DOW JONES: Final pump before correction.Dow Jones turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.241, MACD = -34.600, ADX = 33.114) after more than three weeks as it smashed past our target and even crossed over the R1 level (34,150). The inevitable formation of a Golden Cross on the 4H timeframe, indicates that this sequence has one more High left to give on the LH and HH trendlines cross.
The 4H MACD Bearish Cross is very much like October 12th, both took off on a Double Bottom Bullish Cross. This is our last short term buy (TP = 34,500).
See how well our prior idea has worked:
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Dowjones
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 08/11/2023 (+ Higher TF)We are still working on the wave (2) as an ABC structure. The wave B is unfolding as an ABC pattern. As we came close to the wave (2) area and based on the NASDAQ and S&P 500 analyses, the alternative scenario calls for the end of wave (2) as a WXYXZ structure. Price action in the lower time frame will further guide us in these two scenarios.
US30 short term Shorts towards 33000.0As I am still bullish on US30 this idea is a temporary move that I see playing out due to the past couple days being very bullish. As im expecting a pull back/retracement of some sort, I will be looking to take the sells at the 22hr supply zone. I will wait and see for price to show me its hands then go from there. As price hasnt slowed down yet im still waiting for price to distribute soon so we can take sells back down towards 33000.0
Scenario (A) - Is just for price to enter an area of supply which is at the 22hr supply zone. Then we will need our lower time frame confirmation to tell us that price is ready to drop like a choch and a wyckoff distribution. There is a 3hr supply below however, I feel like it will get violated hence why I will be waiting for the 22hr as that zone has also swept liquidity above.
Scenario (B) - Is for Price to sweep this major high and retrace back down towards our designated target around 33000.0. This is were im expecting price to slow down and accumilate orders for us to start entering our buy positions. Then from there we will ride with the trend up to maybe new higher highs.
Confluences for US30 shorts are as follows:
- Dollar has shifted trend to the downside so im expecting this market to be bullish.
- Price has had a lot of impulsive moves to the upside that it needs to come back and retrace back to.
- Price is approaching level of strong supply that will potentially cause price to come back down to a cheaper price so we can enter our buys.
- There are lots of imbalances below as well on HTF and if price wants to continue going back up it needs to retrace and pick up liquidity to beign a new rally.
P.S. I am expecting US30 to make new ATH's so if we get into buys we could possibly hold all the way to premium price levels. This is also backed by DXY as if thats now going down I will be expecting this market to rally up even more. In addition to this, sentiment analysis also expects US30 and NASDAQ to be very bullish which adds to our confluence for FUTURE buys!
DOW JONES Above the 1day MA50 after almost 2 months!Dow Jones / US30 crossed on Friday over the 1day MA50 for the first time since September 15.
It hit Resistance A (34150) which was the October 17th High and completed so far 5 green days in a row almost at the top of the Bearish Megaphone.
The long term pattern is a Channel Up, so there is still considerable upside left.
The 1day RSI also crossed over its Falling Resistance much like the March 29th fractal, which after a short consolidation on Resistance A, it hit Fibonacci 0.786.
Buy if the price crosses over the Bearish Megaphone and target 34950 (0.786 Fibonacci).
Previous chart:
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DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 02/11/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a corrective move down. The primary scenario is now suggesting that this happens as an ABC. The five waves down from the high might also indicate a bearish flat scenario. In the lower time frame, we did not respect the wave ((iv)) area of a potential wave 5 of wave A. Therefore, it looks like we are doing a WXY and the corrective wave X is now ending.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 01/11/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a corrective move down. The primary scenario is now suggesting that this happens as an ABC. The five waves down from the high might also indicate a bearish flat scenario. In the lower time frame, the final wave ((v)) of wave 5 of wave A looks incomplete. If we do not respect the wave ((iv)) area, it looks like we will have a WXY instead of an ABC.
DOW JONES: Started rising, at least on the short term.Dow Jones went from oversold to neutral on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 51.457, MACD = -63.520, ADX = 28.038) as the price bottomed on the LL trendline of the three month Channel Down and rebounded straight to the 4H MA50 today. This is the short term Resistance, a closing above it confirms the 2nd part of the rally to the 4H MA200.
The 4H MACD is on the same Double Bullish Cross bottom formation as October 4th. The rally that followed rose by +4.05%. Consequently our bullish target (TP = 33,500) is under a max +4.05% range, as well as the 4H MA200 and the dashed LH trendline.
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Dow Jones Formed A Leading Diagonal?Dow Jones Industrial sector is the strongest this week and we can see sharp and impulsive intraday stabilization that can cause a bigger recovery in upcoming weeks, but ideally only within a higher degree A-B-C corrective rally in wave B after we spotted a larger leading diagonal from the highs into wave A. So, we will still have to be aware of another sell-off on stocks, but maybe later, at the end of 2023 or beginning of 2024.
DOW JONES Best buy opportunity in the last 7 months.Dow Jones (DJI) hit the bottom of the long-term Channel Up pattern by completing leg (e). This is a similar structure to the (a) - (e) sequence that bottomed on March 15. Technically this is the best buy opportunity on the index in the last 7 months. On top of that, the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows during the prices (d) - (e) wave, showcasing a huge Bullish Divergence, the first such since February 24 2022! We can't ignore however the potential 1D Death Cross formation and any bullish approach has to be adjusted short-term.
As for the target, the March rally breached marginally above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, therefore giving us the framework to target 35000 (Resistance 1 + 0.786 Fib). Be careful, as failure and/ or rejection on the 34150 October 17 High, will be a bearish signal, aiming at a Lower Low, potentially near Support 2.
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DOW JONES Time to buy the dip again.Dow Jones / US30 reached our desired buy level based on our last idea (chart at the bottom), which is exactly at the bottom of the 11 month Channel Up.
It kept the 1week MA200 intact once again (has been since October 2022), so that maintains the long term trend bullish.
The shorter pattern is a Bearish Megaphone and as mentioned previously, our target is for the time being and until a break out takes place, inside this pattern.
Target 33600, which is under the 1week MA50, under which all of October's candles have closed.
Previous chart:
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DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 31/10/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a corrective move down. The primary scenario is now suggesting that this happens as an ABC. The five waves down from the high might also indicate a bearish flat scenario. In the lower time frame, the final wave ((v)) of wave 5 of wave A looks incomplete.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Important Structure Breakout
US30 Index dropped heavily on Friday.
The market successfully violated a major horizontal demand area.
The broken structure 32570 - 32970 turned into supply zone now.
I will expect a bearish movement from that at least to 31850 level.
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US30 (DJIUSD) Daily Outlook by Kingsley
Dow Jones seems pretty much bearish. Am expecting push back to 32642 area where price has formed resistance after which slight consolidation and downwards drop follows.
I would take advantage of the support level tags as target(1,2,3) and my profit levels
NOTE: This is just analysis based on price structure and not a trade advice.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 30/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, we are working on a corrective move down. The primary scenario is now suggesting that this happens as an ABC. The five waves down from the high might also indicate a bearish flat scenario. In the lower time frame, the final wave ((v)) of wave 5 of wave A looks incomplete.
Dow Jones Trade IdeaHello Traders, Base on technical and wave analysis we see this scenario for #US30 for next move. let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.