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Crash

What if this time isn't different? A 2 year scenario projecting the financial crisis of 2008-2009 into the future Chart (W, LOG): Stocks: The averaged futures for SPX, NAS and DJ were weighted so that a 1 point change will imply the same change in $ terms. (For weights see www.barchart.com 200MA, 50MA, and 21MA Today's price and date: at the intersection of the cross. Financial crisis: Purple box on the left Implied scenario: Purple box on the right. Left edge starts 10/5/2022 ("Today" .. for the next 10 min) Methodology: The scenario is a scaled up copy of the box at 2008-2009. It is stretched to fit the current price, and it's 3 MA's. For simplicity the price / time aspect ratio was preserved. Criteria for 'best fit' (using IEI ) were the absolute level and curvature of the 3 MA's. In other words, the distance between the MA's, their slopes, and the speed each slope was changing. Main Implications: The scenario implies a crash (ripped from Feb 2009) beyond the March, 2020 COVID low, as far as the highs of 2015. This is after the end of QE, when Greece went into default and the Yen was devalued overnight . "Bottom" of the implied crash is one year from today (10/5/2022). Notes: 1. IEI : I eyeballed it 2. Gann would not be happy and the result could be different on a RENKO or equivalent treatment of time (a great follow up idea) 3. The night the Yen was devalued I held positions in gold in bond futures (GC and ZB). I have used stops without exceptions from that day on. best graphics:
CME_MINI:ES1!
by gb50k
3
Bitcoin.... We Buy Fear & Sell Greed.For everybody that wishes they bought Bitcoin at $30,000 when it was a $69,000 well now is your chance to get in at a super discount! Don't be that guy or gal wishing they bought Bitcoin when it was low and didn't take action. We're very oversold on the Relative Strength Index registering at 17. Since the 2020 global shutdowns from Covid-19 the RSI has registered this low only 5 times in the past two years. This is a pristine opportunity to consider entering. Just saying..... I've personally been shopping myself these past 24 hours. Remember don't ape in and buy everything all at once! We could always go lower! Much peace, love, health, and wealth!!!
Long
by peacefuljustin
Bitcoin overview marketDuring these days, Bitcoin made a crash during days as U.S. Federal Reserve made a hike interest rates a signal of tightening the U.S. Dollar in Forex market. So, I was worrying in the Daily timeframe because broke down the EMA 200. And I suppose a possible bearish movement in Bitcoin price below $30,000 USD. But notice one thing that we're in the demand zone on weekly timeframe and it's important to know how the price action will make reaction in that key zone to watch out. For example: in weekly timeframe it's look bullish, until doesn't broke down this market structure, we couldn't to confirm a change of trend. But fundamental analysis speak us that U.S. Dollar it's taking strengthening as global currency and more power But it's important to watch out this key level of supply demand right now I hope that this idea support you. So, as I'm bearish in altcoins like Cardano and NEO, that expectative could to point that Bitcoin could to crash more than we expect. I have a clear mind that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies it's in the bear market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by harisonhbn9718
Ideas for $QQQ in months aheadDon't think crash is coming (yet). Or any real correction. Earnings are too bullish for that, Fed is still keeping rates high. I think we still have room for an impulsive blow off (again) out of a historical resistance to 400s range on QQQ before speculators will start taking profits, rates rise and this comes crashing down. There is too much fear in markets now for there to be a real crash. Crashes occur at peak exuberance, and we have not reached that stage (yet). I bet 2022 will be a bear market.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by AlphaJi
1
DOLLAR UP // EURO ( CRASH )The strength of the dollar as a currency is increasingly present against other currencies, if the FED continues to raise interest rates in this way and the rest of the countries do nothing with their currencies, we would be talking about an increase in strength for the dollar currency (at least temporarily). An increase in the strength of the dollar, would make a large number of assets and currencies, such as the SP500, Bitcoin, Euro, etc... fall sharply. We are at a critical point, as we have already observed in the previous Euro analysis. If the strength continues to increase, there is a high probability that it could reach the levels of 120. After that level. We would be faced with a new scenario. Where the dollar will ultimately decide the future strength or weakness of the rest of the assets. It would not be surprising that we are facing a final sprint for the dollar where before falling the dollar itself, it will take everything ahead. Good luck to all !
