Alikze »» ALICE | Pullback to broken structureIn the daily and weekly time, it has been moving in a descending channel, after the bottom formation in the 0.64 area, a motivational wave has started, which is now facing selling pressure in the supply area after the sub-swing break.
🔰 Therefore, this correction can be a pullback to the green box area, which can face demand in the green box area and continue the upward trend until the next supply area.
⚠️ In addition, if the green box area is broken, the correction can continue until the specified area, which will be a little difficult to continue the upward path.
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📈BNB Market Analysis: Potential Long and Short Positions✅🔍As Bitcoin experienced a notable downturn today, catching many traders unaware, it's imperative to reassess market conditions and identify potential trading opportunities. In this analysis, we'll delve into the intricacies of Binance Coin (BNB) and explore various factors shaping its price action.
💎Binance, being one of the most reputable digital currency exchanges globally, serves as a pivotal platform for traders worldwide. Its reliability and extensive range of services, including the renowned Launchpad feature, where users can participate in token sales by staking BNB, make it a preferred choice for many traders.
🔄In the 4-hour timeframe, we observe a recurring resistance zone between 617 and 656, which has been tested multiple times. Interestingly, each test resulted in a higher low, underscoring the increasing buying pressure within the market. Furthermore, the primary support established during this period lies at 517, encapsulating the range between 517 and 617. Adhering to our trading strategy, it's crucial to exercise caution within this range, managing positions with risk-to-reward ratios of at least 2 to ensure long-term profitability.
📊Volume analysis reveals a recent surge in selling pressure, particularly evident in the higher volume accompanying bearish candles. However, the overall volume trend indicates a decline, potentially susceptible to manipulation by larger market participants. As a result, while SMAs are temporarily disregarded due to the ranging market, RSI remains a pertinent indicator, offering insights into potential overbought or oversold conditions.
📈Moving on to potential triggers for long positions, the primary resistance at 600 warrants attention. However, given the current range-bound nature of the market, traders should temper their expectations regarding risk-to-reward ratios. Instead, emphasis should be placed on swift profit-taking and efficient position management.
📉Conversely, short position triggers at 576 and 543 are within the confines of the range-bound market. Thus, traders must exercise prudence, focusing on timely profit-taking and risk mitigation strategies. The critical short trigger at 517 signifies confirmation of rejection from ATH, potentially heralding a downtrend in the 4-hour timeframe.
📝In conclusion, Binance Coin (BNB) presents a nuanced landscape for traders, characterized by recurring resistance and support levels within a range-bound market. By employing meticulous risk management strategies and leveraging key triggers, traders can navigate market fluctuations effectively, maximizing profitability while mitigating potential losses.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
📈Analysis for Potential Long and Short Positions in ENS✨🔍Today's market position offers a pivotal moment, potentially setting the trajectory for the next 2-3 months. Following a minor downturn yesterday, altcoins have once again approached the lower end of the trading range. This juncture demands vigilance, especially considering potential short positions upon breaking support levels to avoid missing out on market movements.
🔄Bitcoin has activated its trigger yesterday, signaling market activity. Therefore, I've identified ENS (Ethereum Name Service) as a coin still holding its support. ENS allows users to convert Ethereum addresses into unique NFTs, simplifying transactions. Feel free to send any funds to my address parham96.eth; it's my pleasure to receive them!
✅Utilizing price action analysis with a classical approach, focusing on breakout patterns, I've conducted an analysis on ENS.
💎A Fibonacci retracement from the previous downturn indicates a correction to 61.8%, suggesting diminished downward momentum.
A range box has formed between 0.618 and 0.236 Fibonacci levels, with a ceiling at 16.8 and a floor at 14. This range has tested the 0.5 level twice, forming a Head and Shoulders pattern with neckline support at 14 and a potential first target at 12.45.
During range-bound trading, closing positions at risk-to-reward ratios of 2 or 3 is advisable, building a foundation for risk-taking in future trends.
