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Bitcoin vs Gold Cup & HandleBitcoin weekly chart vs gold monthly chart, cup and handle edition. Gold broke out of it's handle this year, waiting to see if Bitcoin does the same as the fundamentals continue to strengthen. As of the Bitcoin Conference this past week we now have legislation announced that would create a strategic Bitcoin reserve here in the US, and Trump and Kennedy vowing to hold Bitcoin as a reserve asset if elected and end the current government policy of selling seized Bitcoin. Harris is also switching to pro-crypto after the Biden administration has been actively anti-crypto during this term. Keep buying Bitcoin.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by PrepForProfit
27
Lululemon's Drop Has Me Completely SurprisedI’m still in awe at the drop happening across fashion stocks like NASDAQ:LULU , NYSE:NKE , and even Under Armour. The other week, I wrote about Nike and now I realize I must comment on the drop of Lululemon, which is down 50% this year and now has its lowest PE ratio in over decade all while doing about $1 billion in Free Cash Flow last holiday season. So what’s going on? First, let’s look at their declines since the start of the year: Nike is down 33% year-to-date, Lululemon has plunged 51%, and Under Armour has dropped 21%. I did some research into why this might be happening, as earnings and margins are being challenged, and found the following three reasons: 1. The athletic fashion market has become fiercely competitive, maybe more than ever, with new brands entering the fray and established brands expanding their offerings. Companies like Athleta, Fabletics, and various direct-to-consumer startups are aggressively targeting the same market segments that giants like Nike and Lululemon dominate. 2. New shopping mechanics on Instagram and Amazon has dramatically altered the retail landscape. Instagram's shopping features and Amazon's expansive marketplace have changed how consumers discover and purchase athletic apparel. Brands now need to invest heavily in digital marketing and influencer partnerships to stay relevant. This shift has favored agile, digitally native brands that can quickly adapt to new trends and customer behaviors. This is a big deal. 3. Wall Street's relentless focus on short-term performance has placed additional strain on these companies. Investors demand constant growth, often pushing companies to prioritize immediate gains over long-term stability. This pressure can lead to cost-cutting measures that impact product quality and innovation. For instance, there are concerns that Nike may have compromised on quality control to meet earnings expectations, resulting in dissatisfied customers and negative reviews. While I don’t have a position on in any of these stocks, I am absolutely watching Nike and Lululemon. At these levels, and if they continue to drop, I believe a trade will open up. I’ll share more details soon about this! Lululemon is on my watchlist!
NASDAQ:LULU
by scheplick
24
META History repeating Double Bottom leading to $800.Meta Platforms (META) almost hit its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday, a Support level that has been holding since February 01 2023. With the long-term pattern being a Channel Up since the November 04 2022 market bottom, yesterday's Low is similar to the Double Bottom on Meta's previous Accumulation phase on October 26 2023. That day's Low started the 2nd Bullish Leg of the Channel Up that peaked on April 08 2024 after a +95.14% rise. This is the exact same % rise as the Feb 24 2023 - July 28 2023 Bullish Leg, which was the 1st of the Channel Up. As a result, this is technically the most optimal buy opportunity on a long-term basis for META, with a technical Target at $800.00 (+95.14% as the previous 2 Bullish Legs). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:METALong
by TradingShot
10
The TradingView Show: Charting Big Rotations with TradeStationOur discussion will dive into the breakout charts of small caps, the ongoing chatter about interest rates, and the shift among Fed members towards a dovish stance. We'll also examine the implications of the slowing AI stock boom and the increasing participation of stocks in catching a bid in the broader market. The TradeStation team actively shares their daily insights and research on TradingView, providing a rich platform for interactive learning. Their repository includes powerful trading scripts designed to equip traders with effective tools for market analysis and execution. Understanding these market dynamics is crucial, especially during seasonal shifts like those often observed in summer, where distinct patterns in market behaviors, such as those seen in the S&P 500, emerge. Charting and research play pivotal roles in navigating these fluctuations, offering insights into potential opportunities and risks. By leveraging these tools, traders can make informed decisions aligned with evolving market conditions, enhancing their ability to thrive in dynamic trading environments. Explore all TradeStation ideas on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com As you follow the discussion, feel free to ask questions in the comments, share your feedback, and chart alongside us by typing the respective symbol into the symbol search. The TradingView Show takes place monthly, spotlighting TradingView community members and focusing on educational and informational content. Join us to expand your knowledge and insights into equities, AI, crypto, gold, forex, and more. Compliance and disclaimers: Important information: www.tradestation.com Disclosure options: www.theocc.com ETF prospectus page: www.tradestation.com
TVC:RUT
by TradingView
1
