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A Renko Trading Strategy - Part 6Part 6: How to Incorporate a Stop/Loss Strategy Incorporating stop-loss strategies into trading using Renko charts and options involves careful consideration of market dynamics, the specific characteristics of options trading, and the unique aspects of Renko charts. Here are some approaches tailored to this trading strategy: 1. Setting Stop Losses Based on Renko Chart Reversal Renko Brick Reversals : Since Renko charts are designed to filter out minor price movements, a reversal (change in brick color) can be a significant indicator. For options trading, consider setting a stop-loss order if there's a reversal that contradicts your position. For instance, if trading calls based on an uptrend indicated by Renko charts, a stop-loss could be triggered by the appearance of a certain number (e.g., two or three) of consecutive red bricks, signaling a potential downtrend. Percentage of Option Value : Determine a percentage loss of the option's value that you're willing to tolerate (e.g., 30-50% of the premium paid). This approach requires monitoring the option's value relative to market movements and Renko chart signals. 2. Volatility-Based Stop Losses Average True Range (ATR) Adjustments : Although traditional Renko charts do not incorporate time or volume, you can use an additional indicator like the Average True Range (ATR) of the underlying futures contract to set volatility-adjusted stop losses. This method involves setting a stop loss at a point where the option's underlying asset moves against your position by an amount that is significant based on recent volatility, indicating the trend might not be as strong as anticipated. 3. Time-Based Exits Option Time Decay : For options, time decay (theta) is an important consideration. You might set a time-based stop-loss strategy where positions are evaluated for potential exit if there hasn't been favorable movement within a certain timeframe, considering the decay's impact on your option's value, especially as it approaches expiration. 4. Technical and Fundamental Stop Losses Renko Chart Patterns : If your Renko charts show pattern breakouts or breakdowns (e.g., failure of a breakout pattern you traded on), use these as a basis for stop-loss orders. Fundamental News: For commodities like crude oil, fundamental news (e.g., geopolitical events, supply changes) can dramatically impact prices. If such events occur and are likely to adversely affect your position, consider them as triggers for your stop-loss strategy. 5. Dynamic Stop Losses Adjust According to Market Conditions: As market conditions change, regularly review and adjust your stop-loss levels. This dynamic approach ensures that your strategy remains aligned with the current market environment and Renko chart developments. 6. Mental Stop Losses Disciplined Execution : While physical stop-loss orders placed with a broker are automatic, mental stop losses rely on the trader's discipline to execute a trade when certain conditions are met. This approach allows for flexibility in response to market conditions but requires strict adherence to predetermined exit criteria to be effective. Conclusion Creating stop-loss strategies for options trading based on Renko charts involves a blend of technical analysis, understanding of options' characteristics, and disciplined risk management. By combining Renko chart reversals, volatility adjustments, time-based considerations, and both technical and fundamental factors, traders can develop a comprehensive stop-loss strategy that protects against undue losses while allowing room for the natural ebb and flow of the markets. Regular review and adjustment of these strategies in response to market changes are crucial for maintaining their effectiveness. Part 7: Some Examples of Analysis to-follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
A Renko Trading Strategy - Part 5Part 5: Devising a Strategy Based on Buying Calls/Puts When trading crude oil (CL) using options like puts or calls, the strategy involving Renko charts and pattern recognition can be finely tuned for option trading. The choice between puts and calls will depend on the identified trend and pattern signals across the three brick sizes. Here are scenarios that illustrate when to buy puts or calls based on the described strategy: Scenario 1: Buying Calls Signal : All three Renko charts (short-term, medium-term, long-term) show a clear uptrend with consecutive green bricks. The medium-term chart breaks out of a consolidation pattern upwards, and the short-term chart shows a reversal pattern from a minor pullback, indicating a continuation of the uptrend. Action : Buy calls as the uptrend signals an expectation of higher prices ahead. Example : If the long-term chart has been in a consistent uptrend, the medium-term chart shows a breakout, and the short-term chart indicates a reversal or continuation pattern, it suggests strong bullish momentum, making it an optimal time to buy calls. Scenario 2: Buying Puts Signal : All three charts indicate a downtrend with consecutive red bricks. A double top pattern appears on the short-term chart, suggesting a reversal from a minor rally within the downtrend. The medium-term chart starts trending downwards after a consolidation, aligning with the long-term downtrend. Action : Buy puts as the combined signals suggest a continuation of the downtrend. Example : After a brief rally indicated by a double top on the short-term chart, if both the medium and long-term charts reinforce a bearish outlook with consistent red bricks, it's an indication to buy puts, expecting the price to fall. Scenario 3: Buying Calls on a Reversal Signal : The long-term chart shows a downtrend, but the medium and short-term charts indicate a reversal pattern (e.g., an inverse head and shoulders or a double bottom). The medium-term chart starts showing green bricks, suggesting the beginning of an uptrend. Action : Buy calls to capitalize on the early stages of a potential reversal and uptrend. Example : Even if the long-term trend is down, a clear reversal pattern on the short and medium-term charts that aligns with an emerging uptrend suggests a shifting momentum, making it a strategic point to buy calls. Scenario 4: Buying Puts on a Failing