Unlocking XAUUSD Secrets: Prepare for Gold's Next Big Move!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD
Correctively Reached HTF Structure:
The price has reached a higher time frame (HTF) structure through a corrective movement. This structure serves as a significant resistance level observed on higher time frames.
Impulsively Got Here:
Following the corrective phase, the price made an impulsive move upward, indicating strong buying momentum at that point.
Forming Correction:
After the impulsive move, the price is forming a correction pattern, typically signaling a potential continuation of the previous trend. This pattern is evident as a descending channel or flag formation.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance at 2,412.678: A significant resistance level that the price tested but did not break through decisively.
Support at 1HR LQZ (2,391.555): A key support level on the 1-hour chart where the price found temporary stability.
Support at 4HR LQZ (2,348.039): A more substantial support level on the 4-hour chart, providing a strong base for potential reversals.
Descending Channel Formation:
The price is currently trading within a descending channel. This pattern often suggests a continuation of the prevailing trend upon a breakout.
Key Level Highlight:
Break Back Above Lower High (LH): The chart notes that a break back above the identified lower high (LH) would indicate a further pullback. This level is crucial as it may signal a change in short-term momentum.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
Breakout Above Descending Channel and LH Level:
If the price breaks out above the descending channel and the LH level, it may indicate a further
pullback and continuation of the upward trend.
The price is likely to test the resistance zone near 2,412.678 and could move higher if it breaks through this zone.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to Break Above LH Level:
If the price fails to break above the LH level and descends further, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend.
The price could test the 1HR LQZ support level first and potentially move down to the 4HR LQZ support level if bearish momentum continues.
Consolidation and Patterns:
The chart suggests that the price is currently consolidating within a tight range, indicating indecision. This could lead to a significant move upon breakout from this consolidation pattern.
Conclusion:
Monitoring the breakout direction from the current descending channel and the reaction to the LH level will provide valuable insights for potential trading opportunities. Key levels to watch include the 2,412.678 resistance zone and the 1HR and 4HR LQZ support levels. A breakout above the descending channel would favor a bullish scenario, while a failure to break above the LH level could suggest continued bearish pressure.
Correction
Silver (XAGUSD): Anticipating a Wave 4 CorrectionSince our entry at $26.31, silver has experienced a significant rally, reaching up to $32.50. We anticipate a correction downward to form a Wave 4.
The recent rise to $32.50 indicates a strong upward movement, but now a correction is expected. We expect silver to correct downward into the 38.2% to 50% retracement zone before continuing its upward trend.
Our strategy involves maintaining our current stop-loss level without adjustment while allowing the market to correct. We have already secured some profits, reducing our risk. We are targeting the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci retracement zone for potential re-entry, which will likely provide a strong support area for the next upward movement.
Gold (XAUUSD): New All-Time High - Double Top or Further Surge?Gold has reached a new all-time high, creating either a double top or peaking at a maximum of $2,487. The price turned within a very narrow range between $2,472 and $2,487, which was remarkably precise.
The precise turnaround within the small range indicates significant resistance at this level. Our primary scenario anticipates a pullback towards $2,200 before the trend resumes upward. This level is crucial for confirming a long-term bullish trend. Alternatively, if the price does not pull back and instead rejects at the Point-of-Control, we may see a continued upward movement.
Should the price break above $2,487, we will cancel our long limit order as the bearish pullback scenario would be invalidated.
Bayer (BAYN): End of a long 9-year correctionBayer (BAYN): XETR:BAYN
Upon request from one of our members, we're taking a closer look at Bayer AG. We believe that we are still in an overarching Wave II. This wave finds its last true support at the 88.2% retracement level at €24.51. Falling significantly below this level would likely lead us to see a 100% retracement down to €8.48, which would be severe for a company like Bayer, considering its all-time high was at €144. Observing the chart on a 2-day basis, we note that the Wave 5 extension falls into the zone between 50% and 61.8%, which also includes the 88.2% level. This truly is the last turning point Bayer might have.
Airbnb (ABNB): Time to Short!I love Airbnb for vacations but this chart really isn't looking so good...
It is the only stock we are currently looking to short. Airbnb has consistently shown lower prices since its inception, despite a recent period of higher highs since hitting a low of $82. We remain confident in the continued downward trend.