TVC:DXYLong
by javieralcazarono
Bye Bye EURO !! ( CRASH )The levels on the euro's chart against the dollar are highly worrisome. If the European Union does not quickly raise interest rates more aggressively, we could see the Euro fall to levels of €1=$1 or even lower at €0.8=$1. We note that it has been in a bearish channel since about 2005, which it has been respecting in a demanding manner. At the same time we have no nearby supports that can hold the price, so the HIGHEST probability is to fall. The market structure predicts an abrupt and rapid fall towards these levels, probably without giving us any retracement, as happened in the past. We have already broken the bullish guideline within the bearish channel and this is not good news, since there is no " REAL SUPPORT " by market structure ( I REPEAT ) The area where it is right now, is NOT a SUPPORT !!! . Europeans can be affected by this, losing 20% of their wealth added to inflation added to the uncontrolled growth of taxes. :( . Best of luck to All, hope it helps to get a clean picture of the future of the EURO.
Short
by javieralcazarono
1
When will S&P500 finish its first correction wave ?!?Hello traders! I think we are all looking at the indices charts that keeps falling with the effect of the crisis and economy management from the Fed and central banks. **According to Truflation, the inflation rate is at 11.4% in the USA** This economic crash is not yet to stop, we will be experiencing crazy time in the incoming month and years...! BUT ANYWAY , today we are analyzing the S&P500 with the Elliott Waves from the crash of the Covid-19, and what we can see is that: The 5 of the Impulse Extended Ending Diagonal Wave has been confirmed the 22 Nov '21 - An EED have 5 waves that are subdivided into correction waves 3-3-3-3-3. - In an expanding diagonal ending, wave 1 is small, wave 3 is medium and Wave 5 is long. Since then, we are in an ABC pattern that we are about to finish in the incoming week For me, it is the first Wave of the correction pattern that we are about to be witness in the incoming month and until next year. Because the worldwide economy is not looking good, in my opinion I would say that we are finishing Wave W of a WXYXZ. ZOOM IN for a better view of the objectives that have been found for the end of the downtrend (light blue C of the ABC) : 1/// 4000 is strong by being the 100% of the ABC pattern 2/// 3900 is strong by being the 113% of the ABC pattern 3/// 3850/3825 is the strongest by being the 123%/127,2% of the ABC pattern and near the 38.2% of the entire Impulse Wave Retracement ZOOM OUT for a better view of the overall structure of the S&P500 You can also check my analysis on the NAS100 where the structure is pretty much the same. . . Please feel free to ask question and recommendations in the comment section, I would be more than happy to answer your questions
OANDA:SPX500USD
by ModTrades
2
False Hope US30; Swing EntryLet's not deny the bear market we're in, with a Recession more than assured it's only a matter of "when". Currently US30 has been holding support on my 4H and WEEKLY S&R lines and it's been setting lower highs since it hit it's ATH around 36955. All I'm looking for is a good entry for a swing trade down. Again we don't try to tame just mitigate when it comes to beasts like the US30 so if my sell limits are hit I'm watching for a break in the downward barrier that's held since the ATH. If it breaks I'll be exiting and looking for a higher entry, A Recession is in the future but manipulation and other factors may try to signal for a change in direction, but I'll consider those as fake outs, because the unavoidable is here, no matter what tactics the FED goes with a recession is the outcome, it'll either be clean cut or messy.
UShort
by therealjaso
NASDAQ continues its drop to its final destination. Hello traders, As you can see after a crazy meeting by our lovely FED president J. Powell, which upped the federal funds rate to 0.75 percent – 1.00 percent by.50 percent, or 50 basis points. The Federal Reserve anticipates that the federal funds rate will continue to rise. On June 1, the committee will begin to reduce its holdings of Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities. Anyway, we are now experiencing what the Elliott Waves was showing us earlier last month, and we are about to complete the correction ABC. As you can tell I have 2 mains strong objectives: FIRST: 12250-12195 = which is the 123/127,2% of extension of the green C and the 161% of the white C of the green C SECOND: 11660 = which is the 161,8% of the extension of the green C and the 113% of the extension of the blue C I will put more screenshot bellow for you to understand.
NShort
by ModTrades