Rally Signal : During an uptrend on the long-term chart, both the medium and short-term charts show a rally running out of steam, evidenced by a pattern of consolidation followed by a breakout to the downside on the medium-term chart, and a double top on the short-term chart. Action : Buy puts as the failing rally suggests a potential short-term downtrend, even within a larger uptrend. Example : If the long-term trend remains bullish but short-term indicators suggest a temporary reversal, buying puts can be a strategic move to profit from the expected downturn. General Approach for Options Trading with Renko Charts: Timing : Use short-term and medium-term charts for timing your entry into options trades. The short-term chart provides early signals, while the medium-term chart offers confirmation. Direction : The long-term chart sets the overall direction for the trade. Even in a bullish long-term trend, short-term downtrends provide opportunities to buy puts, and vice versa. Volatility : Consider the implied volatility of options before entering a trade. High volatility can increase option premiums, affecting the risk-reward ratio. Expiration : Choose expiration dates that give the trade enough time to work out. Longer expirations for calls in an uptrend or puts in a downtrend can be beneficial, allowing the market trend to fully develop. By aligning option buying strategies with Renko chart signals across different time frames, traders can enhance their ability to enter and exit trades with a higher probability of success, leveraging the clarity provided by Renko charts to navigate the volatility of the crude oil market. When buying puts or calls for Crude Oil (CL) futures with an approach akin to trading futures contracts but aiming to mitigate risk, particularly concerning options' time decay and other unique characteristics, a strategic approach is crucial. There are several key strategies to consider: 1. Choose the Right Expiration Time Horizon of Your Analysis: Align the expiration of the options with the time horizon of your market analysis. If your analysis based on Renko charts suggests a trend or reversal might play out over several weeks or months, consider options that expire at least 1-3 months beyond your anticipated trend reversal or continuation point. This buffer accommodates the time needed for the market to move in your favor while accounting for time decay. Avoid Short-Term Expiries: Short-term options are more susceptible to time decay (theta). While they may be cheaper and offer higher leverage, they also require the market to move quickly in your favor. Given the nature of Renko charts to filter out minor fluctuations and focus on more significant trends, a medium to longer-term option is generally more aligned with this strategy. 2. Consider Implied Volatility (IV) High IV: When IV is high, options premiums are more expensive, reflecting greater expected volatility. Buying options in high IV environments can be risky as you're paying a premium for the expected volatility. However, if your analysis strongly suggests a significant market move, this could still be profitable. Low IV: Buying options when IV is low can be advantageous because the premiums will be cheaper, reducing the cost of entry. If the market moves in your favor and volatility increases, the value of your option could rise both due to the directional move and the increase in IV. 3. Delta and In-The-Money (ITM) Options Delta : Consider the delta of the options. Delta close to 1 (for calls) or -1 (for puts) means the option price moves nearly in lockstep with the underlying asset, similar to owning the futures contract but with limited risk. Options with higher deltas are typically more expensive but less affected by time decay relative to their intrinsic value. ITM Options: Buying ITM options can be a strategic choice for mimicking futures trading. ITM options have intrinsic value and behave more like the underlying asset, with a higher delta and less sensitivity to time decay (theta) compared to out-of-the-money (OTM) options. 4. Rolling Options Strategy : To maintain a position in the market while managing time decay, consider rolling options. As the expiration date approaches and if your market outlook remains unchanged, you can sell the nearing expiration option and buy a further out expiration option. This strategy requires careful consideration of transaction costs and potential slippage but allows you to stay in the trade with a fresh time horizon. 5. Hedging and Risk Management Diversify Expirations : Instead of buying all options with the same expiration, consider staggering expirations. This diversification can help manage risk if the market moves against your position in the short term. Adjust Positions: Be prepared to adjust your position based on market movement and upcoming economic events. Use stop-loss orders or consider buying options with different strike prices to hedge your bets. Conclusion When treating options on Crude Oil futures like trading the futures themselves but with reduced risk, selecting the right expiration date is vital, taking into account your market outlook, time decay, and implied volatility. Medium to longer-term options with consideration for delta and ITM status can more closely mimic the behavior of trading futures while offering the risk mitigation benefits of options trading. Always incorporate risk management strategies and be prepared to adjust your positions as market conditions evolve. Part 6: How to Incorporate a Stop/Loss Strategy to-follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
2
