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Bitcoin's next move? Pump? Dump? Whales? Let's find out!Hey, what's good homies! I feel like its been weeks since I posted, but I finally got it done. In my previous article, I did say I have a big article coming up, and this is it. This post in particular has many things to cover, so let's get started! Let's quickly summarise some key points throughout this post: - Ascending triangle - 6k support is now a 6k resistance - The forever downtrend resistance is now a forever downtrend support. - Whale manipulation - Theory: Once it touches 6k for the first time in a long time, the price will most likely fail to continue, thus dumping back onto 4k support. - Finally entering the consolidation phase, we're currently neutral with the 3 planes of existence (I'll show you what I mean) A few things in this first screenshot. It's on the daily or 12 hour which is almost the same thing. It will take a few weeks for it to pop, if its actually a triangle. There's like 2-3 wicks that broke the form which might contradict this ascending triangle, maybe something to look out for. If it does pop, it could trigger a 6k retest, which all falls into the whale's plan, something I've been theorising for a while. So if we look back a bit, we noticed that the price broke past the forever downtrend, that's already a huge sign that the market sentiment is turning. We've been slaves to this bear for long enough, and we've finally broken free from this bearish oppression, all thanks to that massive 1k pump back in 2nd of April. BTC's overall state is bullish, no question about that, there's plenty indicators that point that direction. This may sound silly but just like any other market, its only bullish until its not, I believe there needs to be a stronger pullback from the 1k pump back in 2nd of April before reaching higher highs which is still bullish but just needs time to cool down. If there's actually a dip coming, its only temporary before surging up to 6k, it stops at 6k because we know that it was once a strong support line that held for a whole year back in 2018, since we're retesting it, its now become an insanely strong resistance. Since the 6k support was so strong, its only make sense for our new resistance to be just as equally strong. So here's the secret plan, the whales will be dumping at the 6k resistance, mainly because the resistance is insanely strong anyway, so it makes sense to dump at that point in time. I can't guarantee that, but there's plenty of evidence to suggest that happening. So we pumped from 4k to 5k, so what's the price doing now? Did it run out of fuel? Well, I don't have an answer for that. However, there's something I and many others are certain of, we can expect a pump to 6k within a few weeks, no exact timeframe but it is inevitable. Here's the crazy part, when that does happen, the price will change market structure and fall back to a hard support in the 4k area. Just remember, when we see the next pump, the main stream media will start reporting this, and give false, misleading information as always, bait their viewers and fill their minds with junk. As a result, retail investors will see this and they'll repeat the same mistakes as always, and buy BTC very very late at 6k, and then get dumped on by whales, its very dirty I know, but this is how the game works. Its all fun and games when the price is up, until the whales decide the make a move. Its important to realise that this was all planned and schemed by the whales, as always. History will always repeat itself in these markets, or any financial market for that matter. People don't learn, sadly. However, people like us who chart everyday and keep updated with accurate and authentic information do learn, thus the market rewards us for understanding the game, and punishes those who don't understand the game. (Screenshot by D4rkEnergy) "Lastly if we take a look at the Weekly Chart, you can see that the Bullish Momentum is getting bigger and bigger (even though the pace is not as great as before - but that is normal during a correction). Also the RSI is holding above level 50." -D4rkEnergY You see, the whales have been accumulating BTC since 3,300 USD which was back in Jan. They bought at 3.3k and will dump at 6k. That's a total profit of 90% (1.9x gain). They pretty much 2x their money without any guessing or gambling, they don't need to do any TA either. Whales have the power to plan and calculate these moves, which is why their always being blamed for market manipulation. Whales are not stupid, I wish they were, but they're not. To avoid getting destroyed in these markets, it's up to us as traders and investors to figure out their game, and play along with their rules. We're simply passengers getting on and off the train, we can't control the train. Once they dump, most people will lose their minds like always, yes its depressing to look at, but its not the end of the world. However, it does begs the question, once the market dumps from 6k, what can we expect now? This is where it gets fun, because I honestly believe we're at a very interesting stage in the market, now you've probably hear that line a million times a day but allow me to explain. It's interesting because we're literally stuck between a rock and a hard place. The strongest resistance right now is the 6k one, and we have 3 levels of support. Support #1 is at 4925 USD, Support #2 is at 4K-4.4K, and lastly Support #3 is currently at 3k-3.2k. The last two are specifically is a trend line supports. This means that the market can't bounce upward or drop downwards either, the market wants to stay sideways until the it feels like doing something. My screenshot has defined 3 areas, or planes of existence as I call it. Heaven, earth, and