The movements from point A to B and B to C align well with Fibonacci extension and retracement levels. The retracement for Wave (2) is particularly notable at the 61.8% level. We believe we are currently within Wave (3).
We want to time the short entry based on anticipated Elliott wave counts. We anticipate a further decline in the short term, followed by a potential rise in the coming weeks. We plan to place our short position during this anticipated rise in Wave 2. We will continue to monitor the price action closely and provide a detailed update with exact entry and exit points once we are ready to place the short position.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Approaching the Reversal ZoneIn April, we anticipated a pullback for JNJ, and since then, the stock has dropped approximately 7%, aligning with our expectations. The current trend suggests further downward movement, reinforcing our previous analysis.
We are focusing on the support zone ranging from $134 to $116, with a potential lower bound at $109, the Corona-Low. The ongoing pullback could represent the completion of Wave (4) within this target zone, aligning with multiple levels.
We are going to be monitoring this for signs of a reversal within this zone. This zone will be crucial to confirm the next possible upward movement.
Bitcoin Is Trading At The Support As Stocks PullsbackHey traders
I this video I will take look at NVIDIA which I think it can be moving into a correction and can possibly be headed down for deeper prices. So if today major stocks indicies will have second red day in a row, then possibly next week there can be more risk-off. In such case I think its better to wait on any long ideas on cryptos (short-term), and wait on much better timing for potential long entires, which can be maybe after summer, or during elections when normal markets tend to be in bull run. Additionally, any rate cut later this year can be alos supportive for stocks and other assets.
When I look at bitcoin, I think that 50k is very good potential support; if it gets there.
Have a nice weekend.
Grega
More drops to come; lowerr than 50K. Buy zone around 30K zomeNot going to say much but we all could be wrong or right .. correction isnt over and the sell confirmed for more drops and more correction.
Feeling will drop back down to low 50K again; perhaps it can lower than that; i found the support around in the low 30K area.. so might expect the correction to finish in the 30K zone before skyrocket to the new ATH.
The correction should be finish ill say around end of july into the beginning of august or mid-july and will bulls take off from there and should expect to hit 120K before november or into October.
Im not financial advisor; just the correction isnt finish yet so get reedy for more drops. What are your thoughts?
Officially still in the bearmarketIt nuked down to 53K range but feeling its not over it ; it will still go below 57K.
This is pretty mid-short sell.
Do have a 50K feeling will hit even dip below 50K can happen
Im keeping it short as possible cuz i don't see any sign of buyers and bullish quite yet until the correction is finish.
Ill say the prediction won't be finish until we hit 50K even or somewhere around 40K area and i heard rumors that the bulls will get back until reach about 30k-35k
Im not a financial advisor so please don't ask if we hit a good trade; if its a stay away then don't trade and use your own analysis instead. Safe trading yall
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Could Be Finishing A CorrectionBlackRock Bitcoin ETF with ticker – IBIT looks like a nice and clean A-B-C correction that is right now sitting at interesting support area for A=C, but to confirm support in place and bulls back in the game, we need to see sharp or impulsive recovery back above 36.43 level.
Is ETHBTC Pair Turning Bullish?ETHBTC pair can be turning bullish, as we see strong rebound after a completed corrective decline by Elliott wave theory.
We talked about ETHBTC pair back on May 14th, where we mentioned and highlighted the completion of an (A)-(B)-(C) corrective setback with the wedge pattern within wave 5 of (C).
As you can see today on July 05, ETHBTC pair bounced from projected 0.045 support area, which can be signal that it’s turning back to bullish mode, especially if breaks back above 0.061 region.
Regarding dominance in the Crypto market, ETHBTC chart can be one of the reasons that ALTcoin dominance may kick in soon, so new ALTseason could be around the corner.
USDNOK Is Looking For More Short-Term WeaknessUSDNOK is sideways for the last two years that looks like a larger triangle within uptrend. It's an ABCDE pattern where wave E can be in play as pair stops at the upper side of this contracting range.
Ideally, market is coming down for a pullback within higher degree wave E, where pair can complete the sideways price pattern. So for now, seems like there is room for more weakness within a three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) decline to the lower side of a range.
