🥇GOLD - Retest of resistance gives a sell signal Gold is testing a new low and updating the low. Price is forming a bounce and testing trend resistance, but more likely another decline may be formed which will further weaken the price.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) We should consider 1902.87 as a medium-term target
2) Yesterday's daily candle formed a strong enough signal to fall - a shakeout was formed (a candle with a long shadow). The market sold off everything it bought and closed the session at the very low.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) The market bought back the decline a bit and tested bearish trend resistance.
2) If price does not break trend resistance on the retest, the decline will continue
3) A sell signal is forming now, it is important to wait for the confirmation of the signal
Key resistance📈: 1919.7
Key support📉: 1914
Descending Channel
USDCHF → The dollar may strengthen the currency pair FX:USDCHF pinches the local bottom at 0.85797 and makes a false breakdown, which realizes the countertrend potential at the moment of dollar strengthening. The price strengthens to 0.87779 and forms a setup that can continue the price growth
The bearish trend is still valid on the chart. The price is trading under the descending resistance. Pay attention to the dollar index, the price is forming resistance at 102.5 relative to the dynamic buyer. A breakout of this level by the dollar will form momentum in the forex market as well.
I expect a breakout of the symmetrical triangle resistance and active strengthening of the price against the trend.
Support levels: 0.87000
Resistance levels: 0.87779
I think that following the strengthening of the dollar the USDCHF currency pair will start to strengthen and in the medium term the price may reach 0.89088.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Counter-trend correction before further decline OANDA:XAUUSD is testing a key liquidity area after breaking triangle support. The price updates the global lows and confirms the presence of an ongoing bearish trend
The price fails to reach the support at 1912.7 and forms a rebound. Most likely the target of 1912.7 is still valid, but before the support is retested the market needs more liquidity and for this purpose a correction is formed to retest the previously broken level. The price is heading towards the triangle pattern. The line of 1922.5 can be tested, or the price can go a little further, for example to 1927.5 or to 1932. It is impossible to talk about global growth now, the price is in a strong falling movement and continues to update the lows. We are looking for strong resistance areas to sell.
Resistance levels: MA-50, 1922.5, 1927.5.
Support levels: 1915,5, 1912.7
I expect the decline to continue after the retest of these resistance levels. Bearish trend reigns on the market. Take it into account in your trading.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - price corrections before a trend-following decline Gold finally breaks the lower boundary of the bearish channel. The market is forming a 0.6% impulse drop and the price is testing 1914.4. Technical pullback may fix the price in the zone for selling after which the fall will continue
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Breakout of the range support forms a strong impulse. The way is open for a decline to 1892
2) Price forms a retest of the liquidity area. High chance of a rebound
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Channel support is finally broken. Price formed an impulse to 1913 after which we see a correction to retest the previously broken support
2) Most likely the price may test the old flat - 1923.8, form a false breakout and continue its fall in the direction of the trend.
3) It is worth paying attention to the level of 1923.9, 1930.9 to look for sell signals.
Key resistance📈: 1923.9
Key support📉: 1913, 1900
💱EURUSD - The market is experiencing an attempt to change the tEURUSD is forming a reversal setup after a false breakout of the daily support level. The price may experience an attempt to change the local trend
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A false breakout is formed. The global correction may be over at 1.09526 level
2) Price is testing the liquidity area of 1.1200
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is breaking the bearish channel. An impulse is formed to retest the base of the reversal pattern
2) A break of the pattern base may form a bullish impulse towards 1.11447.
3) As the trend is broken, the price may test the resistance in the medium term and the price may strengthen to 1.2430 in the medium term
Key support📉: 1.09670
Key resistance📈: 1.10400
GOLD → The bear's paw regulates the market. The red zone OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a setup that can accumulate the potential to continue falling. The price is testing local support and forming a rebound before further decline
The global bearish trend continues to develop. The price failed to pass through the 1980 area, forming a false breakout of the resistance area.