hell. Heaven means we're bullish 100% if we break the 6k resistance, I'd confirm a bull run 100%. Earth means we're neutral, we're stuck in the blue area, bouncing between support and resistance (consolidation). And lastly, we have hell, the red area, which was a stage we just recently passed, we can literally say "We went through hell and back." Something definitely worth celebrating, because we earned it folks! The price has found itself a stable place to stay, but for how long is another story, it can only rest and take a vacation to recharge itself for the next bull run, also known as the "consolidation phase." The consolidation phase is simply a stage in the market where it needs time to rebuild itself, it needs to time rest before changing cycles. In other words, its basically a bear hibernating, once the bear finishes hibernating it wakes up and starts wreaking havoc. So in market terms, when the bear wakes up is exactly when the market wakes up and decides to start a bull run. The reason I say this is because the 6k resistance is too strong at this time to break through, and the forever downtrend has become an extremely strong support that it can't go back into hell again, this means we're stuck between a rock and a hard place, which leaves us with only one option, to consolidate. The market is trying to say "let me hibernate." Its been a long night, market is tired, and it just came back from a hard day's work, literally going from 1k to 20k and then from 20k back to 3.2k. I hope this post sparked some ideas, and gave some value once again, let me know what you guys think in the comments, I reply to all of them! And don't forget to like and follow me on TradingView! I lots of spent time researching and discussing ideas with other traders to gain some insight and clarity, which lead me to write my own article with my own twists. Shout out to D4rkEnergY and his recent posts for inspiring me to write this. Thanks again, and as always, have a fantastic weekend everyone! Optional donations! All funds would directly support my personal finances, and most importantly, my mission and vision of building an online brand :) BTC Donations: 1AuZiofHSqM5gV1ttxUddNovDhEtHgMUgA
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by CyberStocks
Gann Box and MACD AnalysisTSX:PEY appeared on my screener for a MACD crossover play. I applied Gann box and it looks like we are coming up on a critical point with the potential for the move upwards. I have shown the 48 Day periods which is part of Gann's 192-day cycle to see if there are any points of reversals and it lines up pretty nicely. It appears that we just passed a 48 Day point and have consolidated until we reach that critical angle. We have reached the 15-Day mark after the spring equinox which Gann identifies as an important date to look for. Looking at the chart above we can see that it's primed for a breakout based on the following reasons: We are not only at the 52-Week Low but it also just peaked out of the Wave Trend "Buy" zone; ADX value of 25 confirms the trend is strong; Stoch and RSI are both low enough to still jump in the trend; MACD crossover confirms entry. What are your thoughts?
TSX:PEYLong
by EpicWasteland
HANG SENG: Weekly OUTLOOK!#OpportunityHey tradomaniacs, welcome to my analysis for HANG SENG HSI. Everything I want to say is shown in the chart. Since this market is political-driven we should still wait for the outcome of the tradewar, especially for China and USA. Every good news seems to be enough for the market to buy.. but still with a very low volume! ----------------------------- LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
TVC:HSI
by Trading2ez
Bitcoin Market Cycle AnalysisThis is my first published chart on Trading View. Here is a quick break down. 1. Vertical blue lines represent a 2 month market cycle. 2. Green shaded areas represent the bull market. 3. Red shaded areas represent the bear market. 4. Yellow shaded represent the consolidation phase of the market. 5. Purple vertical broken lines are the bitcoin halvening dates. 6. The sine function was used to provide a normal distribution visual. What can we see here? Point of reference: 2 month cycles are referred to daily cycles. 1. Bull market cycles last for 13 daily cycles. 2.2 years 2. Bear market cycles last for 7 daily cycles. 1.1 years 3. Consolidation phases last for 4 daily cycles. .66 years 4. Total = 4 years plus or minus a couple of months Where are we headed? 1. We are in the middle of the consolidation phase. The sine function is intended to illustrate the possible fractal of the 2015 consolidation phase. While the price action pattern does not play out exactly, we can see that from a time series perspective it representing the same behavior. In addition, if this consolidation is normally distributed, as indicated by the sine function graph, then a retest of the lows is in play. 2. For the most part, the current represents a 'no buy' area. Medium and long term traders will wait from a confirmation in price and velocity before making a trade. BTC NVT signal has also been flashing red and those corrections have averaged at 33% to the downside. That analysis supports a lower price target of $4100. 3. By September 1, 2019 the market should have a clear confirmation of the new bull market. Keeping time in perspective, Bull markets are not going straight to the moon. Two years is a long time. 4. There are plenty of unknowns and assumptions regarding the future of crypto. However, there is still a tremendous of development in the works and many solution have not been brought to market. The pipeline is full of good projects and development. This idea supports the future price appreciation of BTC. Thanks for reading and I am looking forward to reading your comments.
