Didn't see that coming.. | Was there any clues I left unnoticed?NASDAQ:CGC - REKKKT
This is not supposed to happen before factor X (luck?).
IMO I think I did with the analyzing solid job. Please, no matter how small thing it might be. Let me know in the comments to improve
I'll walk you through my thoughts:
The Canopy Growth Corporation hit it's bottom on Fri 07/14/23. It fired up those Dank fueled rockets to head outer space with +350% gains.
I started to see exhaustion after the first pullback. After this the chart doesn't show the same momentum and there's some divergence that will be reappearing theme the following days.
You start to see decline as one would expect after this kind of run. My interpretation is that according to price action, it's starting to form a descending channel pattern. When the double top formed I was convinced the following day would come down crashing.
This happened instead. Can I blame bad luck or was there other factors that needed to be addressed?
Just like in the game of poker you will run into situations where you lose to one outer on the river. Please leave a comment and let me know what is your point of view. Thanks! I salute you all🫡
Descending Channel
FLMUSDTFLMUSDT was trading under declining trendline and recently it seems like bulls are starting to take the charge and has given the breakout from declining trendline with significant bullish candles .
Currently the price is retesting the broken channel's trendline , if the retest level holds it could be a nice buying option.
What you guys think of this idea?
🥇GOLD - Correction to previously broken support Gold is forming volume density on the resistance side which is pushing the price down. We are seeing a strong bearish trend that continues to conquer the lows
TA on the oblique timeframe:
1) Price is in a bearish channel and is aiming for the nearest strong support area in the medium term - 1809
2) Within the near term target, price may reach 1885 within a few days.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A retest of the resistance area sends price down again
2) Support at 1909.85 is broken and a correction is forming to retest it
3) If the price consolidates below this, the market may give a good entry point for selling
4) Medium term target 1889
Key support📉: 1903.81
Key resistance📈: 1909.85, 1914.6
EURCADEURCAD is trading in descending channel and printing consistent LLs LHs. Currently the price is broken the important support zone then any retest of broken level will be another sell option.
If the sell momentum continues the next target could be 1.4500 region.
What you guys think of this idea
💱GBPUSD - A descending triangle will send the price to 1.23680GBPUSD continues to move within a strong downtrend. The price has already lost 5.3% from the high and is ready to lose more. A pattern is forming which could send the price to 1.23680
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Failure of the support at 1.25479 will form a new impulse and a new level
2) A stop at 1.24450 forms a support and 3 days later the price comes back to retest this line. The market is preparing for a breakout and further decline
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A descending triangle is formed, which can be interpreted as sellers' pressure on the support area
2) The line is already broken and now either consolidation or retest will be formed.
3) Support at 1.24500 plays an important role for us. If this level is broken and the price consolidates below it, the potential for a possible decline to 1.23682 will be formed.
Key resistance📈: 1.25000, 1.25279
Key support📉: 1.2463, 1.24500
💱EURUSD - Downtrend pressureEURUSD is preparing for further decline. After the resistance retest, the price declines again and performs a pre-breakdown retest of the support at 1.0707
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Strong downtrend
2) The liquidity area on the support side will not withstand another retest. Buyers are weak
3) Medium-term target is 1.06350
TA on low timeframe:
1) A resistance retest will force the price to bounce downwards
2) The market is still unable to break the trend resistance and make a new high.
3) A break of 1.0707 support is expected in the long term with a further decline to 1.0635.
Key support📉: 1.0707
Key resistance📈: 1.0759
GOLD → Bearish leverage continues to drive the market OANDA:XAUUSD is retesting the resistance of the newly formed descending price channel. A rebound and a retest of the 7-day flat support is formed
In the near future, the price may test the flat support at 1916.7 and form a rebound. The rebound may be small, for example, to 1924 to retest the trend resistance. After that the price may continue its fall, breaking the marked support. Globally, the price is in a downtrend. A symmetrical triangle is clearly formed on the d1 chart and we have fundamental prerequisites that the price may break the support at 1902 and head far down.
The local situation is simpler. Since the local trend intraday can change several times, our task is to look for key levels to find a good opportunity to open trades
Support levels: 1916.7
Resistance levels: 1924
The medium-term outlook is bearish. Most likely, gold may update both local and global minimums on the background of strong strengthening of the dollar ( TVC:DXY ).
Regards R. Linda!
EURAUDEURAUD is trading in descending channel and printing consistent LLs LHs. Currently the price is broken the important support zone then any retest of broken level will be another sell option.
If the sell momentum continues the next target could be 1.6550 region.
