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Economic Cycles

FILECOIN LONG-SWING TRADINGI’m starting to go long on altcoins, beginning with Filecoin. I see a realistic target before the weekend, ahead of a potential breakout. BINANCE:FILUSDT This is a swing trade setup, with the plan to close it by the weekend or on Sunday at the latest. Entry Strategy: OTE (0.705) + FVA + FVG + Overlapping Defense Trade Management: Consider taking the first profit at the 1.62 Fibonacci level. However, with altseason on the horizon, I'm aiming higher—targeting the 2.62 level to close the trade if all goes as expected. Altseason is approaching. Stay calm; there’s still time to position yourself for solid entries at good prices before December.
Long
by Jaytradermb
Bullish time in CORN ahead \o/You can see here the CBOT:ZC1! price displayed in a line chart. After reaching its high in early 2022, the bears took control, driving the price down significantly until now. The factors in play are as following: Seasonality: Corn prices have historically shown strength from December through March, aligning with planting and crop cycles. This seasonal trend could provide a solid backdrop for a potential price recovery. (highlighted in green on the chart) Interest Rates: We’ve reached a pivotal moment in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cycle. The rate hikes that began in March 2022 coincided with the start of the bearish trend, while recent rate cuts in September 2024 may support a rebound in commodity prices, including corn. This shift in monetary policy could act as a bullish catalyst for corn and other commodities. (highlighted in orange on this chart) Technical Indicators: For additional confirmation, one could wait for a bullish crossover of the moving averages (a golden cross). Such a cross would reinforce the technical setup and definitively signal the onset of a new bull market in corn. With these factors in play, corn could be setting up for a strong rally in the months ahead.
CBOT:ZC1!Long
by p4917
GOLD | Preparing for Short OpportunityI am looking to short gold by comparing and simulating the previous impulsive trend, expecting a similar price and time structure. Price is approaching key Fibonacci levels between 2815 and 2830, which coincide with a potential reversal zone from the recent bullish leg. Before entering the trade, it's crucial to wait for clear confirmation, such as a strong bearish candlestick pattern or momentum shift with a bearish divergence on the MACD.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SRA_Trades
🔍 Bitcoin Halving 2024: Unraveling the Next Big Rally🔥CRYPTO:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD Hello dear traders. With only 17 days left until the monumental #Halving2024 event ⏳, the anticipation within the crypto community is palpable. Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the trailblazer of cryptocurrencies, is already trading above its All-Time High (ATH), signaling a market that is ripe with optimism. But the real spectacle? It's just on the horizon. 65K is my ideal support for further corrections. Follow me for more insights ... 🚀🌕 📈 What to Expect? Historically, Bitcoin undergoes a halving event every four years, a process that cuts the mining reward in half. This deflationary mechanism reduces the new supply of Bitcoin, potentially leading to an uptick in price as demand continues to rise against a limited supply. The aftermath of past halvings has witnessed substantial rallies, and the question now is, not if, but how high will CRYPTOCAP:BTC soar post-Halving2024? 🔑 Key Insights: Our analysis delves deep into the historical data, comparing pre and post-halving market behavior. The patterns observed suggest a 'wild mode' activation for Bitcoin, often kickstarting a major bull run. But what makes this halving event different? With CRYPTOCAP:BTC already above its ATH, the stage is set for unprecedented growth. 💹 🧐 The Break Point: The Halving Event is often regarded as a Break Point for Bitcoin, a transformative phase that catapults it into a new valuation territory. Our projections, rooted in sophisticated economic models and historical trend analysis, point towards a bullish explosion that could redefine market expectations. 🌐 📊 Strategy for Investors: The countdown to the halving is a critical period for investors. Being early in accumulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC and altcoins could position you advantageously for the impending rally. Our advice? Don't wait for the market to move post-halving. The opportunity is now. Accumulate, diversify, and prepare for the ride of a lifetime. 📈 💥Be Part of the Revolution: #Bitcoin's halving is not just an event; it's a testament to the resilience and revolutionary nature of cryptocurrencies. Join us as we navigate through these exciting times, armed with data-driven insights and a community of passionate investors. Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the crypto space, now is the time to be part of something extraordinary. Let's embrace the future, together. 🚀🌕 #Halving2024 | #BTC | #CryptoRally
