BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance...
The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist.
The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400
At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57.
Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500
Support levels: 66500, 65000
After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction.
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Consolidation
EURUSD → Is a 300 pips drop not the limit? What's next?FX:EURUSD reaches an important target. As part of the realization, the price passes 300 pips. The fundamental background for further rate cuts is generally favorable
The strengthening economy in the U.S. combined with a growing dollar (extreme rally of the index), the rate of interest rate cuts in Europe are doing their job. The fundamental background for the currency pair is weak, accordingly, in relation to this situation, in the medium term it is worth considering the continuation of the decline.
The price reaches 1.078 - the liquidity zone. The pool of liquidity below this zone can push the price away, forming a correction to the imbalance zone, or to the local maximum, from which we can further consider the continuation of the fall.
Resistance levels: 1.085, 1.087
Support levels: 1.078, 1.067
The last time the level was tested in early August. This fact in tandem with an aggressive fall of 3% may form a rebound due to the lack of technical potential to break the support level. Consolidation or correction may allow the market to accumulate strength...
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USDJPY → Attempting a trend change. Retest 149.0FX:USDJPY is testing range resistance in the rally phase caused by Friday's news - strong NFP report. The fundamental backdrop within the short-to-medium term is set...
From the opening of the session a small correction is forming, the aim of which may be a retest of the support or imbalance zone and consolidation of energy before a further breakout. The market structure is locally bullish on the background of the dollar growth. The Japanese authorities are still silent about their actions to strengthen the national currency (either they think about it or don't think about it :) ), so traders are increasing JPY sales in order to buy USD.
The first retest of the resistance at 149.4 failed (bounce). Emphasis on 0.5 fibo or 147.2 support from which the growth may resume...
Resistance levels: 147.38
Support levels: 147.5, 147.2, 146.15
On the chart there are preconditions for the change of the local trend to a bullish one, the fundamental background is favorable for this. If the bulls will keep the defense above the support and continue to test the resistance with a breakdown target, then in the short-term-senior perspective we can catch the forging of the impulse to 152.0.
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GOLD → Consolidation at bullrun. Shall we update ATH?FX:XAUUSD is forming the lower boundary of consolidation within the local correction. False breakdown of MA-50 and support at 2713 activate buying. Bulls are aggressively buying gold at every opportunity
Uncertainty around the US presidential election, market caution ahead of key US earnings reports are reviving demand for traditional safe-haven gold. In terms of the upcoming interest rate cut, the market has probably already resigned itself to the most likely 0.25% cut. Also, we continue to monitor the difficult economic environment in the markets of China... The Middle East conflict is still at the same level, with no signs of escalation or de-escalation, but it should not be overlooked.
The metal is forming a sideways range of 2739 - 2713 - consolidation. A primary retest of resistance could trigger a correction to 2728, or deeper, but with a high probability, gold could continue to rise
Resistance levels: 2739, 2750
Support Levels: 2728, 2713
Price may test the ATH in the near term. If the bulls break the resistance and hold the defense above 2739, gold may continue to rise.
If a bounce or false breakout is formed, the price may test the nearest support. Next, we need to watch for a reaction. If gold will return to retest 2739, then the chances of a breakout and further growth will grow!
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GOLD → Realization continues, risks increase!FX:XAUUSD is at its highs. The price continues to rally and update the highs from the opening of the session on Monday. No selling, but buying should be cautious!
Traders are waiting for the Fed officials to speak in the nearest future. The main issues are inflation, interest rate cuts and the US economy.
Optimism about Chinese stimulus, as well as ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran are supporting gold prices (In times of geopolitical turmoil, investors prefer to rush to traditional safe-haven gold prices)
With each passing day, the impact of the US election race is appearing more and more. The probability of a Trump victory is rising. Trump's fiscal and trade policies are seen as inflationary and positive for the US dollar
Resistance levels: 2736, 2750
Support levels: 2732, 2724, 2713
There is no news in the next few days, the fundamnetal background remains the same, so gold may continue to rise. The focus is on the nearest support zones for realization of purchases. At the moment the range 2736 - 2724 is formed
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With Respect R. Linda!