What you guys think of this idea
🥇GOLD - U-turn. A retest of the support could break it Gold makes an unsuccessful attempt to break the resistance of the bearish channel. it is at the moment of the retest that the dollar starts to strengthen, which makes gold fall after the retest of the resistance. The FED is still sticking to continue to be hawkish on the dollar, which can have a bad effect on gold
TA on the high timeframe:
1) DXY breaks resistance and tests the 105 area. Possible correction before further rise
2) Gold retests and forms a candle that suggests a quick sell-off of the upside, which will negatively affect gold pricing on Monday and Tuesday
TA on the low timeframe:
1) The chart is showing weak buying power
2) A retest of support at 1914 is forming, a breakout could result in strong momentum to 1887 or 1860
Key support📉: 1914
Key resistance📈: 1927, 1942
Bitcoin - Secret patterns for professional traders!
The price of Bitcoin is forming a head and shoulders pattern inside this descending parallel channel! Both of these patterns are bearish, so the probability of going down is really high at this moment. To become bullish, Bitcoin needs to invalidate both patterns. Then we can think about a long position, but at this moment, not at all!
You probably want to trade with a trend, and the trend is bearish on this particular timeframe. But in the immediate short term, we could go up to form the right shoulder of the major pattern; of course, that would be an excellent opportunity to short bitcoin at a great price!
Where is the profit target for the big short? I already market it on the chart, and it's between 23064 and 22853 because it is the POC of the previous expanding triangle + 1:1 FIB extension (wave 3 -> 4).
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, last week we printed a new impulse wave, which is very clear and visible. Everything in confluence suggests that we are bearish, and continuation of the downtrend is extremely likely and almost definitely a guarantee. Sooner or later, we will break the support of 25k.
This is my outlook on BTC for this month; do not forget to let me know in the comment section what you think about it and if you are prepared for another crash. I need to know your opinion!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
🥇GOLD - Consolidation instead of momentum? A trap? Gold is breaking the support of the new price channel. The market is dominated by sellers due to buyer weakness amid dollar strength.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False break of the resistance of the global descending channel
2) There is a potential for price decline to 1886.
TA on low timeframe:
1) Price tested the key descending channel support for a long time and at the same time the level of 1926
2) With the next move gold breaks the support of the descending channel
3) There is no downside after breaking the support, price is sandwiched between the 1916 support and the previously broken channel line
4) Since there is no downside momentum, price may form a retest of 1926. Further price movement will depend on this level. Since the main trend is falling, we should expect a price decline
Key resistance📈: 1920, 1926
Key support📉: 1916
💱GBPJPY - A retest of support could strengthen the price GBPJPY is forming a counter-trend correction on the background of the upward bullish trend. Within the correction and descending price channel, a bullish reaction is possible when support is retested
TA on the high timeframe:
1) resistance line at 183.76 was broken earlier
2) Bulls are trying hard to hold this area. A false breakout may follow on the back of weakening GBP, but a surge in liquidity may push the price up
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A correction forms after a breakout of the ascending price channel
2) The correction is formed within the descending price channel
3) Price may soon test the support area at 183.09
4) From the support, on the background of the global bullish trend, we can expect growth.
Key resistance📈: 185.25
Key support📉: 183.09
🥇GOLD - Bounce to resistance before further decline Gold does form a false breakout of a strong resistance area. Pay attention to the D1 chart on the left. There is a chance that gold could go down to 1885 or even 1840
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Bearish trend and global price channel keep the price above 1950
2) False resistance breakout forms a sell signal
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price forms an attempt to change the local ascending channel.
2) Price tests 1922 and forms a rebound. The correction may reach the 1930-1935 area. This is like a major step before a further fall
3) We see a trend change and in the long term we should look for strong resistance levels to find a sell entry point
Key resistance📈: 1930-1935
Key support📉: 1922
🥇 GOLD - The false breakthrough of global resistance Gold in the global perspective is within the boundaries of the bearish price channel. There are several reasons both for the price fall and for further growth. But in priority we consider the realization of a false breakout.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A bearish price channel dominates the market for several months. The price retests the resistance after 1 month
2) There is little chance of a breakout at the moment, if a correction and a retest is formed within 1 week, then the probability of a breakout will be higher.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A false breakout and further consolidation is formed against strong resistance
2) Price forms a false breakout of 1948 resistance, another retest fails and closing around 1946 confirms the presence of a strong seller in the market.
3) The area of 1935 and 1939 plays an important role for us. A break of one of them will form an impulse.
