Divergence
📈Ethereum fake bullish scenario📉BINANCE:ETHUSDT
COINBASE:ETHUSD
Hey everyone, first take a look at my previous analysis and positions.
Along with the analysis of Bitcoin, Ethereum can also continue its upward trend up to the stop-hunt range if the price stays above the 1854 level.
Consider the impact of the ADP Employment Change & ISM Services PMI & Fed Interest Rate Decision.
5.25% or even lower can pump Btc and Eth.
Please share ideas and leave a comment,1
let me know what's your idea.
CrazyS✌
True Strength Index: Mastering Trend StrengthThe True Strength Index (TSI) is a powerful momentum oscillator that enables traders to identify potential trade opportunities by measuring the strength of a trend. This unique indicator is based on double-smoothed price changes, providing a more accurate representation of momentum in its truest form . In this blog post, we will delve into the world of TSI, exploring its uses, applications in trading strategies, and how it can be combined with other indicators to enhance its signals.
What is the TSI Indicator?
The TSI is a technical analysis tool that captures the ebbs and flows of price action by smoothing price changes, filtering out the noise, and producing a steadier line. The calculation of TSI consists of three key components: the double-smoothed price change, the double-smoothed absolute price change, and the TSI formula itself. As a momentum oscillator, TSI generates trade signals based on overbought/oversold levels, crossovers, and divergences. The TSI itself consists of three parts: the TSI line, the signal line, and a zero line.
How is the TSI Indicator Used?
Professional traders use the TSI indicator to gauge the strength of a trend, assisting with trade management and providing early indications of a trend continuation or reversal. The TSI oscillates between 100 and -100, with bullish and bearish trends indicated by crossings above or below the zero line, respectively. This versatile indicator can be used to hold onto winning trades, anticipate impending trend changes, and identify trend shifts through divergences.
Examples of TSI in Trading Strategies
TSI and Moving Averages:
A widely-used approach integrates the True Strength Index (TSI) with moving averages, such as the 50-day moving average, to substantiate the potency of a trend. For example, assume the TSI value surpasses the zero line, while concurrently, the stock price is higher than its 50-day moving average. In this case, it may suggest the onset of a promising bullish trend. On the other hand, if the TSI dips below the zero line at the same time the stock price falls below its 50-day moving average, this could signify the emergence of a bearish trend.
TSI Divergence:
Divergence occurs when the price and the TSI indicator move in opposite directions. For example, if the price makes a higher high, but the TSI forms a lower high, it could signal a bearish divergence, indicating a potential trend reversal. Similarly, a bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the TSI forms a higher low, suggesting a possible trend change.
TSI and RSI:
Combining the TSI with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) can help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market. When both the TSI and RSI reach extreme levels, it may signal a potential reversal. For example, if the TSI is above 70 and the RSI is above 30, it could indicate overbought conditions and a potential bearish reversal may be imminent. Divergences can also be confirmed by comparing the divergences on the TSI to the divergences on the RSI.
Conclusion:
The True Strength Index (TSI) is an invaluable tool for traders looking to gauge the strength of a trend and identify potential trade opportunities. By understanding its uses and incorporating it into trading strategies alongside other indicators, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their overall trading performance.
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ADAUSDT's situation+next targets and expected movements.🤑The ADAUSDT is in a Bullish phase by reaching a PRZ zone & is in a Falling Wedge Pattern.
🌟 Bullish signals in the PRZ area are:
- Support zone
- Pivot S1 weekly
- The Bottom of the Wedge area
- Falling Wedge Pattern
❗and the Upward signals of market momentum are:
- Divergence in MACD
⭐ Note if the PRZ is broken downwards with the strength of Bearish candles or Wedge broken from the bottom , this analysis of ours will be failed.
✅If this post was useful for you, like it ❤️ and if you think it is useful for your friends, be sure to send it to them.
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🌍Thank you for seeing idea .
Have a nice day and Good luck.
Bitcoin Scalping PlanHello friends.
According to following reasons i personally go LONG for BTC/USD :
1 - Reach the Higher Timeframe Valid trendline.
2- shape an Bullish Engulfing pattern on this line.
3-Reach the 27000 support level.
4-Bullish divergence Between Price and RSI.
5-Long distance from 50 , 100 and 200 EMA
So for these reasons i think we can go up till drawn trendline and
price 28200.
Trade R/R is 1:2 and after that we should look after price for next analysis.