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by CrazyS
2
Catch the Wave - "1986 Coca-Cola Slogan"Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈KO has been overall bullish, trading above the red trendline. Moreover, it is approaching a demand zone marked in red. 🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #KO approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NYSE:KOLong
by TheSignalyst
1
BTC conclusionAnalysis by Ahmadarz📊 Key Observations: 1. Support Zone: - 🛡️ A significant support zone is marked around 48,987.22, which has been tested multiple times as indicated by the green arrows. - 📈 The price has recently bounced from this support, suggesting strong buying interest in this area. 2. Resistance Levels: - 🚧 Multiple resistance levels are identified at 58,312.00, 62,497.20 - 62,454.00, 68,067.36, 71,773.98, and 76,514.94. - ❌ These levels are marked with red arrows and have historically acted as barriers to upward movement. 3. Chart Patterns: - 📉 A descending triangle pattern is evident, typically a bearish pattern. However, the price has broken below the triangle but then recovered, indicating potential bullish momentum. - 🔄 The chart suggests a possible bullish reversal, with the price projected to move upward after holding above the support zone. 4. Price Action: - 💹 The current price is 55,530.01, showing a recent recovery from the lows. - 📊 There is a marked projection showing a potential upward move towards 76,514.94, passing through intermediate resistance levels. Detailed Analysis: - Bullish Scenario 📈: - 🟢 If the support at 48,987.22 holds, the price could see a gradual move upwards. - 🎯 Immediate targets would be the resistance levels at 58,312.00 and 62,497.20 - 62,454.00. - 🚀 A successful break above these levels could lead to further upside towards 68,067.36 and beyond. - Bearish Scenario 📉: - 🔴 If the price fails to hold the support at 48,987.22, we might see a retest of lower levels, potentially around 43,103.08 or even lower. - ⚠️ Failure to maintain above this critical support could indicate continued bearish pressure. Trading Strategy: 1. Entry 🛒: - Consider entering long positions near the support zone of 48,987.22 with a stop loss slightly below this level. - Alternatively, wait for a confirmed break above the immediate resistance at 58,312.00 before entering a position. 2. Targets 🎯: - Initial targets would be the resistance levels at 58,312.00 and 62,497.20 - 62,454.00. - Extended targets could be 68,067.36 , 71,773.98, and ultimately 76,514.94. 3. Stop Loss🛡️: - Place stop-loss orders below the support zone at 48,987.22 to manage risk. Conclusion: 📊 The chart suggests potential bullish momentum if key support levels hold, with several upside targets. However, traders should remain cautious and watch for any signs of weakness at the support levels. External factors and market sentiment should also be considered in conjunction with this technical analysis. 🚀📉💡
by ahmadarz
2
Elliott Wave View Calling for S&P 500 (SPX) to Extend HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View on S&P 500 (SPX) suggests rally from 8.5.2024 low is in progress as an impulse. Up from 8.5.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 5651.6 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 5402.6. Index then extended higher in wave 3 towards 5878.4 as 45 minutes chart below shows. Wave 4 pullback unfolded as a Flat Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 3, wave (a) ended at 5821.17 and rally in wave (b) ended at 5863.04. Wave (c) lower ended at 5762.4 which completed wave ((a)) in higher degree. Bounce in wave ((b)) unfolded as a zigzag structure. Up from wave ((a)), wave (a) ended at 5817.8 and wave (b) ended at 5784.92. Wave (c) higher ended at 5862.8 which completed wave ((b)) in higher degree. Index resumed lower in wave ((c)). Down from wave ((b)), wave (i) ended at 5802.17 and wave (ii) ended at 5850.94. Wave (iii) lower ended at 5702.8 and wave (iv) ended at 5772.5. Final leg wave (v) ended at 5696.06 which completed wave ((c)) of 4. The Index has turned higher in wave 5. Near term, as far as pivot at 5696.09 low stays intact, expect the Index to extend higher.
