 kWh battery is advancing on schedule, with plans to deliver in the fourth quarter of next year, and is still on track.
If NIO reaches an annual capacity of 300,000 vehicles, it will be able to achieve a 25% vehicle gross margin.
NIO's current models will be upgraded to the NT2 platform, but NIO will manage the pace carefully. R&D work for the upgrade is already underway.
NEV penetration has risen rapidly this year, as has the price of regulatory credits, and next year the price of regulatory credits may be lower than it is now.
NIO's work in Norway has met expectations, with a quarter of the test drive users placing orders, much more efficiently than in China.
NIO hopes to establish an after-sales service system in Norway before aggressively pushing sales. The company did not deliver much in Norway in September and October, not because there were not enough orders, but because it was controlling the pace. NIO's deliveries in Norway will increase significantly in November.
NIO will enter at least five additional European countries next year, all offering NT2-based products. The ES8, based on the first-generation platform, will only be offered in Norway.
Many of NIO's new models are being developed in parallel, and the costs will be reflected in the financial statements over time.
With the completion of NIO's second plant, the two plants can reach a maximum annual capacity of 600,000 units with double shifts.
NIO will offer some hardware upgrades to existing models next year when the time comes. The company has considered the possibility of upgrades in the design of its products.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NKLA Getting Ready For a RunLooking for a dip into the oversold and the RSI & MACD should line up for a perfect entry on the second leg.
Possible lower-low before entry on reversal.
Lot's of fundamentals to like as of late. Expecting more into the holidays as the Arizona factory continues to go online.
If the Dems get there way the tax credit increase on Electric cars may push this higher off the news.
Good potential long.
Do your due diligence.
NIO Flag on the week chart.So recently NIO was thrown on the drawing board...
After peaking at $66.99 in January, the market has cooled down a bit and has found support around $30 2-3 times, all of which has caused a pennant to form which would imply that there is a chance of 75% is that this continuation pattern could push the price further up. The upward price target would come in at a good $75. This 100% price target is not what I'm assuming and my focus is initially on surpassing the previously achieved $66.99. in the event of a fall, the price could plunge towards $25 dollars.
Looking at the 12H chart there seems to be a head and shoulder pattern in the making.
Of course this is speculation but one thing is a fact... we are getting closer and closer to the apex (the point where the support and resistance lines cross) and so there is a good chance that something will eventually happen there.
If it doesn't become Head and Shoulder and the bulls want to bring the market up straight away, you could say that an Extended W pattern has formed
If the bears push the price down, things could get tense at the bottom of the support line.
Final words, we have to look forward to November 16, as NIO will then release the 3rd quarter results.
Nice to know is that at the beginning of October, NIO delivered 10,628 vehicles worldwide in September 2021, an all-time record number, representing a robust growth of 125.7% year-on-year. and on September 30, 2021, NIO opened its NIO House and completed its first batch of vehicle deliveries in Norway. And those are some pretty nice numbers too.
NIO delivered 24,439 vehicles in the three months to September 2021, an increase of 100.2% year-on-year.
and cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 as of September 30, 2021 reached 142,036
This is not financial advice!
source: motleyfool.com & tipranks.com
COMBI CHART date 29 oktober !
12H CHART:
Increase in Revenue with Decreasing Net Profit GM Motors Q3 2021The automaker has been expanding its global layout during the past quarter of 2021 and has entered the Egyptian, Bruneian and European markets. During the third quarter, Great Wall Motor announced its target of selling 1 million vehicles overseas in 2025.
The revenue of the firm increased 10.13% year-on-year to CNY 28.86 billion.
Operating income was CNY 28.86 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.13%.
Net profit was down 1.72% year-on-year to CNY 1.41 billion.
From January to September 2021, the automaker achieved a total operating income of CNY 90.79 billion, a year-on-year increase of 46.11%, and a net profit of CNY 4.94 billion, up 91.13% year-on-year.
For the first three quarters this year, Great Wall Motor added that the company witnessed a 29.9% increase in new car sales versus the previous year to 884,000 vehicles.
From January to September, GWM sold 98,000 vehicles outside China, soaring 136.3% compared to a year ago, accounting for 11.1% of the company's total vehicle sales.
