$DJI warnings signs but not all is darkGood Morning!!!
Let's dissect a few things.
The DJ:DJI is showing warning signs on the Weekly Chart:
Money has been leaving.
Harder to see on a daily so showing on weekly.
RSI is also weak.
Daily
The DOW is trading under shorter term moving avgs.
The RSI is at an important juncture, 50.
$ flow almost under 0.
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There are some positives to the DJ:DJI :
There is an Inverse head & shoulder pattern. Although this pattern is better @ calling lows. Of course, if it holds the 38.5k Support Level.
37.5k & 37k would be the next support areas before the retest of the MAJOR SUPPORT level, which is the old all time highs.
Sell in May go away?
Still bullish but weak spot for the average.
Dowjones
DOW JONES Should this Bearish Cross worry us?The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) hit our 40000 Target that we set on our May 06 idea (see chart below) and after that experienced a sharp pull-back:
So far this is within the lines of a natural technical correction correction towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which during uptrends tends to be re-tested as a Support. Notice also that this is where the 0.382 Fibonacci level is, an important technical Support during pull-backs.
As long as it holds, the Channel Up has the much needed Higher Low that can enable it to move to a Higher High. We expect that to be around 41500 (+6.30% rise, similar to the previous Bullish Leg).
On the other hand, since the 1D MACD completed a Bearish Cross yesterday, we need to consider the possibility of a deeper pull-back, as the last 1D MACD Bearish Cross (April 02), delivered a -6.88% decline. As a result, if the 1D MA50 breaks though, we will take that small loss and go on a short-term sell instead, targeting 38350 (0.618 Fibonacci level).
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US30 (DowJones) - 4H a bearish correctionThe Dow Jones has recently captured liquidity above the previous high, as indicated by the sharp move and subsequent rejection from the highlighted resistance zone.
This failure to consolidate above the resistance suggests that the bullish momentum has temporarily exhausted, and we could see a retracement.
The price is likely to pull back to the green support zones marked on the chart before attempting another bullish push.
Traders should watch for potential buy opportunities at these support levels, anticipating a bounce and continuation of the upward trend after this correction.
US30 Forecast US30 New Forecast
Nasdaq and S&P 500 Futures Rise on Chip Stock Rally Following Nvidia’s Positive Revenue Forecast
Futures tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq and the benchmark S&P 500 climbed on Thursday as chip stocks rallied, bolstered by Nvidia's optimistic revenue forecast, which strengthened investor confidence in the rapid growth of artificial intelligence technology.
Traders anticipate the U.S. central bank will reduce interest rates by nearly 40 basis points by year-end (FEDWATCH). Additionally, markets closely monitor economic data scheduled for release throughout the day, including weekly jobless claims, S&P Global flash PMIs, and housing figures.
Technical Side:
As noted in the previous chart, the price corrected to the support line at 39,540.
Now, it will remain in the bullish zone as long as it trades above 39,540, targeting 39,790 and potentially 40,005. However, if it stabilizes below 39,540, the price is likely to drop to 39,360.
Pivot line: 39650
Resistance Prices: 39850, 40005, 40130
Support Prices: 39360, 39070, 38790
The movement range will be between support 39360 and Resistance 40130
US30 (Sensitive Consolidation Movement )Dow Jones New Forecast
You should see a few more months of inflation data that appear to be falling (before any prices are lowered)
The price corrected to their support line as we mentioned in the previous chart,
so now still has a consolidation between 39790 and 40005 till breaking, from this support line will try to start a bullish trend toward 40005, and above it will get 40130 and more
otherwise closing 4h candle under 39785 means will drop to get 39580
Pivot line: 39790
Resistance Prices: 40005, 40130, 40420
Support Prices: 39570, 39360, 39070
The movement range will be between support 39790 and Resistance 40130
Previous idea:
US30. Weekly trading levels 20 - 24.05.2024Indices are at highs. We haven’t been to the top yet, there’s no data there. If we update the historical maximum, we can find out more in the Daily Posts.