Confirmation of trend reversal can be sought through RSI, with a break below 31.47 signaling potential significant price movements.
For long positions, a risky scalp entry can be considered upon breaking 14.39, with risk-to-reward ratios emphasizing conservative targets.
RSI confirmation below 42.63 can further validate the signal.
📈For long positions, entry confirmation is contingent on increasing buying volume, ensuring logical market participation.
🛒If ENS appears promising to you, please leave a comment for analysis feedback. Moreover, if there's considerable demand for spot buying analysis, I'll provide daily or weekly timeframe analysis for your convenience.
⚡️This analysis aims to equip traders with insights for potential positions, emphasizing risk management and strategic entry points in ENS trading.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
BTC/USD rising towards 50% Fibonacci retracement resistance?Price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 61939.30
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 63139.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 59040.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
ETH/USD potential bearish dropPrice has just rejected off a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially fall to our take profit.
Entry: 3249.60
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3430.18
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2905.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
ETHUSDT→ at the bottom!hello guys...
as you can see, this coin is in the bottom line of the broken ascending channel and the descending channel at the same time!
it is a great chance for the price to start another upward movement! but if the orange area is broken up.
so you can put a stop limit order for a long position that if the price engulfs the 3305 area then your long position will be active!
but if the orange area will not break then the price will break down the ascending channel to reach the 2540$ area!
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Could BTC/USD reverse from here?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 67881.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 71339.38
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 59740.28
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Chainlink What Now?Is this move a surprise not really if you been following my Chainlink ideas.
Published in February warning traders that giant rising wedge had formed and the target of that wedge is back to the top of the massive range at 8-10 dollars.
March 18th we got a bearish cross the MACD , this was another signal of things to come.
On the LINK/BTC we can see that we hit the exact bottom of June 2023 lows when Chainlink hit 5 dollars and completed its wave 5.
We also have this very important date coming up with LINK , which is April 22nd 2024 or more like the week instead a specific day. This Fib time sequence has predicted Chainlink event for years with 100% succuss rate , check it out below
We once again get to see if proves to show us something of value.
On the Main chart above you can see this time fib sequence once again showing pivot points on the weekly , showed us all time high , June 2023 low , I mean simply amazing sequence here apart from 3.618 in grey you can see failed to produce anything special.
Even though the target for the rising wedge is 9-10 dollars I would link to see LINK hold the 1/1 Gann Fann right now its sitting right on it so we don't want to see a close under that would be pretty bad to close under the 1/1 again.
Chainlink Giant Rising Wedge formed.Rising wedge target is back to top of chainlink accumulation range at 9.3.
Clear rising wedge pattern with two touch points top and bottom.
We are coming up to the Chainlink fib sequence I have been using for years it has a 100% win rate at predicting Chainlink events , major moves , bottoms or tops.
Last Fib time hit was the Big move down in May 2022 marked a major bottom for LINK. Next one is April 22nd 2024 and anything can happen for LINK around this time , its interesting also that it lines up with the Bitcoin halving.
LINK/BTC
Link has failed to break this level time and time again and until this level is broken I don't think we will see a major move for LINK.
It is possible that coming in 22nd of April we get a big move down for on LINK/BTC to test the 1/1 Gann fan again, yellow circle you see on the chart.
If thats the case then expect a major move down the fact that we are forming such a massive rising wedge with only 60 days from the next count is telling.
I also get a two different Fib time dates on 22nd April the one use see above is completely different start and end points yet the 618 falls on the same date.
Maybe LINK breaks the resistance on this date and moons or maybe it crashes and bottoms , who knows! all i know is that the next date after Aprill 2024 is May 2027 so best be ready for anything .
Bitcoin RoadMap 2024/2025The thesis I will present today will go over the idea that Bitcoin will repeat its first cycle over a longer length of time. There are a lot of theories on where Bitcoin is going next, and it's been interesting seeing so many different perspectives.