Thanks for your supports.
NZDCAD in Coming Days!✅ Based on the analytical method in the CTS strategy, the NZDCAD currency pair is in a downward phase by reaching a PRZ zone.
➡️ bearish signals in the PRZ area are:
- The roof of the descending channel
- Pivots R1 monthly and R3 weekly
➡️ and the downward signals of market momentum are:
- Divergence in MACD and RSI in 1 hour
- RSI OVERBOGHT in 4 hours
- The possibility of forming a Rising wedge pattern in 1 hour
🌟 Note that the price has reached the PRZ zone and the entry trigger will be activated by hitting the bottom of the miner in one hour time and forming a return pattern. On the other hand, if the PRZ is broken upwards with the strength of bullish candles, this analysis of ours will be failed .
✅If this post was useful for you, like it ❤️ and if you think it is useful for your friends, be sure to send it to them.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
🌍Thank you for seeing idea .
Have a nice day and Good luck.
EURAUD Is Looking For Strong ResistanceBroken multi-year trendline support suggests that the Australian dollar will be doing much better than the euro in years to come. Despite recent recovery, we just see it as a corrective rally within downtrend with nice technical multi-year resistance.
Looking at the daily chart of EURAUD currency pair, we can see a three-wave higher degree (A)-(B)-(C) corrective rally after completing the leading diagonal at 1.43 area in summer 2022. By reaching projected August 2021 resistance within a five-wave cycle for wave (C), a bearish reversal can be near, especially if we consider a bearish divergence on RSI. However, keep in mind that bearish confirmation is only below channel support line and 1.5844 level.
PacWest - Bollinger Bands breakouton 5 min time frame, using indicator BB with RSI, entry taken as per Divergence, movement confirmation with Stoch RSI, Heikin-Ashi, Gap up opening confirmed reversal to the price calculated earlier on weekend for price to open @ $5.50 wherein pre market showed jump in price due to dividend cut decision by bank to -96%, total duration of trade is around 1 hr 30 min. Was able to achieve target defined with almost 14% gain. Closed the trade as per candle confirmation (hammer candle formed at the bottom - which gave upward confirmation to closed the trade.
W10-12 AUDUSD BULLISH IDEA (HARMONICS REVERSAL PATTERN)Potential Bullish Entry
Dow Theory In Place - Higher High and Higher Low Expected in Place
Formation of Harmonic Bullish reversal Pattern coupled with bullish divergence at potential reversal zone (PZR)
Entry at the new HH
SL & TP Levels are defined.
W10-11 GBPZAR BEARISH IDEA (HARMONICS PATTERN)The price action has created a harmonic reversal pattern, and it is expected that the price will retrace from the potential reversal zone (PRZ).
Sellers will remain in control below the PRZ. Before forming the harmonic pattern, a bullish divergence was observed at the RSI indicator.
SL & TP Levels are defined.
Cloud Divergence: Reverse Bullish Here we have a 16 bar lag. The price breaches bearish and then beltlines bullish, and the red cloud continues bearish around the bullish low. Note: a signal for a lower low but price is a higher low is a reverse bullish signal. This example is a reverse bullish divergence signal methodology.
AAPL On 4H Bearish Divergence with Rising WedgeAAPL is forming rising wedge with Bearish divergence and most likely to reverse the trend from Bullish to Bearish. We have to wait and observe the market first before taking any trade. Once it breaks down last "High Low" mentioned on the chart, we'll take our entry.
Trade Plan is mentioned on the chart.
Stochastic RSI in detail and how to use it.The Stoch RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index) is a technical analysis indicator used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in financial markets. It is a combination of two popular indicators: the Stochastic Oscillator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The Stoch RSI applies the Stochastic Oscillator formula to the RSI values, aiming to provide a more sensitive and faster signal for potential trend reversal.
The Stoch RSI is calculated as follows:
Choose the time period for which you want to calculate the Stoch RSI. The most common period is 14 .
Calculate the RSI: (Detailed post on this in the link below)
Determine the highest and lowest RSI values: Identify the highest and lowest RSI values over the same time period (e.g., 14 days).
Calculate the Stoch RSI: Use the following formula to calculate the Stoch RSI:
Stoch RSI = (Current RSI - Lowest RSI) / (Highest RSI - Lowest RSI)
The resulting Stoch RSI value will range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). A value above 0.8 (or 80%) typically indicates an overbought condition, suggesting a potential price correction or reversal, while a value below 0.2 (or 20%) indicates an oversold condition, which may represent a buying opportunity.
