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Crash

Yields are Yelling: Recession is comingIt looks like we are turning over. Coupled with gigantic short positioning of speculators on bonds (highest in history bsed on the COT Data), the chart indicates that yields will fall again. Why would they fall? Because of a flight to saftey and/or a recession. I am keeping it very simple, I just buy Bonds via ETF. I am long TLT, IEF and SHY. With that trade, I am also long USD, since my native currency is EUR. If we have a weekly close above 3,5% on the US10Y, I will exit my positions. It might also be lucrative to go short stocks now, but I wont do that too much. This might be a great trade, but I am viewing it as a set up for an even better one. We might get a great opportunity to buy stocks soon.
TVC:US10YShort
by Cyranus
2
The most important chart...What are the conditions we need for a crash? In my opinion we need to see these conditions coming together before we can say that we are in a crisis environment. History showed us that before we had a crisis we 1. first saw the yield curve (US 10 year bond yield - 2 year bond yield) inverting. 2. then we saw the unemployment rate rising. 3. the yield curve steepend again. Then the SPY had a significant correction or a crash. So currently one of three conditions are active. The inverted yield curve. Unemployment rate is slowly rising. The market is still very strong. Don't step infront of a high speed train.
SP:SPX
by Cashflowjaque
1
🔥 FED Pauzing Interest Rates Is NOT BullishAs of a couple of minutes ago the FED has announced that they will pauze the interest rates and not hike any further. Since rising interest rates seems bearish for markets, a pauze is often a much more bearish signal. As seen on the lower chart, once the FED pauzes the hiking cycle ('flat mountain top'), it has often signaled a stock market crash in the not so distant future. With the most recent pauze, one would be cautious for the future at the very least. Do you think a stock market crash is coming? Share your thoughts🙏
SP:SPXShort
by FieryTrading
19
BNB: THE FALL TREND OF BNB below $200According to the latest study, there is a strong likelihood that BNB (Binance Coin) will experience a downward trend, potentially reaching a new low within a short period of time. This prediction is based on the previous trends of BNB, taking into account technical aspects of the cryptocurrency. As per the update, it is expected that BNB will drop below the $200 mark. The analysis of BNB's price history reveals that it started at a value of $8, and since then, there has been a significant increase in liquidity volume. However, when a considerable portion of this liquidity decreases, it can have an impact on the price movement of BNB. This is not trading advice, manage always your trades and risks well.
Short
by Goldenbreakout
Nifty 50 Index: A Dramatic Crash Ahead?Technical Analysis : Unveiling the Mystery: Understanding the Actual Value Zone in Stock Trading In simple terms, the Actual Value Zone represents the price range within which retailers trade a stock among themselves. Let's take an example to understand it better. Imagine there is a continuous supply of 10,000 kg of potatoes in the market. This keeps the potato prices stable because the demand is met by the supply. As a result, the price remains within a certain range, indicated by the blue zone on the chart, depending on the time frame we are considering. Now, let's imagine a business person or institution who wants to make money from potatoes. They disrupt the supply chain by stocking a huge amount, let's say 50% of the supply. This sudden decrease in supply causes the price of potatoes to double until the next cycle of 10,000 kg of supply from farmers. This situation often leads to a green candle, symbolizing a surge in market demand. As a result, everyone starts buying potatoes, and with the help of retailers, the price of potatoes can increase up to four times the original price. At this stage, the business person or institution has stocked 50% of the potatoes, and the retailers have also stocked 50%. The institution wants to accumulate more potatoes from those retailers who are unwilling to sell. To achieve this, the institution supplies a small number of potatoes, causing the price to drop slightly. This tempts some retailers to sell their potatoes, which the institution buys again, creating a situation known as Bearish Divergence. To summarize this story, initially, the actual price of each kg of potato was 10 rupees. It increased to 20 rupees after the institution stocked 50%, and then further rose to 40 rupees when retailers also stocked 50%. The institution makes money by selling their potatoes bought at 10 rupees for 40 rupees, which leads to more potatoes being sold at higher prices. Eventually, this increases the supply, causing the price to drop back to its original value. This story illustrates a fundamental principle underlying the stock market and other assets worldwide. Retailers, with their limited resources, have minimal influence over price fluctuations. The market is driven by various factors, including manipulation by institutions, creating a complex environment for trading. And a successful retail trader must know when the institution is going to sell or buy ! My next move : I'm patiently waiting for a significant breakthrough moment. Interestingly, it seems that institutions are deliberately keeping the market steady at a particular price level. However, this is actually a strategic move on their part. They are waiting for the market to reach another price range before starting to sell. When they do, I plan to follow their lead and sell my assets as well. We greatly value your comments and feedback, as they play a crucial role in our continuous improvement. We invite you to share your technical analysis, as it contributes to creating more opportunities for inclusive learning. By sharing your insights, we can foster a collaborative environment that benefits everyone involved. Thank you !
