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Economic Cycles

Bitcoin in a healthier position to move higher!The first push of BTC to over $70K in this bull cycle, the risk was becoming overheated quickly. The BTI indicator risk was around 7 to 7.25 and some indicators (e.g., the NUPL) were getting close to triggering. Now the overall risk is at a much healthier 5.59. Continued chop in this area will help further reset the individual BTI top indicators, but ultimately, we are poised to move higher. We have never reached a cycle top for BTC without the risk going to at least 10.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Da_Prof
4
Red Pill or Blue Pill? ETH's Path to $20KBased on recent market trends, ETH has nearly doubled since its rebound from the bottom. Currently trading below a key resistance level, the question arises - what's next for ETH - Red pill/line: ETH breaks through the $2k resistance level, paving the way for a significant bull run. - Blue pill/line: ETH retests the $1k support level, followed by a continuation of the 2020 market trend. Aside from Layer 2 (L2) solutions and meme-driven narratives, there is no new major story in the market. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision remains uncertain, and selling pressure from staked ETH adds to the mix. Considering these factors, I believe the blue scenario has a higher likelihood of playing out. TO DA MOOOOOOON!!! NOTE: Investors should always conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial investment advice.
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by ryancao
3
Token not neededSolana attempted to be a layer 2 to ETH in the interim while ETH was building out proto danksharding. Narratives - 1. Base on ETH has began to garner a significant amount of capital. Solana's only value prop is memecoins. If a chain secured by Ethereum's base layer can do the same, what's the point of launching on Solana unless you're trying to run a pump and dump. 2. We're getting late in the cycle, especially if this cycle in the case of a left translated cycle. Majors topping and starting a bear market does not typically bode well for Solana.
Short
by limit_buy_69
Phemex Token (PTUSDT) Poised for a PullbackPT, the native token of the Phemex exchange (which I highly recommend for contract trading, by the way), has been on an impressive uptrend across higher timeframes since its listing on Spot six months ago and its recent entry on Futures just a couple of weeks back. Currently at its all-time high (ATH), I anticipate a correction on the 4H chart towards its support area at $1.03. This is supported by the bearish divergence evident in the MACD indicator. Let's observe how this plays out. Proposed Short Trade: Entry Price: 1.2 Take Profit: 1.03 Stop Loss: 1.27
Short
by alorse
Bitcoin cycles since 2011Each crypto cycle lasts about 4 years. The tops and bottoms of these cycles show striking similarities, often following a pattern that has repeated over the years. This isn't just coincidence—there are underlying factors that contribute to this consistency, making it vital to recognize these patterns in your trading strategy. If history repeats itself, we are looking for this cycle to top around 20 Oct 2025 with next low around 14 Sept 2026. It will be a wild ride. Buckle up!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MarsisIO
1