DOGE → Fall to $0.10! Are We Heading Back to $0.30? Let's AnswerSince my April 13th update, DOGE has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance at $0.225 and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on DOGE?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, DOGE found resistance at the 2021 resistance area of below $0.29 after three strong pushes up followed by a head and shoulders reversal pattern on the Daily chart. That reversal pattern played out into a two-legged pullback, leaving us near the Weekly 200EMA support at around $0.10. I think we can expect to continue testing this support area for a while. I do not believe we will break and hold below $0.10.
I would not enter a long just yet. What we need now is two or three tests of the Weekly 200EMA support area around $0.10, forming a double-bottom or reverse head and shoulders pattern. A good strong bull signal candle followed by a confirmation candle is the signal we need to enter a long position, taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:3 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in DOGE.
A final point of data is the RSI low and below the moving average of around 43.00, which could remain in this area for some time. This indicates we should be looking for long entries, but should wait for the price action to guide us.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.10975
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.07210
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.14725
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.22275
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three legs up toward a resistance zone after a breakout
2. Head and Shoulders reversal pattern
3. Two-legged pullback to Weekly 200EMA Support
4. Wait for a double-bottom followed by a strong signal and confirmation candles
5. RSI at 43.00 and below the moving average. Supports waiting for a long entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Ascending Wedges signal an increased probability of a bear breakout. Combined with three pushes up in a bull trend and strong sell bars (candles with large wicks on their tops), creates conditions where a counter-trend trade is reasonable.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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