NZDJPY → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Preparing for a rallyFX:NZDJPY is forming consolidation near resistance after retest and false breakdown. On the back of JPY decline, NZD may show upside...
There is no proper price reaction to range resistance. Consolidation in the format of a descending wedge, a rather strong pattern capable of forming strong movements, is being formed. The Japanese national currency continues to update lows amid the calm of the central bank of Japan, which is waiting for something because of the rally in the dollar, as well as economic data from the United States. Any strong comments could restart the rally in the JPY, so the risk of a shakeout is quite high. But at the moment the chart is hinting at a possible upside...
Resistance levels: 91.362, 91968
Support levels: 90.056
The price stops moving away from the wedge resistance at some point, forming a 12-16 hour consolidation. Most likely there will be a breakout attempt. If the bulls keep the defense above 91.0, we can catch a good upward rally in the mid term
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NEIROUSDT → Someone's interested in the coin. Consolidation...BINANCE:NEIROUSDT is a rather interesting coin, which looks quite promising and stronger than the general market. Consolidation is forming on the background of the bullish trend. A good hint of the trend continuation...
The coin is moving in steps. The pullback is forming the lower boundary of further consolidation, the purpose of which is to accumulate the potential for the continuation of the trend. Exceptionally bullish character of the movement...
Emphasis on the borders of the current consolidation 2.182 - 1.835. The extreme support retest ended with the confirmation of the accumulation boundary without updating the local minimum, which indicates that the correction (most likely) is coming to an end. The reason indicating the readiness of the price to leave the accumulation and move to the realization phase will be a prolonged trade near the resistance.
Resistance levels: 0.002182
Support levels: 0.0018355
Consolidation continues, I am waiting for the moment when the coin sticks to the resistance and starts to consolidate between 2.18 - 2.07. In this case, the coin will move to the formation of a pre-breakout consolidation with the aim to breakout and further growth. I don't exclude the fact that NEIRO may go to 1.517 for liquidity before continuing its growth.
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SPY Loosing Momentum ! SPYLOVERS DONT PANIC ! Its OKAfter several weeks of analysis, the price reached its all-time highs twice, creating a new extreme. Att his moment is what i call in a no man's land zone. But what do I see in the overall structure?
If you can clearly identify the yellow upward channel, I want you to split it in half, and we will analyze the two parts.
In the first half, we have an active price movement, with clear fluctuations between support and resistance. The high volatility causes the price to move in waves, perfectly respecting support and resistance.
But if you can manage to identify the second half, up until the end of the channel, you'll see that the price shows signs of exhaustion.
Exhaustion, how?
When the price stops having that volatility everyone is looking for, and begins to slow down and starts moving like a worm along the edge of the channel’s support, showing small candles and, above all, losing momentum. (In the chart, I want you to identify the price exhaustion by marking it with a small symbol of a worm crawling along the channel's support.)
This type of behavior happens frequently when the price is losing momentum. In this type of scenario, I am more than certain that we will soon see a move where the price might break out of the yellow channel. Most likely, we will see the price make its natural retracement. After achieving two all-time highs, I believe it's time for the price to take a break, either to consolidate or make a quick decision.
Nevertheless, I am expecting the price to make its natural pullback in the coming week.
We’ll see if it happens.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
FILUSDT → Weakness in altcoins will manifest itself in decliningBINANCE:FILUSDT after a false breakdown of the 3.800 range resistance is giving signs towards the continuation of the decline. The coin is in a global and local downtrend and there are no reasons to change direction. The focus is on the support of 3.688.
Altcoins are extremely weak on the back of bitcoin's strong rally. The dominance of the flagship is currently at record highs, and the altcoin season has not arrived and apparently will not come anytime soon.
