WTI CRUDE OIL Buy and target the 1day MA50.WTI Crude Oil / USOIL is inside a Channel Down but the bearish strength is fading as a Falling Support has been formed while the 1day RSI Double Bottomed.
At the same time the 1day MACD is about to form the 2nd Bullish Cross in less than a month.
The very same (Channel Down) pattern was trading back in June - August 2022, with the same bullish divergence and MACD Bullish Cross.
The price bottomed on that Cross and rebounded to test the 1day MA50.
Buy and target again the 1day MA50 with an early target estimate being 77.00.
Previous chart:
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Crude
CRUDE OIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is making a bullish
Correction while trading in a
Downtrend so we are bearish
Biased and I think that after
The price hits the horizontal
Resistance above at 73.50$
We will see a further move down
Sell!
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WTI Crude oil trade analysis
Oil prices are falling due to US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Both headline and core inflation data were stagnant, suggesting that U.S. inflation is not accelerating or declining rapidly, while inflation is falling in Europe and other major regions. The outlook for oil in 2024 is bleak as the supply glut is too large to be replenished in the short term.
Judging from the daily chart of crude oil, since the second rebound failed in late October, oil prices have continued to fall, eventually forming a downward trend. Oil prices have hit August lows of 77.80. Oil prices showed a slight fluctuation pattern around the low point, forming a flag-shaped relay pattern. Oil prices managed to break below the lower edge of the flag pattern and followed the trend downward towards the flagpole. In the medium term, oil prices are expected to rebound. to around 65.
USOUSD D1 | Approaching pullback supportUSOUSD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 67.038
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 64.192
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing-low support level
Take Profit: 72.437
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI CRUDE OIL Strong buy signalWTI Crude Oil is rebounding after breaching marginally under the 0.786 Fibonacci.
That is the retracement level of the ranged price action long-term in the last 12 months.
Symmetrically, it is a strong rebound level as witnessed on the December 9th 2022 low.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 77.50 (projected contact with the MA50 (1d)).
2. 81.50 (0.5 yellow Fibonacci like the Jan 3rd and 23rd Highs).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has triple bottomed. Rarely you get a stronger buy signal than that.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKOil prices saw a decline due to skepticism about OPEC+'s output cuts and concerns over growing supply overshadowing potential disruptions in the Middle East. U.S. crude settled 1.4% lower at $73.04 a barrel, and Brent dropped 1.1% to $78.03 a barrel. Despite announcements of output cuts, the lack of confidence in compliance and doubts about measurement methods have cast shadows on the effectiveness of these measures. Geopolitical events, such as attacks in the Red Sea, have revived concerns about potential disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies, amplifying market anxieties. Additionally, fears of decreased demand and weak global manufacturing activity in November added pressure on prices. Technical indicators signaled bearish sentiment, indicating possible support levels at $66.78 and a potential rebound around $74.75.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOKOil prices surged during the latest OPEC+ meeting discussions, showcasing a 1.2% rise in U.S. crude futures at $78.77 per barrel and a 1.1% climb in Brent crude to $83.78 per barrel. The market buzzed with expectations of deeper output cuts, despite existing pledges from OPEC+ members to cut global oil output by about 5 million barrels per day. The delay in the meeting, prompted by African nations contesting their 2024 production targets, fueled speculations of potential additional cuts.
Amidst bearish U.S. crude inventory data and concerns over China's slowing economic growth affecting oil demand, the market maintained a positive outlook. Analysts hinted at the possibility of expanded supply reductions beyond existing voluntary measures, with the potential of an added 1.0 million barrel-a-day cut to stabilize oil prices. However, caution lingered about a "buy the rumor-sell the fact" scenario, and technical indicators pointed towards a trend reversal, indicating a potential retreat to $73.91 if the current bullish trend eases.
Overall, the oil market remained buoyant on prospects of increased output cuts by OPEC+ members, brushing aside bearish inventory reports and economic slowdown worries. The discussions continue to shape the market trajectory, showcasing a delicate balance between supply and demand dynamics in the energy sector.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
WTI H4 | Rising into resistanceWTI oil (USOUSD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 78.506
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 81.725
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 72.437
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI OIL Excellent buy opportunity.WTI OIL (USOIL) has been trading within a long-term Rectangle since the August 30 High. This is most accurately displayed by the use of the Fibonacci retracement levels where we can see that the majority of the price action has been within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci range. We call that the "High Volatility Zone". On November 16 the price almost hit the bottom of that Zone and since the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) is just below and has been the long-term Support (hasn't closed a 1D candle below it since January 29 2021!), we consider the commodity to have significant upside potential.
