Mon 30th Dec 2024 AUD/NZD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/NZD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
DCA
Mon 16th Dec 2024 NZD/CHF Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/CHF Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Mon 16th Dec 2024 EUR/GBP Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/GBP Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
So the Bull market started you said? :) Long $BTCTechnical and Fundamental look into Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has recently achieved an all-time high (ATH) of around $104,000. The current trading price is slightly below this peak, suggesting a possible consolidation or minor pullback.
The chart here indicated that Bitcoin is currently trading just above a significant resistance level at approximately $102,934.71, which could now act as a new support if the price holds above this level. There's another resistance level higher up, indicating where the price might face selling pressure if it attempts to rise further.
This pattern/idea shows support levels at around $59,022.02, which is quite substantial, suggesting that this was where buyers have historically stepped in. A break below this level could indicate a deeper correction, but as of now, the price is far above this support, indicating STRONG BULLISH SENTIENT.
For this chart's trend it shows clearly that it has been predominantly bullish, with a series of HIGHER HIGHS and HIGHER LOWS! More Bullish Sentiment! The presence of green candlesticks in recent days suggests that the market has been closing higher than it opened , indicating continued buying interest. However, the presence of some red candlesticks near the ATH might signal profit-taking or a short-term bearish sentiment.
The volume on this chart or the indicator at the bottom of the chart shows increased trading volume as Bitcoin approached its ATH, which is typical when prices reach new highs. This could mean that there is significant interest in Bitcoin at these levels, but it also suggests that any move up or down could be volatile.
The Indicators over the chart in red and green arrows indicate the potential buy or sell signals based on various indicators or patterns. If these are based on moving average crossovers, RSI divergence, or other momentum indicators, they could be suggesting entry or exit points for traders.
Conclusion:
If the price can break and close above the higher resistance level with significant volume, it might signal the continuation of the bullish trend, potentially targeting new highs.
Conversely, if the price fails to break this resistance and starts forming lower highs, it might be a sign of a potential reversal or at least a period of consolidation. Watch for any bearish divergence in momentum indicators like the RSI or MACD, which could warn of a potential downturn. For those considering entering a long position, waiting for a pullback to the current resistance-turned-support level could offer a better risk-reward ratio, as this level might now attract buyers. Given the proximity to the ATH, traders should also be cautious of overbought conditions, which might lead to a sharp correction. Setting stop-losses below key support levels would be prudent.
PLEASE REMEMBER: Trading Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin can be highly volatile, and while technical analysis can provide insights, external factors like regulatory news, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment can greatly influence price movements. Always do thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions. THIS IS NOT INTENDED AS FINANCIAL ADVICE. Rather a self help and documentation of my own journey into cryptocurrency! Let's make sure we leave nice comments and leave or talk about what is useful! But random comments are OK! :)
$BTC 1W Largest Scale Playing with Long Term Ideas #LongThis idea i made today for long term idea just as it is an idea some basic lines and formations were made but it was pretty simple using same red lines the decline lines are same angle as it states. showing prices and times as estimates i will come look at this and progression when iI m older and know more of this trading and chart mechanics etc!
I am not a Financial advisor or any way good with number.. sorry that's a lie I am very good with math but I haven't had to make financial gains on markets not crypto at least.! I have crypto but earned it all freely over short time last 2 years have over a few band only a couple,, but free earned and mostly passive about 70% passive :) anyway and so that makes it all gains but i do swap stuff at lows and highs and various coin swaps using special maths and tools no one else does a lot and take advantage of the "virtual arbitrage" between trading oone coin for another and then another .... if you get it you get it!
WHAT YOU THINK OF IDEA its one for me to come back to in years and look and go wow we were at 100k moment JUST like the 10k moment. Only I don't remember It so well!
hope you enjoy! let me know your opinion and what could be wrong or different! lets learn from one another and take over the markets!!!!
XRP: Accumulation Zone Hello Team,
Ripple XRP has now entered into the 5-year accumulation zone from 0.14-0.35 Cents.
- At this price point and as the price drops more will present long-term buying opportunities for the future in the form of "Dollar Cost Averaging".
XRP has a large potential for future upside movement if the SEC case is dropped and due to a large number of partnerships & use-cases acquired.
Don't expect a miracle overnight.
Dogecoin (DOGE) OverboughtI have been trading for a long time using the DCA strategy indicator that I have developed and I have recently published the indicator on my Tradingview page.
According to this indicator, I have been buying DOGEs at support levels with more money than I would have thrown away so far. This support level is generally seen at $0.056. In addition, I dumped some of my DOGE at $0.2285, but then bought again at $0.107. I have already shared this analysis.
