WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/11/23For Tuesday, 72.83 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.41 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.41 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.
Downside Tuesday, closing below 72.83 signals 69.25 within several days, possibly allowing another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.41 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
Crude
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/10/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 81.97 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.
Downside, a weekly settlement below 62.14 indicates 53.87 within several months, longer term Fibonacci support able to contain selling into later year.
Upside, a weekly settlement above 81.97 indicates 94.67 within several months, able to contain annual highs.
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For Monday, 72.82 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.34 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.34 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out through the balance of the year and a significant upside continuation point into later year.
Downside Monday, closing below 72.82 signals 69.35 within several days, possibly another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling through next week and above which 77.34 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
USOUSD H4 | Approaching overhead resistance?USOUSD is rising towards a key overlap resistance and could potentially reverse from here. We could see price drop down to our take profit target.
Entry: 72.782
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level
Stop Loss: 74.377
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci projection level
Take Profit: 70.113
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
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Brent to stall at trend of lower highs?Brent - 24h expiry
Daily signals are bearish.
Trend line resistance is located at 76.60.
50 1day EMA is at 76.35.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 76.39 (stop at 77.39)
Our profit targets will be 73.89 and 73.39
Resistance: 75.90 / 76.40 / 77.34
Support: 75.20 / 74.80 / 74.40
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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us-oil 2nd July After a bearish first half of the week, we shifted up and into our current bullish narrative, and we have carried this bullishness over into the end of our week, so iam looking to catch the rest of our bullish move as we carry over into this week.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
WTI OIL approaching the MA50 (1d) againWTI Crude Oil is approaching the MA50 (1d) again, the 3rd time this month and fourth since May 24th.
All tests have resulted in rejections and another one may confirm the emergence of a Channel Down.
A closing above it though, targets the MA100 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Sell near the MA50 (1d).
2. Buy if we close a candle above it.
Targets:
1. 67.15 (previous Low).
2. 73.50 (the MA100 1d).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is trading inside a Rectangle. Its bottom is a buy opportunity and top is a sell. Use this in combination to the above.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 6/29/23For Thursday, the 67.08 level can contain weekly selling pressures, above which 72.77 is attainable by the end of next week, possibly yielding 77.17 by the end of July.
Upside Thursday, 69.95 can contain session strength, while closing above 69.95 signals 72.77 within 2-3 days, where the market can top out into later next week and the point to settle above for yielding the more meaningful 77.17 within 3-5 more days.
Downside Thursday, closing below 67.08 indicates 64.10 within 3-5 days, 62.14 longer-term support within 2-3 weeks, where the broader market can bottom out through summer activity
USOIL H4 | Falling to overlap supportUSOIL is falling towards a key overlap support. Price could hit the buy entry at 67.315 and potentially reverse to bounce higher. Take profit is at 69.934 which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 65.749 which is an overlap support that sits under with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
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UKOILThis is an update from the last time we took a trade on oil. Our approach was wrong, impatient and too easy, this time we have gone in with refinement and it has paid off.
- Pressure from the demand was very high
- retest of sensitive area
- break down of strength
- impulsive candle
This is to show that every time you refine your strategy you add to the skill so stay working on it and making it better, it is YOURS so only you can put in the work.
ukoil 1 hour chart distribution tp 65 usd / bbl🔸Today let's review the 1 hour chart for brent oil . Previously strong downtrend in
progress entire 2023 so outlook remains bearish until we can daily close above 80 usd.
🔸OPEC production cuts have low impact on prices recently due to lower global
demand. Technically, we are in a distribution pattern setup since May 2023 and expecting
breakdown and new/fresh lows soon for Brent.
🔸Recommended strategy for crude oil traders: short-sell near market / short-sell rips
and rallies, limited upside and final TP bears is 65 USD. once we get a valid breakdown
of the structure expecting losses to accelerate in this market.
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
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Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
USOILSPOT H4 | Running into resistance?USOILSPOT is rising towards an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Price could hit the sell entry at 70.942 and potentially reverse to drop lower. Take profit is at 68.194 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 73.357 which is an overlap resistance.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
WTI REMAINS STABLEOil prices remained stable on Monday amid volatile trading as investors weighed global demand concerns against political instability in Russia, which could worsen supply disruptions. Brent crude futures rose slightly to $73.88 a barrel, while U.S. WTI futures fell to $69.08 a barrel. The withdrawal of Russian mercenaries in averted clash raised questions about President Putin's grip on power and potential oil supply disruption. Russian turmoil presents a risk to supply shortages, coupled with Saudi Arabia's output cut, declining U.S. production, and the end of U.S. strategic reserve releases. Last week, both Brent and WTI prices dropped by 3.6% on worries of higher U.S. interest rates and China's underwhelming economic recovery.
Both RSI and MACD remain indecisive regarding the future movement of the instrument. As a support level can be considered prices of 69.61 and 69.25 further down the line. As a pivot point may be considered the price of 69.83, from where the instrument might try to reach a target of 70.18
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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 6/27/23For Tuesday, the 67.08 level can contain weekly selling pressures, above which 72.92 is attainable within the week, possibly yielding 77.00 within 2-3 weeks.
Upside Tuesday, 70.67 can contain session strength, while closing above 70.67 signals 72.92 within 2-3 days, where the market can top out through the balance of the week and the point to settle above for yielding the more meaningful 77.00 within 3-5 more days.
Downside Tuesday, closing below 67.08 indicates 64.67 within the week, 62.14 longer-term support within 1-2 weeks, where the broader market can bottom out through summer activity
USDWTI H8 - Long SignalUSDWTI H8
Waiting patiently to see this support price of $67/b region to trigger. Solid range from this support price, up towards that resistance price of $73.50, healthy $6 range and 9-10% price fluctuation held since the start of May. Hopefully this continues to remain active and we can continue milking these zones and ranges.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 6/26/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 82.21 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.
Downside, a weekly settlement below 62.14 indicates 53.87 within several months, longer term Fibonacci support able to contain selling into later year.
Upside, a weekly settlement above 82.21 indicates 94.67 within several months, able to contain annual highs.
-
For Monday, the 67.08 level can contain weekly selling pressures, above which 72.87 attainable within the week, possibly yielding 76.91 within 2 - 3 weeks.
Upside Monday, 70.67 can contain session strength, while closing above 70.67 signals 72.87 within 2 - 3 days, where the market can top out through the balance of the week and the point to settle above for yielding the more meaningful 76.91 within 3 - 5 more days.
Downside Monday, closing below 67.08 indicates 64.67 within the week, 62.14 longer-term support within 1 - 2 weeks, where the broader market can bottom out through summer activity.
Update #OIL #WTI #OOTTI do not have a good explanation of what has happened in crude and have to fall back to the previously outlined expanding diagonal scenario. This is weak, however, because it is supposed to be rare.
If it proves to be the case the price will take off with acceleration and the move up will be a 3 wave move like illustrated.
UKOILBig risk and I do not advise it. This is something I have been watching from a distance for months, so no I want to try what I have been figuring out with OIL.
I'm only posting because I need it for records and learning material for myself in-case this goes sideways, even when you look the RR is very bad but this is how far my strategy for oil has brought me.