Dowjones
DOW JONES Correction isn't over yet. See where to buy.The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) made initially a direct hit on our July 05 (see 1st chart below) 41000 Target and following the rejection then, is on its way of hitting the 39200 downside Target (July 17, 2nd chart below) as well:
Zooming out to the long-term pattern again after a while, we can still see that the dominant technical structure is a Channel Up that first started on the September 30 2022 inflation crisis bottom.
On the more medium-term, we can isolate a (dashed) Channel Up that started on the April 19 2024 Low. It appears that the current correction is technically its new Bearish Leg. Symmetrically, we should be expecting the new Higher Low to make contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is our first buy entry.
The second is just below the 0.5 Fibonacci Channel level, which can potentially make near contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), a strong long-term Support. That scenario is drawn based on the October 27 2023 bottom which was after a symmetrical correction (-9.25%) with the March 20 2023 bottom. Similarly, the current Bearish Leg could be symmetrical (-6.84%) with the correction that led to the April 18 2024 Low.
For both buy entries, our new long-term Target will be 42400 (Higher High on the medium-term Channel Up).
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US30 - Bearish Momentum Amid Anticipated GDP Data ReleaseTechnical Analysis: US30
Current Outlook:
The price is in a strong bearish trend, with potential targets at 39575 and 39400, particularly if the GDP data exceeds expectations.
Bullish Scenario:
To establish a bullish trend, the price must stabilize above 40060, aiming for 40270 and 40420. An uptrend movement will be likely if the GDP results are lower than expected by approximately 1.4% to 1.6%.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below 40060, the bearish trend will persist. For a more precise bearish outlook, the price should stabilize below 39780, targeting 39575 and 39400.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 39945
- Resistance Levels: 40060, 40250, 40420
- Support Levels: 39780, 39575, 39400
Today's Expected Range:
The price is expected to fluctuate between the support at 39400 and the resistance at 40420.
previous idea:
US30 ( BREAKOUT CHANNEL ) (4H)US30
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , after breakout channel .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of turning level around 40,300 , so if the price breaking this level reach a first resistance level , as long as price trading below this level reach a first support level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 40,674, for reach this resistance the price it will be breaking turning level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 41,019 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 39,861 , for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below a turning level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 39,469, for reach this level the price will be breaking by open 1h or 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE : the price may be corrective turning level at 40,300 , before drooping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL :0.63 , 0.67 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.57 ,0.54 .
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST July 22-26th: OIL INDICES GOLD SILVERThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast JuLY 22 - 26th
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US OIL UK OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Dow Jones, interpretation of where we areDespite the fact that i calculated the dates, this is just my calculation and correction could easily end in 2033rd, but for now we are monitoring the index and in the future it will be clearer to us where we are, and idea can be updated.
According to my interpretation, the bull market ended in 2021 and now we are in a rising sideways leg, which should end at the beginning or end of summer 2024.
I have two prefered calculation's of target for rising sideway's leg(wave, local rally):
1)39150$ +-500$
2)39950$
Then we go to 1st area(white lines) and bear market within flat should last about 1 year.
Next rally(leg) in the context of the expected flat correction should end around 36000$ in Spring of 2027.
And i hope that all the correction will be finished in March of 2028(Prefered, because it should be fast destroy like tsunami) or December 2029, at the 2nd area(red lines), so we won't be too old by then.)
Bearish Trend Expected Below Key Resistance at 40420Technical Analysis: US30
The price has reached the resistance level of 40420, as mentioned in the previous analysis, and has since dropped, consolidating between 40060 and 40420.
Current Outlook:
The US30 is expected to decline as long as it trades below 40420, targeting 40060. A break below 40060 would suggest a continuation of the bearish trend.
Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish trend to be confirmed, the price needs to stabilize above 40420, with confirmation coming from a 4-hour candle closing above this level.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below the resistance line at 40420, it is likely to test 40060. A break below 40060 would indicate a downtrend towards 39790.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 40420
- Resistance Levels: 40640, 40580, 41050
- Support Levels: 40080, 39880, 39600
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 40060 and the resistance at 40650.