A downward price channel is formed on the chart, after breaking the trend support the price forms a prolonged consolidation below the support. A descending triangle is formed, which can be interpreted as a dpavlenie prodlavleniya on buyers in the area of 1922.
Moving averages show a strong trend and act as resistance. MA-50 confirm the local resistance of the triangle.
Support levels: 1923,5
Resistance levels: 1927.5, triangle resistance
In the medium term, I expect a continuation of the fall, but before that there may be a rebound to 1927-1930.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Another retest of 1930 in a weak market Gold is reducing its volatility and continues to consolidate at 1933.9. On the global timeframe, support at 1938.9 is broken and preconditions for further decline are forming
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakout after correction. The level of 1938.9
2) Liquidity area. The price is forming another retest.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A situation of buying weakness is forming. Price returns to the retest of 1933
2) There could be a bounce on a decline to trend support, but medium-term potential remains with sellers.
3) The area below 1930 is quite tight and does not let the price in yet. Further continuation of narrow consolidation is likely
Key support: 1933.9, 1930, 1926
Key resistance: 1937, 1938, 1943
GOLD → Waiting for a trap before a further fall OANDA:XAUUSD is still testing trend support and testing the market reaction. The price is not able to grow at the moment and continues to update local lows
On the futures market, the price failed to pass through the 2000 area, on the spot market, the situation is simpler - we see a continued decline in price. The price is trying to get out of the descending price channel, but apparently gold is in the liquidity area, which does not let the price below 1930. A global upward shakeout may follow before a further decline. Or, if the price overcomes the resistance of 1943, then the market will enter a recovery phase and strengthen the price. The potential for growth to 1954-1970 will be opened.
At the moment consolidation below the support is forming - a signal for a possible sale. Medium-term outlook 1927-1970
Support levels: 1930, 1927.5
Resistance levels: 1943. 1954
I expect a shakeout or false breakdowns of the local resistance and if the price continues to consolidate below the support, the market will give us a drop. BUT! If the price returns beyond 1943, the growth will start within the descending channel
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Market is increasing the chances of a support breakoutGold has been declining since the opening of the session with the result of -0.5%. Earlier a false breakout of 1943 was formed, most likely the price will continue its fall, but only after breaking the support of the bearish channel
TA on high timeframe:
1) After breaking the support, the price forms a retest of 1938.9, but makes a false breakout
2) Liquidity area - 1924 (local target)
TA on the low timeframe:
1) False break of resistance at 1943.3 forms a decline and a retest of the bearish trend support area
2) Price has previously tested this area and formed a huge liquidity pool, the breakout of which forms a strong downward momentum.
3) A quick retest is formed (after one trading session). The market is increasing the chances of a support breakout
Key resistance📈: 1943
Key support📉: 1933.9
AUDUSD,Bearish trend,Head and ShoulderGood afternoon,
I hope everyone had a succesful trading week and week in their daily lives. Here is a pre market forecast for AUDUSD this upcoming trading week. Last week, AUDUSD was bearish for the most of last week. Toward the end of the week it began a retracement process. Price broke the daily supply/demand area @0.65944.
Price is projected to continue bearish momentum to the next 4hr supply/demand area @0.65464. If price rejects this area, look for the head and shoulder formation to form to confirm this projection.
If there are any questions, comments, concerns, or you may have a similar analysis to mine please do not hesitate to share, comment, and boost this post.
🥇GOLD - The market is preparing for a recoveryGold is forming a false breakdown of a strong support line. The support and liquidity area formed forms a bullish rally.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakout. Price closes above the 1938 support line, gold may rise to 1950-1960 at the beginning of the trading week
2) Price is testing the liquidity area of 1942.8, the market may open with a gap or continue its growth if this resistance is broken.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A candle with a large shadow is forming on H4, the price closes close to the 1942 level after a false breakdown
2) The market is forming a potential to continue rising
3) Waiting for the trend resistance to be reached before considering any further setups.