A Renko Trading Strategy - Part 4Part 4: Incorporating Patterns with Strategy Incorporating pattern recognition into a trading strategy using three different brick sizes for Renko charts can enhance decision-making by providing multiple perspectives on market momentum and trend reversals. Applying this to the WTI (CL) market, using short-term, medium-term, and long-term views with different brick sizes. 1. Short-term Brick Size (e.g., 10 ticks, 1min) Entry Signal : Look for breakout patterns or reversal patterns like a double bottom or an inverse head and shoulders pattern. This brick size will be more sensitive to recent price movements, offering early entry points. Confirmation : Use this chart to get an early indication of a trend change or to catch the beginning of a new trend. However, due to its sensitivity, it's essential to wait for confirmation from the medium-term chart to reduce the risk of false signals. 2. Medium-term Brick Size (e.g., 25 ticks, 1min) Entry Signal : This chart size is great for confirming trends identified in the short-term chart. If the medium-term chart starts to show a series of green bricks after a reversal pattern in the short-term chart, it's a stronger signal that the trend is reversing. Strategy : Use this chart to solidify your decision for entry. For example, if you notice a consolidation pattern that breaks out in the same direction as the short-term trend, it can be a good entry point. The medium-term chart helps in filtering out the noise and focusing on more sustainable trends. 3. Long-term Brick Size (e.g., 50 ticks, 1min) Entry Signal : Long-term charts are excellent for identifying the overall market trend. A clear pattern of consecutive bricks (either uptrend or downtrend) can indicate a strong market direction. Strategy : Use the long-term chart for setting the direction of your trades. Enter trades that align with the long-term trend for higher probability outcomes. The long-term trend can also serve as a backdrop for assessing the strength of medium-term signals. Combining Signals for Entry Confluence Entry: The strongest entry signals will occur when patterns or trends align across all three brick sizes. For example, if the short-term chart shows a reversal pattern, the medium-term chart begins to trend in that direction, and the long-term chart supports this with a consistent trend, it's a strong signal for entry. Breakout Entry: A breakout from a consolidation pattern (rectangle) on the medium-term chart that is also supported by a long-term trend can be a robust entry signal. The short-term chart can be used to fine-tune the entry point, such as entering after a small pullback following the breakout. Risk Management Stop-Loss Orders : Place stop-loss orders based on patterns from the medium or long-term charts to give your trades more room to breathe while still protecting against significant losses. Take-Profit Points: Set take-profit levels based on significant resistance or support levels identified in the long-term chart to capitalize on the overall market movement. Example Scenario Scenario : The long-term chart shows a steady uptrend with consecutive green bricks. The medium-term chart shows a breakout from a consolidation pattern, and the short-term chart shows a double bottom, indicating a potential reversal from a recent minor pullback. Action : Enter a long position after the double bottom on the short-term chart, with the medium-term breakout providing additional confirmation. The long-term uptrend supports the overall bullish outlook. Risk Management : Place a stop-loss below the most recent low on the medium-term chart and set a take-profit near a significant resistance level identified on the long-term chart. Conclusion By using Renko charts with three different brick sizes and recognizing patterns across these timeframes, traders can develop a nuanced and layered approach to entering the crude oil market. This strategy allows for early detection of trends, confirmation across multiple timescales, and robust risk management, leading to potentially more informed and strategic trading decisions. Part 5: Devising a Strategy Based on Buying Calls/Puts to-follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 75.867 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 75.300 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 77.329 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
WTI OIL Is this a rejection?Almost 3 weeks ago (February 07, see chart below), we gave a strong buy signal on WTI Oil (USOIL), right at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2-month Channel Up: The price is approaching the 81.50 target right at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. Since however we see a strong Resistance Zone that has been holding since the previous Higher High of the pattern, there is a very high probability for a pull-back, until it breaks. In fact, this Resistance Zone goes back to the November 14 2023 High (Resistance 1), with numerous rejections since. As a result, we will only buy again after a 1D candle closes above the Resistance Zone, in which case we will pursue the 81.50 Target. Until then, we regard the recent rejection as a sell signal and we target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and bottom of the Channel Up at 75.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
BRN - CRUDE OIL Short opportunity📉 Breaking News: BRN Crude Oil Faces Bearish Pressure Amidst Global Uncertainty Interest Rate Concerns: Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller’s recent comments hinting at delayed interest rate cuts have raised concerns about sluggish economic growth. As a result, oil demand is expected to be curbed, impacting BRN crude prices Pipeline Shortage in Canada: Canadian oil production is poised to hit a record high of 5.3 million barrels daily, straining the country’s pipeline network. This excess supply is contributing to the bearish sentiment. Remember, the oil market is as volatile as ever, and unexpected twists can sway prices in either direction. Keep an eye on the news and consider diversifying your portfolio to mitigate risks during these uncertain times. 🛢️💸 Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
ICEEUR:BRN1!Short
by TheTraderrr
a weekly price action market recap and outlook - oilwti crude oil The chart and my drawn wave outlook is the low probability thesis. More probable is a continuation of the trading range 68-78 or 70-80, whatever price you find more appealing, same outcome. bull case: Bulls still prevented bears from a strong move down, as they had the last months, after a rally and we are still trading above the daily 20ema. We formed a trading range after the bull spike and i adjusted the lower wedge trend line which could hold but for that, bulls need to start the week strong and have immediate follow through. They still want to trade to 80 and touch the upper bear trend line which has started 2022-03. bear case: Bears see a good looking bear bar from Friday and want follow through selling on Monday to get back below the daily 20ema. If they can break the ema and the bull wedge trend line, they have a good chance of a reversal back down to 70. outlook last week: “sideways to up - invalid below 75” → Last Sunday we traded 78.46 and now we are at 76.49. the week was mostly sideways. if bears can push below 75 i say i was wrong but so far oil is above the important support prices short term: slight favor for the bulls to reverse Friday and trade above 79, there could still be resistance if bulls won’t push above with some force. bears win below 75 for at least 74 or lower medium-long term: same as last weeks. sideways inside the big triangle, above 80 odds favor bulls to get to the upper bear trend line around 82-84