Exploring Trading Basics: Expert Tips for New TradersWelcome to the thrilling world of trading, future market experts! If you’re stepping into this arena for the first time, it’s natural to feel both excited and a little overwhelmed. No worries — we’ve set up this nice value-packed TradingView Idea to make you feel at home. Read on for practical tips that will help you kick off your trading journey to a strong start. Ready, set, go? Let’s roll! 1. Get Yourself Familiarized Action Step : Your first step as a fresh trader is to familiarize yourself with the market fundamentals. Start by getting a solid grasp of basic market concepts. Learn about different asset classes like stocks , forex , or crypto . Understand how they work and what news or events influence prices across the board (spoiler: if you’re looking at the bigger picture and keep it high level, there aren’t too many things to consider — check the Economic Calendar Related Idea below). Spend an hour or two each week reading about market fundamentals. Knowledge of these basics will make you more confident in your trading approach and also help you see where you feel most comfortable putting your money. And don't forget about the trading psychology part . 2. Set Clear, Achievable Goals Action Step : Write down your trading goals and stick them somewhere you can see them. Aim for specific, measurable targets like “Hit a 2% monthly return” or “Learn a new trading strategy weekly.” This keeps your efforts focused and on track. But don’t stop there. Keep revisiting, updating, and refining your trading goals. Think of them as your compass or map that you need to follow in order to get where you want. In contrast, not having a goal or goals might throw you out in the open where you wander without a clear path or direction. 3. Stick to Your Budget Action Step: Decide on your total trading capital and how much you’re willing to risk per trade. Use the 1-2% rule: never risk more than 1% or 2% of your total capital on a single trade. This will help you protect your account from total wipeout. It’s easy to get swayed by some massive move in the market (yes, we know about Bitcoin BTC/USD ), but catching these waves is rarely an easy game. The better you are at sticking to a healthy level of risk exposure, the better your chances to stay in the game for as long as possible. 4. Stay Updated with Market News Action Step : Dedicate 15 minutes each morning to checking financial news. Keeping tabs on major economic reports and events will give you an understanding of what investors regard as important so you can add it to your agenda too. We’ve set up a nice and easygoing Top stories news stream that serves you only top-tier market-moving scoops, published daily and updated in real time. Make sure to frequent them so you can raise your level of knowing what’s happening in the markets. 5. Keep a Trading Journal Action Step : For every trade, jot down the details in a journal. Include entry and exit points, your reasons for the trade, and the outcome. Review your journal weekly to identify patterns and areas for improvement. If you want to get an even more precise look at your trading performance, add more columns to it and include prospect trades, or a watchlist of positions you’re interested in. Mark your monthly performance, year-to-date returns, and even how much you paid in commissions. 6. Start Small and Scale Up Action Step : Begin with small trades to minimize risk while you’re learning. For example, if you have $1,000, start with trades of $50-$100 and keep your stop tight around the 2% mark. That way, you’ll gain experience and see how you feel when you have an open trade. Leave a trade overnight, watch it actively or let it run for a few days (provided you use a stop loss , more on it in the Stop Loss Related Idea below) — all these will help you ease into smoother trading and build better confidence. After that, you can gradually increase your trade size for bigger profits. And — most importantly — don’t rush it. The markets will be there tomorrow; but will you? 7. Use Stop-Loss Orders Action Step : Always set a stop-loss order when placing a trade. For instance, if you buy a stock at $100, set a stop-loss at $95. This means your position will be automatically sold if the price drops to $95, limiting your loss to $5 per share. The use of stop-loss orders, or simply stop losses, can’t be emphasized enough. No matter how confident you are on a trade, how much conviction you have to go big, always think of the downside, or how much you’re willing to lose. 8. Join a Trading Community Action Step : If you’re reading this, then you’ve already nailed this step. TradingView is the world’s largest finance, markets, and charting platform, boasting more than 60 million monthly visitors — one big, big community . This is the place where traders share tips and strategies, show off their charts, discoveries, patterns, price targets, and trading ideas. So, stick around, engage, ask questions, and learn from the experiences of others. 9. Diversify Your Portfolio Action Step : Spread your investments across different sectors and asset classes. Don’t just buy big tech stocks ; consider some auto companies as well or the volatile corner of cryptocurrencies. Diversifying your portfolio (learn about it in the Diversification Related Idea below) will help you balance your risk, ideally without reducing the potential for returns. You don’t have to go all-in on a trade and YOLO your entire life savings into a Solana meme coin. Think of the long term and tread carefully. Sometimes, you’re as good as your last trade. 10. Continuously Improve Your Skills Action Step : Dedicate time each week to learning something new about trading. Watch educational videos , read books, or dive into financial podcasts where big market events get broken down or where traders and investors share their experience and what made them successful. The markets renew each day, never resting, never ceasing to oscillate and presenting new trading opportunities. Always learn, never get complacent, and keep striving for more! Share Your Thoughts! So there you have it, folks! With these practical, actionable tips, you’re ready to jump into the trading game with some added confidence. Remember, every pro was once a newbie. Stay cool, stay informed, and most importantly, have fun with it (but also be smart). Happy trading! 🚀📈
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
4
Ethereum ETFs Pump Out $1B in Trading Volume. But When Record?The novel asset class debuted for trading on Wall Street with about a billion dollars worth of trades. But Ether’s price didn’t move an inch. In fact, it dropped, confusing traders who were expecting a more impressive performance by the megacap token. What happened? Ether ETFs Make a Splash on Wall Street Ethereum ( ETH/USD ), the second-largest cryptocurrency after Bitcoin ( BTC/USD ), made its debut as an exchange-traded product this week. A total of nine spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) landed for their first deals on Tuesday. Packaged by eight different issuers, these new investment vehicles generated a buzz with $1 billion in volume traded, or the entire value exchanged between back-and-forth trades. The cool thing about this milestone event is that ordinary consumers and professional money managers can get their hands on a Bitcoin alternative — these ETFs hold genuine Ethereum. And while buyers can’t get custody over the digital asset itself (that’s for the issuers to handle), they can buy shares of the ETFs and get the same volatility and price exposure as if they were holding the actual product. And that’s where the value proposition kicks in — buyers don’t need to be tech-savvy, get a cold wallet and silently mumble a 24-word seed phrase every time they access the blockchain. They can log into their brokerage account and snap up some spot ETH ETF shares. A Price Show Similar to Bitcoin’s Pump Markets saw that same narrative play out picture-perfect with the launch of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs . Back in January, the Securities and Exchange Commission gave its nod to the long-awaited crypto products and shortly after, the orange token blasted off to a record high of more than $73,000 per coin. It must be said that the all-time high didn’t arrive immediately . But there was a solid build-up in the days and weeks before the official rollout. A price increase of a formidable size . Analysts had expected a similar scenario to unfold for Ethereum. Only that, there wasn’t a powerful pump in the price — not before, not immediately after the launch of the ETFs. Why was that? Why Ether Can’t Walk in Bitcoin’s Footsteps Some big differences can be spotted. The spot Bitcoin ETFs exchanged about $4.6 billion in trading volume on day one, or about five times more than what Ethereum achieved. The second most valuable token pulled in about $107 million of net inflows — the money that stayed in teh funds after the money that had left — on its first day as an ETF product. Moreover, Ethereum is far less popular as a store of wealth and an investment asset. It’s the place where DeFi dApps and NFTs run on smart contracts (excuse the jargon, but it’s a good way to make a point). Ethereum doesn’t have the big digital currency/digital gold/payment method aura like Bitcoin. Instead, it operates as a platform where geeks program immutable contracts that lay out the infrastructure of the next internet era — Web 3. To illustrate, think of Bitcoin as crypto’s gold ( XAU/USD ), while Ethereum could be likened to Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ) (in its early days, though) — the technology player that paves the way to the next big thing. Bullish Narrative Remains Intact This said, the big guys on Wall Street are nonetheless bullish. The asset managers that launched these new ETF products, including Fidelity, Grayscale, and BlackRock, are lowering the entry barrier to Ethereum as a technology alternative to Bitcoin’s speculative cred. Against this backdrop, the price of Ethereum stayed flat and even dipped a little. The token was hugging the flatline around $3,460 per token and was down about 1% a day after the big launch. Still, Ethereum is up about 50% on the year, exactly the same pace as the rise of Bitcoin for the same time span. More importantly, the door was cracked a little more open for another spot crypto product that wanted to rub shoulders with traditional assets, such as bonds, stocks and currencies. What’s Your Prediction? Is Ethereum going to repeat the success of Bitcoin now that it has ETFs to shake up the price? Let us know in the comments!
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by TradingView
12
GOLD to find sellers at market price?Gold - 24h expiry Posted a Double Top formation. Short term bias has turned negative. 5 negative daily performances in succession. 20 4hour EMA is at 2411.5. We look for a temporary move higher. We look to Sell at 2411.5 (stop at 2427.5) Our profit targets will be 2371.5 and 2361.5 Resistance: 2404.0 / 2412.2 / 2420.0 Support: 2383.9 / 2370.0 / 2350.0 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by OANDA
6
Divergence: RSI vs. PriceHey everyone! In my years of trading, I've really come to love Reversal Strategies and my favorite is in the form of a DIVERGENCE! Today, I took some time to put together an Educational Video on: 1) What a Divergence Is? 2) How to Spot them! & 3) How to Trade them! I hope you find this helpful! **Tips - Divergence is never good enough to trade alone, YOU NEED CONFIRMATION! - The longer the Divergence takes, the more reliable it is - Change in Momentum is KEY!
Education
by Novi_Fibonacci
6
Walk Through WallsBitcoin no longer has any interesting or meaningful proposition beyond its public rhetoric. It is a paper tiger. In the coming years, it will see immense success as it is adopted by various funds and political narratives. However, its ecosystem's development has lagged so severely that it cannot ever hope to catch up to competing networks. Since 2015, the sole purpose of Bitcoin has been to maximise short-term mining revenues. Its holders are secondary to this supply chain and have been tricked into parroting the ideas that uphold the control of this vampire class. This is something I will be writing in depth on in the future. Ethereum has successfully executed scaling, superior UX, utility, and shedding the mining class. The dream that L1s would be institutional chains is actively being realized. Dapps will slowly replace traditional financial infrastructure over the coming years. The efficiency and velocity increase of bringing all capital on-chain will have resounding effects on the global economy. With today's ETF, buying a stake in this system will be easier than ever - no ASIC infrastructure needed. This does not mean Ethereum is itself immune to disruption. Its moats are reliability (uptime) and quality of ecosystem, both traits that would take a decade or more to be overcome. The world computer has been the home of hungry innovators and on-chain culture, and it will soon be the nexus of all human capital. It must remain adaptable while still holding the eye of its original contributors. My target for Bitcoin is $250,000. I expect Ethereum to dramatically outperform this in the same timeframe - in a sentence, because it is controlled by the incentives of its owners, and not an external power structure. Many Bitcoiners are complacent that their investment never needs to be re-evaluated, because it is a 'perfect asset' with a fixed supply. This creates walls within their framework that are not really there; if a system is failing you and you cannot see why, you should try knocking into things and find what falls over.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Path
62
Timing when day trading can be everythingTiming when day trading can be everything In Stock markets typically more volatility (or price activity) occurs at market opening and closings When it comes to Forex (foreign exchange market), the world’s most traded market, unlike other financial markets, there is no centralized marketplace, currencies trade over the counter in whatever market is open at that time, where time becomes of more importance and key to get better trading opportunities. There are four major forex trading sessions, which are Sydney, Tokyo, London and New York sessions Forex market is traded 24 hours a day, 5 days a week across by banks, institutions and individual traders worldwide, but that doesn’t mean it’s always active the entire day. It may be very difficult time trying to make money when the market doesn’t move at all. The busiest times with highest trading volume occurs during the overlap of the London and New York trading sessions, because U.S. dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR) are the two most popular currencies traded. Typically most of the trading activity for a specific currency pair will occur when the trading sessions of the individual currencies overlap. For example, Australian Dollar (AUD) and Japanese Yen (JPY) will experience a higher trading volume when both Sydney and Tokyo sessions are open There is one influence that impacts Forex matkets and should not be forgotten : the release of the significant news and reports . When a major announcement is made regarding economic data, currency can lose or gain value within a matter of seconds Cryptocurrency market s on the other hand remain open 24/7, even during public holidays Until 2021, the Asian impact was so significant in Cryptocurrency markets but recent reasearch reports shows that those patterns have changed and the correlation with the U.S. trading hours is becoming a clear evolving trend. Unlike any other market Crypto doesn’t rest on weekends, there’s a drop-off in participation and yet algorithmic trading bots and market makers (or liquidity providers) can create a high volume of activity. Never trust the weekend’ is a good thing to remind yourself One more factor that needs to be taken into accout is Blockchain transaction fees, which are responsive to network congestion and can change dramatically from one hour to the next In general, Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, which means that the price of a coin can change dramatically over a short time period in either direction The Bottom Line The more traders trading, the higher the trading volume, and the more active the market. The more active the market, the higher the liquidity (availability of counterparties at any given time to exit or enter a trade), hence the tighter the spreads (the difference between ask and bid price) and the less slippage (the difference between the expected fill price and the actual fill price) - in a nutshell, yield to many good trading opportunities and better order execution (a process of filling the requested buy or sell order) The best time to trade is when the market is the most active and therefore has the largest trading volume, trading all day long will not only deplete a trader's reserves quickly, but it can burn out even the most persistent trader. Knowing when the markets are more active will give traders peace of mind, that opportunities are not slipping away when they take their eyes off the markets or need to get a few hours of sleep You are kindly invited to check the script that helps to identify market peak hours : Day Trading Booster .
Education
by dgtrd
23
Incorporating Alternative Investments into Portfolio BuildsIncorporating alternative investments such as private equity, hedge funds, and real assets can be a rewarding strategy for diversification and enhancing returns. These alternative assets provide unique risk-return profiles that can complement traditional investments in forex, commodities, and indices. 1️⃣ Understanding the Role of Alternative Investments Alternative investments can play an important role in diversification due to their low correlation with traditional asset classes. By including assets like private equity, hedge funds, and real assets, you can reduce overall portfolio volatility. For example, during the 2008 financial crisis, many hedge funds and private equity investments outperformed traditional equities, providing a buffer against market downturns. Understanding the unique risk-return characteristics of each alternative investment is essential for effective integration. 2️⃣ Analyzing Historical Performance and Risk To effectively incorporate alternative investments, it's important to analyze their historical performance and risk profiles. For instance, private equity has historically offered higher returns than public equities, but with greater risk and illiquidity. Hedge funds, on the other hand, provide diverse strategies such as long-short equity, market neutral, and global macro, each with different risk-return dynamics. Real assets like real estate and infrastructure provide stable cash flows and inflation protection, but come with their own set of risks. 3️⃣ Diversification Strategies Diversification is the cornerstone of portfolio construction. When integrating alternatives, consider spreading investments across different types of alternative assets. For example, combining private equity with hedge funds and real assets can help mitigate the risk associated with any single asset class. A diversified portfolio might include a mix of growth-oriented private equity, income-generating real estate, and tactical hedge fund strategies. 4️⃣ Assessing Liquidity Needs One of the main challenges with alternative investments is liquidity. Private equity and real assets typically have long lock-up periods, whereas hedge funds may offer more liquidity but still not as much as traditional assets. Assess your liquidity needs and time horizon before allocating significant portions of your portfolio to these investments. For example, an investor with a long-term horizon might allocate more to private equity, while those needing shorter-term liquidity might prefer hedge funds. 5️⃣ Evaluating Manager Expertise and Due Diligence The success of alternative investments often hinges on the expertise of the fund managers. Conduct thorough due diligence by evaluating the manager’s track record, investment strategy, and risk management practices. For example, when selecting a private equity fund, consider the fund’s history of successful exits, management team’s experience, and alignment of interests. Similarly, for hedge funds, assess the manager's ability to generate alpha across different market conditions. 6️⃣ Tactical Asset Allocation Integrating alternative investments requires a dynamic approach to asset allocation. Tactical asset allocation involves adjusting the portfolio mix based on market conditions and opportunities. For instance, during periods of low interest rates and high equity valuations, increasing exposure to private equity and real assets might provide better returns. Conversely, in volatile markets, hedge funds employing market neutral or global macro strategies can offer downside protection. 7️⃣ Monitoring and Rebalancing Regular monitoring and rebalancing are essential to maintain the desired risk-return profile of the portfolio. Set predefined thresholds for rebalancing to ensure the portfolio stays aligned with your investment goals. For example, if the allocation to private equity exceeds the target due to strong performance, consider rebalancing by allocating more to underperforming or undervalued assets like certain commodities or forex positions. This disciplined approach helps in maintaining the optimal balance between traditional and alternative investments. Incorporating alternative investments into a portfolio that includes forex, commodities, and indices offers a pathway to enhanced diversification and potential returns. By understanding the unique characteristics of private equity, hedge funds, and real assets, investors can craft a balanced and resilient portfolio. Remember to conduct thorough due diligence, assess liquidity needs, and regularly monitor and rebalance the portfolio to adapt to changing market conditions.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by AlexSoro
8
Bitcoin: No Moon Anytime Soon.Bitcoin: My previous week's anticipated scenario flailed to play out but in all fairness was never confirmed by the market on this time frame (short setup off 60K). Price is now flirting within the upper boundaries of the 64-66K resistance AREA which was previously a support. With this in mind, I anticipate a bearish retrace scenario over the coming week which can take price back into the low 63K to 64K area. This is ideal for swing trades and day trades on the short side. Expecting greater moves one way or the other is not reasonable within this context. Narrowing a range of scenarios is the best we can do when it comes to "forecasting" the future. Since the markets are HIGHLY random and any piece of unexpected news can change everything dramatically, we can only assign a loose probability based on a historical reference (like a previous support/resistance level). Once we can narrow a range of scenarios, it HELPS to have a framework to CONFIRM the scenario, otherwise the outcome is more likely to be RANDOM. When a scenario is confirmed, it INCREASES the chances of a positive outcome but does NOT guarantee one. Probability means there is always a chance of failure and in this game, is the reason why RISK most be well defined and respected since its one of the few things we can control. A trade idea often begins with one of two possibilities: momentum continuation OR reversal. Which one you choose is going to shape how you filter information and what criteria you place on it to confirm. In the case of Bitcoin now, since the 64 to 66K area is an anticipated point of resistance (see arrows), it would make sense to look for the confirmation of reversals or short signals (Trade Scanner Pro). Once confirmed the next step is to be able to gauge reasonable potential and this is a function of your chosen time frame. For example, the profit objective and associated risk on a 1 minute chart will NOT be the same compared to a one hour chart. The larger the time frame, the greater the reward/risk. In the case of the time frame on my chart, I am measuring short potential based upon the previous support level around the 63 to 64K area (now previous resistance). It may or may not reach the profit objective, the point is it would be unreasonable to expect more although ANYTHING is possible. Since the broader trend of Bitcoin continues to be BULLISH, in my opinion it is better to expect supports to generally hold and less from shorts. One important thing to be cognizant of is the herd mentality of "experts". Typically in situations where there is a dramatic movement, the herd of experts usually "forecasts" continuation of that move since it is a typical reaction to think in a "linear" sense. You may notice calls for 100K etc. When Bitcoin was testing 53K they were calling for much lower prices. if you regularly consume and value such misinformation, that is a liability that only you can contend with. Profit in this game usually comes from the mistakes of others. In order to capitalize you have to recognize where common errors are made (like buying highs). Without a framework to shape decisions in a more objective way, you are much more likely to rely on your "intuition" (greed/fear) and following others who pretend to know more than you. I say it all the time: follow PRICE not people. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
15
The Semiconductor Bubble is Finally PoppingI believe it is time for one of the biggest bubbles in history to be popped. I'm talking about semiconductors here, but really I would call this entire situation an "everything bubble." i think it all starts with semiconductors though, once the bubble pops it's going to get ugly quick and shorts will pay. However, timing such a move is difficult, but with some good TA you can increase the odds quite a bit. As always, it's only worth risking so much, top picking is a fool's game. Don't short just because of me. If anything, it might just be best to reduce long exposure for the time being rather than shorting. I go over some charts for SOXX NVDA and more, which I have individual ideas for also. All of these charts feature bearish patterns and major trend breaks. It is all adding up, every single semiconductor I see has a major downside break and NQ is on the edge of breaking its uptrend as well. We'll have to see how it goes, if I knew what was going to happen for sure I'd be on my yacht right now.
