Cup And Handle
Market sentiment largely extremely negative. This is a positive.Analysts and articles claiming that this might be the end of the crypto bull market. A few even announcing that we won't have an Altcoin cycle this round (seen similar reporting during past 2 cycles as well) since institutions will only focus on ETF-approved coins. And numerous extreme negative sentiments pervading all around -- which signals a good time to prepare to continue to accumulating more.
BTC failed to set an ATH above 74kUSD after the latest FOMC meeting announcement of no rates cut = extension of accumulation opportunity . I was too optimistic prior to that.
Personally, I am now waiting to deploy my final pool of USDC capital (and even BTC) once there is a clear sign of a turnaround around the next lower support level, prob into Kaspa. IMO, BTC could retrace down to 60kUSD or even 57kUSD next, and "worse" case, down to 38-48kUSD.
Zooming out, it is presently merely consolidating sideways after a 90% increase from 38kUSD (23Jan'24), ranging btwn ca. 57k-70kUSD.
Will take a wait and see attitude for the moment.
If BTC do correct down to 38-48kUSD and then recovers back to 70kUSD, that would setup a massive cup and handle pattern with a measured move target of ca. 260-290kUSD!
Just some crude thoughts to put it out there for later later reference (like what I usually like to do), to be refined upon later once I'm home.
GBPAUD: 2 Bearish Patterns 🇬🇧🇦🇺
I see 2 bearish patterns on GBPAUD.
The price formed a rising wedge pattern.
After its support breakout, the market also formed an inverted cup & handle formation.
Both patterns confirm the overbought state of the market.
We can expect a retracement at least to 1.912
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USDJPY: Pullback From Support 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY looks very oversold after a strong bearish rally last week.
The price is currently testing a confluence zone based on a daily
and 4H horizontal supports.
As a confirmation, the pair formed a cup & handle formation on that
and broke its neckline.
I think that the price will reach 159.0 level today.
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USDJPY: Your Trading Plan For Next Week 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY tested a key horizontal support cluster
after a massive selloff cause by US CPI report.
I think that the pair is too oversold now.
To buy with a confirmation, wait for a bullish breakout of 158.12
- upper boundary of a tiny horizontal range on an hourly time frame.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 159.0 level then.
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Bitcoin cup and handle formingViewing CRYPTOCAP:BTC weekly with 55-day SMA bollinger bands suggest a cup and handle forming. The previous bull run high in 2021 to the current year's high forms the cup. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC loses support at current levels a handle may form stretching down to $40K and not recovering to +$60K until late Q4 '24.
Cup and Handle Pattern Nearly CompleteI wrote about this in another post, but the chart is easier to see in this one.
The cup and handle pattern on AVGO looks nearly complete on the hourly. Looking at the fib retracement, the bottom of the cup bounces nicely off of the 0.5 line, bouncing off of resistance at the 0.786, and the handle seems to be making it's way back up today.
If we can get past the $1750 price at the 0.786, with the AI narrative and stock split ahead, I see a potential move up to $2,200 on momentum. The market is certainly due for a correction at some point, but I don't see it happening until later this year.
Time will tell, and we'll just have to wait and see what happens.
ANTI-FIATS: Bitcoin, GOLD on Track for Repeat +300%, +400%TVC:GOLD is at all-time highs but remains significantly undervalued. This is evident both in the price action on our charts and in the changing geopolitical landscape, which impacts our financial tactics and the price action we expect to see in the coming years.
Fundamentals :
We must consider the actual and increasingly perceived risks to USD currency hegemony and the sovereign debt crisis. Between BRICS+, the waning strength of the petro-dollar agreement, and the monetization risk to government treasuries, a move to $4000 or $5000 in the coming 18 months feels plausible.
Technicals :
We're experiencing a bullish impulse following the breakout of the 2011-2023 cup and handle (in white) at the $2k price level. I've marked the two most significant price levels over the past 30 years ($400 and $2k). By extending a symmetric, measured move from the 2005 $400 level to the 2011 $2k level, we can identify a target of $6k before 2030.
What's the Play? :
While I'm catching tomatoes from both my TVC:GOLD bugs and BTCUSD maxi friends, the case is clear to me that all ANTI-FIAT assets are poised to excel in the coming years. Stagflation, debt monetization, and high interest rates are here to stay. At some point, we might see Gold vs. Bitcoin square off to see who gets to eat the other's slice of the pie, but for now, the enemy of my enemy is my friend. So let's pack our bags!
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Classic Bullish Breakout Crude Oil has successfully broke and closed above a strong horizontal daily resistance level.
The highlighted blue region also serves as the neckline of a cup and handle formation.
This breakout has the potential to drive prices significantly higher, with the next target being 83.50, then 84.00 a key psychological level.
Traders looking to enter the market should take into account the breached structure.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Overbought Market?!
Crude Oil leaves multiple bearish clues.
The price formed a double top and a rising wedge pattern on a daily
and broke a neckline and a trend line of both patterns.
On an hourly time frame, I see an inverted cup & handle with a confirmed
violation of its neckline.