NYMEX:MCL1!Long
by priceactiontds
WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 78.007 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 76.200 which is a level that leis underneath a swing-low support. Take profit is at 79.727 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
WTI Oil H4 | Heading into multi-swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USO/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target. Entry: 79.459 Why we like it: There is a multi-swing-high resistance level Stop Loss: 81.319 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 127.2% extension and the 61.8% retracement levels Take Profit: 76.026 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to pullback supportWTI oil (USOUSD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target. Entry: 77.108 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level Stop Loss: 75.528 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lies under the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level Take Profit: 78.757 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 77.326 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 75.200 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 79.266 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 75.850 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 74.800 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 78.756 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
1
WTI Oil H4 | Potential Bullish ReversalWTI oil (USOUSD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target. Entry: 76.104 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level Stop Loss: 75.170 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level Take Profit: 78.573 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
WTI CRUDE OIL: Still bullish medium term to 83.50.WTI Crude Oil is on a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.125, MACD = 0.800, ADX = 42.762), crossing today over the 1D MA200 for the first time in February. 79.75 (R1) is the first Resistance level but once the 1D MA50 broke (as we stated on our prior idea), the target is at least 83.50 (TP), which is what WTI delivered on the August 10th 2023 and April 12 2023 rallies. It is interesting to point out how strong of a Support the 1W MA200 has been acting those past few years and was the level that initiated February's (current) rebound. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish breakoutWTI oil (USOUSD) is rising towards a potential breakout level and momentum could potentially carry price towards our take-profit target. Entry: 77.234 Why we like it: There is a potential breakout level Stop Loss: 75.528 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lies underneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level Take Profit: 78.940 Why we like it: There is a swing-high resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
a daily price action after hour update - oilGood evening and i hope you are well. wti crude oil bull case: Amazing day by the bulls. They broke strongly out of the bear flag and made the market always in long on the daily so i expect follow through to 78 or higher. bear case: Bears see this as a trading range and they want the market to form a lower high below 78. After such a strong move on the daily, bears expect bulls to take profits and the market probably will go sideways before another leg up or down. short term: neutral here - valid targets on both sides and today was strong enough for a breather over the next 1-2 days. If bulls manage to keep this running, 80 is highly probable but first they need a higher high above 79. medium-long term: Sideways until clear break of range between 70-80 trade of the day: long → see chart
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
Hopes for higher oil price are getting shatteredThe hopes for higher oil prices were shattered last week with the announcement of a potential Hamas-Israel ceasefire deal, which led to a quick selloff in the oil market. Following the invalidation of a bullish breakout above $76.14, the price of oil kept sliding lower, finally hitting a low of $71.43 yesterday. Currently, the WTI crude oil trades close to $72.80 per barrel, and we pay attention to RSI, MACD, and Stochastic on the daily chart. All of these indicators began to reverse to the downside after the news hit the market, with RSI and Stochastic building bearish structures and MACD attempting to retrace back below the midpoint. If the MACD succeeds, it will bolster a bearish case in the short term. The same will apply to RSI and Stochastic continuing to develop bearish structures. However, as the ADX remains relatively low on the daily time frame, it is suggestive that there is a lack of any trend whatsoever. With this assessment, it is likely that WTI oil will continue to trade within the range between $68 and $75 in the foreseeable future. Illustration 1.01 The image above portrays the daily chart of the USOIL’s MACD. A breakout below the midpoint will bolster a bearish case in the short term and elevate the odds of a breakdown below $70 per barrel. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
2
WTI H4 | Overhead pressures remainWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 72.976 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 74.650 which is a level that aligns the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and sits above a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 70.729 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM