EDUCATION: The most common model patterns!Hello traders, I present to you a few candlestick patterns that appear frequently and have a fairly large win rate.
CUP AND HANDLE
The cup and handle pattern on the price chart resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is U-shaped and the handle slopes down slightly.
The cup forms after moving upwards and looks like a bowl or round bottom. When the cup is completed, a narrow price range develops on the right side and a handle is formed. A subsequent breakout of the trading range forms the handle indicating a continuation of the previous upward move.
PENNANT PATTERN
This is a type of continuation pattern that forms when there is a major move in the market, known as a flagpole, followed by a period of consolidation with converging trendlines, pennants, and finally a move. breaks in the same direction, like the original move, representing the second half of the flagpole.
FLAG
The flag pattern is used to determine the possibility of a continuation of a previous trend from a point where the price has drifted in the same trend. If the trend continues, the price could rise rapidly, making it an advantageous time to trade using a flag pattern. If you think you've seen a flag to trade, the most important thing is a fast and steep price trend.
If the price slowly rises and falls below the flag, you should not trade at that time.
DOUBLE BOTTOM
The trajectory of the price line during the formation of the pattern resembles the letter "W". The last two price lows, located approximately the same, are a strong support zone where two price reversals are made to the upside.
When the market price breaks through the resistance level of the pattern, the formation of the pattern is complete. The BUY signal appears and the trend will change.
Educationalpost
The Divergence Cheat Sheet: Your Quick Reference GuideHello dear @TradingView community!
In this guide, we will delve into the concept of divergence and its significance in technical analysis, specifically focusing on its application in the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin.
Understanding Divergence: A Key Concept in Trading
Divergence occurs when the price of an asset and an indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), move in opposite directions. This pattern provides valuable insights into potential price reversals or changes in trends.
The Divergence Cheat Sheet
To help us identify and interpret divergence patterns, a divergence cheat sheet can be an invaluable tool. It provides a concise overview of different divergence patterns and assists us in making timely and accurate decisions.
By having a cheat sheet on hand, you can save time, reduce errors, and ensure they don't miss crucial signals in the fast-paced cryptocurrency market.
Detecting Divergence
Detecting divergence is crucial for identifying lucrative trading opportunities. By using divergence indicators like the RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator, we can gain significant insights into market trends and potential price reversals.
To pinpoint divergence effectively, follow these steps:
Choose an indicator capable of detecting divergence, such as the RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator.
Look for discrepancies between the indicator and the price action. Regular divergence occurs when the price and the indicator move in opposite directions, while hidden divergence occurs when they move in the same direction but at different rates.
Monitor the direction of the trend. Divergence can indicate a trend reversal, so keeping track of the current market trend is crucial.
Confirm the divergence signal with other technical analysis tools. Divergence is just one piece of the puzzle, so it's essential to use other indicators to validate your trading decisions.
Examples of Divergence in Trading Charts
Let's examine a few examples of divergence on Bitcoin charts:
Strong Bullish Divergence:
When lows of the price decreases while the RSI increases, a regular bullish divergence occurs. This signals a potential trend reversal and presents an opportunity for a bullish trade.
Strong Bearish Divergence:
When highs the price of an asset is rising while the RSI is falling, it indicates a regular bearish divergence. This suggests a potential trend reversal and presents an opportunity for a bearish trade.
Medium Bullish Divergence:
When the lows of an asset remain equal while the RSI is rising, it indicates a medium bullish divergence. This suggests a potential increase in price, although it may not be a strong upward movement.
Medium Bearish Divergence:
When the highs of an asset remain unchanged while the RSI is decreasing, it indicates a medium bearish divergence. This suggests a potential decline in price, although the downward movement may not be significant.
Weak Bullish Divergence:
When the lows of an asset is decreasing while the RSI lows is equal, it indicates a weak bullish divergence. This suggests a potential increase in price, although it may not be a strong upward movement.
Weak Bearish Divergence:
When the highs of an asset are rising while the RSI remains unchanged, it indicates a moderate bearish divergence. This suggests a potential decline in price, although the downward movement may not be significant.
Hidden Bullish Divergence:
Hidden bullish divergence occurs when the price creates higher lows while the RSI is creating lower lows. This reinforces an existing uptrend and suggests its strength.
Hidden Bearish Divergence:
Hidden bearish divergence is observed when the price forms lower highs while the RSI forms higher highs. This indicates a potential weakening of the current uptrend and might signal a trend reversal or a pullback.
By recognizing these divergence patterns on trading charts, we can gain insights into potential market reversals, entry and exit points, and adjust trading strategies accordingly.
Incorporating Divergence into Your Trading Strategy
To effectively incorporate divergence into your trading, consider the following steps:
Identify the appropriate indicators: Choose reliable indicators such as RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator that can detect divergence patterns effectively.
Learn to spot divergence: Familiarize yourself with the different types of divergence patterns and practice identifying them on price charts. This will help you develop a trained eye for spotting potential trading opportunities.
Confirm with additional analysis: While divergence can provide valuable signals, it's essential to use other technical analysis tools to confirm your trading decisions. Look for supporting indicators, chart patterns, or trendline breaks that align with the divergence signal.
Set clear entry and exit criteria: Define your entry and exit points based on the divergence signal and your risk tolerance. Consider using stop-loss orders and take-profit levels to manage your trades effectively.
Practice risk management: Implement proper risk management techniques, such as position sizing, to protect your capital. Divergence alone should not be the sole basis for your trading decisions but rather an additional tool in your arsenal.
Backtest and refine your strategy: Test your divergence-based trading strategy on historical price data to assess its effectiveness. Make adjustments as needed and continuously monitor and evaluate your results to improve your trading approach.
Remember, divergence analysis is not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis methods and market factors. Regular practice, continuous learning, and adapting to changing market conditions are crucial for successful trading.
Divergence analysis is a powerful tool that can provide us with an edge in the cryptocurrency market. By understanding and effectively utilizing divergence patterns, we can identify potential trend reversals, improve entry and exit timing, and enhance overall trading strategy. Incorporate divergence analysis into your trading approach and combine it with other technical indicators and risk management techniques for a well-rounded and informed trading strategy.
Mastering CFD Trading: A Comprehensive Beginner's GuideContracts for Difference (CFDs) have garnered significant attention as derivative products that offer traders the ability to speculate on the price movements of various assets without the need to own them physically. These financial instruments emerged in the latter part of the 20th century, propelled by the advent of the internet revolution, which revolutionized trading by facilitating swift and convenient short-term transactions.
CFDs have since become an integral part of the repertoire offered by prominent brokers, providing traders with enhanced leverage and access to an extensive range of markets that encompass stocks, indices, currencies, and commodities. This broad market coverage has contributed to the popularity and widespread adoption of CFDs among traders seeking diverse investment opportunities.
The historical roots of CFDs can be traced back to the late 1980s and early 1990s. It was during this period that derivative trading witnessed significant advancements, driven by technological progress and regulatory changes. The introduction of electronic trading platforms and the availability of real-time market data allowed traders to execute trades swiftly and efficiently, leading to the development of CFDs as a viable financial instrument.
The operational mechanics of CFDs are relatively straightforward. When trading a CFD, the trader enters into a contract with a broker, mirroring the price movements of the underlying asset. This contract stipulates that the trader will pay or receive the difference in price between the opening and closing positions of the CFD. If the price of the underlying asset moves in the trader's favor, they stand to make a profit. Conversely, if the price moves against their position, they may incur a loss.
One of the key advantages of trading CFDs is the ability to utilize leverage. Leverage allows traders to control a larger position in the market with a smaller initial investment. This amplifies potential gains, but it is important to note that it also magnifies potential losses. Traders should exercise caution and employ risk management strategies when using leverage in CFD trading.
Furthermore, CFDs offer traders the flexibility to profit from both rising and falling markets. Through a process known as short-selling, traders can speculate on price declines and potentially profit from downward market movements. This ability to take both long and short positions provides traders with opportunities to capitalize on market trends and volatility.
However, it is crucial to acknowledge that CFD trading carries inherent risks. Due to the leverage involved, losses can exceed the initial investment, potentially resulting in significant financial losses. Moreover, CFD trading is subject to market volatility, and sudden price movements can lead to rapid and substantial losses.
Throughout this comprehensive article , we shall delve into the historical backdrop of CFDs, elucidate their operational mechanics, and present an evaluation of the advantages and disadvantages associated with trading these financial instruments.
History Of CFD:
Towards the conclusion of the 20th century, the landscape of exchange trading underwent a profound transformation, thanks to the advent of the Internet. This revolutionary technology empowered traders to engage in rapid short-term trades with unparalleled ease. Consequently, intraday trading emerged as a prominent trend, and astute brokers swiftly recognized the burgeoning demand for this segment among individual traders.
However, a significant predicament persisted within the trading realm - exchanges were highly specialized and compartmentalized. Currency exchanges, stock exchanges, and futures exchanges operated as distinct entities, precluding traders from capitalizing on opportunities across multiple asset classes. For instance, a trader operating with a currency broker lacked the means to profit from futures or stocks.
While opening multiple accounts with different companies was a possible solution, it was far from optimal. Furthermore, another obstacle loomed large: high leverage was imperative for generating profits through short-term transactions, yet traditional stock exchanges were averse to the risks associated with margin trading.
In response to these challenges, visionaries at UBS Investment Bank conceptualized a new trading instrument known as the contract for difference (CFD). This innovative derivative allowed traders to profit from the price fluctuations of various assets without the need to physically own them or conduct transactions on the underlying exchanges. Traders could now conveniently engage in trading shares, oil, and other commodities using a single broker. Additionally, CFDs provided the desired leverage for short-term trading, overcoming the limitations imposed by traditional stock exchanges.
Over time, CFDs became widely available, offered by popular brokers operating in diverse markets, including the forex market. Presently, this versatile financial instrument is successfully utilized by both short-term traders and long-term investors, catering to a broad spectrum of trading styles and planning horizons. The flexibility and accessibility of CFDs have made them an indispensable tool in the arsenal of market participants seeking to capitalize on price movements and maximize their trading potential.
CFD Leverage Explained:
One of the notable features of CFD trading is the availability of margin trading, which enables traders to borrow funds from their brokers. This concept is closely tied to the notion of leverage, which has a significant impact on the trading process. Leverage allows traders to control larger positions in the market with a smaller amount of their own capital.
To illustrate the concept, let's consider an example. Suppose a trader utilizes a 1:50 leverage. This means that with just $1,000 of their own funds, they can open a position equivalent to $50,000. In this scenario, the borrowed funds provided by the broker amplify the trader's purchasing power, enabling them to access larger market positions.
The level of leverage available in CFD trading varies depending on the underlying asset being traded. For instance, when trading shares, the leverage typically ranges up to 1:20. On the other hand, for commodities like oil, leverage can often reach as high as 1:100.
It is important to note that when comparing leverage in CFD trading to leverage in forex currency pairs, the ratios may appear different. A 1:20 leverage in CFDs might seem relatively lower when contrasted with the leverage commonly available in forex trading. However, it is crucial to consider these ratios within the context of their respective markets.
In traditional stock markets, equity leverage is typically limited and rarely exceeds 1:2. This means that traders in those markets have less flexibility in terms of controlling larger positions with a smaller amount of capital. In contrast, CFDs provide traders with significantly higher leverage, allowing them to amplify their potential gains and losses.