Key support📉: 1933
Key resistance📈: 1942
GOLD → FB of flag support. Consolidation near resistance OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a descending price range after the breakout of the bullish trend. A "flag" pattern is forming within the new channel, a false breakout was made on Friday
There is not much important news in the coming week, but it is worth paying attention to Thursday and Friday, the reports may provide insight for the medium-term outlook.
Bottom right chart - a flag is forming against the background of the upward momentum. On Friday, the price makes a false breakout of the support of the figure and in the first half of the new week there may be a strengthening of the price and growth to the resistance area.
Within the global descending channel price is forming consolidation near resistance, most likely there may be a direct retest of the descending resistance in the area of 1858-1863, there may be an attempt to breakout.
BUT again, if sellers are strong, and if you look at the chart, the bearish scenario is developing at the moment, a fall from the channel resistance, a retest of 1935 and a further fall to 1902 may follow.
The price is in a range, it is worth paying attention to such levels as: MA50, trend resistance, support 1935.5
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD - A narrow flat could provide strong momentum Gold continues to consolidate and gather liquidity to move in one direction or the other. The NFP report will be released soon which will give a medium term view on pricing
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price has broken 1938.9 support and is forming accumulation below the level.
2) The market is preparing to develop medium-term interest. Consolidation below the support indicates that the market is ready for a fall
3) If after accumulation below 1938.9 the price goes back up behind the level, a strong momentum to 1950 will be formed
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Trend support was previously broken
2) Price is forming a prolonged and narrow flat. There is a huge amount of energy forming inside 1932 - 1938. If 1930 is broken, a strong momentum to 1913 will be formed
3) BUT! If a false breakdown is formed (price returns inside the channel and breaks through 1940, a strong upward impulse will be formed.
Key resistance: 1938-1940
Key support: 1930-1932
GOLD → Consolidation below support ahead of NFP. Trap? OANDA:XAUUSD has been consolidating below the previously broken descending channel support for two days. From the basic fundamentals, this formation suggests a strengthening sentiment for further declines, but there are always nuances to it
Analysts were expecting bearish news for the dollar, which was previously published, but the index is showing a bullish bias, suggesting an improving economy.
Fitch downgraded the long-term rating of the US to AA+ from AAA
This is not good news for the dollar, but still:
The U.S. was downgraded to AA in 2011, which caused the market to fall hard, but earnings and economic conditions were different at the time.
This downgrade by Fitch is not fundamental as the economy is growing and profits are rising to service this debt.
In terms of technical analysis, after a rally to the 1980 area, a correction in the format of a flag-like descending channel is forming, but at some point things don't go according to plan and price breaks the channel support, forming a consolidation and forming liquidity before further declines.
Ahead of NonFarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate publication, analysts are expecting bearish data, but based on earlier press releases, the numbers could be the opposite, which could provide new bullish potential for the dollar, and gold could fall to 1900.
Support levels: 1933, 1930, 1927, 1912
Resistance levels: 1943, 1954
In priority I expect the price to fall to the lower support levels, but the price can break the situation if the expected fundamental data is confirmed.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD - Price is breaking support but not falling yetGold is breaking a new milestone and breaking the support of the descending price channel.
Price is consolidating between the downtrend line and 1933.9 support, pre-breakdown consolidation may break the support and price will fly downwards
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Break of support at 1938 (lower boundary of the global range
2) Consolidation below the support is forming
3) Negative fundamental background for gold
TA on the low timeframe:
1)Trend support is broken, price is consolidating lower
2)If 1933.9 is not broken, then there will be a false break of support and price will head towards 1950
Key support📉: 1933.9
Key resistance📈: 1938.7
💱EURGBP - Distributive Growth. Retest of resistance EURGBP is in a sideways range amid a downward global trend. The price is testing the upper boundary, which plays the role of a strong resistance, where there is a high chance for a rebound
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakdown of 0.8666 forms a fall to the support, thus the price confirms the presence of flat
2) Impulse is forming, most likely the area of 0.8650 - 0.8684 can be a medium-term target.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A distributive resistance retest is being formed. Such movements are quickly stopped by strong levels
2) Since we have a global downtrend and a range formed, a fall to 0.86000 is likely from resistance
Key resistance📈: 0.8651, 0.8666
Key support📉: 0.86000
GOLD → Support breakout & consolidation. Fall after the shake-upOANDA:XAUUSD is breaking the range support, and on the daily chart the price is testing one of the key support levels. Here the candlestick analysis indicates the preconditions for further decline
The price is breaking the support of the descending range. Consolidation of the price below the previously broken support is formed. Since the price is forming consolidation, most likely, while the market is gaining liquidity, false breakdowns (shake-ups) are possible relative to resistance and support of the conditional boundaries. On the daily timeframe, the price is testing 1935. The price on Wednesday closed quite close to the level, which indicates that the market is not ready to end the movement, it may continue.
