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BA Trade Setup into Earnings by Fib Retrace / Volume ProfileBA is shown on a marked up 120 minute chart with a Volume Profile and Fibonnaci retracement levels as well as the trend angle reversal at the consolidation upon finding support at the bottom of the high-volume area of the profile. The fib levels suggest targets. Risk in the trade is after earnings reports of "beats" will drive the action higher or "misses" will cause a down trajectory. Volatility will increase as the earnings date quickly approaches. Some traders may want to close a winning trade just before earnings or take a predominant partial close leaving the the rest to move through the storm looking for blue sky. I have a risk appetite here. I will take call options for February 5th striking OTM at $240. I will cut them no later than 24 hours before earnings or when they hit 200% if that happens beforehand.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
7
CAn Boeing weather the storm BA LongBA on a daily chart is trading in the bottom portion of its intermediate-term trading range having incurred a series of adverse news catalysts, FAA investigation and loss of trader sentiment. It is now in the lower portion of the high volume area and below the POC line. There are multiple touches of a horizontal support before and after a big earnings beat. The question now is whether BA can mount a good fibonacci retracement of the prior downtrend. I believe that it is quietly acumulating volume and shares at a given price for a solid base from which to make a trending move upside to the Fibonacci levels on the chart and perhaps in time after another good earnings head toward the pivot high of last year. I will go long from here finding good cause to buy at this discount.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
Is BA accumulating for an another leg higher ? LONGOn this 120 minute chart of BA where price is a blue line I have superimposed a RSI from the 4H time frame. Each is on its own scale RSI is 0-100 while BA is the actual price level. This set up detects divergences to forecast near-future price action. One the chart text box comments serve to explain this a bit more. Basically if price is flat and RSI is rising divergence is there. Likewise if RSI is falling and price is sideways there is bearish divergence. It follows that when the RSI line is above price and price is rising, if the slope of RSI exceeds the slope of price, that is a bullish bias. If price is falling and is above the RSI which is falling faster that is a bearish bias. At this time, I believe that institutions are making small ( for them ) incremental buys trying not to move price until they get their quota. Price is currently below the mean VWAP anchored into the distant past. Most buying and volatity will occur at that price. I want to get in early. I will buy call options above current price near to the VWAP so striking $210. So far BA has been very good to me actually a cash cow because of the strategy used. I have two contracts at $220 for July. If things go well with this trade, I will use the profits to buy a contract for expiration in September and spread the risk over more time as a risk-off strategy. A stock share long trade is good from here for an investor but the price ranging is not enough for your average trader. Fundamentally BA has had plenty of good news and bad news. I focus on the good news. The new contracts to buy coming out of India and Thailand point to future earnings stability something that suggests the time to trade is now.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
DSP Earnings Call 03/04 After Market CloseThis stock is a small DSP (demand-side platform) set to experience some growth as one of the alternative media spends as google sunsets 3rd party cookies from chrome. Most companies should have been contracting late last year into early this year rather than act reactively in Q3 of 2024 when 100% of cookies are said to be done away with. I started buying in the $4 dollar range but have continued to add to my position. Full disclosure: I also have a small set of oom calls from now until end of the year. This is not financial advice but I do enjoy community feedback on my trades occasionally. I also thought to post this because reddit as a whole completely ignore this ticker so maybe someone who wouldn't have otherwise seen this might. Good luck, this is not financial advice nor should it be considered to be. Might add more to my position Monday depending on how we open.