It is important to approach leverage in CFD trading with caution and exercise risk management strategies. While leverage can magnify profits, it also amplifies potential losses. Traders should be mindful of the increased risk associated with higher leverage levels and consider their risk tolerance and trading strategies accordingly.
Comparing leverage ratios across different markets provides insights into the varying degrees of flexibility and risk exposure available to traders. Understanding and utilizing leverage effectively is an essential aspect of CFD trading, enabling traders to optimize their trading strategies and potentially enhance their profitability, while remaining cognizant of the associated risks.
How CFDs Work:
Let's break down the scenario provided to understand the implications of trading CFDs compared to traditional stock ownership.
Assuming the Ask price per share is $171.23, a trader purchasing 100 shares would need to consider additional costs such as commissions and fees. In a traditional brokerage account with a 50% credit on margin, this transaction would require a minimum of $1,263 in available funds.
However, with CFD brokers, the margin requirements are typically much lower. In the past, a 5% margin was common, which would amount to $126.30 for this trade.
When opening a CFD position, the trader will immediately experience a loss equal to the size of the spread at the time of the trade. For example, if the spread is 5 cents, the stock price must rise by 5 cents for the position to reach the breakeven level.
If the trader owned the stock directly, they would make a 5 cents profit. However, it's important to consider that owning the stock directly would entail paying a commission, resulting in higher overall costs.
Now, let's consider the scenario where the offer price of the stock reaches $25.76. In a traditional brokerage account, positions could be closed at a profit of $50, resulting in a 3.95% return on the initial investment of $1,263.
However, in the case of CFDs, when the price reaches the same level on the national exchange, the bid price on the CFD may be slightly lower, let's say $25.74. Consequently, the profit from trading CFDs would be lower since the trader must exit the trade at the bid price. Additionally, the spread in CFD trading is typically wider compared to regular markets.
In this example, the CFD trader would earn approximately $48, resulting in a 38% return on the initial investment of $126.30.
It's worth noting that these figures are specific to the example provided and may vary depending on various factors, including the specific brokerage, market conditions, and the pricing dynamics of the underlying asset.
Why Trade CFDs / Pros And Cons Of Trading CFDs
Indeed, one of the significant advantages of trading CFDs is the expanded range of tradable instruments compared to the classical forex market. While the forex market primarily deals with currencies, CFDs provide traders with the opportunity to trade a wide array of assets. Most brokers now offer CFDs on various instruments such as gold, stocks, and stock indices, greatly diversifying the available trading opportunities.
However, it is important to note that CFDs are not a direct replacement for the underlying assets. Although the price of a CFD contract reflects the price movements of the underlying instrument, there may be differences in the actual returns. These differences can be attributed to factors such as spreads, commissions, and other costs associated with CFD trading.
Speaking of commissions, it is crucial to consider that CFD commissions may differ from those applied to the underlying asset. This distinction becomes particularly relevant in longer-term trading scenarios. Traders need to carefully evaluate the commission structure and any associated fees when assessing the overall costs of trading CFDs.
Now let's delve into the main advantages and disadvantages of trading CFDs:
Pros of CFD Trading:
1 ) Expanded Market Access: CFDs provide access to a wide range of markets, including stocks, commodities, indices, and more, allowing traders to diversify their portfolios and capitalize on various asset classes.
2 ) Leverage and Margin Trading: CFDs offer the potential for higher leverage, allowing traders to control larger positions with a smaller initial investment. This amplifies potential profits (as well as losses) and can enhance trading opportunities.
3 ) Ability to Profit from Both Rising and Falling Markets: CFDs enable traders to take advantage of both upward and downward price movements. Through short-selling, traders can speculate on price declines and potentially profit from falling markets.
Cons of CFD Trading:
1 ) Counterparty Risk: When trading CFDs, traders are exposed to counterparty risk, as they enter into contracts with the broker rather than owning the underlying assets. If the broker encounters financial difficulties or fails, it can impact the trader's positions and funds.
2 ) Potential for Higher Costs: CFD trading may involve additional costs such as spreads, commissions, and overnight financing charges. These costs can impact overall profitability, especially for longer-term trades.
3 ) Market Volatility and Risk: CFDs are subject to market volatility, and sudden price movements can result in rapid and substantial losses. The use of leverage in CFD trading can amplify both gains and losses, making risk management crucial.
It is essential for traders to consider these pros and cons when deciding to engage in CFD trading. Adequate risk management strategies and a thorough understanding of the underlying markets and associated costs are essential for successful and informed trading decisions.
Risks Of Trading CFDs:
Trading CFDs (Contracts for Difference) involves inherent risks that traders should be aware of before engaging in such activities. Understanding these risks is essential for making informed decisions and implementing appropriate risk management strategies. Here are some of the key risks associated with CFD trading:
Leverage Risk: CFDs allow traders to access larger market positions with a smaller initial investment. While leverage can amplify potential profits, it also magnifies losses. Traders need to be cautious and manage leverage effectively to avoid significant financial setbacks.
Market Risk: CFDs are directly linked to the price movements of underlying assets, which can be influenced by various factors, including economic indicators, news events, and market sentiment. Rapid price fluctuations can lead to substantial losses, especially if positions are not managed appropriately.
Counterparty Risk: When trading CFDs, traders enter into a contractual agreement with the CFD provider. This exposes them to counterparty risk, which refers to the possibility of the provider failing to fulfill its obligations. It is crucial to choose a reputable and regulated CFD provider to minimize this risk.
Operational Risk: CFD trading platforms can experience technical issues, such as system outages or errors, which may prevent traders from executing trades or managing positions effectively. Traders should be prepared for such operational risks and have contingency plans in place.
Liquidity Risk: In certain cases, CFD markets may lack sufficient liquidity, meaning there is a limited number of buyers and sellers. This can make it challenging to enter or exit positions at desired prices, particularly during volatile market conditions. Traders should be cautious when trading illiquid CFD markets.
Hidden Costs: Some CFD brokers may impose additional fees and charges, such as overnight financing fees or spread mark-ups. These hidden costs can reduce profitability over time, and traders should carefully review the fee structure of their chosen CFD provider.
To mitigate these risks, traders are advised to implement risk management techniques, including setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, conducting thorough market analysis, and continuously monitoring positions. It is also crucial to conduct due diligence when selecting a CFD provider, ensuring they are regulated and offer transparent pricing structures and reliable customer support.
By understanding and effectively managing these risks, traders can enhance their chances of success and navigate the complexities of CFD trading more confidently.
Choosing A Broker For CFD Trading:
When selecting a broker for CFD trading, certain parameters take precedence. These include:
1 ) Reliability and Reputation: When it comes to CFD trading, the importance of a broker's reliability and reputation cannot be overstated. Given the instrument's relative lack of popularity, there may be instances of limited liquidity, which increases the temptation for unethical practices such as manipulating charts or altering quotes. It is crucial to choose a broker known for their trustworthiness and positive reputation.
2 ) Variety of CFDs for Trading: It is advisable to thoroughly examine the broker's website and review the comprehensive list of available contracts. Ensure that the list includes the specific CFDs you intend to trade. Having access to a wide range of CFD options allows you to diversify your portfolio and pursue various trading opportunities.
3 ) Contract Specifications: Identify the CFDs in the broker's list that you plan to trade frequently. Pay attention to the contract specifications, including spreads, commissions, and swaps, as they should align with your trading style and objectives. If you require high leverage, verify the leverage availability for each CFD category.
By carefully considering these parameters, you can make an informed decision when choosing a broker for CFD trading. This will contribute to a more satisfactory trading experience and help you align your trading strategy with your goals.
Conclusion:
Contracts for Difference (CFDs) provide traders with a gateway to a diverse range of popular exchange-traded assets. Through a single CFD broker, traders can engage in trading activities involving stocks, indices, and even cryptocurrencies.
The key to achieving success in CFD trading lies in the trader's level of proficiency in understanding the intricacies of specific instruments. The most favorable outcomes are typically attained by individuals who concentrate their efforts on a particular asset class or even a specific instrument within that class. By acquiring comprehensive knowledge and a deep understanding of the various factors that influence prices, traders can surpass market performance and reap the rewards they rightfully deserve. This focused approach enhances their ability to make informed decisions, seize profitable opportunities, and maximize their potential gains in the CFD market.
Risk Reward Ratio ExpainedThe key to becoming successful as a Forex trader is to find the right balance between how much you risk per trade to achieve the desired profit you are aiming for. This balance needs to be realistic and relevant to the technical strategy you are applying. You need to combine risk reward with your strategy.
The risk-reward ratio is simply a calculation of how much you are willing to risk in a trade, versus how much you plan to aim for as a profit target. To keep it simple, if you were making a trade and you only wanted to set your stop loss at five pips and set your take profit at 20 pips, your risk reward ratio would be 5:20 or 1:4. You are risking five pips for the chance to gain 20 pips. The basic theory for the risk-reward ratio is to look for opportunities where the reward outweighs the risk. The greater the possible rewards, the more failed trades your account can withstand at a time. When it comes down to it, it is up to you as a trader to figure out what type of risk-reward ratio you want to use. You should try to avoid having your risk be bigger than your reward, particularly if you are a beginner, but there is no particular ratio that works for all traders. The important thing is that you use a ratio that makes sense for your trading style and for market conditions!
I recommend to use 1:2 risk reward ratio.
Have a great day 📊
EDUCATION: DCA with Trader!What is DCA? How to use the price averaging strategy to increase profits
DCA or price averaging strategy can be an effective way to manage risk when investing in assets like stocks, cryptocurrencies… I will walk you through how it works and its pros and cons. for easy understanding.
When considering investment, if you have a large amount of money in hand ready to invest. DCA is a method that can be suitable for both experienced and new investors to reduce the risk of seeing how their investments decline in value.
What is DCA?
- DCA (price averaging strategy) is a method of breaking down capital to invest in a fixed and more frequent way over a long period of time.
- This is a smart investment strategy. However, you must not confuse it with the fact that you bottom out the price of an asset when it drops deep to buy at a good price.
- DCA is really good if you correctly predict the trend by analyzing the market. And of course, the price averaging strategy must involve technical analysis or specifically instrument indicators such as MA, MACD, Bollinger bands, Elliott waves, etc.
Bitcoin problem using DCA
Now do a math on Bitcoin investment for you to visualize.
Problem 1: Buy Bitcoin once with all assets
This is the case I think is mostly true for newcomers to the market. For example, you have 10000$ and buy it all with bitcoins for 8000$. You get 1.25 BTC.
Then Bitcoin achieves the gain/loss that you want to sell, then we will have a profit/loss table with the selling prices as follows:
- SELL at 6000$ = Take Profit -2000$
- SELL at 12000$ = Take Profit 2000$
- SELL at 14000$ = Take Profit 4000$
This is a basic math problem. The next step is to use the average price of your capital. Try it out and see how it turns out. Here, I will divide according to market developments so that you can consider it in the most comprehensive way.
Problem 2: DCA in a bear market
This is a problem that makes the DCA method really shine. Now, let's say the plan with the capital of 10000$ above will buy in batches. Divide the capital into 4 times, so use $ 2500 for each installment.
Proceed to buy bitcoin at 8000, 6000, 5000, 3000. So after 4 such purchases the number of Bitcoins you hold is 2.0625 BTC. After that BTC returns to the upside, you will calculate profit and loss at the prices if you sell as shown in the table below:
- SELL at 4000$ = Take Profit -1750$
- SELL at 10000$ = Take Profit 10625$
- SELL at 12000$ = Take Profit 14750$
Do you see that if the expectations are right, the profit will be huge. When bitcoin fell, you increased your holdings more than you could buy once. Investment capital increased as BTC price increased with a total profit of ~1.5 times when selling at $12000.
Problem 3: DCA in a sideways market
When the market moves sideways for a year, for example, the price moves in a narrow range. You can buy bitcoin in 4 batches at the prices 8000, 7500, 7000, 6000. With these buying prices you will buy 0.877976 BTC.
You can see it's similar to a one-time purchase with all capital, right?
The market can move sideways, up and down. But end up where they started in the long run. However, you will never be able to accurately predict where the market is headed.
If bitcoin had moved even lower, rather than higher, the price average would have allowed for even bigger profits. This is where you make sure you have long-term profits, not just immediate ones.
Problem 4: DCA in a rising market
In this last problem, also divide the capital of 10000$ into four installments for 5000, 6500, 7000, 8000. So after 4 purchases you have 1.55 BTC. When the price increases, you have the profit and loss in the following table:
- SELL at 4000$ = Take Profit -3800$
- SELL at 6000$ = Take Profit -700$
- SELL at 8000$ = Take Profit 2400$
This is a problem where DCA performs a bit poorly, at least in the short term. Bitcoin rallied higher and then continued higher. Therefore, price averaging does not help you maximize your profits. This one involves buying the whole thing in one go.
But unless you are making short term profits, this is a rare scenario in life. Bitcoin can evaporate, kkk. So, if you are investing for the long term, it is advisable to spread the capital in the trades. Even if that means you have to pay more at a certain price.
Is the price averaging strategy really good?
In general, the price averaging strategy offers three main benefits that can lead to better returns: Avoiding market fomo, avoiding market confusion, Long term investment thinking.
Because investors often fluctuate between fear and greed. They tend to make emotional trading decisions when the market reverses.
However, if you use DCA, you will buy when people are selling in fear (green quit, red watch, kkk).
Get a good price and set yourself up for a long profit. Markets tend to move up over time, and averaging prices can help you realize that a bear market is a great long-term opportunity. Instead of being afraid of things.
Limitations of the average DCA method
The first, perhaps the most discussed, is the modest profit. More frequent purchases increase transaction costs. However, with exchanges charging less transaction fees, this cost becomes more manageable.
Furthermore, if you are investing for the long term, the fees will become very small compared to your overall portfolio since you are buying for long term investment purposes. Binance is my top choice because of its diverse ecosystem and reasonable fee schedule.
Second, you can forego the profit you would have earned if you had invested in a one-time purchase and the property you purchased appreciates in value.
However, the success of trading largely depends on identifying the market correctly when predicting the short-term movement of an asset class. This is done by famous and good analysts.
What is the EMA? How to use EMA most effectively!What is EMA?
EMA or Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that is based on a weighted exponential formula that is more responsive to changes recent prices, compared to a simple moving average (SMA) that only applies equal weight to all periods, helping the EMA to smooth the price line more than the SMA.
What signals does the EMA provide to traders?
Moving averages offer a significant benefit by offering clear insight into price trends. In other words, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) cannot exceed or remain above the price line unless the price is increasing. Similarly, it cannot be below the price line if the price is not actually decreasing. This is crucial for traders as it provides a distinct and reliable indication of the price trend, avoiding any ambiguity. The trend is essential in helping traders identify entry points.
The EMA will become a dynamic resistance, because it moves in the direction of the price, which means where the price goes, the EMA will follow.
Become dynamic support and resistance levels (these resistance levels can be used to compare the trendline, support and static resistance lines). From here will look for entry points, stop loss and take profit points.
Identify price trends.
Which EMA should be used most appropriately?
EMA 9 or EMA 10: This number represents a two-week period of trading, making EMA9/EMA10 commonly used for short-term transactions.
EMA 34/EMA 89 are used to align with the primary waves as per the Elliott wave theory.
EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 200 are closely associated with trading sessions. Over the course of a year, we can typically trade for around 200 days, accounting for holidays and breaks. EMA50 represents the medium term, corresponding to the four seasons in a year, with each season having approximately 50 trading sessions. Similarly, EMA 20 represents the month.
Some traders also utilize the 250 EMA in addition to the 200 EMA, believing that 250 represents the number of trading days in a year.
EMA100 is a commonly chosen EMA due to its round number value. Round numbers are often seen as psychological barriers in trading.
Compare trendline with EMA:
As mentioned earlier, EMA is another way to identify trends, just like the trendline.
To better understand this concept, the trendline can be seen as a fixed resistance. Once you draw a trendline, it will act as a reference point for the price.
On the other hand, EMA is a dynamic resistance. It moves along with the price line. Unlike the trendline, EMA closely follows the price line because it is calculated based on the price itself. This makes EMA more accurate in showing the trend. It can clearly indicate whether the price is above or below the EMA.
Some notes with EMA:
- When the price surpasses or falls below the EMA, but then retreats below it again, it indicates a strong downtrend or uptrend.
- If the price strays too far from the EMA, it is advisable to wait for it to correct itself and return to the EMA before considering any trading actions.
- Fast EMAs or short period EMAs are more sensitive to price movements compared to slow EMAs, but they are also more prone to breakdowns. This can be advantageous as it allows for early trend identification compared to the SMA. However, the EMA is likely to experience more frequent short-term fluctuations compared to the corresponding SMA.
- EMAs act as dynamic resistance levels that consistently track the price line.
- The EMA is not primarily used for pinpointing exact tops or bottoms. Instead, it assists traders in aligning their trades with the prevailing trend.
- The EMA always has a delay, making the SMA more useful in sideways markets, while the EMA is more effective in clearly trending markets.
Thank you @TradingView !
The Trojan Horse of TradingThe Trojan Horse was a wooden horse used by the Greek army to enter the city of Troy and win the war. Although the inhabitants of the town had initially perceived the horse as a victory trophy, Greek fighters emerged from inside of it and destroyed the city.
"Yeah, that's a nice story. But how the heck is it related to trading?"
Let us clarify.
Trading is generally considered as one of the "easiest hardest" ways of making money. Upon learning about the limitless number of opportunities provided by the financial markets, newbies get excited and believe in the false promises offered by some "John Smith FX Trader" on Instagram that drives a purple Lamborghini and posts demo account profits. To be less cruel and offending, newcomers think they can become consistently profitable full-time investors/traders almost instantly.
Hence, we compare trading to the Trojan Horse that is full of "big sharks" such as institutional traders, hedge funds, market manipulating brokerage firms and so forth. In this case, retailers act as residents of the city of Troy and perceive the horse as a gift dedicated for the triumph.
Undoubtedly, as already stated, the world of trading presents a vast number of opportunities that one can benefit and make profits from. However, the drawbacks should not be discarded either.
Illustrated, we can find some of the hardships that are hiding behind the glamorous GUCCI bags, Shangri-La hotels, Michelin starred restaurants and Bentley sport-cars.
Price BreakoutsHello traders 📊
On this picture here you can see 3 types of breakouts. On the left side you can see breakout examples in an downtrend and on the right side, you can see examples in an uptrend.
Breakouts occur when price breaks a certain zone (support or resistance) and in many cases breakouts represent very important moment. This is usually good time to look for opportunity to trade.
First type of breakout is "strong breakout". They occur once the price breaks certain zone with a strong candle and continue to move without pullback.
Second type of breakout is "retest". Retests are very common and extremely useful. Some of the best trading opportunities are when retest occurs. This means that price went back to test previously broken zone and this is usually good place to buy or sell.
Third type of breakout is "fake-out". This is the worst scenario as price quickly goes back after a breakout. Traders usually enter after a breakout, but once fake-out occurs, traders lose as price goes back quickly to hit stop loss.
We can not know exactly when fake-out will occur, but the best way to protect your account from this is to wait for the candle to close and to avoid to trade when big news are about to release.
Have a great day!
Why do Patterns fail so often?To answer this question, let's try to take a classic Pattern as an example: the "Head and Shoulders" .
Typically Traders take short position (in this example) on neckline breakout and place stop loss above right shoulder or head.
If we only take these elements into consideration, it often happens that pattern fails.
Why does this happen? Because these elements are not enough and we need to use some "filter".
One of these filters, and perhaps the most important, is the "placement".
For example, the Head and Shoulders is considered a Reversal Pattern that should only appear at the end of a Trend, and this is where the "Elliott Waves" come into play. In fact Elliott claims that a Trend is formed of 5 waves (3 + 2) and often the first signal of the end of the trend is the first bearish leg after wave 5 (Wave A).
Another important filter could be RSI indicator because often some divergence also appears in wave (5).
In conclusion, the Patterns work very well on the market but you also need to learn how to use them correctly, trying to use some filters to get some more confirmation and limit losses as much as possible.
Naturally these considerations are personal and come only from my experience, but they are absolutely subjective and therefore open to criticism.
...I hope I was helpful.
To TA or not to TA: The Pros and Cons of Technical AnalysisTechnical analysis is one of the most popular trading strategies used by traders worldwide. It involves analyzing past market data, primarily price, market structure, and volume, to identify trends and forecast future price movements. While technical analysis has several benefits, it also has some drawbacks that traders must consider before incorporating it into their trading strategy. Today we will explore the benefits and drawbacks of using technical analysis in trading.
Benefits of Technical Analysis:
Identifying Trends: Technical analysis helps traders identify trends in the market, which is crucial for making profitable trades. There are several ways a trader can follow the trend of their desired asset using technical analysis. Be it moving averages, supertrends, or channels we really have many options.
Entry and Exit Points: Technical analysis helps traders determine the best entry and exit points for their trades. There are countless strategy options to utilize when considering the sheer number of indicators that exist. In our opinion finding a system that makes sense, is robust, and simple usually proves to be the most successful when proper discipline is used.
Risk Management: Proper technical analysis can help traders mitigate risk and protect their accounts. Stop losses are one method that we covered in a previous post. There are countless ways to set up stop losses using TA, but there are other techniques that can be used as well.
Hedging is a risk management strategy used to offset potential losses from adverse price movements in an asset. In trading, hedging involves opening a position in the opposite direction of an existing position. This position is usually in the same or a related asset to reduce the overall risk exposure. As an example, if a trader holds a long contract in a stock, they may hedge their position by opening a short contract in the same stock or a related asset such as an ETF or index. Technical analysis can be used to identify favorable conditions for hedging between assets. Hedging can help traders manage risk and protect profits, but it can also limit potential gains.
Confirmation of Fundamental Analysis: Technical analysis can confirm fundamental analysis by providing traders with an objective view of the market. For instance, if a trader believes that a company's stock is undervalued based on its financial statements, technical analysis can confirm this by showing that the stock is oversold.
Drawbacks of Technical Analysis:
Subjectivity: Technical analysis is subjective as different traders can interpret the same chart differently. This can lead to conflicting signals and confusion, especially for novice traders who aren’t as familiar with chart patterns. A prime example would be Bitcoin right now.
Or
False Signals: In technical analysis, false signals can be a significant issue in trading because they can lead to poor investment decisions and potential losses. For example, technical indicators may provide a false signal that a stock is oversold or overbought, causing a trader to make a trade that is not profitable. False signals can also occur due to market volatility or unexpected news events.
To reduce the risk of false signals, traders can use a variety of technical indicators and combine them with fundamental analysis to confirm trading decisions. Additionally, risk management strategies such as stop-loss orders can help limit potential losses from false signals.