NSE:NIFTYShort
by UnknownUnicorn14930146
S&P500 and US stock marketThe medium- and long-term forecast of a serious fall remains in force , but so far there is no confirmation of its beginning, we are focusing on the above levels. Technically, we can still show a small increase, fundamentally the situation is unstable and the fall can begin at any moment. There are serious problems in the banking sector , the prospects of a recession . In previous reviews, the inversion of the yield curve (US government bonds) was mentioned more than once, at the moment the situation is only getting worse. Sooner or later, it will begin to return to a "normal state", which will be the beginning of an sharp phase of the crisis.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Elliottwaveorg
BTC Bitcoin Bad News | SEC has filed 13 charges against Binance!Binance and its co-founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) were sued by the U.S. SEC on 13 different charges. The commission claimed that the defendants mixed together user funds worth billions of dollars and pointed out that the money was sent to a European company controlled by CZ. The commission stated that Binance established its U.S.-based entity, Binance.US, as a means to protect the exchange and its CEO, with the intention of evading law enforcement. However, the regulatory body referred to Binance as an unregulated international exchange. In its complaint, the U.S. SEC identified BNB, BUSD, SOL, ADA, MATIC, FIL, ATOM, SAND, MANA, ALGO, AXS, and COTI as securities and accused Binance.US of facilitating their trading. Binance CEO, CZ, characterized the allegations made by the commission as "an attack on the entire industry. I expect that BTC Bitcoin will complete the Head and Shoulders bearish chart pattern and reach $23000. Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Short
by TopgOptions
4
Big waterfall sell off coming WARNING; IF YOUR STILL IN BUY PROFIT… GET OUT!! This is very dangerous sight and solana had failed plenty attempts to meet back 30$ but the big fall from the sell last year was a monster. It met from 27$ and consolidated.. bearish sell pressure is getting heavy like a rock. Should expect the big fall … this is a beautiful sell. Target I see is 5$ but possible will be the bottom for solana; if not then a bit further down basement is 2$. Ether two will be the bottom.
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by JoyBoyVegae
7
US economy collapse is coming ? Economy collapse will be coming as soon as we know it. The government default is coming but they made a deal about the debt ceiling. Is it good or bad ? It’s bad for the economy yall it’s not good .. we might expect to see US collapse until the ceiling broke and inflation will rise, which means Powell has to do 25-BSP or maybe 50-BSP.. Overall USA ran out of money but they raised it up billions of dollars more which means student loans payments will be reinstated and more. Honestly I don’t really like the sound of this and this will put us into a recession
FX:NAS100
by JoyBoyVegae
High Risk for the Coming WeekExpectation is the white path, if we breakdown around June 9th then it will tank to 3700s by end of June If downside isn’t explosive and takes longer than end of June it will likely bounce (dashed path) Max upside I see is 4310 but it has the setup to drop from here directly on a sell the news June 1st when debt ceiling gets raised Any delay in a deal will be bad. I think the NASDAQ is going to lead the way down due to its increasingly unstable setup
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by JabezDolz
279 by end of JuneSimplest chart I will ever post, pay attention to the stochastiRSI here. This is coiled for explosive drop - it will be termed a crash but its really just a test of breakout level from Oct-Dec2022 that never got tested as support. The weekly RSI overold and outside bollinger signaling overextended. These are just supplements to indicate its about time for the drop. I have too many lines on my chart currently to post with the drawings enabled lol. A lot mrore went into the 279 prediction but here is summary: - Breakdown level is 324-326 (will test next week) - break below will drop it to test 302-310 (likely will get attempted bounce there and rejection around 315 before main portion of drop) - Target = 279 (earliest this will be realized is 6/16 - 6/23) If the crash is not as drastic as I'm expecting it will still reverse here but take longer to hit targets. Roof here is 349 (.618 off Jan 22 high) This is a wave c of B of IV, the drop will begin wave C of IV - these have the characterictic of being very explosive and are often termed "crashes" when they occur.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by JerryManders
2