Looks like the market is overbought.
We may expect a correction to 82.07
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RC1! - 3 months CUP & HANDLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
9697 - 1 year CUP & HANDLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
══════════════════════════════
Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
AVGO Cup and Handle forming?Looks like a cup and handle pattern is forming nicely on the hourly chart ahead of the Broadcom stock split.
I can’t help but feel like we’re getting close to a top within the tech sector, but the momentum is still there driving this stock higher, and NVDA has shown us that a 30% boost post-split is very possible.
EURGBP: Price Action Analysis & Bearish OutlookThe 📉EURGBP currency pair has formed two bearish patterns, indicating a potential downturn.
Initially, the price was trading within a rising channel, followed by the formation of a cup and handle pattern within that channel.
Last Friday, the price broke below both the pattern's neckline and the channel's support line, suggesting a bearish continuation. I anticipate a decline to 0.8428.
Has EUR/USD Bottomed-Out???Here I have EUR/USD on the 4Hr Chart!
Now we see Price on EU has made a sort of "Rounded Bottom" making its official LOW @ 1.06660
Now with Price struggling with the Resistance Zone @ ( 1.08441 - 1.08266 ) it is beginning to form what looks to be a Potential CUP & HANDLE PATTERN!!
This pattern after the completion of the "Bowl" is typically followed by the formation of the "Handle". This will be considered a HIGHER LOW which should be followed by Bullish momentum to the Top of the Cup (Resistance Zone) again, then to BREAK and possibly continue HIGHER!!
-The RSI is showing that price is Over-Bought which tells me we could see price needing to make a decline!
-Strengthening the Bullish Bias on this idea is also backed by the fact price is now trading ABOVE the 200 EMA!
*Before we can confirm this is a Cup & Handle Pattern, we must see Price make a retracement from this High to the ( 1.07751 - 1.07647 ) Range for potential BUY positions!
**If Price decides to Break Below our Fib Entry Zone, The potential Cup and Handle Pattern will be INVALIDATED!!
BTC long Bitcoin has come a long way since its first recorded price of less than a cent. In December 2023, one Bitcoin was worth roughly $42,000. By March 2024, BTC set a new all-time intraday trading high by breaking through the $69,000 level. The idea that Bitcoin could one day be worth a million dollars per unit, as Sciberras points out, “really shows how far we’ve come”.
Bitcoin’s performance in 2024 depends on a variety of potential bullish and bearish catalysts. Numerous factors, such as institutional adoption, the halving, regulatory changes and macroeconomic trends will influence the price of Bitcoin in 2024.
During 2023, the crypto industry was rocked by a series of enforcements that shook confidence in the sector. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed civil enforcement action against crypto exchange, Binance, and its founder and CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao.
However, in November, Binance settled with the U.S. Treasury and Department of Justice, with CZ agreeing to step down and hand over the reins as part of the deal.
Sciberras notes that, most importantly Binance was not accused of misusing customer funds and “did not see a bank run on the exchange.”
“This was one of the best outcomes the market could’ve hoped for, and crypto prices rallied as a result,” he says.
“Binance was a massive gray cloud hovering over crypto, and the settlement is a huge green flag heading into 2024.”
Interest Rates and Bitcoin
Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, has indicated that the central bank may have reached the peak of its rate hike cycle, which Sciberras thinks could be a catalyst for a Bitcoin rally in 2024.
When interest rates stabilize or fall, cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin can offer an attractive place for investors to park capital due to its perceived hedge against traditional financial systems and increasing scarcity—especially as the halving approaches in May.
“Estimates forecast three 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2024, a more aggressive outlook than what they have previously signaled,” Sciberras says.
Sciberras recommends investors keep an eye on inflation from the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, as Powell has left the door open for further rate rises if it begins to creep back up.
SWING IDEA - AEGIS LOGISTICS
Aegis Logistics , with its robust market presence and expertise in logistics and supply chain solutions, presents an attractive opportunity for swing traders.
Reasons are listed below :
Cup and Handle Pattern : Aegis Logistics is exhibiting a classic cup and handle pattern, suggesting a potential bullish continuation.
Breakout and Retest : After multiple tests, the stock broke above the crucial 400 level and has now retested it successfully, indicating strong buying interest and potential upward momentum.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : A bullish Marubozu candle on the weekly timeframe, engulfing four previous weekly candles, signals strong buying pressure and potential upward momentum.
Attempt to Breach All-Time High : Aegis Logistics is attempting to breach its all-time high, indicating strong upward momentum and potential for further gains.
0.5 Fibonacci Support : Finding support at the 0.5 Fibonacci level reinforces the bullish outlook, providing a strong foundation for potential upward movement.
Breakout from Consolidation : The stock has broken out from a consolidation phase lasting over three years, suggesting a significant shift in market sentiment and potential for sustained movement.
50 EMA Support : The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the weekly chart acts as reliable support, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Increased Volumes : Notable increase in trading volumes reflects heightened market interest and potential accumulation by investors, adding confirmation to the bullish thesis.
Target - 520 // 600
Stoploss - weekly close below 380
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