Lagging Indicators: Technical analysis relies on lagging indicators, which means that traders are reacting to past price movements. This can result in missed opportunities, or poorly timed entries, especially in fast-moving markets. A very good example of a lagging indicator that is widely used is moving averages of any type.
Leading Indicators: There are some indicators that classify as leading indicators, but there are dangers to them with look-ahead bias. Look-ahead bias in indicators is a common issue in technical analysis. It occurs when historical data is used to construct an indicator that would not have been available at the time of the trade. This can lead to inaccurate signals, as the indicator may appear to predict future market movements, when in fact it is simply based on hindsight. An example of this would be the Ichimoku Cloud, specifically the cloud itself.
Over-use and Over-Reliance: This can mean a few things in trading. One of which is where traders will rely heavily on many indicators all at once. This can cause confusion as some indicators can have contrarian signals to one another.
Traders who rely solely on technical analysis may miss out on important fundamental factors that could affect the market. It is important to look at multiple objective vantage points of your desired asset. For instance, a sudden change in interest rates or economic policies could have a significant impact on the market, which technical analysis may not account for. In cryptocurrency
Conclusion:
In conclusion, technical analysis has several benefits, including identifying trends, entry and exit points, risk management, and confirmation of fundamental analysis. However, it also has drawbacks, including subjectivity, false signals, leading/lagging indicators, and over-reliance. Therefore, traders must use technical analysis in conjunction with other trading strategies, such as fundamental analysis, to make informed trading decisions. Being mindful of the pitfalls of common market analysis techniques can make you a better trader over time as you grasp a more comprehensive view of the market, and in turn, make more informed decisions when trading.
Stop Losses: A Trader's Best DefenseIn a perfect world, every trade would go our way, but alas this is usually not the case. A stop loss is a risk management tool used by traders and investors to minimize their losses when trading. It is a predetermined price level at which a trader's position will automatically exit the market, causing the loss to be realized. Stop losses are crucial to any trading strategy, as they help traders limit their losses and stay disciplined. In this blog, we will look at what stop losses are, why they are important, how to set realistic stop losses, and five different examples of stop losses with a description of how to set the stop loss.
What are Stop Losses?
A stop loss is an order to sell a security when it reaches a particular price. It is a predetermined price level at which a trader's position will automatically exit the market, causing the loss to be realized. This means that if the price of the security falls to the stop loss level, the trader's position is automatically closed, and any losses incurred are limited to that level. Stop losses are essential because they help traders limit their losses and stay disciplined.
Why are Stop Losses Important?
Stop losses are important because they help traders limit their losses and stay disciplined. In trading, it is easy to become emotional and let your losses run. Stop losses help traders avoid this situation by automatically exiting the market when the price reaches a predetermined level. This ensures that losses are limited, and traders can move on to the next trade without being emotionally affected by the previous loss.
Setting Realistic Stop Losses
Setting realistic stop losses is crucial to any trading strategy. A trader needs to consider the volatility of the security, the trading style, and the risk-reward ratio when setting stop losses. The stop loss should be set at a level where the loss is acceptable but not too close to the current price level, as this may result in the stop loss being triggered prematurely. A stop loss should also not be set too far away from the current price level, as this may result in the trader losing more than they are willing to risk.
Stop Loss Examples
Below we will list five examples of setting effective stop losses. For consistency, we are going to use the same long stop loss example, but these same examples can be set for stop losses for short positions as well.
Percentage-Based Stop Loss: A percentage-based stop loss is a stop loss that is set at a specific percentage below the purchase price. For example, if a trader wants to place a long at $0.088602 and sets a 0.5% stop loss, the stop loss would be triggered at $0.88160. For a short stop loss at 0.5%, you would add the value instead and have a 0.89035 stop loss. To set a percentage-based stop loss, the trader needs to determine the percentage they are willing to risk and place the stop loss order at that level.
ATR-Based Stop Loss: An ATR-based stop loss is a stop loss that is set based on the average true range of the security. The average true range is a measure of volatility and is calculated by taking the average of the high and low prices for a particular period. To set an ATR-based stop loss, the trader needs to determine the number of ATRs they are willing to risk and place the stop loss order at that level. For a long stop loss, you would subtract the ATR times its multiplier from the current price. For a short-stop loss, you would add the ATR times its multiplier to the current price. The unique upside to this stop-loss style is the ATR accounts for market volatility which can aid your risk management and help set more appropriate stop losses.
Using Moving Averages or Super Trend: Moving averages and super trend are technical indicators that can be used to set stop losses. Moving averages are calculated by taking the average price over a specific period, while the super trend is a trend-following indicator that uses the average true range to calculate the stop loss level. To set a stop loss using moving averages or super trend, the trader needs to identify the period and place the stop loss order at the appropriate level. The Moving Average or Supertrend can then act as a moving stop loss as it trails the price.
1. Moving Average:
2. SuperTrend:
Donchian Channels: Donchian channels are a technical indicator that can be used to set stop losses. Donchian channels are created by taking the highest high and lowest low over a specific period and plotting them on a chart. To set a stop loss using Donchian channels, the trader needs to identify the period and place the stop loss order at the appropriate level. In the example below we use a more standard 20-period Donchian level to identify areas of lowest low interest that would be a good place for a stop loss. If we were setting a short order we would look to recent highest highs as potential stop-loss areas
Conclusion
Stop losses are crucial to any trading strategy, as they help traders limit their losses and stay disciplined. When setting stop losses, traders need to consider the volatility of the security, the trading style, and the risk-reward ratio. Stop losses can be set using many different techniques, including percentage-based, ATR-based, using moving averages or super trend, and Donchian channels. By setting realistic stop losses, traders can minimize their losses and stay disciplined, which is essential for long-term success in trading.
Swing | Intraday | Scalp: pros and cons of three trading stylesAs we all know, the three most popular trading styles are the following: Swing trading, Day trading, and Scalping.
This educational post is concentrated on highlighting some of the pros and cons of all three techniques.
When it comes to Swing Trading (middle to long-term trading), some of the advantages are less screen time, less anxiety, less risk, and less candle noise. This style of trading is beneficial for those individuals that do not have enough time to sit in front of the charts and execute positions on a daily basis. However, some drawbacks should be mentioned as well. In order to be a swing trader, one needs to master the skill of remaining patient, disciplined and cold-blooded. Swing trades can run from one day up to a week, and hence, it is crucial to know how to sit on your hands and do nothing upon witnessing slow price action, indecision, drawdown and so forth.
Moving to intraday trading, no overnight and over-the-weekend risks can be associated with this style as executed positions are usually closed within a couple of hours when trading the H1 and lower-timeframe graphs. On the negative side, in order to make a living off day trading, a strong psychological temperament is needed along with a sufficient trading capital. If swing trading requires a minimum of a risk of 1-2% per trade, the number is lower for day trading. Hence, a bigger input (capital) is required in order to be able to make decent returns.
Last but not least: Scalping. The fans of this style of trading usually dedicate their focus on timeframes as low as the M5 and M1. Aiming towards capturing 5-10 pip movements, scalpers use smaller lot sizes in comparison to swing and day traders. Nevertheless, this trading style comprises of drawbacks such as indecision and a high degree of emotional state. Since the main purpose of scalping is capturing small price movements identified on lower-timeframe graphics, the noise and confusion is relatively high.
While all trading strategies have their own benefits and drawbacks, choosing a trading style that suits your goals and interests the most is highly linked with your personality. If you are a patient and, at the same time, a busy person, swing trading might be the best option for you. On the other hand, if you have enough time and patience to sit in front of the charts and execute trades on a daily and hourly bases, then either day trading or scalping might be the best variants to opt for.
Either way, it all narrows down to patience, long-term vision, discipline, persistence, and risk management. Choose one or two securities that you like trading the most, do not get discouraged while experiencing losses and moments of hardship, remain cold blooded and long-run oriented.
Investroy
Double Top/Bottom Pattern #️⃣OKXIDEAS!!!👨🏫Hello, everyone!👋 (Reading time less than 7 minutes⏰) .
There are many opportunities in the market that traders can get at every single moment. Some like to step up little by little, and some like to climb the mountain as soon as possible. The financial market, such as crypto and forex, is the same. That’s why some patterns represent the consequence of being an overnight millionaire.
In this article, I will discuss two resembling patterns and talk about how to trade with them.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Double Top Pattern:
Double Top Pattern is the name of a classic pattern that can bring lots of money for the ones who use it to trade in different financial markets, such as cryptocurrency and forex.
It’s noted that this pattern is used in two-sided markets, and stock traders cannot use Double Top Pattern to enter but to exit.
Double Top Pattern is one of the most common technical patterns that can be used to identify an asset's roof on the chart.
Stay with me to learn how this pattern is drawn on the chart and how you can get dollars out of it in very simple words.
As the name suggests, Double Top represents the highest point of an asset in the area, which is known as a sensitive resistance zone.
Reversal patterns are one of the most important chart patterns. So is Double Top, which occurs at the end of an upward trend. That means Double Top is a bearish reversal pattern.
As the name shows, this pattern forms from two consecutive rounding tops according to the standard.
Here you can see what the Double Top Pattern looks like:
In an uptrend, the price breaks through resistance levels one by one, as it rises.
When the price reaches a vital resistance level stronger than the last support level, that resistance pushes the price down, and it breaks through the support level.
Buyers know that the uptrend has ended, and the price will enter a bearish channel.
The shape of this pattern is like the letter ‘M,’ which has caused many traders to name it the ‘ M pattern ,’ but I call it ‘ Double Top ’ or ‘ Twin Top .’
Here are some tips you have to know to reduce the mistakes you’ll probably face on the path:
Double Top can be used in any time frame.
In Double Top Pattern, the peaks are not exactly the same size or at the same price. You are about to ignore any slight differences between them.
The distance from the neckline to the top should be 20 to 25%(often) of the size of the upward trend; otherwise, it’s not considered a reversal pattern.
As you see in the picture, the price goes up for a while when the buyers struggle to push it up, but it cannot pass the neckline, so it’s rejected. This neckline touch is called “the last kiss,” which is one of the best short-entry positions. I recommend that a trader considers pullbacks as confirmations.
But on the other hand, you’ll lose some profits because not all the time pullbacks are completed. So, stay with me to tell you how to trade using the Double Top Patten.
How to trade on Double Top Pattern
There are some general methods that you can trade on Double Top Pattern; here you go:
1. Breaking neckline
The first strategy to trade using the Double Top Pattern is to take a short position when the neckline is correctly broken.
2. The price retracement to the neckline (pullback/last kiss)
The second useful strategy is to wait for the price to pull back to the neckline and then open a short position. It’s noted that the neckline is now considered a resistance line.
3. Combination of the first and second methods
To enter the short position transaction using the double top pattern, you can use a combination of the first and second methods. You can divide the amount of volume that you want to enter into a short position into equal amounts or amounts that are consistent with your capital management. Your first entry point can be when the price breaks the neckline in a valid way (better a bearish marubozu candle) / the second entry point can be when the price pulls back to the neckline / there is even a third point, a little below the level the valley where pullback began to form.
You can use a combination of the entry points I mentioned to enter a short position.
Does The Double Top Pattern Fail?
To tell the truth, all patterns have the possibility to fail, and Double Top is no exception.
Indeed, it’s no big deal, dude. A trader always finds a way to make enough profits.