Previous Idea:
Dow Jones is approaching an important supportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 39600 zone, US30 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 39600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
US30The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (US30) on a 1-day timeframe.
Key Elements in the Chart:
1. Entry Zone (40,070 - 39,880):
The recommended entry range for a long position is between 40,070 and 39,880.
2. Target Levels:
Target 1: 40,636.77
Target 2: 41,295.33
Target 3: 42,750.00
3. Stop Loss:
The stop loss level is set at 39,825.
4. Support and Resistance:
Support Zone: Marked in green below the entry range.
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: 40,636.77
Second Resistance: 41,295.33
Final Cycle Target: 42,750.00
5. Current Price:
The current price at the time of the chart is 40,604.42, which is below the first resistance level but above the entry zone.
Analysis:
1. Entry Strategy:
The recommended entry zone for a long position is between 40,070 and 39,880. Entering within this range allows you to capitalize on a potential upward movement towards the target levels.
2. Target Levels:
The first target level of 40,636.77 is relatively close to the current price, suggesting a short-term target.
The second target of 41,295.33 and the final cycle target of 42,750.00 indicate higher resistance levels and potential profit points for medium to long-term trades.
3. Stop Loss:
A stop loss at 39,825 ensures a predefined risk, protecting the trader from significant downside moves if the market goes against the position.
4. Support and Resistance Analysis:
The support zone indicates a strong buying interest, which can serve as a cushion against falling prices.
Breaking above the resistance levels will be crucial for the continuation of the upward trend.
Trading Plan:
1. Enter Long Position: Within the entry zone (40,070 - 39,880).
2. Set Stop Loss: At 39,825 to manage risk.
3. Monitor Resistance Levels: Watch for price action around 40,636.77 and 41,295.33.
4. Take Profit:
Partial profit at the first target (40,636.77).
Further profit at the second target (41,295.33).
Final profit around the final cycle target (42,750.00).
US30 / Historical Resistance Reached and New All-Time HighTechnical Analysis: Historical Resistance Reached and New All-Time High
As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price has reached the historical resistance level of 41,030, stabilized above it, and recorded a new all-time high of 41,390, continuing its run towards 42,100.
Current Outlook:
The price is expected to correct to 41,030. Stability below this level would indicate a bearish trend. However, as long as the price remains above 41,030, the bullish trend will likely continue towards 42,100, especially with the strong impact of earnings on the market.
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 41,030 suggests a continuation of the bullish trend towards 41,400 and 41,830. There is also the possibility of a retest of the 41,030 level.
Bearish Scenario:
The bearish trend will be activated if the price stabilizes below 41,030 and closes a 4-hour candle under this level. This would confirm a bearish move towards 40,420 and 40,005.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 41,030
- Resistance Levels: 41,390, 41,500, 41,830
- Support Levels: 40,750, 40,450, 40,080
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 40,080 and the resistance at 41,830.
Previous Daily chart:
previous weekly chart :
Papa Dow Breaks OutWhile the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is struggling, "The People's Index" is breaking out to fresh record highs.
The Dow has comfortably broken above previous resistance near $40K, stretching its gains to above GETTEX:41K so far. While a near-term dip is possible given the overbought RSI indicator, the longer-term bias will remain to the topside (and bulls will be looking to buy) as long as prices remain above $40K.
-MW
XAU/USD : Ready for another Fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 6-hour chart of #gold, we observe that, as expected, gold experienced a decline and corrected to $2391 with a yield of 280 pips. Subsequently, the price saw a resurgence in demand and has risen to $2416 so far. The important supply levels are $2418.5 to $2424.6 and $2429 to $2433. The important demand levels are $2378 to $2384.5, $2369 to $2375, and $2326 to $2333. Keep an eye on the price reaction to these specified levels.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
US30 /Critical Levels & Volume Signal Potential Bullish Breakout Technical Weekly Analysis: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
A Short Outlook on the Previous Movement:
The US30 has experienced a strong bullish trend, characterized by an ascending trend line that began around early 2023. The price saw significant gains until it reached a resistance level near 40,970.0, where it faced some consolidation and pullbacks. Recently, the price has been trading within a defined range, testing both support and resistance zones.