On top of that, the 1D RSI has Double Bottomed on the oversold barrier of 30.00 (where it always gave strong rallies on May 04 2023, March 17 2023, December 09 2022 and September 26 2022) while the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross (with all such crosses below the 0.00 mark being a buy signal).
We are bullish at least for the short-term, targeting the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 80.50, expecting also a potential contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
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Crude oil looks set to bounce ahead of OPECWith oil prices having fallen around -25% from the September high, a correction higher may be due.
And as prices failed to hold beneath $70, Wednesday's bullish hammer (which is also a higher low) has caught out eye). The hammer was coupled with above-average volume to suggest demand around $75, and the initial break below $70 was seen on strong negative delta (more sellers than buyers) which means the subsequent move higher likely forced them to cover and reconsider their direction.
A move towards $75 could help improve the reward to risk ration for an anticipate move to $80, a break above which brings $82 into focus just beneath the January and April highs.
USOIL (CRUDE OIL ) SELL ON REJECTION HELLO TRADERS !!!
As i can see CRUDE OIL 🛢️
The anticipated OPEC+ meeting set for this weekend to a postponement to Nov 30th. The delay stemmed from challenging discussion between Saudi's and fellow members regarding oil production levels....
Saudi Arabia currently implements an additional 1 Million barrel per day output cut since July engaged in talks without specifying the cause for the delay....
Recently weeks have seen oil prices fluctuate amir signs of expending supply.....
CRUDE OIL 🛢️ INVENTORIES ROSE 8.70 MILLION BARREL
while this presents another bearish factor 🔥
and technically it is showing us a rejection here on a fake breakout of trend line so we planing for these design TP and expected more fall in USOil its just an trade idea do a proper analysis before trade on ur real account share ur trade idea with us it will help alote the trader community
Oil continues to slide within the channelThe price of WTI crude oil continues to rise ahead of the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Sunday, during which cartel members will discuss policy regarding production. The group will likely decide to lower the output in response to more than a 20% decline in the oil price since September 2023 highs (now, closer to an 18% decline). While a drop in supply is normally bullish for oil, it is important to note that some of it will get offset by the United States trying to ramp up its domestic production. Furthermore, the prices are already rising in anticipation of the cartel’s decision. Nonetheless, our outlook stays unchanged, with a price target of $70 per barrel for 2024.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BUY USOIL !!! TIME TO RETRACE hello traders as i can see its a great entry point for oil to caught some easy pips oil had created a good support zone on last daily low in shorter TF its seems more upside to test broken support zone Saudi and Russian are stick on their cut policy and war is also creating more demands
trade with ur on risk its just and trade idea if ur like our prediction we appreciate ur support it help our trader community stay tuned for more updates
Crude Oil Found The Support?Crude oil is trading lower, currently showing blue wave C in late stages of a corrective wave B pattern. We can also see now five subwaves down within C from 88/89 zone, where final subwave (5) of C can be now coming to an end with a huge volume increase. We can actually already see a sharp bounce from the support that can be signal for a minimum three-wave recovery back to 80 area. If we get a five-wave impulsive recovery back above channel resistance line and 80.00 level, that's when we may call a bottom for crude.
WTI H4 | Rising into 38.2% Fibo resistanceWTI oil (USOUSD) could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 79.454
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 81.725
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 72.437
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI H4 | Rising into resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 77.555 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 80.000 which is a level that sits the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 74.894 which is a pullback support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI OIL Short-term rebound expected.Last month's Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern (see chart below) hit both of our Targets (79.00 and 75.00) and transitioned into a Channel Down:
The price almost hit the pattern's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) and after a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection, the 4H RSI formed the same Higher Lows trend-line as it did on October 12.
We are expecting this to be the start of the Lower High leg towards the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). This is expected to be within the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and a +10.25% range. Target 82.50.
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