Every 4 years, Bitcoin follows through with its cycle, and we are now in the 4th cycle. So, what if it repeats the first cycle?
The first cycle is a interesting one , we had two tops, one big move followed by a 75% correction and after 231days we put in a higher high.
Last cycle nearly every single logarithmic model I was using broke expect the one you see in the main chart above, I know every model breaks eventually but until then we will base are projections around it.
The fact is there is not much room left from here , if Bitcoin repeats the same move and time then we looking at July at around 113k for a major 2024 top , for over 500 days now Bitcoin has been moving 100% every 120-140 days with the last move only taking 50days.
What is interesting is it took 1200days from Pi cycle cross to cross , if it repeats the next cross is in July and a my projected cross which will most likely not be very accurate since moving averages will move a lot depending on price but late October 2024 would be the cross.
Monthly RSI is the lowest its ever been in history coming back into all time high.
2Week RSI putting in nearly perfect lower highs since the start.
Bitcoin all time high consolidation pattern looking like it did last cycle in 2020 when it was back at 20k.
Looking over at my time cycles , it takes 1400days from cycle top to top this would put a cycle high in September 2025 from November 2021. It also lines up with my time fib in September 2025.
Elliott wave indicator is flashing a wave 5 both of NAS100 and Bitcoin , as you can see by going back in time its not 100% perfect and calling the top but pretty close most of the time , as you can see last cycle it was off by 3 weekly candles.
We are making lower highs on the Weekly and higher highs in price so bearish divergence could be forming here.
stochastic RSI pointing down and MACD histogram printing two lighter colours but as you can see stochastic last bullrun we were going down the entire time Bitcoin was going up.
Conclusion
There are some warning signs but there weak compared to the bullish signs , candle structure is still making lower highs from 4hour upwards and we forming same pattern as we did last cycle before massive run.
This is how I think it plays out , last phase of the first run is coming until end of July then massive correction into end of year and continuation of the bull run till cycle top September 2025.
Ethereum to reach $4800 ATH?Hello Traders, Skyboxpips here!
Ethereum and Bitcoin had a strong bull run from feburary.
Ethereum experience a resistance level at the $4100 level which mean sellers are holding this level. There is an imbalance and anticipate Ethereum to reach that $4100 level in hopes of a breakout to the top-side so we can go test that $4,800 All time High
XRP, the Sleeping Giant Looks good!! could it ready to Breakout?Technical Analysis: #XRP (Monthly Update)
#Ripple coin is now trying to break out of the 1065-day accumulation zone, if it could, this is just the beginning of a new uptrend.
#Rpple Coin is almost ready to takeoff and looks too bullish, if march closes upper the trend line so will be ready to test its previous high and make a new ATH at year-end or earlier.
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💎 Want me to help you become a better Crypto trader?
Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let me know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, 💪
#XRPCOIN #CRYPTO #BULLISHRUN #ALTCOIN #UPTREND
📈 FTM - Testing Range Resistance for Potential Breakout! 🚀
🔄📈 FTM (Fantom) Trade Analysis - Testing Range Resistance for Potential Breakout! 💹🚀
📊 Technical Overview:
FTM (Fantom): Testing top of the range resistance at $0.4025.
Scenario 1 (Breakout): Potential entry if it breaks and converts $0.4025 into support.
Scenario 2 (Retrace): Entry if it retraces and retests around $0.3750.
Stop Loss: Scenario-specific stop losses.
Take Profit: Next resistance levels at $0.45 - $0.48 and $0.55 - $0.60.
📈 Trade Strategy:
Scenario 1: Entry after breakout confirmation.
Scenario 2: Entry on retracement and retest.
Risk Management: Tailored stop losses for each scenario.
Take Profit: Targeting next resistance levels.
🚨 Note: Market conditions and Bitcoin movements may influence FTM. Trade cautiously! 🔄🚀 #FTM #TradeAnalysis #Cryptocurrency 📊💹
Ethereum's Market Dynamics PMI Forecast (Short)In the Ethereum community, traders are keeping a close eye on recent crypto market happenings, especially how Ethereum compares to Solana. They're discussing technical stuff like patterns and support levels for ETH/USD.