As I mentioned, the Double Top Pattern is a reversal. When the price goes above the top, the pattern fails and is unsuitable for trading.
In this case, a buy signal can be considered. When the price passes the Double Top and goes up, a neckline is formed at the top, the line that connects the two tops on the above chart.
The entry point is when the price returns to this upper neckline. The stop-loss will be below the last bottom, and the take-profit point will be as long as the distance from the upper neckline to the last bottom.
Here is a secret I’ll tell you. Usually, after the failure of these reversal patterns, the upward trend continues with more strength, and you can make profits faster.
As I said earlier, during an uptrend, the price reaches its resistance zone, but it’s unable to pass it. Here the uptrend stops and finally it starts to go down in the opposite direction.
Now the buyers are pushing the price up to retest the resistance level, which is a hard shield to cross, and sellers are the winners in pushing the price to go down for the second time. This movement makes a pattern called “Double Top.”
But the point is that the Double Top pattern can appear in four different types.
Bearish reversal Adam and Eve Patterns; in descending order of power and efficiency:
1st.Eve & Eve Double Top (EEDT)
2nd.Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT)
3rd.Adam & Eve Double Top (AEDT)
4th.Eve & Adam Double Top (EADT)
Eve & Eve Double Top (EEDT)
Let’s see what the Eve-Eve pattern looks like. As you can guess, Eve-Eve consists of two round peaks. That is, both tops are similar to the upside-down letter U.
Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT)
In this type of pattern, you can see mountain-like price tops. That means the tops are similar to the upside-down of the letter V. In this type, one or two candles hit the resistance level.
Adam & Eve Double Top (AEDT)
In the case of Adam-Eve, the tip of the first top is sharp, and the second top is round and wide, which has a shape like an upside-down U.
Eve & Adam Double Top (EADT)
In this status, the first top is round, and the second top is pointed. Eve-Adam Double Top Pattern is exactly the opposite of the Adam-Eve one.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Double Bottom Pattern:
Reversal patterns are in the tops and bottoms. The Double Bottom Pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that forms at the end of a downtrend, and it looks like the letter “ W ” in English. So it’s a good place to get a long position.
Unlike the Double Top pattern, buyers take control of the market so that when the price hits the support zone, it is pushed up again.
This pattern is one the best patterns for stock market traders with daily and long-term trades.
Double Bottom can be used in any time frame.
In two-sided markets, after engulfing the neckline, the potency of buyers increases, and more buyers enter the market.
Trading volume increases after breaking the neckline, so the price gradient steepens.
Here you can see an image of the Double Bottom Pattern:
How to trade on Double Bottom Pattern
After the price breaks the neckline, entering a long position can be profitable. But the confirmation is really important to be seen. The bullish Marubozu candle is one useful candle for pattern confirmation. Dojis and short candles are not that strong to convince confirmation. So you are about to face a fake break which leads the price to fall more.
Follow the steps below to make profits:
Entry points are like a double-top pattern.
Stop-loss is below the bottom.
Take-profit point is the distance from the neckline to the bottom.
Failed Double Bottom Pattern
Never forget that the patterns can be failed in the market due to the news and fundamental source. A professional trader is always looking for a valid confirmation.
When the price falls below two bottoms, the pattern fails. But you can earn money with the failed pattern too.
When the price passes the bottoms and goes down, a neckline forms under the pattern. This line connects the two bottoms.
Here I go with the failed Double Bottom Pattern:
The entry point is when the price returns to the neckline.
The stop-loss will be above the last top.
The take-profit point will be the distance from the bottom neckline to the last top.
Here is a picture of what a Failed Double Bottom Pattern looks like.
Classical patterns are in different shapes that directly affect their performance. Various types of Double Bottom Patterns are made with the Adam and Eve patterns.
These types of Double Bottom patterns are as follows:(in descending order of power and efficiency)
1st. Eve & Eve Double Bottom (EEDB)
2nd. Adam & Eve Double Bottom (AEDB)
3rd. Eve & Adam Double Bottom (EADB)
4th. Adam & Adam Double Bottom (AADB)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
🔔 Conclusion
Reversal patterns such as Double Top/Bottom can be really profitable, but the essential thing is to follow your strategy and capital management. I also suggest that you follow these educational series posts to get all you need about trading.
Unpopular trading advice: fall in LOVE with one pair ONLYIn a world where you can love anyone and anything your heart desires, fall in love with ONE currency pair ONLY.
The notion of "the more pairs I trade, the more money I will make" is false. If you wanna be a consistently profitable trader, it is more beneficial to focus on a small selection of securities and master them, and there is a concrete reason for that. Concentrating on one or two currency pairs instead of trading every single major, minor, and exotic pair will be more efficient, less confusing, and more profitable. When you study every single movement of any given pair, you get more experienced at trading it and you make more rational decisions and analyses.
Looking at the chart illustration, we might observe the trading log of all transactions we executed in April and May so far. With 8 trade entries and all of them being EUR/GBP, a total return of +9.6% has been generated constituting an approximate win rate percentage of 70%. Obviously, not every trade resulted in being profitable as we encountered 2 losses and a breakeven closure. Nevertheless, as we always indicate, trading is a game of big numbers and probabilities. Instead of trading 10 securities, we have only been focusing on one single currency pair recently.
One crucial thing that needs to be noted is the following: not always will the one specific currency pair of your choice provide you with clear swing opportunities as the example of EUR/GBP portrayed on the graph. Periods of long and dull consolidations, indecisions, and some other moments will take place and make a derivative unlikeable and less efficient to trade for a period of time.
Therefore, always have one or two other trades on the radar to eventually monitor and analyse along with the currency pair of your preference.
Love will save the world.
Investroy.
"Tag, You're It: Understanding Forex Correlations in Simple TermForex correlation is like a game of tag. You know how when you're playing tag with your friends, you all run in different directions and some of you end up running together while others run in opposite directions? Well, in forex trading, currency pairs are like friends running around in different directions.
Sometimes, two currency pairs move in the same direction, like when you and your friend are both running towards the same goal. This is called a positive correlation. Other times, two currency pairs move in opposite directions, like when you and your friend are running in opposite directions. This is called a negative correlation.
Just like how you can tag your friend to switch positions, forex traders can use correlations to help them trade better. If two currency pairs have a positive correlation, a trader might buy one currency pair and sell the other, hoping to make a profit when both pairs go up. If two currency pairs have a negative correlation, a trader might buy one and sell the other to manage their risk.
Remember, just like in tag, the way currency pairs move around can change depending on what's going on. So traders need to keep an eye on the news and be ready to change their strategies if needed.
🚩Symmetrical Triangle🚩 #️⃣OKXIDEAS !!!👨🏫Hello, everyone!👋 (Reading time less than 7 minutes⏰).
I’m here with another educational post to help you learners become super traders gradually.
🔅 As you know, various tools are usually used in any financial market to analyze all types of stocks, cryptocurrencies, and assets. Chart patterns are one of the essential tools used in technical analysis, and analysts evaluate the market movement and prepare to trade based on technical-fundamental studies.
🔅 The Symmetrical Triangle is one of the most used classic continuous patterns in the field, but it can sometimes turn into reversal patterns, as some analysts say.
🔷 So I’ll explain the following in this article:
Defining the triangle pattern
Getting to know the structure of a Symmetrical Triangle
Types of Symmetrical Triangles
How to trade using the Symmetrical Triangle pattern
Price target after Symmetrical Triangle pattern
The importance of trading volume in the Symmetrical Triangle pattern
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Triangle Pattern:
🔅The triangle pattern is one of the most well-known patterns many traders spend time on. A triangle is a trend continuation pattern that can occur in upward or downward trends. This triangle pattern is formed when a stock, cryptocurrency, or whatever shrinks towards an uptrend or downtrend.
The pattern represents a pause in the price trend, and the price consolidates in a range.
🔅 The triangle pattern consists of two converging lines with different slopes depending on the type. At least four major pivots are needed in the specific time frame to form a triangle pattern.
Basically, to form a triangle, 45 to 60 candles are needed in the specific time frame.
🔅 The take-profit of this pattern is considered the distance from the first top to the first bottom inside the triangle.
🔷 According to research, 84% agree that the triangle pattern is a continuation pattern that is divided into three types as follows:
Symmetrical triangle
Ascending Triangle
Descending Triangle
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
One of the types of triangles that can lead you to money is Symmetrical Triangle which I’ll explain here:
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in Upward Trends:
Take a look at the picture below. You can see the price forms tops and bottoms after an upward trend and then forms lower tops and higher bottoms.
🔅 Now try to draw a resistance line at the top and a support line at the bottom. What do you see? Yeah! That’s a triangle. These two lines will make a tip called the triangle's apex. If the four pivots(at least), two tops and two bottoms, are connected with a line, you can say a Symmetrical Triangle pattern in an upward trend has occurred.
🔅 It’s noted that if the price breaks the support trend line and drops, you’ll see this as a reversal pattern or a Symmetrical Triangle in the downward trend. Not always; a Symmetrical Triangle is a continuous pattern. So Watch out!
Here’s a picture of a reversal Symmetrical Triangle and how to trade while it is considered a reversal.
How to trade on the Symmetrical Triangle in an upward trend:
1-After the pattern completes, you must wait for the pattern to give us the entry confirmation(the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle).
2-Try to open a long position when the real breakout happens. That can make a good profit. The real breakout occurs when a green candle like the Marubozu candle closes above the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle or the resistance line.
3-Don’t forget to put a stop-loss. That will be below the breakout candle or below the prior candle’s bottom.
The distance between the first top and the first bottom in the triangle would be one of high risk-to-reward ratio take-profit points.
The other way to take the profit is to draw a line from the first top facing the support trend line along.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in Downward Trends
🔅 Another trend that a Symmetrical Triangle can move is downward trend when the price continues downward after forming the pattern.
🔅 Luckily, one of the best tools that can help you earn lots of money is the Symmetrical Triangle because it supports two-sided markets. But the question is how this type of triangle forms. Stay with me.
🔅 Imagine you’re walking through the bushes for a long time, then you’ll get tired, and you don’t feel energetic in your feet to move on. So do buyers and sellers in the financial markets.
🔅 When the price of an asset enters a converging trend of lower tops and higher bottoms, buyers and sellers test how strong the trend is. The buyers make bottoms at a higher price as sellers prevent the creation of a higher top.
🔅 In this case, the sellers are mostly winners, so better to be a seller rather than a buyer. Like the pattern I already discussed, the Symmetrical Triangle pattern in a downward trend needs at least four significant pivots to be confirmed.
🔅 There's also a possibility of breaking the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle on the top after the Symmetrical Triangle pattern formation. The reversal pattern has occurred in this case, and the long position is considered a plan.
How to trade on the Symmetrical Triangle in a downward trend:
1-You have to wait for the candles to break the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle. But the only key point is that if the breakout is valid. So if the breakout candle closes below the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle, it’s time to open a short position.
2-The stop-loss will be above the last top. Therefore, in case of opening a short position on an asset, you can also place your stop-loss above the breakout candle for a higher risk-to-reward ratio.
3-The price targets will be 1) the distance between the first bottom and the first top, or 2) you can draw a line from the first bottom facing the resistance line.
🔷 Below, you can see a Symmetrical Triangle in a downward trend and how you can trade with it.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Importance of Trading Volume in the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
🔅 The asset chart is in correction as long as the price chart is inside the Symmetrical Triangle pattern.