Not out of the water - not even closeBreakdown level = 141 Needs to get there by 6/9/2023 to break lower toward targets: PT1 = 127 (by 6/16) PT2 = 87 (by 6/23) PT3 = 70 (if it makes it there it will be the bottom) I am playing puts expecting PT1 Scenarios: - if it breaks above 196 then it has upside to 211-219 (not likely) - if it tests 159-167 and bounces that could lead to breakout - More Likely to test 141. If it tests this late (after 6/9/2023) then it could consolidate in that range until 6/27. *** The market is about to crash (quite literally) in the coming week, so expect red path. Sincerely, Elon's call girl
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by JerryManders
1
CONSOLIDATION NEARING ITS END!The SP500 is in long consolidation and it looks like it is near to its end. I am considering two scenarios: 1. After debt ceiling deal – when they increase debt limit – the price will break up as a bull trap and will bounce from the next resistance. It will fuel the price to push to the targets – near pandemic bottoms. 2. The price, after the deal, will do correction of last decline and will continue to drop till meet the targets.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Manticore_Investments
The history of the Flash Crashes in BTC, how to make money on itI'll start this post with what I've earned on the covid flash crash myself. This success was repeated in May 2021 but in other token. That's why I know a little about it. At the end I wrote why next flash crash is possible Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies often experience flash crashes when there are sharp and significant price declines for a short period of time. These events can be triggered by a variety of factors, including market panics, big selling, news, or regulatory changes. Here are a few known instances of flash crashes in bitcoin history : The flash crash On June 19, 2011, the price of bitcoin dropped from about $17.50 to just $0.01 on the low-volume Mt.Gox exchange. The reason for this flash crash was a huge sales order to sell 2,000 bitcoins at the market price. Flash Crash On April 10, 2013, the price of bitcoin plummeted from about $260 to $45 in a short period of time. This followed a series of crashes on the Mt.Gox exchange and a number of other factors that caused panic among traders. Flash crash On June 21, 2017, the price of bitcoin on some exchanges dropped from about $2,800 to $0.10 in just a few seconds. This was caused by a technical malfunction on the GDAX exchange that led to the execution of a bitcoin sell order at a low price. Flash Crash On September 17, 2019, the price of bitcoin on the Bitstamp exchange plummeted from about $10,000 to $8,100 in a short period of time. The reason for this flash crash was a large sale order for 5,000 bitcoins on the exchange. Flash crash in 2020: On March 12, 2020, the price of bitcoin dropped by about 50% in a few hours, falling from about $8,000 to $4,000. This flush crash was caused by market panic related to the global COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on financial markets. Flash crash in 2020: On May 10, 2020, the price of bitcoin dropped more than 10% in just a few minutes. This happened after bitcoin sales orders worth about $30 million were executed on the BitMEX exchange. Causes of Flash Crashes -Flash crashes, or sharp and brief drops in asset prices in financial markets, can be caused by a variety of reasons. Some of the main causes of flash crashes include: -Automated trading systems: The use of computer programs and algorithms to perform a large number of trades can lead to a situation where these systems start selling assets automatically in response to certain market conditions. This may lead to a spike in sales and a sharp drop in prices, resulting in a flash crash. - Market Liquidity: Lack of liquidity in the market, that is, the inability to quickly buy or sell assets without a significant change in their price, can contribute to the occurrence of flash crashes. When large numbers of investors are trying to sell assets at the same time and there are not enough buyers, prices may decline sharply. - Systemic Failures: Technical failures and errors in trading platforms or settlement systems may cause flash cracks. Incorrect orders or execution of trades, delays in transmitting information, or problems with transaction processing may create volatility in the market and provoke sharp drops in prices. - Market Emotions and Panic: Heightened nervousness, emotional reactions, and panic among investors can also contribute to flash crashes. If a significant number of investors start selling assets en masse due to fear and anxiety, it can cause a spike in sales and a sharp drop in prices. What were some inefficiencies in the market that could be exploited in the financial markets