I think that DOGE, which has broken through two resistances, will advance at least up to $0.75 (potential 89% return). But for this progress, I think that it must first find support at the $0.2285 level, which was broken again. This is because the indicator also gives an overbought signal. Therefore, I will tailor my portfolio accordingly. But I wouldn't be surprised if it continues relentlessly.
As long as Elon Musk remains in government, I think this cryptocurrency will be on a continuous upward trend.
MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC | CYCLE 4 ATH UPDATE The MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC is an excellent custom indicator developed to help investors to DCA in and out of underbought / overheated periods of the market. Applying principals with BTC's CYCLE 4 current progress if BTC remains within historic trends then this also supports the time periods discuss in the below post.
Will Bitcoin Repeat History or Continue The Cup N HandleFalse Break Out Or Cup N Handle Continuation
1. Bitcoins most recent price action is looking pretty similar to what we experiened back in 2019-2020.
2. Bitcoin is also showing signs of a large Cup and Handle pattern which you can clearly see on the weekly.
3. If the Cup N Handle patter decides to continue playing out. I will continue my plan to just DCA on a weekly basis.
4. If History does decides to repeat what happened in 2019-2020. I will still continue to DCA weekly on the way down. BUT Wait until price falls into my 62-87.6% Fib Zone or $37,750-$22,500 to start Doubling Down on my DCA
5. My Plan is keep my blood pressure low not to predict the tops or bottoms. But to put myself in a good enough position no matter the market direction. And to continue my simple strategy to DCA.
Thank You and God Bless.
EURUSD Swing longWe've had a nice long downward move on this pair and I think it's about time for a new leg upward. Start to buy this pair around here. As you can see from pervious lows there's no real rush, it tends to wallow before making a a bigger move. DCA / Grid (Mean reversion) entry approach to this trade.
USDCAD longer term Shorts, consecutive candle ideaThis is a simple stats based short idea, the consecutive candle count is nearly at a new record high, last time it was this high was back in 2017 so these opportunities don't come up often. Mean reversion is coming so let's make some hay while the sun shines :)
Start entering shorts now and then enter more if it goes higher, don't go crazy mind, it's all about risk.
You can see a new custom indicator I've been working on.
Bitcoin short term timeframe and longI went a little short. Pretty tight up on the underside of that 200 for bitcoin, if I dare say so myself…I just jinxed it, didn’t I? …shee!t…lol
Sold some MSTR as well today in the after hours. It gave a tiny polite pop this time to let us get some out 😊 I’ll dca fully back in inside a week or two.
Bitcoin chart…same range, but I trimmed some this time at 63. I was tired of watching that damn chart range for months and just holding my pp. My average was from 2023 so I thought ‘why not try for a bit’. I have alerts set at 59 and 57 to place the proceeds back in.
I think this might be the last downturn for BTC honestly. Buying from now till Halloween is going to feel real nice for anyone in 4 months. The blue arrow points to Batman in the RSI. Yep, there he is…top 3 best head and shoulders RSI Batmans of all time.
Take care all,
MR
Is the crash here?Throughout all of social media and YouTube I've been seeing many people panicking if weather or not we have topped and should start selling. One thing that I've learned predicting mayor world events is to: always play it on the safe side when dealing with uncertainty. Instead of shorting the market, I prefer reducing my exposure, as short trades are extremely risky, and I've personally learned that the hard way. It is true that price action is now at an infliction point. With a vast amount of stocks entering a downtrend in such a harsh manner. It is not hard to see why everyone is panicking. Do I think this is the crash we've been waiting for? Perhaps it is, but I can't tell with certainty because even tough price is over extended, it does have a lot of structure supporting it.
The reason we are at an infliction point is due to the price action reaching the 25MA which many times is used as support or resistance and going below this threshold would for sure confirm a downtrend and with my Mean Returns indicator the story is the same. We are seeing a loss in momentum after having a very bullish push in the last years.
With all the recent news in the U.S. election, it is fascinating to see the market react to these mayor events. These do change the scope of how the market should behave, as a lot of uncertainty has just been introduced to the U.S. population in general. This lack of knowing what the future hold in store is what I believe to be the driving force of this recent downtrend. Combined with increasingly worsening economic fundamentals is what will give us the crash we are waiting for. But before making a decision on how to trade, it's important to consider all possible outcomes. Which is exactly what you can see in the graph. Where I've marked what different price action would mean to the economy and the market in general, as well as setting a trading plan for all of these outcomes.