🔅 The trading volume in the pattern process will be neutral as most traders are waiting for the follow-up movement of the asset.
🔅 The closer the chart gets to the apex of the triangle to depart from the pattern, the range of fluctuations and the trading volume become less and less.
🔅 The importance of trading volume in the Symmetrical Triangle pattern can be seen near the exit from the pattern.
🔅 If the previous trend of the chart was bullish, it is likely that the trading volume will increase dramatically if the pattern is broken.
🔅 Also, the trading volume will decrease near the triangle's apex, but it increases instantly after breaking out, whether it is an upward or downward trend.
🔅 For this purpose, examining the trading volume in different areas of the pattern can greatly help us better understand the trend and predict the future of the asset.
🔅 In a way, you always have to wait for the chart to go out of the pattern, and by checking the direction of the trend and trading volume, you can make a better decision about buying or selling your currencies.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Symmetrical Triangle in Elliott Theory
The Symmetrical Triangle called the “Contracting Triangle,” is a basic pattern in Elliott Waves. Elliott triangles can be considered one of the stable consolidation patterns in the market, which can be divided into five waves. To return, each of these five waves carries three sub-waves.
The waves of the triangle are named A, B, C, D, and E.
The Symmetrical Triangle can often be seen as a continuation pattern that creates a pause in the trend and then resumes.
In this pattern, wave A, which is the biggest wave in the pattern, can be a zigzag, double zigzag, triple zigzag, or a flat pattern, and wave B can only be a zigzag, double zigzag, or triple zigzag.
Waves D and C can also move in their pattern by a zigzag pattern, and finally, an E wave is formed, which can be a zigzag, double zigzag, triple zigzag, and sometimes a triangle.
In a Symmetrical Triangle, waves B, C, and D often cover 61.8% of the previous wave.
Finally, by drawing this pattern's up-and-down trend lines, the lines get close to each other and cannot be parallel.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Conclusion:
🔔 In this article, you learned about the Symmetrical Triangle and how to trade using the pattern. You now know where to enter and exit the market to make a suitable profit. Don’t forget to follow your capital management to lower the trading risks.
What is the Power in Buy and Sell WallsHello, dear @TradingView community! Welcome to another insightful educational topic focused on Buy and Sell Walls in the world of cryptocurrencies!
Understanding buy and sell walls is critical for any trader or investor in the cryptocurrency market. It provides access to the order book and valuable insights into the market sentiment of specific cryptocurrencies. This understanding can help forecast future price movements and develop more effective trading strategies.
In this article, we will delve into the concept of walls in crypto, explore how to identify and interpret buy and sell walls, and discuss their significance in the market.
What is a Wall in Crypto?
Understanding Buy Walls
Understanding Sell Walls
How to Identify Buy and Sell Walls
How to Interpret Buy and Sell Walls
What is a Wall in Crypto?
A wall refers to a large limit order placed on a cryptocurrency trading platform, often depicted as a huge block on the order book. Market makers, institutional investors, as well as individual traders, utilize these large limit orders to buy or sell substantial quantities of a specific cryptocurrency at a predetermined price.
Walls tend to have a significant market impact since they can influence the supply and demand levels of a specific cryptocurrency. These large limit orders, representing a considerable quantity of a cryptocurrency bought or sold at a specific price, have the potential to cause significant price fluctuations.
Understanding Buy Walls
Buy walls are substantial limit orders placed to purchase a specific amount of a cryptocurrency at a particular price or higher. They can be formed by large market makers, institutional investors, or individual traders seeking to buy a significant amount of a cryptocurrency at a specific price or lower. Buy walls can serve to profit from price movements or accumulate a large quantity of a cryptocurrency at a lower price.
A buy wall indicates strong demand for a specific cryptocurrency at a certain price or higher, which can be seen as a positive sign for the market. It suggests that buyers are willing to pay the specified price or more, potentially leading to a price increase.
Additionally, a buy wall may indicate that a large market maker or institutional investor has faith in the future price of a coin or a token. By investing a substantial sum, they express confidence that the cryptocurrency's price will rise in the future.
Traders can utilize the presence of a buy wall to gauge market sentiment and identify potential buying opportunities. Buy walls can also serve as support levels and act as stop-loss points.
Understanding Sell Walls
Sell walls, on the other hand, consist of large limit orders placed to sell a specific amount of a cryptocurrency at a particular price or lower. Similar to buy walls, sell walls can be formed by market makers, institutional investors, or individual traders looking to sell a substantial amount of a cryptocurrency at a specific price or higher. These limit orders are utilized to profit from price movements or liquidate a large quantity of a cryptocurrency at a higher price.
A sell wall indicates a strong supply of a specific cryptocurrency at a particular price or lower, which could suggest overvaluation. It signifies that sellers are willing to sell at the specified price or lower, potentially leading to a price decrease.
Furthermore, a sell wall can indicate that a large market maker or institutional investor holds a bearish outlook on the future price of a cryptocurrency. By selling a significant sum, they imply their belief that the cryptocurrency's price will fall in the future.
Traders can leverage the presence of a sell wall to assess market sentiment and identify potential selling opportunities. Sell walls can also act as resistance levels for a cryptocurrency and serve as target price points for profit-taking.
How to Identify Buy and Sell Walls
Buy and sell walls can typically be found in the depth chart of order book on a cryptocurrency trading platform. They are often represented as conspicuous, large blocks, easily identifiable by traders. While some trading platforms provide graphical representations of the order book, this feature is not available on all platforms.
When identifying buy and sell walls, it's crucial to consider the context surrounding them, including current market conditions and the specific cryptocurrency being traded. Market conditions can change rapidly, so staying updated and understanding the current market environment is essential for making informed decisions.
It's worth noting that larger buy or sell walls tend to have a greater impact on the market compared to smaller ones. A large wall could indicate the involvement of a significant market maker or institutional investor, which can potentially influence the price of a specific cryptocurrency more significantly.
How to Interpret Buy and Sell Walls
By examining both buy and sell walls, traders can gain insights into the supply and demand levels for a specific cryptocurrency. A large buy wall suggests strong demand, while a large sell wall indicates substantial supply. When used together, these walls provide a comprehensive view of market sentiment and the supply-demand dynamics of a cryptocurrency.
Combining buy and sell walls can also help identify potential buying or selling opportunities. For example, if there is a significant sell wall and a large buy wall at the same price level, it may indicate a state of equilibrium in the market, presenting an opportunity for traders to enter or exit positions.
The presence of a buy wall typically indicates a bullish sentiment, while a sell wall suggests a bearish sentiment. A market with more buy walls than sell walls tends to exhibit bullish market sentiment, while a market with more sell walls than buy walls suggests a bearish sentiment.
It's important to note that the absence of buy or sell walls may indicate a lack of market activity or market uncertainty. It can also imply a period of consolidation or a lack of liquidity, which can impact trading conditions and market volatility.
Buy and sell walls can serve as potential entry and exit points for trades as well. A buy wall at a specific price can be seen as an opportunity to enter a long position, while a sell wall at a particular price may indicate a suitable exit point for a short position.
Conclusion
Buy and sell walls represent significant limit orders placed on cryptocurrency trading platforms, offering insights into the supply and demand levels for a specific cryptocurrency. They are used by market makers, institutional investors, and individual traders to profit from price movements or accumulate/liquidate substantial amounts of a cryptocurrency.
Understanding buy and sell walls is instrumental in making informed buying and selling decisions, as they display supply and demand levels and provide insights into market sentiment, which can serve as a reliable predictor of market trends.
Analysing the impact of buy and sell walls on the market can help traders develop effective trading strategies, identify potential opportunities, determine entry and exit points, and assess market sentiment accurately.
By mastering the concept of buy and sell walls, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the cryptocurrency market with greater precision and confidence.
We put a lot of effort into researching and writing this piece, and we would love to hear your thoughts and feedback.
Have you found the information in the article helpful and informative? Did it provide you with valuable insights into understanding market sentiment and trading strategies? Is there anything you would like to expand upon or clarify further?
Your feedback is greatly appreciated and will help us improve future articles. Thank you in advance for taking the time to read and share your thoughts.
Happy trading!
@Vestinda
The Breakout Trading Strategy of Trendlines | OKXIDEAS
Hello traders,
In this post i am just showing you a very simple and easy trading strategy especially for beginners, in this strategy i am just using two basic things trendlines and 50 simple moving average which is you can also see in the charts above.
What you will be doing in this strategy just simply go to the 1hr timeframe see the clear trend draw the trendline wait for the breakout when breakout happen now wait for price to retest or just place a buy limit or sell limit order.
I hope you like the strategy this is the trendlines breakout trading strategy.
The one good thing about this strategy is the risk to reward ratio because in this strategy you will have potential to have around 1/3 risk to reward ratio so this means if you placed 10 trades and you lose 7 trades out of 10 and you just won 3 trades out of 10, you will be still profitable so meanwhile you just need to have a 30% wining ratio to be profitable in a long run.
I just advise you that try the strategy open the chart and back-test your chart and trade it on demo live market condition at least for one month and see the results ask the question to yourself can you be profitable? if the answer is yes so probably you know that what to do next but if the answer is no then look it your one month data that you have, make sure to journal your one month data record and try to analyze what mistakes you do what wining ratio you have can you have a little deference to between 30% see your taken trades you will be seeing some bad trades and you don't wanted to trade next time avoid those trades in the next month and just repeat the process be patient one day you will be consistently profitable but if not then don't lose the hope and just try again again and again learn from your mistakes come back and don't do that mistakes again, remember every strategy is good if you practice and managed it.
Just find the strategy that you suit and start the process.
I hope you liked the post, i wish you good luck and good trading.
Practical Insights into the Risk ManagementHey there, amazing @TradingView community! It's @Vestinda, and we're on a mission to deliver content that truly makes a difference.
👉 To become a successful crypto trader, it's essential to have a solid understanding of trade and risk management concepts, such as stop losses, position sizing, and scaling. In this article, we'll explore these key concepts in-depth to help you minimize your risks and maximize your gains in the cryptocurrency market.
Four Risk Management Concepts Every Crypto Trader Should Understand
To effectively manage the risk associated with trading, it is essential to first develop a comprehensive trade management and risk management strategy. Before committing your capital to any position, it's critical to have a clear plan in place to minimize potential losses and optimize your overall trading performance.
Successful market speculation requires effective risk management to preserve capital, which is the primary objective. By minimizing losses and maximizing gains through a comprehensive trade and risk management strategy, traders can achieve long-term success in the market.
One of the key strategies employed by the most successful traders is to minimize their losses while allowing their profitable trades to run. This approach is essential for avoiding disastrous scenarios, such as allowing profitable trades to turn into losers or allowing a single bad trade to wipe out an entire account. By focusing on risk management and trade management, traders can increase their chances of success and protect their capital over the long term.
It's true that implementing the "cut losses quickly and let profitable trades ride" strategy can be challenging, especially for discretionary traders who need to constantly evaluate changes in fundamentals and market sentiment against price movements. However, there are trade and risk management ("TRM") tools and methods available that can help simplify this process.
While these tools and methods may seem complex at first, they are quite accessible and easy to learn. With the right TRM strategies in place, traders can effectively manage risk and optimize their performance in any market condition.
Before diving into trading, it's crucial to understand four key concepts in trade and risk management:
Stop losses: Stop losses are predetermined exit points designed to limit potential losses on a trade. By setting a stop loss, traders can automatically close a position if the market moves against them beyond a certain point, minimizing their losses.