NASDAQ:DSPLong
by MentalMango
AMC Earnings Build-upQuick disclaimer, I've posted many Ideas for this stock expecting an uptrend and they haven't panned out, but I'm going to pull out my inner Michael Burry and claim that I don't think I'm wrong, I'm just early. AMC is currently being pinched in two downtrends that date back to Aug 24th and 25th. The closer resistance would require the stock to break/stay above 4 dollars (as of tomorrow, Feb 8th). That number goes down every day after that. The support on this downtrend would have AMC needing to stay above 3$ at the time of earnings on Feb 28th But TA has let us down before, so let's talk about earnings: Analysts' expected revenue is 1.046B. AMC has met or beaten revenue expectations every single quarter since the initial COVID quarter, which hints to the possible re-occurrence for Q4 2023. Maybe analysts don't exactly know how to calculate/predict AMC's revenue. Even less now that AMC released their own movies (T. Swift + Beyonce). Nobody knows exactly how much they made from those. On top of that, there's all the new merch they've been coming out with, popcorn at new stores, their own candy line (which according to Twitter and Reddit, Apes went out and bought like mad for the holidays) AND the AMC VISA Credit Card, of which it is pretty much impossible to predict the revenue from (and I'm optimistic considering VISA destroyed their last earnings)... I strongly expect an Earnings Beat. In terms of future outlook, which is also very important in determining the direction of a stock price post-earnings, Q1 will be the absolute weakest of the year for sure. But that doesn't mean it'll be terrible, or even bad. It's kind of too bad Dune 2 isn't released until after earnings. Having just one weekend before the call would give us a greater idea of how the quarter will finish but, if anything, a successful first weekend for Dune 2 immediately after a positive earnings call will just keep the momentum going. The rest of the year has many more blockbusters to come. This will be my last Idea for AMC, I'll just keep expanding on it from here. I'm so bullish that I am absolutely sure that we are hovering around the bottom. Once we start going up, there's no looking back.
NYSE:AMCLong
by BakedSpud32
12
DVN - Live analysis and why we could see a reversal soonSomeone asked me for my thoughts on DVN and I thought it would be a good opportunity to do a live analysis of how I get my charts to look the way they do (messy). The further you go down in timeframe, the more algorithms you start to see and create. But here is an initial Daily bias to go on - and look to see some of these long-term selling channels broken in order to see a larger move and sustained uptrend. Happy Trading :)
NYSE:DVN
by ReigningTrades
3
WDAY, this software company reports today LONGWDAY provides software for large enterprises; it reports Monday the 26th after market hours. On the 15-minute chart, it is surging. A recent news catalyst was an upgrade to a target of $ 350. My call options went double digits from a buy on Friday the 23rd at the opening bell. This looks like a good one for earnings scalping whether it is with shares or a call option. (The $320 call option for 3/1 is up 42% so far since the morning open). WDAY is part of the AI trend; the real question is how much AI integration is built out at this time and what is waiting for design and testing before deployment.
NASDAQ:WDAYLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
GE Buy the Pullback ( Flip the switch) now LONG I previously published the idea of shorting GE. It has now pulled back more than 4% on the retreacement. The short idea paid well using put options to profit from the pump of earnings expectations. Earnings were great but the run up was too much for traders. GE has now retreated and is ready for a long entry. Price is now in the undervalued range of both the short and intermediate term VWAP bands. The target is $99.99which is basically the price immediately before the earnings report. Confirmation is tbe zero lag MACD where the K/D lines crossed under the histogram and are heading together to cross over the zero line while the histogram flipped from negative to positive. Call options in the money expiring 5/5 are considered.
NYSE:GELong
by AwesomeAvani
4
RIVN guides itself lower- but is it a dip buy? SHORTRIVN spends more to produce of its nice truck than it sells them for. This is a recipe for a disaster which is now baking in the oven Earnings have plummeted. If guidance was better than realities forecast there might be a dip buy here. i have a variety of positions shorting RIVN when it runs a countertrend correction I will take a hedging long position until the correction is over. I use these shorts to balance my portfolio against risk from an overall falling market. Balanced in short vs long positions dollar for dollar and in the options balanced in expiration times spread across the next almost two years. I find this keeps the portfolio safe. I also look to LCID for a similar scenario while having a bullish bias on WKHS. NKLA is a whole 'nother story. SHORT RIVN do not dip buy . The chart is what you might expect. The disaster is what it is. This is basically a falling wedge and no where near impending a breakout upside.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by AwesomeAvani
DOW breaking out of it's downtrend?DOW Inc. had been downtrending for quite some time (since it made a double-top peak in April of '22). But, I'm seeing signs of life. On the monthly timeframe, it's squeezing with rising momentum. On the weekly timeframe, the squeeze fired 2 bars ago and, there's a Daily squeeze primed to fire long. Combine that with the fact that it just formed a nice cup & handle as it broke through the downtrend line and I think the squeeze could provide enough juice for a run up to that resistance just in time for earnings.