Bitcoin is testing strong resistance zones and cannot grow all the time. Any short-term reaction can affect the entire cryptocurrency market, which will color the coins in the red.
Support levels: 3.688
Resistance levels: 3.800
Technically, relative to 3.688 a descending triangle is forming after a false breakdown of the range resistance. It is a rather strong conglomerate.
Breakout of 3.688 and price consolidation below this area will provoke further selling and price decline to 3.4 - 3.3
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EURUSD → Active sale. Emphasis on 1.0900FX:EURUSD continues to update lows since the fundamental background and uptrend change. Price is descending in a calm and progressive manner, which generally indicates the strength of the trend...
A strong drop from the distribution phase without any pullbacks is an indicator of a strong trend. There is a key liquidity zone ahead, which could form a surge in volume and liquidity that could lead to a small correction. For example to 1.095 - 0.7 fibo. On the Daily chart we see the realization of a failed breakout (false breakout), a strong distribution is formed. The liquidity at 1.077 - 1.067 may become the target of such a movement
Resistance levels: 1.095, 1.100
Support levels: 1.089, 1.077
There is no news until Wednesday, so the fundamental background remains the same. The market may stop and go into consolidation, but with a high probability the fall after the breakthrough of 1.089 will continue...
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GOLD → Will the bears allow the bulls to go through ATH?FX:XAUUSD is growing unpredictably towards ATH. The market did not react in any way to last week's US fundamental data and now the price is not reacting to strong levels and liquidity zones. Ahead of ATH after 3 weeks of forming...
Investors remain cautious as the US Fed is expected to follow a path of moderate interest rate cuts (skipping a cut in November, or a 0.25% cut)
The gold price is actively supported by the tense situation in the Chinese markets and lower US Treasury yields, which helps the gold price to take another leap towards the ATH.
Now all eyes will be on Thursday when China holds a press conference and the US retail sales report is released
Resistance Levels: 2680-2685
Support levels: 2665, 2658, 2645
Technically, I don't think that the market will let the resistance breakout happen the first time. The pullback from 2685, formed 3 weeks ago, was made on the back of strong economic data, so the huge pool of liquidity above 2685 can be defended quite aggressively by the bears.
Technically, there are no signs for the continuation of growth. They may appear after the retest, but it will become clear after the fact.
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GBPUSD → Support breakdown. CPI in the UK is declining... FX:GBPUSD confirms the bearish market structure. The price is breaking the support. Fundamental data is favorable for further continuation of the fall.
UK Inflation:
m/m = 0% (expectation +0.1% / previously +0.3%)
YoY = +1.7% (expected +1.9% / previously +2.2%)
Core CPI = +3.2% y/y (expected +3.4% / previously +3.6%)
The USD index are rising on strong US economic data (last week's potential). All these data together have a corresponding impact on the currency pair, which breaks the support of the uptrend. A price consolidation below 1.3000 (strong psychological level) will open the way to 1.28-1.26.
Support levels: 1.3000, 1.2938
Resistance levels: 1.309
Selling on the currency pair is intensifying, the price is entering the risk zone and the buyers are getting even more nervous... In the short term, a retest of the previously broken trend support is possible, followed by a fall towards 1.28-1.26
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Regards R. Linda!
BTC is moving earlier then what I was expectingBTC moved above the downtrend consolidation channel earlier than I anticipated, with volumes confirming this change in trend.
The breakout occurred on the 14th of October.
Currently, there is a low chance that the price will return to the bottom of the channel at 53k-50k, in my opinion.
I guess the price will just retest the top of the channel at around 64k-62k and continue to the upside, probably to the higher part of the channel at around 73k, maybe a little more.
On the weekly chart, volatility is still low on BBWP (13th percentile), while on the daily chart, it is at the 63rd percentile, with extremes around the 85th-95th percentiles.