One hot topic is Solana's decentralized exchanges outdoing Ethereum in daily trading volume. People are feeling positive about Solana's success and wondering how it might affect Ethereum's place in decentralized finance (DeFi). Traders are thinking about how this competition could impact Ethereum's market share and user activity, seeing it as a positive sign for Solana's DeFi growth.
In this mix, there's a generally positive vibe around Ethereum. Community members are sharing insights on technical analyses, highlighting support and resistance levels, and looking into short-term trading opportunities. But, there's a key event to watch out for: the ISM Service PMI forecast on February 5th at 10 am.
The ISM Service PMI, expected to be 52 with a previous reading of 50.6, matters because it tells us about the growth or shrinkage of the services sector. Since Ethereum is influenced by overall market trends, traders and investors will keep a close watch on this economic indicator. It's important to note that if the forecast is too optimistic, it might create uncertainty, leading to a reassessment of market feelings and a possible price change for Ethereum.
To sum up, being part of the Ethereum community means navigating through technical details, DeFi competition, and the upcoming ISM Service PMI forecast. While there's generally positive thinking, the high forecast raises a caution flag, hinting that Monday, the 5th, might bring a potential price shift in Ethereum as the market responds to economic indicators and competition dynamics.
#Ethereum #TradingView #CryptoAnalysis
Strategic DCA Approach for Bitcoin: Navigating the 39K to 31K ZoAs Bitcoin navigates its way through a critical price range between $39,000 and $31,000, a strategic Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) approach could be a prudent strategy for long-term investors. This range is particularly interesting as it lacks significant historical resistance, with the last notable resistance being around the $30,000 mark. This level could act as a strong psychological support, considering its historical significance.
Furthermore, Bitcoin is currently showing a rejection from the micro golden pocket, a Fibonacci retracement level calculated from the high of the 2021 bull run to the low of 2022. This rejection indicates potential bearish momentum, making the FWB:39K to FWB:31K zone an ideal area for implementing a DCA strategy.
Strategy Execution:
DCA Entry Points: Plan to incrementally buy Bitcoin as it descends through this range. This method helps in averaging out the entry price, reducing the impact of volatility.
Monitoring $30,000 Support: Keep a close eye on the $30,000 level. If this support holds, it could signal a potential reversal zone, reinforcing the DCA strategy's effectiveness.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Pay attention to the micro golden pocket retracement levels. A sustained rejection from these levels could further validate the downward movement towards the FWB:31K - FWB:39K range.
Risk Management: Set clear stop-loss orders below the $30,000 level to mitigate risks, especially if the price breaks this critical support.
Conclusion:
This DCA strategy into Bitcoin between FWB:39K and FWB:31K leverages key technical indicators and historical price levels. It's designed for investors who believe in Bitcoin's long-term value and are looking to capitalize on current market uncertainties. As always, traders should conduct their own research and consider their risk tolerance before implementing this strategy.
Bitcoin Bull Flag forming, BTC to 40k?Bitcoin is possibly forming a continuation Bull Flag pattern. Target ~40200
Price is respecting nicely 12H 9EMA as we can see from the chart (same with Total marketcap).
If we break the 9EMA support I think we will go test the Daily 9EMA and Flags bottom level where probably some buyers would show up. (Picture below)
This price action is quite fascinating and the trend seems strong (haven't broken down yet).
Much people are hoping for a Break and Retest on the 32k breakout level, so they can buy their positions. Could be that we won't even get there.
Not financial advice.
My analysis on Crypto Total Marketcap , the most important level I'm following on crypto
-PalenTrade
📈 $Bigtime/Usdt is showing robust strength and potential. BIGTIME/USDT is showing promising signs. It looks like it's gearing up for a bullish move, and I anticipate the price to increase by 15-30% in the coming days. However, it's important to note that this is not financial advice, so please do your own research (DYOR) before making any decisions."