Important news is published today. It is worth paying attention to: Initial Jobless Claims, S&P PMI, Non-Manufacturing PMI, these are the nuances we dealt with on Sunday. Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: 1932.9
Resistance levels: previously broken trend support, 1938.5, 1943
I expect the decline to continue based on candlestick and technical analysis. The market has broken support and is most likely preparing for a continuation of the decline. But there is news ahead, it may change the situation significantly
Regards R. Linda!
FXSUSDT → Out of Range. It's up to the bulls BINANCE:FXSUSDT is squeezed within the consolidation boundaries of 7.174 - 3.910, but at the same time inside the range there is a prerequisite for a possible trend change and price strengthening
A bullish pattern in the format of a "bearish wedge" is forming on the chart. The price is breaking resistance on the background of weak bitcoin. Investors are looking for potential in altcoins during a correction in the cryptocurrency market. Consolidation above 5.866 could form a bullish upside to 7.175, which would form a retest.
In this case, the market will get the potential to break the resistance of the 7.175 range and further growth. There is no pronounced trend, the price is forming a sideways range based on the bottom of 3.910. The market may slowly but try to reverse.
Support levels: 5.866, 3.910
Resistance levels: 7.175
I expect the formation of bullish support with the last retest of 7.175 aimed at the breakout of the range and further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Resistance pressure on D1. Waiting for news OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a descending range after breaking the local trend. On D1, the chart is showing strong pressure from resistance and is forming a descending triangle which could give a strong fall, but there is news ahead...
The price is testing the support at 1943 with the last move, making a false break and thus updating the local low to 1941.29. Based on the situation on the local timeframe and on the D1 we can say that the sellers are stronger, the fundamental background of the last trading week adds some confidence for this.
Today ADP NonFarm Employment Change is published ( analysts expect a decline in the indicator, therefore the dollar may react negatively ), this press release can give us a rough mood for Thursday and Friday ( INJ, ISM, Nfp, UR are published )
Still, technical analysis initially lays a large percentage of the expected movement, even before the publication of the news and at the moment there is a preponderance of forces in the direction that the market is preparing for a fall. When enough weighty news is published, this imbalance may shift and in this case the price may break 1954, 1960 and head towards 1974
Support levels: 1943
Resistance levels: 1954, 1960
In priority I expect a decline to 1943 with the subsequent breakout, but on the background of news the price may act unpredictably and break the resistance. Watch the price reaction.
Regards R. Linda!
GMXUSDTGMXUSDT is trading in bearish channel and smoothly following technical pattern of break and retest of structure. currently the instrument is retesting the broken support level and seems like it is getting ready for another sell off.
💱 EURCHF - A reversal pattern. What to expect from it? EURCHF is forming a reversal set-up. Against the backdrop of the global downtrend, this doesn't tell us much, but if the price overcomes the resistance, a quick trend reversal could be in order
TA on a high timeframe:
1) Strong bearish trend
2) Price continues to fall and test the bottom
3) Liquidity area that may be of interest to the market is above 0.96500
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A reversal setup is being formed relative to the 0.95987 level.
2) Consolidation between H&S base and 0.95897 support is possible, after which growth may follow
3) Bullish momentum may reach 0.96770 as this area is a global liquidity area.
Key support📉: 0.95987
Key resistance📈: 0.96500