Traders may use price action signals, technical indicator signals, fundamental analysis, or a combination of all three to determine the appropriate level for a stop-loss order. This helps to limit potential losses on trade and is a crucial component of effective risk management.
Position sizing: Position sizing refers to the amount of capital allocated to a specific trade. By properly sizing positions based on risk tolerance and market conditions, traders can optimize their overall risk management strategy and minimize the impact of potential losses.
Position sizing refers to the process of determining the quantity of cryptocurrency to long or short based on the maximum amount of value a trader is willing to lose if the trade fails, also known as "max risk." For novice traders, it is recommended that the maximum risk should not exceed 1-2% of their portfolio for short-term transactions and 5% for longer-term positions.
For example, if a trader has a cryptocurrency account with $ 1,000 and wishes to purchase a token with a market price of $ 10.0 per token, they would need to determine the appropriate position size to maintain their desired level of risk. If their analysis indicates that they should place a stop loss at $ 5.0 per token to limit their maximum risk to 2% of their account, or $ 20.0, then the appropriate position size would be 4 units (40$ position size). This way, if the token's value drops by $ 5.0, the resulting loss of $ 20.0 would equal 2% of the trader's account.
Scaling: Scaling involves adjusting position sizes based on the performance of a trade or the overall market conditions. By scaling into or out of positions based on market conditions, traders can adjust their risk exposure and optimize their potential for gains while minimizing potential losses.
Scaling refers to the practice of dividing entries and exits into two or more orders around a trader's intended entry/exit area to reduce the likelihood of setting an entry too low or too high. This is particularly important because it is nearly impossible to predict the exact price or time at which the market's direction or volatility levels will change.
For example, if a trader intends to buy a token for $ 10.0 but their analysis indicates that it may drop as low as $ 8.0 before sentiment entirely flips bullish, they should consider dividing their entry/exit orders into multiple price levels. This way, they can enter the trade with a partial position if the token's price does not drop below $10.0, but if it drops to $ 8.0, they can scale into a lower average price of $ 8.75.
By using scaling and position sizing in conjunction with a maximum stop loss level, traders can effectively manage their risk and reduce the likelihood of incurring significant losses. While these concepts are relatively simple, understanding and applying them correctly can help traders avoid significant risks in the cryptocurrency market.
Leverage: Trading with leverage involves taking positions that exceed the account's total capital, which can be done through crypto exchanges (CEXs) offering margin trading or some DeFi protocols providing advanced borrowing mechanisms.
For instance, assume you have $ 100 in your account, and you want to purchase 1 unit of XYZ token worth $ 100, creating an open position valued at $ 100. Margin trading offered by a CEX may only require a 10% margin, meaning you only need to invest $ 10 instead of the entire $ 100. You can then utilize the remaining $ 90 to open additional positions, which can be tempting for many traders.
With a 10% margin requirement and a $ 100 account, you can open a position size of 10 XYZ tokens, having a notional value of $ 1000 ($ 100 x 10 units), with the CEX holding the $ 100 in your account as a margin for the trades.
This would make you leveraged 10x, which is considered an extremely high amount of leverage. If the token increases in value by 10% in a short period, the position value would grow from $ 1000 to $ 1100, which means you could double your account value from $ 100 to $ 200 (i.e., $ 100 profit + $ 100 margin). Alternatively, if the token rises by 20% to $ 1200, you would triple your account to $ 300 in value.
Although the potential for high profits may sound exciting, it is crucial to remember the risks associated with trading with leverage, and it is advisable to exercise caution and not get carried away by the prospect of quick and easy gains.
Many traders are lured by the potential profits of leveraged trading, but it's important to remember that leverage can be just as dangerous as it is rewarding. If a trader opens a position with 10x leverage and the position loses just 5%, that would be a loss of $ 50, which is 50% of their $ 100 account.
Additionally, if the position were to lose 10%, resulting in a $ 100 loss, the trader would receive a margin call and would need to deposit more money to keep their trades open.
If they are unable to do so, the CEX will close all positions, also known as being "liquidated". The CEX will use the margin that the trader had provided to cover the $ 100 loss, which means that the trader's account balance would be reduced to $ 0. It's essential to be aware of the risks of leveraged trading, as you could potentially lose everything you've invested.
It's important to remember that leverage in crypto trading is a double-edged sword that can either grow your account or quickly deplete it. While it's possible to make significant profits with leverage, it's equally possible to suffer substantial losses.
As a new trader, it's important to acknowledge that trading with leverage requires expertise and a sound risk management strategy, which can be challenging to implement successfully.
Therefore, it's wise to approach leverage with caution and focus on developing your skills and knowledge before considering this tool.
Here are some recommendations that can help you navigate the exciting but risky world of crypto trading:
First, it's important to be conservative with your risk-taking and to only invest in your very best trade ideas. Limiting your total exposure to the crypto sector to a small percentage of your total liquid capital, starting at 1%, is a good way to minimize your risk.
You should also limit your exposure to a specific crypto asset to a small percentage of your total crypto portfolio, with a 1% to 2% max risk on short-term trades and a max of 5% risk on longer-term positions. Using a stop loss with every position is also crucial to limit potential losses.
Remember, perfect timing is near impossible, so consider scaling into trading positions or "dollar cost averaging" into longer-term investments. Take profits along the way if a trade goes your way. And most importantly, avoid using leverage, which can be a double-edged sword and lead to substantial losses.
Lastly, only invest your capital in your very best ideas, which should be low-risk/high-reward setups on high-probability ideas. Don't force trades when there are no compelling opportunities, and remember that "no position" is a perfectly fine position when you don't see any good opportunities.
Calling all traders! Are you ready to take your skills to the next level?
Join our community of like-minded traders and stay up to date with the latest market trends and insights. Hit that follow button and show your support by giving this article a big thumbs up.
Together, we'll navigate the markets with ease and achieve financial success. Don't miss out on this opportunity to grow and learn with us. Let's do this!
Trader ⚔️VS⚔️ Analyst !!!(Differences)Hi, everyone👋.
Do you like surfing or guiding surfers?
In this article, I will talk about how analysis differs from trading. A good analyst is not necessarily a good trader📉. Do you know what the point is❗️❓
The point is that analysts talk about all aspects, so they always tell the truth and explain what really happens on the market, but the traders ride the waves. Financial markets include high and low waves, so if a trader makes a mistake in measuring its depth, speed, and height may drown in the sea. If you are a trader, don’t be proud of yourself because the financial market sea is very cruel or a beast.
—------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There are four trading keys in financial markets:
Trading Strategy
Capital Management
Market Psychology
Trader Psychology
These keys are like four legs of a chair🪑 which should be sat on carefully and calmly. Although by removing one of the legs, it’s possible to sit on the chair, safety has to be considered.
I’ll explain all the trading keys in the market in other posts later, but for now, let me dig into the differences between Analysis📈 and Trading💰 .
What is considered in the analysis are the price targets in both rising🟢 and falling🔴 markets, the probability of its occurrence and non-occurrence, and the necessary conditions for both.
Considering the subtlety of an analyst's words and the mentality of the people studying - who are mainly looking for confirmation of their position - generally, the analyst will always be right unless he has declared only one direction decisively, which is not an analysis, but a signal and prediction.
Declaring an upward↗️ or downward↘️ trend in only one direction is not an analysis but a prediction. It’s noted that any prediction can be wrong. But in the comprehensive analysis of both sides, the necessary conditions for their occurrence and their probability are stated, so whatever happens, the analyst is right, and you will hear the famous saying "as predicted."
🔷 A successful trader can take the following steps:
Comprehensive analysis of the market situation in which he wants to trade:
The technical analysis must be prepared before opening a trade position. A wrong analysis does not always lead to a wrong trade, and vice versa, a correct analysis does not lead to a correct trade because you have to see whether the position trigger is activated or not.
Find useful trading strategies to achieve profitable trading:
A trading strategy can be a system that includes a combination of different indicators and oscillators, which can finally indicate the entry and exit points as well as profit and stop loss while trading. This system makes you behave like a robot; after understanding and analyzing the market, you’ll wait for the entry and exit points to appear. Trusting this trading strategy is one of the critical keys to successful trading.
All the points mentioned so far are related to the technical analysis aspects; otherwise, in the Fundamental field, a daily checklist of various factors affecting the market is needed, which is vital for Fundamental analysis.
Find your own timeframe:
Chart analysis and trading can be viewed from the 1-second time frame(short-term) to several years(long-term), but every trader should have his own time frame based on his trading strategy.
The time frame is important because:
The trading strategy should help traders find the entry and exit signals in the same time frame.
The Stop Loss(SL) should be determined based on entry points in the same time frame.
The time required to reach profitability is estimated based on the same time frame. You can't analyze on a daily time frame and expect to get a very good profit immediately after entering the position.
After determining the time frame and with the help of the trading strategy, the following tasks should be done.
Studying market analysis to identify market trends, the state of market movement waves, and daily, weekly, and monthly support and resistance zones.
Determining the Entry Points(EP) based on the strategy
Determining the Stop Loss(SL) based on the strategy
Determining the Take Profits(TP) based on the strategy
All the above must be done before entering the market, and the only thing done after entering the market is the last step—changing the exit point based on the variable stop loss to increase profit.
—------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
🔷 Conclusion:
According to the explanations given, it can be understood that analysis and trading have a significant differences. It should be noted that every wrong analysis published on social networks does not indicate that the analyst does not trade well and vice versa. So, to profit from the financial markets, you must be trained in the first step. Become an analyst and then trade. For this, you have to go step by step, don't be greedy, don't rush, so that you can stay in the financial markets and earn profit every day until you get a continuous profit one day.
EURUSD: Part 1 funny story!I. Not proficient unconsciously.
When you enter the market and start trading, you may think that it's a great way to make money because you hear a lot about it and know of people who have made a lot of money from Forex. However, it's important to note that this is just the first stage and, like when you first learn to drive, it may seem easy at first but can be challenging as you continue to learn. Prices in the market can fluctuate wildly, adding to the complexity of Forex trading.
When you're new to trading, it can be overwhelming and confusing. You may find yourself unsure of what to do when you see the prices fluctuate in the market. Without proper knowledge, you may take risks that could potentially harm your trades. You may even fall into a cycle of increasing your trading volume when you feel confident, only to end up losing capital in the long run. This is a common stage for beginners that typically lasts a few months to a year before moving on to the next phase.
Continue ...
I will release the next part tomorrow, stay tuned.