Cryptographic Truth Final Run (Chainlink) (Re-Upload)The fractal continues to play out like the last Chainlink Cycle.
I started to see a bump and run pattern forming, so I went back to 2019 where we are now in the fractal, and we find the same pattern: a textbook bump and run pattern. There is now a very high chance that we will reverse from this point; we just completed the throwback with a double bottom candle pattern.
My position is still open from 14.6 and being added to the long position under 14.
At the moment, LINK is consolidating under the 1/1 Gann Fan, as you can see below.
According to the fractal, we don't get the real break till the 1st of December; it might look something like this.
The condition for this theory on the fractal playing out being invalidated is if Chainlink loses this lower high structure and breaks this red support trendline.
Cryptographic Truth Part 2 (Chainlink)Part 1
The bar pattern continues to play out like clockwork, but for how long? There comes a time when every bar pattern decouples and fails to mirror. One of the most amazing bar patterns I followed was in 2022, where a distribution bear market fractal from 2018 started forming at all-time highs for Bitcoin.
For the next 218 days, this bar pattern mirrored 2018. It was mind-blowing, also the easiest trading year by far. The TA below was published at the start of 2022, so we knew how the whole year would play out with incredible accuracy.
The key to finding out where the top will be is within Bitcoin; almost every big move Chainlink has made last cycle has been followed by a large Bitcoin move as well.
So if we go back to the very first time Chainlink broke a massive range, we can see Bitcoin had a massive move up in 2019.
This right here is the only move where Chainlink moved up without Bitcoin, and it only managed half its impulse wave before Bitcoin moved up.
It's the only time in history so far.
The next and last range break was again followed by a Bitcoin move, and the final push to Chainlink's all-time high to blow off top was followed by Bitcoin moves.
So once the range breaks, Chainlink has a very distinct pattern, as you can see in the chart below; it's always the same:
One impulse up
One Pullback
One impulse up
That's it; then the move is over. It happens very quickly. You can see there the two times it's happened outside of a bull market. It took 40-50 days. 2021 took double, most likely because we were in a bull market. We are definitely not in a bull market, so expect the move to last around 50 days.
Let's take a look at what happened in the Bull market. Chainlink already made a run from 10 dollars up to 53 dollars; we are at 10 dollars right now.
2021
Bitcoin - 23,500
Chainlink - 10 dollars
2023
Bitcoin - $30,600
Chainlink - 10 dollars
The difference is massive from 2021 to 2023, but regardless, both assets ended up hitting the golden pocket at the same time in 52 days! Amazing stuff really; both are much more in sync than I ever expected!
So if we take the bar pattern (BTC) of the cycle low in 2015 and overlay it on today's price action, we get the following.
Pretty close mirror, especially the first cycle bottom in June 2022. So if we look at what fib level that was in 2015, we can see Bitcoin topped out just under the golden pocket.
Now, if we go back to the comparison chart of BTC and LINK, we can see that if Bitcoin did, in fact, top out under the golden pocket, that would then put LINK at $25.
So if we take a look at the macro and range Fib retracements, we can see that the 4.236 range retracement for LINK comes in at $25.
Everything you've seen in this TA is how I arrived at the most probable outcome for Chainlink this year for . This TA can change very quickly depending on what level Bitcoin is at, so it's basically near impossible to predict where it will top. As new data comes in, we will change targets, so don't take this to the bank. One thing is for sure, the bar pattern will guide the way.
The main thing we need to focus on here is the first pullback in this zigzag fractal. Where it pulls back will give us a massive clue on where it tops.
Now I want to finish off by adding a crazy outcome for LINK. This has a low chance of playing out, in my opinion, but anything is possible. So instead of LINK topping out at $200 in October 2025, it tops out at $750. This would basically be a mirror move from 2019 in terms of fib levels. Highly unlikely, heck if we made a 100% retracement by mid-November, it would be possible.