USOUSD H4 | Rising into 61.8% Fibo resistanceUSOUSD is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse from here to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 81.826
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 83.778
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 78.452
Why we like it:
There is a multiple swing-low support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
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Crude
WTI H4 | Heading into resistance?USOIL (WTI) is rising towards the sell entry at 80.424 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and could potentially reverse from here to drop lower.
Stop loss is at 82.803 which is a level that sits above the recent swing-high.
Take profit is between 78.400 and 77.604 which is a multiple swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Crude Oil potential shortCrude oil is looking double sided, potential drop or bounce of support. Next week will be interested how it will pan out. Will support hold up? Will oil dump?
The one day uptrend has been broken since the last high has been broken through and so far a little down trend has formed and it looks like Friday could have been a pull back to continue the 5th wave of this down trend.
Watch on Monday, sell if oil breaks through support. And buy if the potential upside forms, buy.
If it begins to break through support, we sell with a stop loss at around 80 for a decent stop loss and around 80.6 for a looser one. The target is minimum of 78.
If it starts bouncing off, we buy and set stop loss for around 79.1 (a lot of risk for bullish side) and target is 81 and higher if we continue to move the stop loss up.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE JUST PRACTICE...
CRUDE OIL Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL looks like its
Forming a head and shoulders
Pattern to be honest so I am
Kinda bearish mid-term
But, after the retest of the
Support I believe we will
See a local rebound
Buy!
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WTI OIL Rejection on the 4H MA50, sell if the 4H MA200 breaks.WTI Oil (USOIL) got emphatically rejected yesterday on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and formed another Lower High on the emerging Channel Down. The price is now approaching the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) on an additional sell signal as the 4H MACD just completed a Bearish Cross, the first since the one that started this correction at the top on August 10.
As a result, we are waiting for this bearish continuation confirmation, and will sell after a 4H candle closing below the 4H MA200. Our target will by 76.00 (just above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line)).
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CRUDE OIL Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL went down after
The breakout of the rising
Support just as I predicted
But now the price is about
To retest the horizontal
Support of 78.45$ from
Where a local bullish
Correction is likely to happen
Buy!
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Update UKOIL 👴📣Update UKOIL I'm doing some tests with a new indicator.
In the case of this asset, we may be at a local top at 108.30 and a bottom close to 29.00 , let's follow, I'm testing the new indicator that I developed within the global markets index and I've been getting many positive results.
Follow me and share with a friend to encourage me to make the bookmark available to you in the future.
WTI OIL Broke below the Channel Up. Potential downtrend startingWTI Oil (USOIL) broke yesterday below the 1.5 month Channel Up and is now the farthest it's been from the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the June 28 bottom. As long as it fails to close a candle above the 4H MA50, the short-term trend remains bearish, targeting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 78.50. If however it closes above the 4H MA50, we will buy and target Resistance 1 at 84.85.
An addition indicator for buy and sell is the 4H MACD. Once it makes a Bullish Cross, you can buy for quick short-term profit and similarly once it makes a Bearish Cross, you can sell.
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USOIL Swing Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL was trading along
The rising support line
But now we are seeing a
A powerful breakout so
We are now bearish biased
And I think that we will see
A further move down
Sell!
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✅CRUDE OIL WILL GO UP|LONG🚀
✅CRUDE OIL is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the price is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 84.00$
LONG🚀
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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/11/23For Friday, the 81.49 - 81.64 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.15 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year.
In the more immediate vicinity, 84.14 can contain session strength, while closing above 84.15 indicates 86.15 within several days, able to contain weekly buying pressures - once tested the market susceptible to falling back to 81.49 long-term support within 1 - 2 weeks.
A daily settlement above 86.15 indicates 92.93 - 93.53 over the following 3 - 5 weeks, where the market can top out on a monthly basis.
Downside Friday, closing below 81.49 indicates a good August high, 78.02 then expected by the end of next week, 70.85 attainable by the end of September.
CRUDE OIL Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in an
Uptrend in a rising wedge
And the price broke the
Key resistance of 82.8$ which
Reinforces our bullish bias
And makes me think that
Oil will keep growing
Buy!
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Energy markets top of mind – got gas?Energy markets are front of mind – we see crude into new cycle highs and riding the 5-day EMA – clients are progressively increasing short exposures, although we’re not at historically high skews.
Nat Gas (NG) – the wild west of energy markets – has broken the $1.91 to $2.82 range it has held all year, and the Bollinger Band volatility squeeze is firmly on. EU TTF NG prices were a clear driver, with price closing up 28%, and along with US CPI, will be front and centre in the session ahead.
Gasoline has moved to range highs of $3.00 and could get more attention from clients, if and when it closes above the highs.
The fundamentals behind the NG move have been firmly debated and whether the potential worker's strike at the Chevron and Woodside LNG facilities has genuine longevity – the three facilities in question account for c.10% of global LNG supply, so it is significant.
The risk to NG longs resides in a quick de-escalation of talks and we ultimately see no impact on supply. Married with signs of a mild winter in Asia and LNG not far off capacity limits, we could see a sharp decline in price on a resolution. Conversely, if we do see a full escalation and the market feels it could play out over a period of weeks, longs will be sitting pretty.
The trend-following crowd would be triggered on NG, with price closing above the Bollinger band and Donchian Channel (40-day look back). This still needs work, but the fact we’ve seen a breakout has raised the prospect of a test of the 200-day MA and full trending conditions.
Looking at the intraday tape in the US500 we see that as crude prices pushed above the April highs, we saw little selling of equity. We also saw the market's pricing of expected inflation (through ‘breakeven’ rates) also falling. This goes part of the way to answer two important questions – the level where higher energy prices accelerate the view that headline inflation may reverse higher again. And, whether higher oil prices become an outright negative for equities.
It appears that while we are closer to that tipping point, it feels like it may take a break of the psychological $100p/b to change the risk dynamic.
For now, longs in Nat Gas seem the right position, knowing the clear near-term risk/catalyst is headlines on strike action in W.A.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/10/23For Thursday, the 81.49 - 81.66 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.28 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year.
In the more immediate vicinity, 84.18 can contain session activity, above which 86.28 is attainable intraday and able to contain weekly buying pressures, once tested the market susceptible to falling back to 81.49 long-term support within 1 - 2 weeks.
A daily settlement above 86.28 indicates 92.93 - 93.53 over the following 3 - 5 weeks, where the market can top out on a monthly basis.
Downside Thursday, closing below 81.49 indicates a good August high, 77.86 then expected within 3 - 5 days, 70.77 by the end of September.
WTI CRUDE OIL Sell opportunity at the top of the Channel Up.WTI Crude Oil / USOIL is trading inside a Channel Up with the price reaching its top.
The Higher Highs trend line is technically the lowest risk sell entry, as long as it holds.
Every pull back inside this formation has been at least -4%.
Sell, aiming for a similar decline, targeting 81.20.
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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/8/23For Tuesday, the 81.49 - 81.71 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.54 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year.
Upside Tuesday, 84.17 can contain session strength, while closing above 84.17 indicates 86.54 within several days, able to contain weekly buying pressures and the point to settle above for yielding 92.93 - 93.53 over the following 3 - 5 weeks, where the market can top out on a monthly basis.
Downside Tuesday, closing below 81.49 indicates a good August high, and quite possibly through the balance of the year, 75.49 then considered 1 - 2 week target, possibly yielding 62.14 by the end of the year.