BNC:BLX
by three_sigma
XRP potential based on historical patternFirst of all, I want to draw your attention to similarities of today's price action and what we saw in 2015. Bitcoin bottomed at 150-200$ back in 2015. While xrp was at the peak. After that we had a VERY long accumulation period. Bitcoin went up and up, while XRP couldn't hold any pop up. This token was lagging behind Bitcoin, but once it broke that consolidation zone, it went literally NUTS. 70000% gain in less than 10months.. Let that sink in. Right now, we are in the same consolidation zone, this time bitcoin and xrp prices correlate better. I expect Bitcoin to drop from this recent top at 5500$ to around 3500-4000$ region again, before we shift from bear to bull market. We are in the potential bottom looking at historical pattern in 2014-2015. In the same fashion I see xrp dropping to 0.30-0.25$ region before any upside could be sustainable. MACD is also indicating shift in the momentum, more buyers are coming in. 70000% gain from 0.25 region puts us at ~180$ per token. (But that's if you bough at the very bottom and sold at top). Just be cautious of how XRP performs when BTC starts rising again. If it can sustain gains and move alongside BTC, then we might start bull run in XRP sooner. If we see choppy action, being unable to hold onto gains, history might repeat itself. (Also look how quick vertical moves are followed by very long consolidations) Chart speaks for itself, potential of XRP is ENORMOUS. What would you rather buy, lottery ticket or XRP? Let me know what you think! :) POLONIEX:XRPUSD
POLONIEX:XRPUSDLong
by Patrikas10
Exceptional speculation from mid April '18 onwardsUsing an updated chart of earlier posted opportunity around AUDUSD (AU) I like to highlight and illustrate the exceptional speculation that has been going on since mid April onwards. The first and many incidence of the same speculation has often seen coming in very sudden which indicates a single source instead of graduate forming of buying/selling pressure you see normally when larger long term trends are forming. Only news events cause such sudden incoming interest in the buying or selling of an asset when it's coming from a group, but then there have to be a profound reason for it been in the news and it always dies out within a few hours. Quite often we have seen USD buying surges since mid April not complying with any of these rules on top of that these volumes were sometimes hidden from public pools and planned very timely to exactly block a USD bearish cycle from bringing down the value of USD or a potential opposite interest such as London open. The latter is just too silly to observe, suddenly on Tuesday morning Asia timezone when there are normally low volumes until one hour before London open, there would be a ridiculous sudden surge of GU and EU selling at a time it was never seen before. There is simply also no reasonable explanation for anybody selling GU and EU at that time other to stopping GBP and EUR from being appreciated. Nobody says a word and nobody writes about it since that I have noticed these out of place events. There are some economists speaking in youtube videos but searching for manipulation of USD returns litle results on Google and first few entries are about China manipulating their currency and Google's very nice suggestion list doesn't show a single entry when typing it out into the search field. Well, everybody knows that every single central bank is doing it, all of them. They call it market operations and it published on their websites. Look at the implementation notes published by the FED May this year or read on about RBA market operations published clear in public, just to name two examples but all central banks list it as normal operational tasks as part of their portfolio of services. Yet search seems to return limited results, making everyone believe very few people are interested in this business. Something so important as a ring-network of almighty controllers manipulating the financial market on a daily basis and nobody would be interested. That doesn't glue very well with me, censored it is, big time, for only one reason, this network of market operators have a lot to hide. More than they trying to let the everyone believe with their website publications. The dangers are that like this year the speculators are all making to believe the sudden interest is genuine, just to grow a large group of supporters because the FED know it can't beat macroeconomic cycles. At one the these will overpower the built up speculative forces against the macros over 6 months and that contr force will be stronger than ever seen on the market and speculators will realise that at one point in time and start selling on top of the macro selling pressure. That combined could give us the strongest ever seen sling back down from high up reaching far below it normally would go, the so called overshoot could reach the opposite side of the market at USDJPY 67...
Education
by Deep-Peat-Shark
1 Million? We'll be lucky if we get to 200k...According to fundamentals Bitcoin will become the only monetary and currency system. According to the chart, it will not. Still a great way to become a multimillionaire though. If you want to know how I calculated retracements, I couldn't really find a mathematical pattern. I only noticed that this time (considering 3100 the bottom) and in the last bear market, the price bottomed at the resistance before the big final bubble pump. in this way we can see that the price becomes less and less volatile: every peak is percentage-wise 4.8 times smaller than the latter, and every correction is smaller in percentage (87%, 84%, 60%, 40%...). We'll see if this time reality will bend to the chart pattern, or the chart pattern will rule over reality.
BNC:BLXLong
by PeterFranc
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