DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 10/05/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we probably still go up in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. We see two potential ways to enter a trade. Inflation data is released today, only trade at the extremes.
Daxanalysis
TRADE UPDATE Dax Index well on the way to the first targetDAX initially formed a large Falling Wedge.
Then before the price broke above it formed a Reverse Cup and Handle.
The price broke not only out of the Brim Level but also out of the Wedge.
This gave a HIGH probability trade to buy and hold long.
Other signals confirmed too with
7 >21 >200 - Bullish
RSI>50
Uptrend line still strong.
I'm still happy to set the target to 16,375.
Once could even place their stop loss just below the most recent low with the trend line.
DAX traded to the highest level in 62 weeks!GER40 - 24h expiry -
Daily signals are bullish.
Traded to the highest level in 62 weeks.
There is no sign that this bullish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing high of 15683.
15791 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 15791 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy a break of 15801 (stop at 15681)
Our profit targets will be 16101 and 16151
Resistance: 15791 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15630 / 15600 / 15500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Beam us up, Mr. Scott! 🖖Happy Birthday, William Shatner! Consistent with the great day of the actor playing Captain James T. Kirk in Star Trek , DAX was also beamed up – and considerably so. From the low of wave iv in pink, the index has shot upwards by about 5% and should still continue the ascent above the resistance line at 15 703 points, where it should complete wave 1 in blue. However, a 35% chance remains that DAX could slip below the support line at 14 617 points. In that case, the index would first develop wave alt.iv in pink to establish a new low in the pink zone between 14 299 and 13 863 points before moving upwards again.
GER30 Hope you are having a nice day. Looking at Zone 1&2 it looks a lot like we might be seeing some neutral movement for Monday i will also take extra caution when taking a trade. I also noticed that Zone 3 on the chart was a big resistance level back in November and December 2022 and then got broken out of. I do however think that the market will be testing Zone 3 again for support, but we will have to wait and see.
BIG SHORT ON THE DAXAs you can see from my track record, I am never wrong.
The DAX will sell off to 14100.
I have taken my trade at the very top.
Let us watch this unfold.
Cheers
Will DAX find support at current lows?GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15275 (stop at 15195)
Daily signals are bullish.
Short term momentum is bearish.
20 1day EMA is at 15305.
Bespoke support is located at 15300.
We expect prices to stall close to our bespoke level (15300).
Our profit targets will be 15475 and 15515
Resistance: 15500 / 15580 / 15660
Support: 15400 / 15350 / 15300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Can GER30 buyers resume the trend?
Hi, and welcome to today's GER30 update. Yesterday buyers fought back from the range low to post a solid session that could be stage one in a new leg higher that could continue the current trend.
Buyers still have some work to do. We want to see a break of yesterday's high and a break of the current resistance and highs set last week. A new trend point has started forming, but buyers still have to confirm it.
We can see price has started to confirm, and the moving average and CCI are supporting possible higher prices, but for now, buyers need to take that final step. A piece of key data may have an impact, and that's today's US CPI data.
The CPI data will be released tomorrow at 12:30 am AEDT. If the data matches or comes in lower than expected, this could boost stocks. If it comes in worse than expected, this could favor sellers. 15,500 is the current resistance, and support is seen at 15,260.
If buyers can break yesterday's high, that's a solid first sign, but we feel the market will be waiting on the CPI data before we see some real direction.
Good trading.
DAX MeltdownLet's get ready for mayhem in the coming weeks, the DAX topped out last week and we're starting to build to the downside. We're expecting a very sharp move downwards and are already short from the turn, but will be looking to add more shorts upon a minor wave 2 retracement. Exciting times lie ahead and we think there's going to be some great opportunites to make some serious money in the weeks and months ahead. Come trade with us and ride these waves!
DAX broke into a new higher high.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15422 (stop at 15342)
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Daily signals are bullish.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 15421.
A lower correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 15622 and 15652
Resistance: 15525 / 15572 / 15700
Support: 15480 / 15400 / 15350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX - ☕DAX - ☕
One of my most favourite patterns! Cup & Handle pattern - Inverse!
I've back tested this pattern many times and it never has failed me with the correct amount of risk etc. What states on your plan, that's the greatest importance.
Highs: 15420
Lows: 15280
A break above the highs this trade plan is no longer valid. A break below the lows I expect the continuation of bearish price action to continue and breaks below the trendline then we may go towards 200 EMA area.
Have a great week ahead,
Trade Journal
Key tip: Ignore the noise
DAX Full Analysis From Monthly To 4H TF, Next Move Expectations This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
DAX's bullish momentum continues to stall.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15163 (stop at 15253)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Trend line resistance is located at 15170.
Bespoke resistance is located at 15150.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Our profit targets will be 14943 and 14903
Resistance: 15150 / 15221 / 15272
Support: 15066 / 15000 / 14950
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX vx SP500: Is DAX highly over valued?By comparing the charts of US indexes vs European indexes we usuallly find pretty much the same patterns.
However there is something that really caught my attention, compare the monthly chart of sp500 vs Dax:
DAX is only 6,54% from all time highs of 2022
SP500 is 15,40% from its all time highs of 2022.
NASDAQ is 28,45% from it's all time highs of 2022
This difference is obviously linked to the different policies of central banks, however I wonder if such a huge difference is justified.
German economy has been highly struck by energy prices and German inflation is still 8,5% vs 6,5% in the US.
Potential swing trade short on the DAX?Like many indices, the DAX has enjoyed a strong start to the year after a dismal ‘Santa’s rally’. But after a 9% rally this month and early signs of a potential top, perhaps it is time for the DAX to pull back from its highs.
If we look at the daily chart, the market formed a small top and daily close below 15,000. Whilst prices are back above the milestone level, upside volatility is lacking and there are now the early signs of a lower high with yesterday’s bearish outside day. Perhaps we have seen the end of a wave b, which is part of a 3-wave countertrend move.
• Futures markets point to a soft open for the cash market today
• The bias is bearish below 15,200 / yesterday’s high
• A 100% projection / wave equality is around 14,800 and 20-day EMA, making it a viable target for bears
• A break below 14,800 brings 14,700 / December high into focus
DAX on its way to our first target DAX formed a Massive Falling wedge in 2022.
Remember a Falling Wedge is >1 month... A Pennant is < 1 Month
The 7 >21 >200MA and the RSI is well above 50 showing upside to come.
The target remains at 16,375
HOLD - BULLISH\
The January Effect where investors and institutions are still buying stocks and assets to start the year. They have offset their taxes and are now piling into the markets that they believe will run up.
Hence the global rally.
Also, Inflation seems to have hit its peak for now (with America CPI dropping to 6.5% this week). These are all good factors for a strong economy.
DAX to stall at overbought extremes.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15119 (stop at 151201)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the daily chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
Our profit targets will be 14909 and 14879
Resistance: 15128 / 15200 / 15300
Support: 15050 / 14950 / 14830
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.