Wave (B) looks to be a bearish triangle pattern, unless it's going to be more complex, but sooner or later it can send the price lower within wave (C) of E towards to 10.30/10.00 support area.
One of the reasons why USDNOK could face more weakness is also bullish looking Crude oil, which can boost the Norwegian Krone.
BITCOIN CRASH TO 54.7K MINIMUM MT. GOX DUMP!!!Hello as you can see we have 5 waves up and an abc correction. we are working on the C wave and i expect it to hit 54.7k because that is the 1.1 extension fib of wave a measured from wave b (be careful tho as wave C can go to 1.618 which would be 44k i dont see that happening this time tho as we still need to make a wave 5 on the super large time frame), as well as having a FVG that needs filled there, as well as being the base of the channel we are in. It is a triple confluence.
If you look at RSI we have a bearish divergence as well.
The two bottom indicators i am using are also showing to be in the middle of a wave right now. that would be the C wave on the large time frame. we will be making the 5th wave down on the lower time frame which on the lower time frame of that will be a 5 wave impulse move because we are in a downtrend.
Also, Mt. Gox, an old exchange that went down like 12 years ago is starting to repay their creditors in July, which is now, so those people are sitting on like 14000% profit and are going to cash out and dump hard. it is a total of like 18 billion.
This is a negative outlook but its just what the data show. when the data show bullish then i will be bullish but there is just so many things right at this moment ab to crash btc so just hold on tight and open a short.
i have one open from 63.2k and a target of 54.7k. Lets see if it hits.
Nvidia - Massive rejection soon!NASDAQ:NVDA is clearly overextended after the +1.000% rally and ready for a correction.
Trees simply do not grow to the sky. And neither do stocks, especially Nvidia. I know that a lot of people are calling price targets of $250 and beyond, but we still have to respect gravity and the nature of fear and greed. Nvidia is simply overextended a retesting a 6 year resistance trendline. I do expect a correction between -20% and -30%, but also -60% is definitely possible.
Levels to watch: $120, $50
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
TONUSDTIs TONUSDT exhausting at resistance zone?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence( on lower time frame) suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 7
What you guys think of it?
Triangle Breakout in MHRIL...Elliott Wave Analysis:-
Triangle correction taking place.
triangle breakout happened.
triangle retirement taking place.
Slight bearish is expected before a raise
We can accumulate bit by bit in every fall with stop loss of 369.20 .
I am not a SEBI registered advisor.Before taking a trade do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor.I share chart for education purpose only.I share my trade setup.
BTC - A Healthy Pullback or a Sign of More to Come?Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts! Let's dive into Bitcoin's recent price action and what we can expect in the coming months.
The Correction Phase: Why It's Not All Doom and Gloom
First off, don't panic about the current correction phase. After the halving, a correction was not just expected. It’s healthy! Think of it as Bitcoin catching its breath before the next big sprint. We're seeing an ABC correction pattern, which savvy traders will recognize as a typical and necessary, market movement.
Timing the Market: When to Make Your Move
So, when’s this correction likely to wrap up? Our crystal ball suggests somewhere between July and August/September. This is the perfect window to dollar-cost average (DCA) into your positions. By buying a fixed dollar amount of BTC at regular intervals, you can average out your entry price, reducing the impact of volatility.
Long Positions: Entering long positions in the 50000-52245 range could be a smart move, considering the support levels and the bullish outlook post-summer.
Key Levels to Watch: The Golden Zone
Here’s where it gets interesting. The big kahuna level to keep an eye on is 50K. Not only is it a psychological level, but it’s also where several technical indicators converge. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the smaller wave sits at $52,245, while the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the entire 491 day bull run is at $51,690. This zone also hosts an old trading range, known as a bullish order block. Translation? This area is packed with historical significance and potential support.
Fibonacci Levels:
Fib 0.618 of the smaller wave is at $52,245.
Fib 0.382 of the entire 491-day bull run is at $51,690.
Ichimoku Cloud: Your Support Safety Net
On the daily timeframe, the Ichimoku cloud’s edge (custom settings) aligns around the 50K mark, offering additional support. It's like having an extra safety net below a tightrope walker.