This type of panicking is what leads me away from using stop losses. People panic and push prices violently. However, many times the analysis was correct from the start but hitting a stop loss gets you to close your position prematurely. That's why I define several entry levels and dollar cost average since the beginning. Using an equation to determine how much should I invest, at which levels to determine the correct amount of exposure to avoid missing out and to always have a favorable average price.
BTC/USDT WILL DCA WHALES EXPLODE BTC AFTER 74K TO 100KThank you for reading this update.
Bitcoin (BTC) appears to be in a crucial area known as the Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) whale protection zone. This zone is significant for maintaining the current trend, as it acts as a security zone for the ongoing DCA cycle, which remains intact.
We have been tracking BTC since it reached $53K and are now monitoring it as it approaches the next target of $74K. If BTC can confirm a move to $74K, there is a high likelihood of a major breakout to $100K.
We find it essential to stay updated with the volume trends and observe the cycle's progress.
At this moment there is no confirmation for a breakdown trend and BTC stays positive and into the cycle.
Data shows that high-volume DCA whales are not investigating for just the short term, it's a goal that can take at least 6m+, and this can be tracked depending on the transaction data.
* With DCA whales means the known large firms and the unknowns holding wallets.
How to dollar cost averge with precisionI've seen several dollar cost averaging calculator online, however there is something I usually see missing. How many stocks should you buy if you want your average cost to be a specific value. Usually the calculators will ask how much you bought at each level ang give you the average, but not the other way around (telling you how much to buy to make your average a specific value). For this, I decided to make the calculations on my own.
Here, you can see the mathematical demonstration: www.mathcha.io
PFE Long 1D Conservative Trade DCAConservative Trade
"+ long balance
- volumed expanding ICE
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp-"
Monthly context
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction of 15 years long trend
+ historical volume
- resistance level"
There's no trading signal, but I like volume distribution on daily, so started to accumulate shares little by little.
No stop loss or take profit at this point, we'll be adding as we go.
CSPR Highly likely to hit new lowHi there, it's not a surprise to see the market go even further down, although I was suspecting to see some sort of a minor pump across the board in Q4. but this seems less likely for the time being, I can see one more, possibly two lower lows forming for Casper labs token to the downside.
Keep in mind from the EWT, we are having the 5th wave which is definitely will bring new ATL = All Time Lows for CSPR. you can see the first price area is about 1 cent range +-. If extended and BTC tumbles even below 10K, expect the 2nd area probably to be met for CSPR.
I will start DCA in around 1.1-1.5 cents
DCA - is for those who do not like to be nervousIn the fast-paced and often volatile world of cryptocurrency, finding best investment strategy can be a daunting task. While many traders seek quick gains through active trading, a more prudent and less stressful approach exists: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA).
What is DCA?
DCA is an investment strategy that involves investing a fixed amount of money into a particular asset at regular intervals, regardless of the asset's price. This approach aims to reduce the impact of market volatility on investment returns by averaging out the purchase price over time.
Why is DCA the Sleep-Well Strategy?
DCA offers several advantages that make it an ideal strategy for investors seeking long-term growth and peace of mind:
Emotional Discipline: DCA eliminates the emotional decision-making that often plagues traders. By investing consistently, regardless of price fluctuations, you avoid the urge to buy high and sell low.
Reduced Risk: DCA averages out the purchase price, reducing the overall impact of market volatility. You may buy some coins at higher prices, but you'll also benefit from lower prices, evening out your investment cost.
Long-Term Focus: DCA encourages a long-term investment mindset, discouraging impulsive decisions based on short-term price movements. It's about building wealth gradually and consistently over time.
DCA vs. Trading:
DCA stands in stark contrast to active trading, which involves buying and selling assets frequently to capitalize on short-term price movements. While active trading may appeal to experienced traders with high-risk tolerance, it often leads to emotional decision-making and can be time-consuming and stressful.
DCA: A Proven Strategy with Remarkable Returns
To illustrate the effectiveness of DCA, let's examine the returns of some prominent cryptocurrencies over the past few years, assuming a monthly DCA investment of $100:
Bitcoin (BTC): Investing $100 monthly in BTC since January 2019 would have yielded a staggering 112% return, with a total investment of $12,000 growing to $25,440.
Ethereum (ETH): A DCA approach for ETH since January 2019 would have resulted in an impressive 770% return.
Solana (SOL): DCA into SOL since January 2021 would have generated a remarkable 304% return
Fetch.ai (FET): Investing $100 monthly in FET since January 2019 would have yielded an exceptional 776% return
Understanding the Coins: Technology and Applications
Bitcoin (BTC): The world's first and most popular cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that enables peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries.