CBOE:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
AVAX vs BTC | ALTCOINS | Life Changing IF This Pattern Plays OutFractals have been used for years as possible suggestions to map how money moves in the financial market. This is what gives them significance; they draw out a sort of map. The hard part about fractals though, is that they often appear cross markets and it is no easy feat to spot similarities on large scale. However, to the seasoned eye, fractal-spotting becomes easier over time. There is a misconception that fractals can only be used in the same timeframe. This is simply because, as with Bitcoin, there is a large history of candles (data) that plays out in an elaborate pattern. Daily candlestick patterns become lost in weekly patterns, even though the general direction / macro is the same. In the case for AVAX, a similar pattern has been observed in BTC before the COVID pandemic - and it has been playout out perfectly, so far. ______________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoCheck-
1
BTC and the previous three US Election DatesThis charts the dates of the previous three US Elections (2012, 2016 and 2020) on a log chart, with price on the horizontal axis at daily candle close. As you can see, once price breaks above (sometimes next day, as in 2020, sometimes a week or more later, as in 2016 and in 2012) price has never returned - ever. Plotted are the time and percentage difference from election date to cycle ATH. On average it's 387 days apart. If things play out this time in a similar fashion we can expect this week into mid next week to be the final time BTC will be in the mid 60k per coin - ever.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Jaekus
2
BTC.D Keep calm, don't lose your headThe market will do what it always does—play with our emotions. We're all eagerly anticipating an altseason, right? But the market will test everyone’s patience, so it's wiser to stick with spot purchases and use DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) for entry. Don’t give up, and above all, don’t sell now—you’ve weathered a tough bear market. Dominance is set to decline, just as it has in previous cycles within these Fibonacci parameters. Stay calm, keep your emotions in check, and remember: patience and strategy are key.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Jaytradermb
BTC Swing Points (Linear Scale) ISTRUCTURAL AWARENESS This analysis seeks to provide structural insights by identifying key levels and understanding historical price patterns to anticipate the limits potential future scale of price movements. Indicators in use: I'd start with retrieving HH LH HL LL points by script I've designed based on Pivot Points to be as aware as possible of key levels of the historic structure: Adding altered Zig Zag that shows only percentage change of the swings. This would be another layer of the historic pattern capture: BOTTOMS: Wave analysis from '22 - '24 Logarithmic Trendline: It looks like a curve on linear scale, which we will use to link the composite but significant lows and extend it to the right. This gives a sense of a low levels which we assume would be hard to break anytime soon because of the price is a range away: Breaking below and staying under that level for more than a few bars would signal a bearish trend, depending on emerging patterns at smaller scales as price nears the curve. Since a Double Top pattern could develop, an additional line curve aligned with the HL and passing through the next bottom (black dashed curve) is necessary. If price breaches the main curve’s orange dotted line, it may descend toward the secondary curve, a significant lower boundary derived from historical curvature. A break below this level would require an even stronger bearish effort to actually keep it below because of high volatility and existing frequency of reversals. Adding short-term trendlines which would be easier to break (Red and dark orange dotted continuation of the lines) TOPS: To anticipate how high it can grow, we'll connect the extreme tops as well. 2021 ATH ➡︎ 2024 ATH 2021 TOPS 2017 ATH ➡︎ 2021 1st TOP Price breaking above "2017 ATH ➡︎ 2021 1st TOP" is a sign to switch to log scale where identical distance resembles identical % change to capture a bigger scale move relative to the structure.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by fract
SMCI *Huge Update*I know my charts are not pretty and I look pretty stupid a lot of the times. BUT. I noticed something very strange with the time cycle charting tool. I was measuring the tops and bottoms to find out that the bottoming process on SMCI is scheduled to happen just before NVDA earnings. Meaning... if SMCI follows the cycle we will see a huge dump before the 22nd-23rd of May. Then, after all retail investors are shaken out and people fear the recession/earnings, it will rocket up to make one more all time high run :) High chance of being wrong but I love to share my ideas with you all! Let me know what you see and lets talk about it.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by LeapTrades
33