NYSE:DOWLong
by ThetaGator
SHW Multi-Time-Frame Squeeze SHW has a history of making outsized moves on the back of Daily Squeeze action. In the recent past, it has moved in "harmonic" 50+ point surges. If the next daily squeeze fires long, I look for it to run up to it's prior high at $354. If it behaves like it did last quarter, this could happen on the run up into earnings. Thankfully, we're 1 month out, which gives us the added benefit of rising IV in the options. I'll buy calls or call butterflies and look to exit prior to the earnings event (to avoid IV crush and the event risk)!
NYSE:SHWLong
by ThetaGator
PLTR pre-earnings play LONGPLTR has earnings on February 5 while on the 120 minute chart, the price action is that of a rising wedge with price compressing between a rising support trendline and a falling resistance trendline the extension of the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern of November. PLTR fell today and is near and above support. In a long trade, I see the target as 18 ( at the resistance trendline) with a narrow stop loss just under the support trendline. This makes for a possible 6% profit with a very good reward-to-risk ratio. A call option for the 2/16 expiration striking $17 is also under immediate consideration.
PLong
by AwesomeAvani
14
JBL (Long) - an outperforming value-playFundamentals The market is obviously overbought (still expecting a pullback), which could potentially give space to the stock to consolidate and form a cup-and-handle formation Fundamentally, the company is sound - it has seen a decrease in demand, reflected in the decrease of revenue. However, efficiency gains meant that profit has gone up regardless, hence the price rise. The earning are currently pricing another fall in revenue (yet, the price is still rising), hence a potential beat could serve as a nice boost to the share price. Why am I interested in a firm with declining revenue? Because it has a lot of things going - the firm is expanding into various sectors (including healthcare, semiconductor equipment, and AI-driven data centers), which gives it a diversified customer base + it has signed a massive $2.2bn agreement with BYD , giving it an entry into the EV market Cheap - P/E ratio of 23, despite the rise in price (based on Willliam O'Neill - the biggest winners of his careers had a starting P/E between 20-40) Only problem is a pretty high level of debt Technicals The usual - accumulated base , currently on the verge of breaking the upper resistance Another way to look at it is a broken bullish pennant The most likely scenario I see is a consolidation along with the market and then breaking either close to the earnings or on earnings The bottom indicator shows a recent outperformance compared to S&P500 Stochastics has been in the upper range for a while - again, showing that it will probably pull back for a little while Trade There are plenty way to go about it - I will likely choose to wait until the stock price consolidates around the resistance and wait for a breakout If the breakout happens now, I would once again advise to enter the trade, but with the caveat of giving the trade more space for a potential pullback back to the support Of course, if the stock starts receding from here, the trade is off; same goes for a failed break out Main caveat is the earnings - if the stock disappoints, then once again, the trade wouldn't be advisable Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NYSE:JBLLong
by jurajholik
PSN Engineering Consultants /Design LONGParsons reports in 2 days. This multinational engineering firm thrives on infrastructure projects like highways and bridges, airport runways and other engineering issues such as cybersecurity walware attacks, election interference, DOS wars, dams, irrigation projects, 100-year storm assessments and FEMA related work. I am very familiar with this multinational firm that someday will be consulting on the rebuilt of Ukraine and the Gaza Strip. It is a stable company with a bright and prosperous future. The chart shows investors reacting to the impending earnings report and taking positions. Volatility was extreme last Thursday one week before earnings. I will be adding to my long position in PSN. This is a slow and steady wins the race type of stock best suited to long term investors or traders with options strategies.