Ethereum (ETH): A decentralized blockchain platform, Ethereum supports a wide range of applications, including smart contracts, decentralized finance (DeFi), and non-fungible tokens (NFTs).
Solana (SOL): A high-performance blockchain known for its scalability and speed, Solana aims to provide a faster and more efficient alternative to Ethereum.
Fetch.ai (FET): An AI-powered decentralized platform, Fetch.ai facilitates the development of autonomous agents for various applications, including open marketplaces and data monetization.
Conclusion:
DCA is a powerful investment strategy that allows individuals to build wealth in cryptocurrency while minimizing risk and emotional stress. By consistently investing fixed amounts, regardless of market fluctuations, DCA investors can reap significant rewards over the long term. Embrace DCA, sleep well, and let your investments grow steadily towards a brighter financial future.
PolkaDot. In The Golden Pocket.Market Cap 6.9 Billion
Up a cool 2,600% before a RSI Bearish Divergence + the "Incredible Sell" , price retraced to the 0.5 fib level, before rallying again to its high of $55.
Price has since corrected 88% and finds itself in the Golden Pocket.
We also have our first "Incredible Buy" Signal + Stochastic Oversold.
Does that mean the bottom is in? Don't know, I don't try timing the tops or bottoms.
Long Term bulls should DCA (Dollar Cost Average) with re-entry at $4, which is the 0.786 fib level , some big Volume Profile can be found there.
Can price drop further? Most definitely!
Speculative Setup, DYOR. Allow 3-18 Months For all Crypto Ideas.
Credit to @without_worries for allowing use of indicators.
Bitcoin TA - Upside Zones, Downside DCA Zones, Key LevelsWelcome to my Bitcoin TA where I go thru just the chart from a high level looking for areas of trading opportunities. The foundation of this whole video comes down to this:
I'm of the opinion Bitcoin will get above 100K.
So I'm doing TA on where to put my entry zones. - 1st Entry hit at 59,872
I'm out of all swings and also looking for swing entry zones.
I've shared this chart with all drawings organized in folders and such. I keep this updated and will share on future updates. This covers all VCs, significant levels, anchored vWAPs, key pivots, and more, all organized in the object tree:
www.tradingview.com
Here's what we cover in the video...
If Day RDA holds
The first thing we cover is if the current test of the Daily RDA holds what the upside trade looks like.
I identify the upside zones and key levels that I would watch and trade around.
The RDA ( RexDog Average with ATR ) is a bias and reaction zone indicator found here on TV, usage in description.
Pull Back Scenarios and DCA areas
RDA Week Projection Print - We cover the upside print of the week projection of if the all-time high is broke where we can expect the market to hit.
Immediate market view - I also dive into the immediate Market View using the 30 minute time frame, which I call the structure time frame. the key element there is that we are right at the mid control for the day.
Bias and Momentum - from here we cover buy us a momentum from a daily and weekly time frame.
Current Value Channel - we also talk about the key levels of the current value channel that BTC is trading within.
Anchored vWAPs - I also dive into anchored V waps from significant highs and significant lows. one of the major things that came about in this analysis was we are in a fight between the most recent significant high and low anchored vWAP. those levels couldn't be any more clear
RSI Signal Zones - we also dive into the RSI signals and the triangle pattern. currently waiting for a green triangle to complete the triangle pattern otherwise it looks like based on the RSI we could see more downside.
Best Crypto Trading Timeframe - I also share the single best time frame to trade crypto on especially for swing and long-term trades.
TRIAS zones for long and DCA interesting zone for DCA, indicators that match: the highest volume in that zone, it was also the highest volume from the May 3 range. 2021 until May 3, 2022. Right below us is the 200dma plus 0.618 Fibonacci of this entire movement.
Until that happens, who want to trade: check weekly level of $11 and 0.5 Fibonacci is $8.2.
Thanks for support.
Microvast DCA opportunity emergingFor NASDAQ:MVST , wait till a day after the quarterly results are out (01 Apr 24). If the price is heading down from that date and the resistance level, then wait until either the RSI is at 30 or the price reaches $0.55. And then start DCA for a long term hold.
If after the quarterly results the price starts a flag pattern, see the trend of the RSI and start the DCA if it reaches 30 if the RSI trend is downwards. Otherwise, if the RSI trend is also sideways, begin DCA.
If after the quarterly results the price breaks through the resistance then start DCA then. Depending on the candlestick patter might be best to wait 3 days to see if the price falls but then if the pattern and volume is strong then the move might be a large one and best to start DCA immediately.