WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKCrude Oil benchmark WTI broke its previous established support at 81.75 and continued its downtrend through Wednesday after G7 talk for implementing a price cap on Russian supply. The mark cap of 65-70 USD per barrel was higher than the market expected, which elevate some of the fears of supply distribution of the oil. Another positive news for the global oil supply is that Chervon Corp. might expand operations in Venezuela.
Both MACD and RSI technical indicators are confirming the downtrend with MACD histogram below the 0 line and RSI below the 50 neutral line.
If the trend continues the price might try to reach levels of 73.65 or even 70.47 In the opposite scenario, the price might revert and test its resistance at 81.75
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Crude
USOIL Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL plunged down from the
Horizontal resistance just as I predicted
And will soon retest the horizontal support
So despite my mixed bias on oil
I think the price might rebound
From that level again
Buy!
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Reseal on oil; BUY on crude oil DRAWDOWN THEN REBOUND ON OIL
By Jahnae Braxton | Divine 3nergy
Crude Oil fell a little more than 400 pips yesterday. Oil opened the day just around $79 a barrel on 11/21. Falling below $80 a barrel for the first time since a month prior on October 22. Price has reached over $90 a barrel in the month of November on the 7th. The last time it reached above $90 a barrel was October 7, 2022. A double bottom began to form last month, which was indicating a sell. The double bottom completed formation yesterday, October 21, 2022. Afterword’s, it immediately wicked off that demand zone and skyrocketed. The bullish momentum push was caused due to Beijing announcing they are experiencing Covid deaths. They haven’t seen Covid deaths in a few months. They are going back to COVID lock down procedures. This is bringing supply fears into oil. What also caused the surge in oil prices were rumors stated Saudi Arabia was going to raise oil production. Saudi Arabia has reported that they will not increase oil production. Oil production will continue with its 2 million barrels a day decrease that was decided last month and to continue to the end of 2023.
OPEC plus meets on December 4 to decide oil production. This comes a day before the European Union ban on Russian imports is set to start. Along with a G-7 price Cap.
I am estimating oil to reach the price mart of $83-$85 this week into next week.
Observing this setup for the following 6-8 monthsThe winter is coming and global tensions are still rising, the war in eastern europe is not even yet in the phase where both parties are willing to sit down. It could be a long and bloody winter for Europe.
I believe oil futures have been going down based on recession fears, but with signs that China will re-open I believe this will be balanced out. I believe that we're still 2-3 winters away from a recession which could bring the oil price down.
Oil Outlook 2022 🛢️With global political tensions on the rise, the expectation for crude oil price seemed to be bullish across the mainstream media. Everyone seems to think that war=high crude oil prices. This is true. However OPEC+ just said they will likely be upping production in Jan 23 so price has been plummeting.
I was actually surprised that price wasn't moving higher yet before this announcement, however algobuddy was telling us on the weekly that it's still in bear mode so I have been weary of long positions on my short term charts. I try to stick with the overall weekly or monthly trend.
I also keep remembering when the US president said he'd like to see price of oil closer to $72 before he stops emptying reserves, and when a US president says something like this I like to think there are enough strings to pull that he can make it happen.
This seems to be working out, as price is almost down to that exact number now, especially after OPEC's announcement.
I do notice a broadening formation happing on the weekly chart right now around this area. This gives me the feeling that a big slingshot move up is coming. I'll keep my head on a swivel, but until we get a weekly algobuddy bull signal I am staying on the bear side for now.
IF the talk of WW3 turns more and more likely into becoming reality, then I will start to think of a move to the upside. IF weekly candle crosses and closes back above the algobuddy thick ribbon line then I'll turn bullish. It's already made a new low and peeked below the previous weeks bar and is now back above its low. This is bullish for me, however if price continues to make new lows and more production ramp announcements I will jump on shorts.
Looking forward to seeing how this week candle closes. If red, then we can see more downside move.
Stay solvent my friends 💪
AlgoBuddy
USOIL - Deteriorating outlook On 7th November 2022, USOIL broke above the short-term resistance at 93.61$ and peaked at 93.73$. However, a few hours later, the breakout became invalidated, and the price started to drift lower. For the subsequent ten trading sessions, the price kept declining approximately 16% to a low of 77.24$ on the last Friday; before closing at 80.14$ that same day.
In April 2021, we stated the oil market peaked, and the price was headed to 90$ in the long term, which was hit four months later. In addition to that, we provided several more short-term and medium-term price targets until the volatility started to pick up in late summer.
Because of this elevated volatility, we announced that we would abstain from setting more price targets, except for a long-term one at 70$. Now, with the recession in full progress and the deteriorating outlook for the oil market, we are starting to reconsider the timestamp on our price target.
We are considering updating the price target to medium-term (and potentially short-term after a while) depending on more oil market developments. With that being said, we will pay close attention to the rhetoric of the U.S. administration and the possibility of more SPR releases, which would lead to lower oil prices. Additionally, we will monitor the narrative of OPEC and other energy institutions for more oil market data that could suggest lesser oil demand and oil demand growth going forward.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
MACD broke below 0 points, which is very bearish. RSI and Stochastic are also bearish. DM+ and DM- performed a bearish crossover. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Although the trend remains weak,
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bearish. Stochastic and MACD are neutral. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
CRUDE Oil down trending again... Crude weekly points to more downside. Breaking below 76, would be bad news and 67 would be the downside target at the end of the year.