NASDAQ:SOXXShort
by AdvancedPlays
11
Why Using Charts Can Help You with Your TradingImagine you've decided to buy a particular stock. Your position starts to make money, and you're thrilled. But what do you do now? Should you hold onto your position or cash it in? Has it made enough profit, or will it go further? It's painful to lose money, but it's also frustrating to take profits only to see your original investment quadruple in price after you've cashed out too early. Is there something that can help you make these decisions? Yes, there is! It's called technical analysis. But what if you're a complete novice to technical analysis? It may look complicated and difficult, but don't worry. The beauty of technical analysis is that it can help with your decision-making, and once you learn the rules, it's easy to apply. I have attached a short video explaining the steps I go through when I first look at a chart. Do you know how to determine a trend? Do you know how to apply trend lines? Do you know what a momentum indicator is? Do you know why and how to use moving averages? Do you understand continuation and reversal signals?
CBOE:SPXEducation
by The_STA
3
Optimizing Technical Analysis with Logarithmic Scales▮ Introduction In the realm of technical analysis, making sense of market behavior is crucial for traders and investors. One foundational aspect is selecting the right scale to view price charts. This educational piece delves into the significance of logarithmic scaling and how it can enhance your technical analysis. ▮ Understanding Scales - Linear Scale This is a common graphing approach where each unit change on the vertical axis represents the same absolute value. - Logarithmic Scale Unlike the linear scale, the logarithmic scale adjusts intervals to represent percentage changes. Here, each step up/down the axis signifies a constant percentage increase/decrease. ▮ Why Use the Logarithmic Scale? The logarithmic scale offers a more insightful way to analyze price movements, especially when the price range varies significantly. By focusing on percentage changes rather than absolute values, long-term trends and patterns become more apparent, making it easier to make informed trading decisions. ▮ Comparative Examples Consider the Bitcoin price movement: - On a linear scale, a 343% increase from $3,124 to $13,870 looks smaller compared to the same percentage increase from $13,870 to $61,769. This disparity occurs because the linear scale emphasizes absolute changes. - On the logarithmic scale, both 343% increases appear proportional, giving a clearer representation. Additionally, in a falling price scenario, a linear graph might show a smaller box for an 84% drop compared to a 77% drop, simply because of absolute values' significance. The logarithmic scale corrects this, showing the true extent of percentage declines. ▮ Advantages and Disadvantages Advantages: - Fairer comparison of price movements. - Consistent representation of percentage changes. - More reliable support and resistance lines. Disadvantages: - Potential misalignment of alerts (www.tradingview.com). - Drawing inclined lines might create distortions when switching scales: A possible solution is the use the "Object Tree" feature on TradingView to manage graphical elements distinctly for each scale. ▮ How to Apply Logarithmic Scale on TradingView Enabling the logarithmic scale on TradingView is straightforward: - Click on the letter "L" in the lower right corner of the graph (the column where prices are shown); - Another option is use of the keyboard shortcut, pressing ALT + L . ▮ Conclusion The logarithmic scale is an invaluable tool for technical analysis, providing a more accurate representation of percentage changes and simplifying long-term pattern recognition. While it has its limitations, thoughtful application alongside other analytical tools can greatly enhance your market insights.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by andre_007
5
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Volume and Price DynamicsVolume Spread Analysis (VSA): Understanding Market Intentions through Volume and Price Dynamics. █ Simple Explanation: Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a trading technique that identifies key market patterns and trends by analyzing the relationship between volume and price spread, revealing traders' actions and market behavior. Essentials in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Laws. VSA Indicator. Signs of Strength. Signs of Weakness. Note that while the provided examples are excellent for illustrating the points, they are unlikely to play out perfectly in most scenarios. █ Laws Three basic laws forming the foundation of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA). The Law of Supply and Demand This law states that supply and demand balance each other over time. High demand and low supply lead to rising prices until demand falls to a level where supply can meet it. Conversely, low demand and high supply cause prices to fall until demand increases enough to absorb the excess supply. The Law of Cause and Effect This law assumes that a 'cause' will result in an 'effect' proportional to the 'cause'. A strong 'cause' will lead to a strong trend (effect), while a weak 'cause' will lead to a weak trend. The Law of Effort vs Result This law asserts that the result should reflect the effort exerted. In trading terms, a large volume should result in a significant price move (spread). If the spread is small, the volume should also be small. Any deviation from this pattern is considered an anomaly. █ VSA Indicator This indicator simplifies the identification of Volume and Spread Levels. It provides options to display volume and/or spread bars. An enhanced version of the indicator auto-scales both volume and spread for optimal chart presentation, reloading every time the chart is moved. Levels: Representing the levels of both volume and spread using the terminalogy of low, normal, high, and ultra. Indicator Version 1: Display volume and/or spread bars. When both are displayed, the spread bars are shown in a fixed quantity. Indicator Version 2: Display both volume and spread bars, with the spread bars scaled to the volume bars. █ Signs of Strength Indicates that the market is likely to experience bullish behavior. Down Thrust: Indicates strong buying interest at lower prices, suggesting a potential upward reversal. Selling Climax: Signifies a reversal point as panic selling exhausts and smart money starts accumulating. Bear Effort No Result: A large downward price move without strong selling effort (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the down move may be unsustained. No Effort Bear Result: Strong selling effort (volume) fails to push prices down indicating an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of downward momentum. Inverse Down Thrust: Shows buyers overpowering sellers, likely leading to a bullish market reversal. Failed Selling Climax: Failed selling effort suggests strong buying support and a possible upward trend reversal. Bull Outside Reversal: Indicates strong buying reversing a downtrend, confirmed by higher close. End of Falling Market: Signifies strong buying absorbs panic selling at new lows, likely leading to stabilized price or reversal. Pseudo Down Thrust: Suggests weakening of the downward momentum with a potential upward continuation if broken above high. No Supply: Indicates a lack of selling interest at lower prices, potentially setting up for a price rise. █ Signs of Weakness Indicates that the market is likely to experience bearish behavior. Up Thrust: Indicates sellers overpowering buyers during a price rise, suggesting a potential downward reversal. Buying Climax: Represents peak buying, typically at price highs, with potential for reversal as sellers take control. No Effort Bull Result: A large upward price move without strong buying pressure (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the up move may be unsustained. Bull Effort No Result: Strong buying (volume) fails to drive prices higher indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of upward momentum. Inverse Up Thrust: Increased selling pressure during an uptrend suggests a possible shift to a downtrend. Failed Buying Climax: High buying volume fails to sustain higher prices, indicating a potential reversal to downtrend. Bear Outside Reversal: Strong selling pressure reversing an uptrend, signaling a potential downtrend. End of Rising Market: Indicates buying saturation at market peaks, suggesting a possible reversal as demand exhausts. Pseudo Down Thrust: Indicates weakening upward momentum with potential for downward continuation if broken below low. No Demand: Indicates reduced buying interest at higher prices, possibly leading to a price decline.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by TanHef
9
Charting the Markets: Top 10 Technical Analysis Terms to KnowWelcome, market watchers, traders, and influencers to yet another teaching session with your favorite finance and markets platform! Today, we learn how to marketspeak — are you ready to up your trading game and talk like a Wall Street pro? We’ve got you covered. This guide will take you through the top technical analysis terms every trader should know. So, kick back, grab a drink, and let’s roll into the world of candlesticks, moving averages, and all things chart-tastic! 1. Candlestick Patterns First up, we have candlesticks , the bread and butter of any chart enthusiast. These little bars show the opening, closing, high, and low prices of a stock over a set period. Here are some key patterns to recognize next time you pop open a chart: Doji : Signals market indecision; looks like a plus sign. Hammer : Indicates potential reversal; resembles, well, a hammer. Engulfing : A larger candle engulfs the previous one, suggesting a momentum shift. Want these automated? There's a TradingView indicator for that. 2. Moving Averages (MA) Next, we glide into moving averages . These are practically lines that smooth out price data to help identify trends over time. Here are the big players: Simple Moving Average (SMA) : A straightforward average of prices over a specific period of days. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) : An average of prices but with more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to new information. 3. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The RSI is your go-to for spotting overbought and oversold conditions. Ranging from 0 to 100, a reading above 70 means a stock might be overbought (time to sell?), while below 30 suggests it could be oversold (time to buy?). Super common mainstay indicator among traders from all levels. 4. Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average with two standard deviation lines above and below it. When the bands squeeze, it signals low volatility, and when they expand, high volatility is in play. Think of Bollinger Bands as the mood rings of the trading world! 5. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) The MACD is all about momentum. It’s made up of two lines: the MACD line (difference between two EMAs) and the signal line (an EMA of the MACD line). When these lines cross, it can be a signal to buy or sell. Think of it as the heartbeat of the market. 6. Fibonacci Retracement Named after a 13th-century mathematician, Fibonacci retracement levels are used to predict potential support and resistance levels. Traders use these golden ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%) to find points where an asset like a stock or a currency might reverse its direction. 