What does Stoch RSI tell us ?
Stoch RSI is a measure of how fast the RSI is changing. As an analogy. Imagine you are driving your car and have foot on the accelerator which will cause increase in the speed of your cat at every moment, now the rate at which your car's speed increases is acceleration. The bigger the more powerful engine your car has the more acceleration you get and the faster you get to the top speed of your car. So, in this analogy speed of your car at any instant is RSI , acceleration is Stoch RSI and top speed of your car is overbought condition of an asset.
RSI measures who is relatively more aggressive among buyers and sellers at a given instant. Stoch RSI measures how aggressive the buyers or sellers are at a given instant.
So just like in a fight if someone is too aggressive, they are going to spend themselves too quickly and even though they want to fight more they won't be able to until they ease up and relax a bit, this is similar to Stoch RSI of an asset getting to overbought condition and then asset either retraces or takes a pause as buyers are exhausted and need to regain strength by taking profits which turns them into sellers and the asset starts moving in opposite direction.
Why is 80 considered overbought?
The number 80 is chosen based on empirical evidence, suggesting that when the Stoch RSI reaches these extreme values, there is a higher probability of a price reversal or correction. When the Stoch RSI is above 80, it indicates that the asset's price has risen significantly over a short period and could be overextended. In this situation, the asset may be overvalued, and traders may consider selling or taking profits as the price could reverse or correct.
How to use Stoch RSI to enter a trade?
How to enter a Long Trade:
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Step 1. Always use Stoch RSI along with RSI to make a decision:
Step 2. Use it on mid to high term time frame (4h and higher).
Step 3. Make sure both RSI and Stoch RSI are in oversold zone.
Step 4. Make sure the asset is resting on a key support level and holding it.
Step 5. Fearlessly enter the trade.
How to enter a Short Trade:
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Step 1. Always use Stoch RSI along with RSI to make a decision:
Step 2. Use it on mid to high term time frame (4h and higher).
Step 3. Make sure both RSI and Stoch RSI are in overbought zone.
Step 4. Make sure the asset is rejected from a key resistance level and is not able to breach it.
Step 5. Fearlessly enter the trade.
What happens if Support or Resistance is broken in Step 3 above:
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That's where divergences come into play.
What is a divergence?
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Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and RSI/Stoch RSI indicator move in opposite directions, indicating a potential trend reversal.
There are two types of divergences: bullish divergence and bearish divergence.
Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes a new low while the RSI/Stoch RSI indicator makes a higher low. Remember from explanation provided in sections above, this suggests that even though the price is going lower there
are more buying activities than selling and the assets are becoming stronger, and a potential trend reversal may be imminent.
Bearish divergence, on the other hand, occurs when the price of an asset makes a new high while the RSI/Stoch RSI indicator makes a lower high.
I have highlighted bullish divergence in chart with purple line. Shown in Red line is bullish Divergence in Stoch RSI, when RSI is not fully oversold, this can happen when a new support is being formed on the chart due to changes in fundamentals of the underlying asset or some news events.
Bullish and Bearish Divergences are even more powerful signals for taking trades, but we must make sure price is holding a support or rejecting from a resistance before taking the trades, otherwise divergences can easily disappear.
Why do traders fail to effectively use RSI?
The primary reason is lack of experience in trading.
Which leads to impatient behavior.
Not knowing how to mark key support/resistance levels.
No risk management skills. (Taking too much risk)
Lack of trust in self when taking trades, (Keep stopping losses too tight which knocks them out of the trades).
I have shown several instances where RSI generated long signals and all of them were successful, the only reason a trader would not be able to use RSI effectively is because of the above reasons.
EURUSD and GBPUSD divergence strategyEURUSD and GBPUSD are two highly correlated pairs. So a divergence in these two can be an alert for a big reverse of price usually for the one which makes a higher high or a lower low.
It is a confirmation when the price is closing to a supply or demand level like daily or weekly high or low!
W9.1-31 EURGBP BEARISH IDEA (HARMONICS BEARISH PATTERN)Potential Bearish Entry
Dow Theory In Place - Lower High and Lower Low Expected in Place
Formation of Harmonic Bearish reversal Patte coupled with bearish divergence at potential reversal zone (PZR)
Entry at LL on the basis of harmonic reversal pattern and support and resistance.
SL & TP Levels are defined