Current Outlook:
The current price of US30 is around 39,218.5, positioned near a critical pivot zone. The market is showing mixed signals, with potential for both bullish and bearish movements depending on the price action around key levels.
Bullish Scenario:
Key Trigger: A break and sustained move above 40,005.0.
Targets: The immediate target would be the yearly resistance zone at 43,040.0.
Confirmation: The breakout above 39,575, along with strong buying volume, would confirm the bullish continuation towards 40,005 and potentially higher.
Bearish Scenario:
Key Trigger: A failure to break above the pivot zone and a decline below the demand zone at 38,700.0.
Targets: The price could drop towards the strong support zone at 36,460.0, and further down to 34,430.0 if bearish momentum continues.
Confirmation: Sustained selling pressure and a close below 38,700 would confirm the bearish outlook.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 39,218.5
Resistance Levels: 40,005.0, 40,970.0, 43,040.0 (Yearly Resistance Zone)
Support Levels: 38,700.0 (Demand Zone), 36,460.0 (Strong Support Zone & Breakout), 34,430.0
Expecting Weekly Range Movement:
- The anticipated weekly range is between the support at 38,700.0 and the resistance at 40,970.0. A breakout in either direction would define the next significant move.
Preferred Direction:
- Given the strong historical bullish trend and the proximity to the pivot zone, the preferred direction leans towards bullish if the price can break and sustain above 40,005.0. However, caution is advised as the market could still face significant resistance.
Summary:
The US30 is currently at a critical juncture. A breakout above 40,005.0 would confirm a bullish continuation towards the yearly resistance zone at 43,040.0, while a failure to break this level and a decline below 38,700.0 would signal a bearish move towards 36,460.0 and potentially 34,430.0. Traders should closely monitor the price action around these key levels to determine the next major trend.
DOW JONES Top of its Channel. Sell opportunity.The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) hit our 41000 Target as projected on our last analysis (July 10, see chart below) and reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 3-month Channel Up:
The Bullish leg competed a rise around the same levels as the previous one (7.87% against 7.65%), so we can assume the symmetry will continue to shape within this pattern and affect the Bearish Legs too.
The previous Bearish Leg made a -5.14% decline. Our Target is 39200, marginally above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
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Dow Jones surges to record highs on Fed easing expectationsThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) ascended to record highs on July 16th, 2024, fueled by mounting expectations of a Federal Reserve policy shift towards a more accommodative stance.
Fundamental Drivers:
Federal Reserve Policy: The CME FedWatch Tool currently suggests a near-certain likelihood of at least a 25-basis point interest rate cut by September, with the upcoming July FOMC meeting potentially maintaining current rates. This anticipated monetary easing is bolstering investor confidence, particularly in sectors sensitive to interest rate fluctuations, such as industrials and small-caps.
Economic Data: Recent economic data releases, including stable retail sales figures, point towards a potential "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. This reinforces optimism and supports the ongoing market rally.
Sector Rotation: Investors appear to be strategically shifting away from large-cap technology stocks, which have thrived in a low-interest-rate environment, and allocating capital towards sectors anticipated to outperform under rising interest rates.
Confirmation: The significant rise in UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) on July 16th (up 6.11%) exemplifies the strength in non-technology sectors.
Looking Forward: The Dow Jones' momentum remains robust, and further upward potential exists if upcoming economic data continues to align with the Fed's potential easing narrative. Investors will be keenly focused on forthcoming economic releases and the July FOMC meeting for any insights regarding the timing and magnitude of potential rate cuts.