7. Support and Resistance Support and resistance are the battle lines drawn on your chart. Support is where the price tends to stop falling — finds enough buyers to support it — and resistance is where it tends to stop rising — finds enough sellers to resist it. Think of these two levels as the floor and ceiling of your trading room. 8. Volume Volume is the fuel in your trading engine. It shows how much of a stock is being traded and can confirm trends. High volume means high interest, while low volume suggests the market is taking a nap from its responsibilities. 9. Trend Lines Trend lines are your visual guide to understanding the market’s direction. Technical traders, generally, are big on trend lines. You can draw them by connecting at least a couple of lows in an uptrend or at least a couple of highs in a downtrend. They help you see where the market has been and where it might be headed. 10. Head and Shoulders No, it’s not shampoo. The head and shoulders pattern is a classic reversal pattern. It consists of three peaks: a higher middle peak (head) between two lower peaks (shoulders). When you see this take shape in your chart, it might be time to rethink your position. What’s Your Favorite? So there you have it, a whirlwind tour of the top technical analysis terms that’ll help your trading yield better results and, as a bonus, make you sound like a trading guru. What’s your favorite among these 10 technical analysis tools? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Education
by TradingView
18
What Technical Analysis Says Nvidia Stock Might Do From HereNvidia NASDAQ:NVDA is an interesting stock in that it’s up almost 185% over 12 months as of July 17 -- but has rallied and sold off over the past two months. So, what now? Let’s see what the stock’s chart as of July 17 might show us: The first thing you might notice is that NVDA hit a “basing period” from March into May, as denoted by the two pink horizontal lines above. The stock then broke out around May 21, although a sell-off followed beginning around June 21. This sell-off has been supported by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the earlier breakout, as denoted by the thick purple line at right in the above chart. It also looks to the stock's 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), as denoted by the thin blue line above. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved into the neutral zone -- not even close to being in technically overbought or oversold territory – as shown in the blue box above. Lastly, Nvidia’s daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence chart (or “MACD”) is coming off of extended levels in June, with the histogram of the stock’s nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in negative territory for about a month now, as denoted by the green box above. Separately, the MACD’s 12-day EMA remains below the 26-day EMA, as also seen in the green box above. This is historically a bearish pattern. All in, NVDA might be trying to develop a new base of consolidation at recent levels before deciding on whether it's time to break out above the $141.40 level or head back down to its 200-day Simple Moving Average (the thin red line in the chart above). But a word of caution. The stock might also be developing a so-called “double top” pattern, which could be seen as a pattern of bearish reversal. Full disclosure: The author of this article was long Nvidia stock and Nvidia calls as of the time of this writing. This presentation discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. This presentation discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. Moomoo makes no representation or warranty as to its adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeline for any particular purpose of the above content. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moomoo
12
Megacaps vs Small Caps: Has Nvidia Done This Before?Nvidia has embodied the megacap growth trend for more than a year. Now there could be signs of sentiment shifting -- at least for a little while. Today’s idea uses two charts to consider potential changes in market conditions. First, Jensen Huang’s semiconductor giant showed some potentially similar patterns in March and June. Both times, it jumped to a record high on strong results and peaked a few weeks later. Both tops had bearish outside days followed by lower highs. Then periods of consolidation set in. MACD also turned lower and Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) slid from overbought conditions. NVDA bottomed 29 sessions after its March 8 reversal day. If a similar period applies this time, it could suggest sideways movement will last through the start of August. In the meantime, traders seem to be focusing on small caps and cyclical sectors like financials and industrials . That brings us to the second chart, a ratio of the Russell 2000 against the Nasdaq-100. It clearly shows small caps’ relative underperformance, which began in mid-2006. The lower study reveals that the ratio jumped 11.65 percent in the last two weeks. That’s the biggest two-week gain since 2002. Some chart watchers may also notice the ratio’s bullish outside candle after hitting an all-time low. Those patterns could also suggest a bottom has occurred. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradeStation
7
Gold Hits Record Highs! Skyrocket Further or Sharp Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis: Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP 1: 2319.385 TP 2: 2288.085 TP 3: 2267.832 Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action. 1-Hour Time Frame Analysis: Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation. Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements. 15-Minute Time Frame Analysis: Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction. Summary: Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook. Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively. Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
29