4) But a break of 1935 support will send the price to trend support, which will determine the future direction
Key resistance📈: 1939
Key support📉: 1935, 1931
💱GBPJPY - Price may form a bearish momentum GBPJPY forms potentially different signals on different timeframes. But there are localized preconditions that increase the chances for a fall.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price failed to form an impulse after breaking through the resistance at 183.76. A consolidation with locally declining highs is forming. We see pressure from the sellers.
2) On H4, a kind of reversal pattern is forming in relation to the local resistance area.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) The price has been in an ascending price channel for a long time. After the formation of a double top reversal set-up, the market forms an attempt to change the trend.
2) Price breaks the bullish channel support, a correction is formed and we see a strong consolidation forming over the last 24 hours.
3) If the price breaks the support at 184.74, we may see an impulse towards 183.00.
4) If the price returns to the boundaries of the ascending channel - the growth will continue.
Key resistance📈: 185.59
Key support📉: 184.74
GOLD → Market is at the 0 point on which the direction dependsOANDA:XAUUSD is testing the 1947 resistance again but after updating the low. The market is in place and is forming flat consolidation. Let me remind - globally the price is testing the resistance of the key descending channel
Locally we have a bullish price channel. Globally, a bearish trend is forming on D1, the price is testing the resistance after a month of correction. Consolidation is formed above the resistance of the channel. Distributive growth to the mentioned zone reduces the chances of resistance breakout, and if the price goes below the 1935 area, the market may form a rather strong bearish impulse.
We are currently interested in the levels of 1947 and 1939. A breakout of 1947 will confirm an attempt to change the trend and in this case the price will head towards 1980-2000. A decline below 1939 will send the price to 1935, a break of which will be a bearish signal for the medium term.
Support levels: 1939, 1935, 1932
Resistance levels: 1947, 1950
I expect a retest of 1939 in the nearest future. Further it will be necessary to follow the price reaction to the level, as well as the area of 1947.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Lots of assumptions. False breakout or breakdown? OANDA:XAUUSD on D1 is forming the preconditions for further growth, but there is no such thing on H1. NFP played no role for gold while the dollar is strengthening strongly
There are not many key news this week, but they all come out on Wednesday and are all worth paying attention to as the data indicator will give us a medium-term view on pricing:
1) SP Global US Services PMI
2) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
3) ISM Non-Manufatiruong Prices
Monday is a holiday in the US, so we do not expect high volatility.
On the hourly timeframe there was a breakout of the resistance of the ascending channel earlier, everyone expected further growth, I told you that there is a chance of a false breakout. On Friday, after the publication of NFP and unemployment the market forms a shakeout in both directions, brings the price back to the boundaries of the ascending channel (false breakout) and in addition, the closing price remains in place of the opening price of the Friday session. The market is weak.
BUT! The dollar index TVC:DXY is testing strong resistance around 104.5, if the area is broken, the price will head towards 105.5, and this will negatively affect the formation of the gold price.
In this case, if the dollar starts its active growth, then on D1 gold will make a false breakdown of the bearish price channel, which will give a strong bearish signal and a huge potential for the price to fall as much as 6% and almost 1100 points.
It is important for us to wait for confirmation of the market action. The dollar index may fail to pass the mentioned mark and form a flat correction, which is another scenario and gold may get a chance to rise to 2000-2100 in this case
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Resistance retest and counter-correlation with DXYGold is testing key resistance with a false breakout and this could be a signal for further declines, while the dollar is closing near a strong resistance level and is likely ready to continue to strengthen further
TA on the high timeframe:
1) DXY closes near 104.3. Regarding the candlestick analysis, we can assume that the price close indicates further continuation of the move. A small pullback may follow from 104.3 before further growth.
2) Gold on D1 is testing a strong resistance line, which is the upper boundary of the descending channel. A false breakout is formed
3) Two correlation situations are formed, the dollar is preparing to grow, and gold to fall. But if one of them starts to develop the opposite scenario, the other, such as gold, will break the resistance and start strengthening towards 1984
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is testing 1942.6. A false breakout is formed
2) A retest of blue support and consolidation below 1942 will form a pre-breakout potential against support. The line may be broken and in this case the price will head towards 1914 and towards 1900
3) BUT! If 1942.6 is overcome and the price forms consolidation above the line, the situation will reverse and the price may consolidate to 1984.
Key resistance📈: 1942.6
Key support📉: 1935
AUDUSDAUDUSD is trading in descending channel and printing consistent LLs LHs. Currently the price is trading at important resistance zone which is 38 % fib retracement level as well. As the red candles at resistance zone indicating the sell pressure.
If the sell momentum continues the red next target could be 0.6360 region.
What you guys think of this idea