There are several instances in the financial markets where inefficiencies could be detected and exploited for profit. Some of these cases include: -Arbitrage between different markets: If assets are traded on different markets or exchanges at different prices, one could buy an asset at a lower price in one market and sell it at a higher price in another market, profiting from the difference in prices. This is known as arbitrage. -Mispricing Companies: Sometimes investors may mispriced companies' stocks, creating opportunities to buy undervalued stocks or sell overvalued stocks. Such valuation mismatches can create opportunities for profits. -Temporary Price Mismatches: Sometimes there are temporary asset price mismatches in financial markets caused by panic, emotion or unforeseen events. If an investor is able to identify such mismatches and take appropriate action, he or she may profit from their correction. Explore the last point Temporary price mismatches in financial markets occur when asset prices deviate from their fundamental value for a short period of time. This can be caused by various factors such as panic, traders' emotional reactions, unexpected news or errors in trading algorithms. Temporary price mismatches present opportunities for traders or investors to capitalize on the difference between the current price and the fundamental value of an asset. Some examples of timing mismatches in prices include: Inefficiency of crypto exchanges: There can be differences in asset prices on different trading platforms, especially during volatile market conditions. Traders can exploit these differences to buy an asset at a lower price on one platform and sell it at a higher price on another platform, making arbitrage profits. Use of Algorithmic Trading: Algorithmic trading systems can cause timing mismatches in prices. For example, if an algorithmic system triggers a large number of sell orders in a short period of time, it may cause the price of an asset to go down. Traders may try to take advantage of such situations to profit by entering buy positions when prices decrease due to algorithmic selling. This is due to the fact that players who want to make money on Funding/Countdown and their ideal market is a flat and when the market moves, they simply leave the market and wait for a less volatile market. This is why there is a liquidity crisis on some exchanges and there is a price overshoot. All signs of a flash crash, signaling as much as I can: 1.The exchanges also believed in the latest surge in trading volumes and are now going full steam ahead. 2.The crowd is sitting in coinlist and seals with potential profits. 3.The crowd is playing or holding memcoins. 4.Crowd sits in altcoins, which is "still cheap" and already near December lowes 5.No new steibles are released - no one from the outside is interested in crypto, those who wanted have already bought it 6. Bankfallls 7.FEDnow release 8.The subcycle in the global cycle I mentioned in other posts That's why I recommend to register at different exchanges, to study and test different trading terminals Best regards EXCAVO
BNC:BLXShort
by EXCAVO
23
If Bitcoin Repeated 2019In today's idea, we're going to entertain a "what if" scenario for CRYPTOCAP:BTC : what if the price of Bitcoin does an exact repeat of what happened back in 2019 up until the high in early 2021? This hypothesis is based off the candle pattern that starts from the 2019 mid-cycle high (1). So, assuming April 2023 was our mid-cycle high of $31,035, it's interesting to note the possibility of further downside continuation for BTC. From here on out it would be a slow grind down to $16,506 (2), then a sharp move to FWB:25K (3) (which would be an excellent fake out), then a final dump to $10,731 (4). While we aren't expecting (or hoping for) a repeat of the COVID crash that happened in March 2020, it's interesting to note that such a panic could push Bitcoin's price down to $10k- a level that would cause extreme fear and panic. Lastly, the candle projection takes us just over $100k in early 2025 (5)- a realistic ATH target for Bitcoin in our opinion. Note that this idea is purely based on a "what if" scenario, and should not be taken as financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by thebettertraders
4
Never the same since 2008, American delusion Since the financial crash of 2008 the stock market has only gone up, will it continue to only go up? How long can America keep living in this delusional illusion. Have thing only got better since 2008? Is the economy strong then ever? No I didn't think so. Not like its the reserve currency of the world. For now. Don't wanna be political so thats all il say 😅 I'm bearish on America long term. Imagine hitting the 1.13 fib retracement at $170 🤣
SP:SPXShort
by Connix
3