Great Wall Motor's performance in the capital market has also improved significantly. As of the close of October 29, the company's A-share stock price has reached CNY 68, an increase of 82.65% from the closing price on December 31, 2020. The market value of the firm has reached CNY 628.1 billion, ranking second among Chinese automobile companies.
Tesla's Record in Q3 Reflective of China's Solid EV FoundationDespite a great Q3 overall, Tesla in China sees demand reduce as competitors begin to catch up.
Share prices for Tesla have soared to all-time highs after earnings and amidst reports of a 100,000-car deal with car rental company Hertz. Demand has not been the main issue for Tesla outside of China seeing that orders have backlogged out as far as May and prices on models have been raised. The global supply crunch has been their biggest obstacle to navigate so far. Tesla in China though is in fact seeing an isolated demand crunch while domestic firms are pouncing to shift demand in their favor.
We believe Tesla's record revenue of USD 13.76 billion in Q3 is not only reflective of Tesla's success but China's impactful support. The earnings report states, "For all of Q3, China remained our main export hub. Production has ramped well in China, and we are driving improvements to increase the production rate further." Not only are a significant amount of all Tesla models produced in Giga Shanghai, but Ningde-based CATL already has a contract to produce batteries for Tesla until 2025. CATL also signed a 10-year contract with Great Wall Motor in June of 2021. EV's are getting a foothold in China the way internal combustion engine vehicles were in Japan around the 90s.
Domestic brands are gaining on Tesla's share of the Chinese EV market
Sales in China leaped nearly 50% in August but only 20% in September for Tesla. Their market share of BEV sales has declined from 17% in April to 11% despite the steep price reduction for the Model Y SR+ and amidst intense media scrutiny. BYD is now atop them with 14% of BEV sales in China. The domestic brands are clearly gaining consumers' favor in China as of Q3 sales for BYD, Xpeng, and Li Auto nearly tripled and NIO's sales doubled all year-over-year(YoY). Going forward, Tesla still generally expects to “achieve 50% average annual growth in vehicle deliveries” over a multi-year horizon which is quite impressive. In the world's biggest EV market, however, it does seem demand for Tesla is declining at least relative to the competing rivals. Even if Tesla can recuperate some consumer appeal, investors should expect Chinese automotive firms to continue to gain ground assuming supply can keep up in scaling for 1.45 billion people.
More players both new and old
Nonetheless, as other emerging players begin to throw their hat in the ring like Xiaomi, Evergrande Auto, as well as international makers like Volkswagen and Toyota, there could be less room for Tesla to dominate demand. Especially if the market's fragmentation gets remedied and China solidifies its leaders of the industry, the winners of this race will be the Chinese investors. NIO has already started selling its ES8 electric SUV in Norway, challenging Tesla outside of China for the first time and has targeted Q4 of 2022 for launch in Germany. Tesla expects production up and running at Giga Berlin by the end of 2021.
Legacy automakers will certainly be Tesla’s biggest global competitors because of high client adhesiveness as well as industry expertise. Within China, however, it is likely that there is only so much space in the EV market for successful international firms to squeeze in with the nationally favored domestic firms. Since Tesla has the technological prowess and resilience as a company to continue to spearhead the global EV market, it should end up in the long run as China’s premier foreign producer of EV’s. Though China isn't a completely autarkic environment, investors should still expect a sturdy path forward for Chinese EV’s to grow profitable and successful. Though there are limitations in the current global economic climate, those who can weather the storm will be rewarded.
The bottom line
Tesla has benefitted competing firms with good influence and transparency as well as a commitment to growing China's EV market. In 2021 though, Tesla's declining position could be attributable to issues with recalls to refine autopilot systems as well as other negative sentiments from the trade war. The US does claim China unfairly favors its domestic producers and contributes to accelerating the negative press. Investors should expect that regardless of legality in their execution, China will aggressively promote their EV makers at home and abroad. Even if Tesla overcomes these road bumps in navigating this massive foreign market, there should and likely will be enough room for the best EV firms in China to grow and flourish. After all, Tesla is likely to grow too big to ignore especially in the world's current hottest EV market. But China's more urban-oriented driving habits do favor domestic producers of mini EV's. With that being said, these infantile EV makers have a lot on their side and will cater directly to the needs and appeal of Chinese consumers.
