Cycleanalysis
Gold, Back to previous idea >2000 +/-. 18/oct/23XAUUSD, just broke trendline liquidity probably with false breakout. Possible having a deep pullback toward 1888 +/-. Before resuming uptrend toward 2000 +/-. Where 2000 +/- is multi confluence zone of :- 1) Weekly Order Block 2)Yellow Upper trendline 3) Pitchfork parallel line and etc
Gold. Short now. S.L @ 1882.59. 12/Oct/23XAUUSD checking from its internal waves structure, it's probably just completed a double zigzag WXY (yellow) in wave (4)(cyan) @ multi confluence zone :- 1) Triggered liquidity lvl @ 1879.79 on double top in 4h chart, 2) Broke Daily Order Block, 3) IVFG, 4) previous gap @ 1870.. etc
Gold, will Israel-Gaza conflict "push" Gold higher? 10/Oct/23Gold as posted ideas on early May 2023 where we have high probability breaking < 1800, BUT which "road/path" to success"? It really depend on which paths/waves we "choose" based on our patience/trading skills/ etc. P/s The more we trade toward <1800 the more we might lost/loss in trading's "path/waves" or vice versa.
GOLD long now. 4/Oct/23. Gold. Base on Elliott wave principle/ theory/rules.. You may disagree/ argue with me that subway of any corrective wave in triangle consist of expanding flat but i have seem it and prove it with my z-factor (speed analysis) as It happens very often in lower time frame chart.
The #BTC Cyclical Turn Around Is Here!Bitcoin has dropped around 80% each bear market since conception, As we can see looking at the historical data I showed above. Each Bull cycle rhymes if you measure the days the bull/bear cycle ran for. Overall, I think we are on the edge of something special!
***nothing here is financial advice, always do your own research.
Unlocking the Next Bull CycleBitcoin's journey is often marked by key technical levels, and its monthly chart has a fascinating story to tell. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the All-Time High (ATH) has historically acted as a formidable resistance. Today, we find ourselves at a crucial juncture, echoing the past. To embark on a new bullish cycle, we need to conquer the 50K milestone.
Historical Significance of the 0.5 Fibonacci Level:
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level is a significant technical marker on the monthly Bitcoin chart.
It represents a retracement halfway from the ATH to a significant low, signifying a pivotal point in the asset's price history.
Historically, this level has posed a challenge for Bitcoin bulls, often requiring considerable momentum to breach.
The 50K Milestone:
As we observe the current market dynamics, it's evident that we're in a situation reminiscent of the past.
The 50K level is not just a psychological barrier; it's also in alignment with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
Breaking above 50K could signify a new era for Bitcoin, potentially initiating a fresh bullish cycle.
What to Watch For:
Monitor Bitcoin's price action closely as it approaches the 50K level.
Look for signs of strong buying pressure, increased trading volumes, and positive sentiment in the crypto community.
Be aware of potential retracements or false breakouts; these are common in the crypto market.
The Bigger Picture:
While breaching 50K is a significant milestone, it doesn't guarantee an immediate and sustained bull run.
Consider the broader market context, macroeconomic factors, and institutional involvement in your analysis.
Diversify your trading strategy and have risk management measures in place.
Conclusion:
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level has historically held the monthly Bitcoin chart in check. Now, as we approach the 50K level, we stand on the precipice of a potential new bullish cycle. However, history reminds us that we must tread cautiously and stay vigilant.
Breaking through 50K could usher in a wave of optimism, but it's essential to be prepared for various market scenarios. Keep a close eye on the charts, follow market sentiment, and, most importantly, manage your risks wisely.
The crypto market is full of opportunities and challenges. It's a thrilling journey, and every milestone reached is a testament to Bitcoin's resilience and potential for growth. 🌟📊🧐
Gold. Where to sell/buy for better risk/reward ratio? 21/Sept/23The Fed just "giving" "ambiguous" "fundamental news" as usual. A "hints" for use to "interpret" with our own bias/perception.. Treat "news announcement" as "timing/cycle" for market not as "fundamentals for trading" maybe be a "good ideas"...
📅📈4-Year Bull Cycle and the 100 SMA Connection 🔄📅 The 4-Year Bull Cycle: Many seasoned crypto traders are familiar with the concept of the 4-year bull cycle, which appears to be a recurring phenomenon in the world of cryptocurrencies. Historically, it's been observed that approximately every four years, Bitcoin experiences a significant surge in value.
📉 The Dip Before the Leap: Interestingly, before each of these major bull runs, there's often a notable dip in the price of Bitcoin. It's during these dips that we see Bitcoin briefly dropping below the 100 SMA (Simple Moving Average) on the charts.
🚀 Setting the Stage: The dip below the 100 SMA seems to serve as a setup for the next bullish wave. It's as if Bitcoin takes a brief breather, shakes off weaker hands, and then prepares for its ascent.
📈 Past as Prologue: While history doesn't guarantee future outcomes, this pattern reminds us of the cyclical nature of the crypto market. It's not uncommon to see Bitcoin drop below the 100 SMA, only to rally to new heights shortly afterward.
🔍 Key Takeaway: Keep an eye on the 100 SMA, but remember that it's just one piece of the puzzle. Crypto markets are influenced by a multitude of factors, and no single indicator can predict the future with absolute certainty.
💡 Stay Informed and Adaptable: As crypto enthusiasts, our strength lies in staying informed, adaptable, and open to various perspectives. While historical patterns can provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside other indicators and analysis.
🔄 The Cycle Continues: Whether you're a seasoned trader or a crypto newcomer, understanding the patterns and rhythms of the market can be empowering. The 4-year bull cycle and its dance with the 100 SMA are just part of the ongoing saga of crypto.
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