Altcoins: The Unsung Heroes
Don't forget about altcoins! Many have pulled back significantly, with some seeing 60-80% corrections. This is a golden opportunity to DCA into altcoins and position yourself for potential gains. Remember, during market corrections, altcoins often offer lucrative entry points for those looking to diversify.
Wrapping Up: The Bigger Picture
While the correction phase may seem daunting, it’s a natural part of the market cycle. The key levels around 50K-52K are not just numbers, they’re strategic entry points. With the support of the Ichimoku cloud there’s a lot to be optimistic about as we move towards the end of summer.
What do you think? Are you positioning yourself for the end of the correction? Drop your thoughts and let’s discuss!
With a clearer understanding of Bitcoin's correction phase and the key levels to watch, you're now better equipped to navigate the crypto waters. Happy trading!
Gold Keeps Consolidating Within A Higher Degree CorrectionGold has turned lower in the last two months, which has been expected as we saw market in fifth wave of an extended wave 3 after breaking to new ATH. Well, what we see now is a corrective pause which can come to an end in the near future, but possibly at lower support levels as the current price action here above 2300 can be a triangle in the middle of a three wave downward correction. We see nice support at 2222-2250 area. But, don't miss the alternate count, where wave 4 can be even a running triangle if price turns up now and breaks 2370 level. Bullish confirmation is above 2390 region.
BTCUSD: Time for a correctionOutlook for the remainder of the year. The ETF inflows have generally remained positive at new ATH levels, while volume remains low and price remains flat. This suggests considerable distribution from OTC sellers, namely longer-term holders, per HODL waves analysis.
It's been 3 months since breaking ATH in March, with price unable to move higher. The consolidation at higher levels remains bullish until $60K is broken to the downside (foodgates moment), which would confirm the current range ($60K-70K) as longer-term distribution, rather than accumulation.
First stop will likely be a re-test of the 50 Week MA around $50K after the floodgates for selling opens below $60K. With relatively low accumulation volume, I'm not expecting it to hold as support, but instead return to the 200 Week MA around $40K, likely after a re-test of previous support in order to confirm it as new resistance (around $60K). The 20 Week MA is currently around $63K, so below this level, there will already likely be an increase in selling pressure.
The Weekly RSI is otherwise facing rejection from overbought levels >70, similar to late 2021 (minus the strong bearish divergence back then). The culmination of breaking the 20 WMA and confirming RSI rejection by returning to $60K, would be the catalyst for the break of support. As also noted (N.B.) the Mid Pi Cycle Top occurred in march, around $68K-$70K, with price unable to maintain the momentum above this rising MA multiplier, unlike in December 2020 at $21K.(1) The post-halving "Miner Capitulation" has also been signalled by Hash Ribbons indicator, not so dissimilar to summer 2020 that encouraged consolidation and a miner correction.(2)
I'm not particularly expecting Path B to play out, unless there is a catalyst for a more full-blown capitulation, leading to a 65% haircut in price. Examples include ETF holders getting cold feet leading to panic as price goes below opening ETF prices , or otherwise some negative regulatory news. A -45% move down to $40K should otherwise be more then sufficient to build up momentum for a 2025 bull market reaching $100K+. Should price reach GETTEX:25K to $30K levels (path B), there could be a "delay" within the usual cycle, with higher parabolic prices nearer to $200K. After the 3x from 2017 to 2021 ATH, 2x seems reasonable in 2025 however ~$138K.
(1) www.lookintobitcoin.com
(2) capriole.com
#US30 Best selling opportunityPrice seems to be completing the fifth wave of an ABC bullish corrective move, after which it is likely to move lower to complete its third wave in a higher degree.
The conjunction of the two bullish channels is an optimal price level to sell.
For those who are more risk-averse, they could wait for a bearish breakout of the short-term bullish channel.
If you’ve found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#oil bearish outlookIt seems like the price has formed a 5-wave bullish impulsive move and could now begin its bearish move.
For the bearish move to be confirmed, we need to see the price breaking below the bullish channel line and also closing below the VWAP.
Bearish confirmations:
Bearish divergence in the 4H timeframe.
Completion of the 5-wave bullish impulsive move.
Momentum oscillator in overbought (OB) territory.
If you’ve found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.