For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
XPeng to Launch 800v, 480kW Overcharge... and Super Energy Storage Station.
The CEO of XPeng Inc. predicted that the penetration rate of new energy vehicles would reach 50% in 2025.
On October 24, Xiaopeng He, CEO of XPeng Motors, said that XPeng hopes to be the first 800V high-voltage platform equipped with silicon carbide chips in mass production, aiming to achieve the endurance of 200 kilometers after charging for 5 minutes. Meanwhile, XPeng will also launch the supporting 480kW high-pressure overcharge pile.
The energy storage station designed by XPeng can meet the overcharge of 30 vehicles at the same time. In other words, XPeng will launch three schemes in terms of energy supplement, that is, 800V, 480kW overcharge and Super Energy Storage Station, respectively.
In addition, XPeng also announced its exploration progress in electrification and intelligence. It is reported that it's Xpilot 2.5 accounts for 89.74%, and the activation rate of version 3.0 with high-speed NGP is 59.29%. He pointed that intelligent-assisted driving is not automatic driving, where man-machine driving will be an inevitable choice for a long time.
It is worth noting that Xinzhou Wu, vice president of XPeng's auto-driving business, said that the urban NGP function is expected to be launched in the first half of 2022 and will be tested on some roads in the first batch of cities.
In January 2021, XPeng's NGP was officially opened to users. Users can realize automatic navigation-assisted driving from point A to point B based on the set navigation route. The high-speed NGP function realized by XPeng P7 can cover most domestic expressways and some urban expressways. Apart from the functions of ACC adaptive cruise, LCC lane-centering assistance, ALC automatic lane change assistance, some other functions include but are not limited to automatic lane change, automatic speed limit adjustment, overtaking at night, ramping in, and out.
BYD Reportedly to Raise Battery Prices by Over 20% Next MonthBYD's reasoning is that the raw materials for lithium batteries have been rising due to market changes, power restrictions, and production limitations.
BYD, China's largest new energy vehicle company, is also the second-largest local supplier of power batteries after CATL. As costs rise, the company is said to be raising the price of its batteries.
BYD will raise the unit prices of its battery products, including CO8M, by no less than 20 percent from November 1, the Securities Times said Tuesday, citing a document.
BYD argues that the raw materials for lithium batteries in 2021 continue to rise with the price of cathode material LiCoO2 rising by more than 200 percent and electrolyte prices rising by more than 150 percent.
Material supply continues to be tight, resulting in a significant increase in comprehensive costs, according to the Securities Times.
Since November 1, BYD and its customers will sign new contracts for new orders and implement new prices, and orders for old contracts that have not been completed will be closed and canceled, according to the report.
Local media cls.cn then quoted BYD insiders as saying that the information is currently being verified.
It's unclear whether CO8M batteries are power cells used in new energy vehicles, and public sources can't find an explanation of the term.
BYD is also one of the world's largest suppliers of batteries for cell phones and ranks second in China's power battery market.
Data released earlier this month by the China Automotive Battery Innovation Alliance showed that BYD's installed power battery capacity in China was 14.73 GWh from January to September this year, with a 16 percent market share.
CATL's installed capacity from January to September was 46.79 GWh, ranking first with a 50.8% market share.
It is worth noting that BYD's power cells are mainly supplied to itself and have been used in some other brands' new energy logistics vehicles since 2018.
This year Ford Mustang Mach-E and some FAW Hongqi models started using BYD's power cells.
In May, the Digi Times reported that with the price increase of China-made Tesla Model 3, rumors said CATL might follow with a 10 percent price increase.
The report mentioned that LFP raw material prices have jumped 50 percent this year, but battery suppliers have taken on the pressure of the price hike themselves for fear it would lead to lost orders.
Citing sources, the report said most LFP battery makers want CATL to take the lead in raising prices in response to the steep rise in LFP material costs, making it easy for the industry to follow suit.
CATL later responded that the report that its LFP battery offer would be raised was not true.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.