During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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DOW JONES: Channel Up targeting 41,400Dow Jones is supported by the 4H MA50 and just turned technically bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 55.413, MACD = 58.400, ADX = 34.689). As long as it does, we are bullish, aiming at another +5.03% rise (TP = 41,400).
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DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Waiting for FOMC
Do not forget, traders, that tomorrow we are expecting FOMC.
Ahead of these fundamentals, US30 started to consolidate
within a narrow intraday range on a 4H time frame.
I will wait for its bullish breakout for a strong bullish confirmation.
4H candle close above that will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
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US30 (Rally Movement...)Nvidia Reports on the Horizon, Wall Street Gains Pre-Bell; Asian and European Markets Up
Wall Street futures indicated a slight rise pre-bell Monday as traders processed the final stages of the earnings season.
Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is scheduled to announce its earnings after the market closes on Wednesday. This week will also see financial results from Lowe's ( NYSE:LOW ), PDD ( NASDAQ:PDD ), and Intuit ( NASDAQ:INTU ).
On Wednesday afternoon, the US Federal Reserve will publish minutes from its most recent policy meeting.
Wix.com ( NASDAQ:WIX ) shares increased by 7.8% pre-bell following the company’s report of higher Q1 adjusted earnings and revenue.
In futures trading, the S&P 500 increased by 0.1%, the Nasdaq rose by 0.2%, and the Dow Jones remained steady.
Overnight, Asian markets mostly traded higher, while European stocks turned positive by midday.
Technically :
The Dow Jones has reached a new all-time high.
Stability above 40005 suggests the bullish trend will continue towards 40130 and 40420. Conversely, if the price stabilizes below 40005, it is likely to drop to 39790.
Pivot line: 40005
Resistance Prices: 40130, 40420, 40730
Support Prices: 39820, 39540, 39360
The movement range will be between support 39790 and Resistance 40420
Trapped traders provides a great Short opportunity on DOW The plan for the session was to trade short off resistance on the DOW after an initial opening drive higher. The short side was the play and paid out nicely for patient sellers.
In the video I talk through the key Price Action for the move and prime trade areas on the DOW Index.
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Dowjones is benefiting from the bearish momentum of DXYHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session, we're eyeing a potential buying opportunity on the US30 around the 39730 zone. The US30 is currently amidst an uptrend but undergoing a corrective phase, nearing the crucial support and resistance area at 39730. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the US Dollar Index typically exhibit a negative correlation due to various intertwined factors. Investors often view the US Dollar as a safe-haven asset, seeking it during times of market uncertainty, while turning to riskier investments like equities, represented by the Dow Jones, when market sentiment is positive. Additionally, a weaker dollar can benefit multinational companies listed on the Dow Jones by making their exports more competitive globally, potentially boosting corporate earnings and stock prices. Changes in US Federal Reserve's monetary policy, commodity prices, and inflation also contribute to this inverse relationship, as fluctuations in the USD can impact both the stock market and commodity prices. Therefore, when the DXY shows bearish momentum, it tends to coincide with bullish sentiment in the Dow Jones as investors pursue higher returns in equities amid a depreciating currency.
Dow Jones Index (US30) Get Ready For Breakout
Dow Jones closed this week, approaching a horizontal resistance
based on a current All Time High.
Because the trend is strongly bullish, probabilities will be high
that the price will break that.
Daily candle close above the underlined area will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
US30, DowJones. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
----------------------------------------------
I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no arrows with direction), so zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Comments are welcome. Feedback is very important to me!
Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures Short-Term Video Idea#DJIA EASYMARKETS:DOWUSD
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All time high! Dow Jones bricht die 40,000-Marke! Der Dow Jones Industrial Average hat Geschichte geschrieben und kurzzeitig die 40.000-Punkte-Marke zum ersten Mal überhaupt durchbrochen! Diese bemerkenswerte Leistung unterstreicht den starken Aufwärtstrend, der den Markt derzeit antreibt. Lass mal einen kurzen Blick darauf werfen.