NYSE:PSNLong
by AwesomeAvani
Still room to run to 420 (at least)META target by end of Feb 2024 is 420. 3 most likely paths to target: 1) 1pt solid black arrow = earnings pop to 405-413 and then continue to 420 by 2/7/2024 2) 2pt (thick) solid black arrow = earnings pop and then run to 420 by 2/21 (more conservative) 3) 2pt (thick) grey arrow = drop to 373-378 after earnings which would get bought up fast and then run to 420 by end of Feb. (would be great opportunity to enter long). Not playing this for earnings but it should be a good indicator for what market will do mid-term. My expectation is SPY will continue higher to 500+, and the earnings today 2/1 will be a catalyst for this. I think at least 2 of 3 of the big tech earnings will be bullish todaym maybe all 3: META to 420 AMZN to 164 AAPL to 198
NASDAQ:METALong
by JerryManders
11
Waste Management WM uptrending since prior earningsWM is impending earnings in the next trading day. It is a demonstration that there is money to be made in the efficient collection of garbage and recyclables On the daily chart, since the earnings beat, it has trended up through a high volume area breakout and a breakout across series of VWAP lines and bands anchored in the intermediate past. The volumes have been consistent. The RSI indicator shows both the lower and higher time frame lines above the 50 level since those earnings. I see this as an add to one of my investment portfolios as it is a relatively slow mover with dividends. On traders with long duration swing trades will pay attention to it. An options call trade in the lead up into earnings will mature on February 16th This is a blue chip stock; it does not get headlines it just works hard month in and month out. In my opinion, nothing is wrong with that.
NYSE:WMLong
by AwesomeAvani
ABNB: price structure The macro structure is bullish from Dec'22 low with important price zones at: 198-217, 227-260 and 282-322 as inter-mediate and ultimate resistance areas for suggested impulsive structure. The gap-up set-up on earnings today is in the cards for price to move towards 198-217 area. But if price decides to consolidate more138-128 area should be an important support zone. If price goes bellow 128 suggested price structure needs to be revised. Thank you for your attention!
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by artemfedorov
ABNB (Long) - end of the choppiness? Looking at my past track record, I am becoming somewhat of a fanless guru hahah - I better knock on some wood; otherwise the market goods give me a losing streak like I have never seen. However, it is nice to see how these age-old rules coupled with some patience work. Anyways, enough of bragging and lets get to the trade Fundamentals The market is disgustingly overbought , so this trade is on only if the NASDAQ:ABNB earnings deliver Overall, right now, I would only purchase stocks that have already posted blockbuster earnings, otherwise I am in expectations of a pullback that should last at least a couple of weeks (c. 2-4) Considering how ridiculous are some valuations getting in the market, ABNB is actually priced quiet reasonably, almost conservatively The company is pretty much printing money with a net profit margin of 58% (up from 20% a year ago) ,which is, honestly, incredible, hence the P/E of 'only' 18 The earnings have grown by 253% yoy, and the revenue is steadily marching higher The firm is not bending under a pile of debt with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.2 - so, no interest burdens Technicals Given that Airbnb is a famous and popular brand, it is almost shocking how badly the stock has been performing since the IPO, having moved basically nowhere However, the chart has been putting in the work to build us a nicer a picture (an accumulating base) and we are nearing something that could potentially be a marvellous breakout, which is not incidentally coinciding with upcoming earnings Throughout this whole period, the stock has been gradually being accumulated with almost no major distribution periods (check the indicator) Indicators like MACD and Stochastics showing strong momentum Trade This part is a bit tricky - if the earnings disappoint, then the trade is probably off because the setup goes to sh**; if the stock shows strong earnings than we can probably expect a major pop, which means we will have to be chasing But if you backtest strong earnings , you can see that it is worth chasing even a major earnings pop - the price tends to carry on performing strongly (e.g. NASDAQ:ARM , NYSE:PLTR etc. - from some of the recent examples) 'Meeting estimates' results that would barely move the stock is probably good, but I would wait a bit for more stock price action If the stock pops, but there is no follow through - is usually a bad signal and should be watched out for Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by jurajholik
The NWS double top is looking even more bearish than yesterday.This chart looks even more bearish than it did a few days ago. Not only does it have a double top pattern and a bearish divergence, but it now has a candle wick that has dropped below the bottom trend line. Certainly not all, but many times, this can be the 'nail in the coffin' that tips off traders that price is about to break out of the wedge pattern to the downside. At this point, I'm extremely bearish, but will be running a tight stop 1.5% above the upper trend line. Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
NASDAQ:NWSShort
by MetaShackle