Technical indicator, MACD crossed down in bearish territory, and the VolDiv indicator turned red as it heads to the zeroline. Very dangerous when it does this...
Expect more downside to the last low at 76. Critical support level there.
WTI Crude Oil: Are we following BTC's previous top? 18/05/22 Shown is an overlay of Bitcoin's previous top ~$69k. We are showing very similar price action of a wide, heavy range at highs, with the micro lower highs on the underside signalling a continuation / blow off top spike is possible.
Product supply is increasing from several refineries opening from maintenance alongside seasonal demand, allowing for the current upward pressure. Longer term problems for crude oil range from high consumer energy prices to a declining SP while $ strengthens. Several COVID spikes globally also once again pose a risk.
This is a fractal that I have been keeping my eye on for quite some time, and is one that I have seen on several assets, across several timeframes.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Oil set for higher pricesTrade Idea: Buying Oil
Reasoning: Head and shoulders setup still possible on the daily chart.
Entry Level: 86.46
Take Profit Level: 92.66
Stop Loss: 83.43
Risk/Reward: 2.05:1
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USOIL H2: BUY/HOLD XABCD setup 15% gains (SL/TP)(NEW)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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USOIL H2: BUY/HOLD XABCD setup 15% gains (SL/TP)(NEW)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
Tagged as LONG as I expect more gains.
READ ENTIRE IDEA BEFORE EXECUTION!!!!
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: USOIL 2hours candle chart review
::: speculative XABCD setup in progress
::: expecting correction/pullback after G20
::: G20 meeting likely result in pullback MODE
::: higher risk setup: short from point C
::: near 92/94 USD TP BEARS 80 USD
::: this is higher risk setup use tight SL
::: BULLS remain on sidelines and wait
::: for correction to complete (point D)
::: recommended strategy: BUY/HOLD 80 USD / D
::: 80 USD is also a strong liquidity gap zone
::: BULLS should wait for a better price
::: TP1 BULLS 90 USD TP2 BULLS 93 USD
::: WAIT for price to pullback before buying
::: near 80 USD / liquidity zone /point D
::: shorting is a higher risk setup now
::: SWING trade setup do not expect
::: fast/miracle overnights gains here
::: good luck traders
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
::: 80USD fresh demand zone
::: 92/94USD fresh supply zone
🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies
::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A
::: Sentiment short-term: BULLS
::: Sentiment mid-term: BEARS/pullback
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WTI oil - Global oil demand is set to fall with deeper recessionIn the recent past, we abstained from setting price targets for the short and medium term. Meanwhile, we became focused on the long-term price target of 70$, which stays in place as we continue to be bearish on USOIL. Our view is based on the deepening recession and falling oil demand.
Yesterday, the IEA Executive Director, Faith Birol, said in his interview with Bloomberg during the COP27 summit, "The recent decision of OPEC+ to cut the production by two million barrels a day was definitely not helpful." Additionally, he said that this move by the cartel was fueling inflation in developing countries and may require a "rethink".
If his words come true, the world could see temporary stabilization of USOIL prices between 80$ and 90$. However, all depends also on Joe Biden, who currently does not support more drilling activity. Since the stance of the U.S. administration might quickly change (with an even deeper recession and end of midterms) and send prices much lower, we pay close attention to the energy dispute between the U.S. and OPEC.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD show signs of exhaustion. DM+ and DM- are bullish but due to cross each other. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows the hourly chart of USOIL and simple sloping support/resistance levels. Interestingly, the immediate sloping support was broken to the downside, which is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and MACD are neutral. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Double Top In Crude Oil - Are You Ready For The Move Below $75?Don't fool yourself with the idea that Crude Oil will continue to climb higher. The world is in a contractionary phase and Winter/COVID issues continue to plague demand.
Crude Oil will slide downward as demand weakens into 2023.
I expect $75 to $76 as a base level near the end of 2022. Then, possibly falling toward the $61 price level.
Follow my research.
CRUDEHello and welcome to this analysis
UKOIL formed a Bullish Harmonic Gartley near $83.50 in weekly time frame and reversed from there. In the last few weeks after its 1st round of reversal from the Gartley PRZ it has formed a Cup pattern (rounding bottom) in daily time frame indicating a breakout above $98.50 for $106.
While CRUDE OIL at MCX has formed an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern in daily time frame indicating a breakout above 7700 for 8200 and 8800. The movement in MCX Crude will largely be impacted by US$-INR also, keep in mind that factor also.
$USOIL $97 short-term target 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Hello fellow traders and investors! My team isn't expecting oil/gas demand to slow down anytime soon. A long-term target of $132 and beyond is on the horizon. Ever since the war in Ukraine began the Biden administration has been trying their hardest to keep prices down by releasing war-time oil reserves periodically. This is a temporary solution, and my team believes that it will eventually lead to a blow off top. Raising interest rates seems to be the feds only solution to combating the situation, yet it has become evidently clear that they have no idea what to do and whether or not this will actually solve the issue.
These are just our thoughts surrounding the situation and things could change quickly with the emergence of new information. We hope that this helps!
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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