WHSELFINVEST:WALLSTREETCFD
Gleitende Durchschnitte bestätigen Stärke: Der Kurs des Dow liegt deutlich über seinen 50-, 100- und 200-Tage-Gleitenden Durchschnitten, was ein starkes Indiz für einen anhaltenden Aufwärtstrend ist.
40.000: Psychologischer Widerstand? Auch wenn der Ausbruch zweifellos bedeutend ist, ist es ratsam, einen sofortigen Einstieg mit Vorsicht anzugehen. Die 40.000er-Marke könnte als psychologischer Widerstand dienen und möglicherweise zu einer Konsolidierung oder Rücksetzern führen, bevor der Aufwärtstrend sich definitiv in Richtung neuer Höchststände fortsetzt.
Trendkanalanalyse: Der Trendkanal auf dem Tages-Chart, der die Aufwärtsdynamik seit Ende Oktober 2023 nachzeichnet, zeigt den aktuellen Kurs in der Nähe der Mitte des Kanals. Diese Positionierung ist ein weiterer Hinweis auf einen anhaltenden Aufwärtstrend, könnte aber auch auf einen möglichen Rücksetzer auf die Unterstützungsmarke von 39.000 hindeuten, bevor sich die Rallye möglicherweise fortsetzt.
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SIGNAL: Go LONG on US30 - 15 May 2024Like, comment and share with your peers!
I would be looking for bullish moves on US30 today provided price remains above 39500.
1 hour price bar(candlestick) has closed above a range that started mid NY session yesterday. The range formed shortly after a 211 pips pump.
Find my confluences below;
✅Price at psychological level?
✅Has there been a recent intraday range?
✅Do you see 30 mins or 1 hr price bar closure outside recent range?
✅Will position be in the direction of 4hr and Daily trend ?
✅Has nearby wicks to the lefthand side been identified and marked as potential problem area/TPx?
With these ticked, i choose my entry and SL accordingly with the intention of giving my trade a second chance if my SL is hit
Position Parameters
Entry 39588 - 39609
Textbook SL - 39543.38 (means flexible - put SL as occasion serves you and give the trade a second chance if SL is hit)
Tp - 39801.65 (see partial TP levels on the screen)
Drop a comment to let me know if you have picked up a thing or two form my analysis
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
FEDERAL DEBT priced in the DOW JONES is too HIGH!Those dollars that the US government owes must be inflated away!
As paying back 33 Trillion dollars is not feasible in today's version of dollars.
So they must be paid in even more worthless dollar currency units.
If the US government stops spending they will send the US economy into a recession.
They must continue to pump money into the economy and the stock market.
The con job that inflation is under control is a lie.. and we will continue to see higher prices the rest of the decade albeit at a slower rate.
BUT even 2% annual inflation compounded will erode purchasing power quickly as we have seen in the past. And I have charted before.
I believe we will continue to see the stock market ramp up the next two quarters before taking a summer break.
The underlying hidden to most, inflation trend, will continue to inflate revenues and earnings for most stocks going forward.
The bottom line is that Inflation is a FRAUD perpetuated on the people by the Government.
They print and spend the money first, and then the workers get it after beingTAXED and after prices have gone up.
Then they TAX you on the gain in asset prices! :)
So if u can invest in assets that are in wrapped up Tax free vehicles --- seek those out.
#Crypto can be a way to supercharge your returns for periods of time,
but come with inherent, built in volatility ---
most people walk away with, what could have been stories -- rather than life changing returns
Are #Stocks expensive? No measured against M2 money supplyThe 2000 Top was still the "real" peak of the US stock market
Built obviously on the expectation that the internet would change the world and teh global economy.
This highlights how the market foresees the future and how market participants are forward looking.
The #DownJones index is still 50% down form that peak
on this chart you can multiple chart patterns tat have played out previously
HVF's, double top, head & shoulder tops, and inv H&S bottoms
currently in a 22 year continuation inv head and shoulders which is still in progress
my stance is Top in April/May 24 .... downdraft into the election and a run up for 2/3 years into the Giga Uber TOP