The Story of a Failed Trader | OKXIDEASOnce upon a time there was a man who was a very poor and he belong to a middle class family but he had the ability to dream it. He was 20 years old and he also think that he spend all of had 20 years doing nothing, he was a dreamer. He wanted to become a rich man, he finding ways to become a rich man, he tried almost every thing but failed. One day he watched a video about trading on YouTube and he decided to become a trader, become a rich with trading and fulfill all of had dreams. He started to learn trading, he watched all of educational videos about trading on YouTube and spend had 15 hours every day just watching videos, now he knows about the basic trading he shifted to the analysis part of trading, he started to practice and learn the technical analysis. He find the method that he can trade with, he combined some technical indicator signals and created strategy for himself. Now he had very passionate about trading, wanted to open a real account and start trading with real account. He had some saving money around 500 dollar he deposited that money in the real account and start trading with that money. He started dreaming from the first day of trading and created some trading rules for himself like he had to take 10% risk per trade and don't take that trade which is below 1/1 risk to reward ratio. On the first day he had taken almost 3 trades and win all of them, now he was more excited for trading he had made $192 profit means something around 38% profit on 500 dollar account. He wanted to trade more but he was a little bit smarter one, he think that i am in profit and my wining ratio is 100% so why i just damage my wining ratio and why i just risk my today profit so he had decided to come back tomorrow. On the second day he had $692 total balance in the account, he had to play a little bit more smarter than a previous day and he decided to take 10% risk per trade of the current total balance $692 in the account rather than the starting balance which is $500. On the second day he take almost 4 trades and he won 2 trades out of 4 trades, now the account condition had almost break-even no loss & no profit, he decided to try again and trade more, he finding the reason to trade more and then he calculate today and yesterday total taken trades which is 7 trades, he think that i won 5 trades out of 7 trades so my wining ratio is almost around 70% which is good and i can trade more because my wining ratio is still above 50% so i am still in positive side. He trade almost 3 trades again and he lose all of them, now he had very sad and almost broken, he decided to step back and come back later. He sturdy himself and come back on the third day, now he had facing a little bit draw-down on the third day the total account balance is around 484 dollar, he started looking for the trades opportunity and at the end of the day he took almost 5 trades with the 10% risk per trade but the third day results had also again bad and he lose 4 trades out of 5 and just win 1 trade, he had very shameful from himself, he closed the laptop goes to outdoor and talk to himself. He analysis the current situation of the account, it that point the total account balance is around 276 dollar he almost around 45% in draw-down and the wining ratio had below 50% so now he entered to the negative side. On the fourth day morning he traded 2 trades and he lose both of them now he almost lose the hope and the account condition had around 72% in draw-down and he left only 138 dollar in the account. At the time he give up and he just decided to depend on just one trade, he just waiting for the best opportunity of the day and finally he got the trade but at the end he lose that trade again and he almost blow out had account.
After that all he had stressful and sad from almost one week, he decided to leave the trading and move on to the next thing and he looking to find other things that suitable for him because he think that trading is not suitable for him. One month later he just scrolling on the internet and he see the FAQ that 90% of traders lose and only 10% had succeed, now he had a little bit shock and he think that its pretty normal every trader in the 90% had facing that stage which stage that i faced.
He decided to come back to trading and start from the zero, he started to modify had strategy and created new rules for had strategy like he set this time risk to reward ratio for had trades is minimum 1/2 and he decided to risk only 2% of the total account also he decided to take only 2 trades per day, this time he opened the demo account rather than the real account and start trading with demo account, he decided to journal had journey and after one month of consistency he hadn't break any rules and when he see the results after month he had profitable, now he feel like stronger and he continue the journey with that same demo account after three months he had similar results and still profitable. In that time he think that i don't have much money and in trading it's required a lot of money to earn a lot of profits, he started to search for that how he had to prove himself to big investors and raise money for himself to trade. One day he searching and he knows about prop firms trading now he had interested in that and wanted to know more about prop firms, he think that this is the big opportunity for himself to become succeed quickly, now he decided to trade with prop firms and buy the challenge from the prop firms, he adjusted had strategy rules and trading plan according to the prop firms requirement, now but the only problem is that he don't have money to actually buy the prop firms challenge. By the way he was dropout from the school after completing had secondary education and so he just setting at the home, he don't have much money to buy the challenge, the pocket money of him had just depend on him father and he hadn't want to say to father to give me extra money because of him father was very poor and he work as a taxi driver, so then he had decided to get the any kind of job for himself and try to earn some money in the form of salary and buy the challenge with that money, he worked hard and after one month he got the salary and then he just swift to the prop firm website and buy the $50000 account challenge for himself, now he started trading with challenge account phase one, on the phase one he decided to risk only 1% per trade, take only 2 trades a day and the every trade risk to reward ratio had to minimum 1/2 after one month of consistency he gained +8% profit, he was in profit but he hadn't achieved the prop firm required profit target which is +10% in that case prop firm gives traders free retake so then he take the challenge again with the new account and new month from zero and he think that my wining ratio for the previous month is almost around 40% with minimum 1/2 risk to reward ratio and my daily limit is 2 trades so i need to increase my daily limit from 2 to 3 because if i traded with the same rule 2 trades a day then i hadn't pass with 40% wining ratio. He calculate some numbers like he think, if i take 3 trades per day so then at the end of the month my all trades had to be 60 trades per month and if i maintain my 40% wining ratio then i can easily pass the challenge with that mindset he started the challenge and strictly follow the rules after month he hadn't maintain the 40% wining ratio and he end up with some loss and failed the challenge, this time he almost faced big depression after some days left he realized had mistake and he think i made mistake that i increase my daily trades limit because of this my wining accuracy goes down, i just forced myself to take 3 trades per day and get trapped into the normal trades.
At that time he hadn't left any pathway he almost try everything but at the end he faced failure, him father had now getting older and he decided to step back again he start going to the normal job and start saving 30% of had salary, he do that job for almost one year and after one year later he had some saved money in the bank account to buy multiple 10x challenges, he come back to the trading but this time he hadn't leave the job and he do trading like part time thing. He started had journey again he decided to hadn't give up and repeat the process so then he started buying challenges after one by one in some challenges he failed in phase one in some he failed in phase two in some he almost pass the challenge and got the live funded account but hadn't get payout and lose the account in the first month.
The journey had started goes on and he just repeating the process and doing try again and again.
Will be continued.....
Some lessons from the story
> Never open real account in the start, try to learn first on demo account.
> Don't try to be smart in the front of the market.
> Don't lose hope in draw-downs just repeat the process of your trading plan.
> Take every trade with the hope of wining.
> Never depend on a single trade.
> Don't leave too fast stay in the market.
> Give yourself enough time to create the solid proven strategy that works at least for you.
> Respect your trading limits.
> Don't depend on just trading and never leave your job, consider trading like part-time thing in the starting.
> Learn from your mistakes and improve your performance.
> Make mistakes but don't repeat that mistakes again.
> Never depend on small capital always look for an opportunity.
> Journal your journey, record your trading performance and improve next time.
> Don't fear from failure.
> Be patient, market is here not going anywhere.
> Don't force yourself to take normal trades wait for good opportunity always.
> Don't count the numbers, you need to count the percentage.
> Don't try to be rich quickly.
> Step back, if you damaged from market then simply step back and come back stronger don't try to fight.
If you learned any other lessons from the story, let me know in the comments.
What you feel about one day he will be succeed or just the failure always, also let me know in the comments.
I hope you enjoyed the story, appreciate my work with like comments and share.
I wish you good luck in trading.
6 simplest and most effective forex trading methods!Popular forex trading methods
Typically, strategies for forex trading are primarily founded on fundamental and technical analysis. Hence, astute traders possess the skill to creatively merge efficient trading techniques to identify the most appealing gains.
1. Day trading
Day trading is a trading strategy where traders, known as day traders, do not hold any trades overnight and close all orders before the end of the trading session. Day traders commonly use technical analysis to assess and capitalize on price changes by observing time frames or trading volumes throughout the day. Typically, day traders keep trades open for a few minutes to a few hours.
- Advantage: By effectively managing risks, traders can secure monthly profits without having to worry about prices moving unfavorably due to news or paying overnight fees. Additionally, closing positions at the end of each session can help avoid potential risks.
- Defect: Monitoring the market throughout the day can be both stressful and time-consuming for traders. Failure to do so could result in significant losses if the market experiences a decline or deviates from predicted movements.
2. Scalping
Scalping, a technique utilized by investors known as Scalpers, involves short-term trading wherein orders are held for just a few seconds or minutes at most. This approach entails buying and selling multiple times a day to capitalize on minor price movements within short time frames in order to gain small spreads. Scalpers execute numerous orders during trading sessions due to the brief trading period. With adept use of financial leverage, a trader can typically earn 5-10 pips per trade on average. However, choosing a broker with low spreads and commissions is crucial for maximizing the benefits of the scalping approach and minimizing trading costs.
- Advantage: There are always plenty of profitable trading opportunities every day. Overall income is quite high.
- Defect: Always have to watch forex charts for hours. The mind is always tense and pressured.
3. Swing trading
Swing trading is a strategy used by traders to take advantage of oscillations in the market. It involves holding positions for a few days to weeks, typically averaging two to four days. This approach relies heavily on technical analysis, including candlestick patterns, support and resistance levels, and indicator lines, to identify suitable entry and exit points. Since it is a medium-term strategy, traders usually analyze forex charts on 1H (1 hour) and 4H (4 hours) time frames.
- Advantage: You don't have to constantly monitor the market like scalpers and day traders, which frees up time for other important tasks. This allows for a more relaxed mental state and less pressure. The rate of return is still quite appealing.
- Defect: Take the risk for holding orders overnight. It is not possible to get a large profit when the market has strong fluctuations in a bad trend.
4. Position trading
Position trading is a trading strategy that involves holding orders for a prolonged period, ranging from several weeks to even years. Consequently, forex charts of position traders are viewed over days or weeks. Unlike scalpers, position traders rely more on fundamental analysis rather than technical analysis to make informed decisions regarding future price trends and determine whether to buy or sell currency.
- Advantage: No need to spend a lot of time "watching" the market. The sentiment is relaxed and not under great pressure because position traders are not affected by short-term price movements. Profit margins can be huge if the market moves according to your expectations.
- Defect: Requires traders to have a solid background in fundamental analysis and technical analysis, especially when it comes to regularly monitoring economic and political news in the world. The capital requirement is quite large as the stop loss is usually deeper. Profit is calculated on an annual basis because the number of trades is very small.
5. Price action
Price action trading is a technique that involves analyzing previous price movements to make technical trades. This strategy can be used alone or in conjunction with other technical tools. Fundamental analysis is seldom used by price action traders, who instead rely on resistance/support levels, Fibonacci retracement, price patterns, and indicators to determine entry and exit points. Price action trading is applicable to short, medium, and long-term timeframes, and investors are advised to analyze prices across multiple timeframes for a more comprehensive and precise overview.
- Advantage: Trading is relatively simple because mainly just using candlestick charts. Therefore, the price action method is very suitable for new traders. Cultivate analytical thinking ability.
- Defect: For intensive use is very difficult. It is highly subjective, depending on the assessment and experience of each trader. There are many risks such as strong price fluctuations or the market being manipulated by the makers.
6. High-Frequency Trading
Price action trading is a technique that involves analyzing past price movements to make technical trades. This strategy can be used alone or in conjunction with other technical tools. Unlike fundamental analysis, price action traders rely on resistance/support levels, Fibonacci retracement, price patterns, and indicators to determine entry and exit points. This approach is suitable for various timeframes, and investors are advised to consider multiple timeframes for more precise analysis.
- Advantage: Contributing to stabilizing the market to avoid strong price fluctuations. From there, helping traders limit big losses. Make full use of the price difference and make a profit.
- Defect: Trade with fast speed and large volume, so it is easy to have a strong impact on the market. No broker involvement due to complex algorithms applied. Easy to cause virtual transactions.
How to choose the right trading method for you
1. Determine the purpose of forex investment.
2. Determine the transaction time.
3. Consider some other factors.
Conclude: The article mentioned six successful forex trading methods along with their benefits and drawbacks. This comprehensive guide will assist you in selecting an investment plan that aligns with your objectives and vision. By skillfully combining these trading methods, you can increase your chances of successful transactions. Good luck in achieving your investment goals!