So, there is still momentum to continue to the upside.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make retest and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago BTC dropped lower than support 2, which coincided with the support zone, but soon turned around and made a strong impulse up. BTC reached support 1 and then some time traded near, even entering to one more support zone. Later, when the price entered the support zone a third try, it broke support 1 and rose until to the trend line, after which turned around and dropped to support 2, breaking support 1 again. Also, the price started to trades inside consolidation, where it some time traded near support 2 and then rose to support 1. But then BTC at once dropped to the support zone, after which it turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking support 1 and exiting from consolidation. Also, it broke the trend line recently, and now continues to move up, so, I expect that BTCUSDT will make a retest of the trend line and then continue to grow. For this case, I set my goal at 66400 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
DOGS → Double bottom favors resistance breakoutBINANCE:DOGSUSDT is forming a double bottom followed by a breakout of trend resistance. Quite a promising situation, provided the bulls hold their defenses above 0.00081.
After the listing, the coin flies to the moon due to the dump, but after the appearance of a strong seller or lack of interest from the buyer, against the background of weakening support of Pavel Durov arrested in France, a market phase change to a “dump” is formed.
Technically, a double bottom is formed on 4H, followed by the renewal of local lows and the breakout of trend resistance, which indicates the formation of a market bottom.
At the moment, the cryptocurrency market shows bullish dynamics, which can affect DOGS accordingly
Resistance levels: 0.000885, 0.000938
Support levels: 0.00081
After the dump the coin has good chances to show already adequate realization. If the bulls keep the defense above 0.00081, we will have chances to get on the train to the north, to the targets 0.00096, 0.001, 0.00117
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GOLD → Will the rally end with a FB? 2670 - liquidity...FX:XAUUSD is growing together with the dollar, the correlation cooled down after the change of fundamental background. The range of 2670 - 2600 is being formed. The metal is rallying to resistance for liquidity.
Geopolitical issues. High tensions in the Middle East as well as rising tensions in East Asia between China and Taiwan are worrying investors looking for safe havens.
Last week showed not so good economic data for gold. The dollar rose very strongly during that time. But gold gold traders were most likely paying attention to the dovish remarks by Fed policymakers about lowering interest rates....
Technically gold is in a sideways range and is testing liquidity above 2660. The bears are likely to give a not so warm welcome....
Resistance levels: 2663, 2670, 2685
Support levels: 2650, 2637, 2623
Strong movement from the bottom of the range reaches its upper boundary. Technically, the price has no potential to break through the strong range resistance. A false breakout is possible, the purpose of which may be to capture liquidity, followed by a decline. The situation may be broken by unexpected geopolitical or economic news, but at the moment there is no such news
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BITCOIN → The rally is manipulation. U-turn and down to 52K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT confirms the bearish market structure. After the 59K retest, the price rallies 7%. There is no technical or fundamental explanation for this market manipulation: $6K down, $ 4K up, $5K down, $ 4K up within the last two weeks...
Bitcoin is still trading within a sideways range of 65K - 52K. The last resistance retest ended in a false breakdown and a price drop of 11% to 59K. Also, the local change of the market character (price confirms the downtrend) to bearish and formation of the downtrend channel (I remind about the downtrend on D1-W1) plays an important role.
Emphasis on resistance 63400, 64130, 65000, possible retest or false breakdown followed by downside realization as we still have not reached the key liquidity zones....
Resistance levels: 63400, 64130
Support levels: 61320, 59000
The price is testing the resistance zone as part of the rally. There is no accumulation or technical potential to overcome this area for further growth. Within the bearish trend, the buyer does not show dominant signs and with high probability it will be stopped in the key zone. A reversal and decline to the lower zone of the sideways range is possible...
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USDCAD → Breakout. One step away from distribution...FX:USDCAD makes an attempt to break through the resistance of the “wedge” consolidation on the background of a growing dollar, the reasons for which are economic data from the USA. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead!
On the weekly timeframe, the currency pair is bouncing off the support trendline and heading towards resistance, the pattern as a whole resembles an ascending triangle. But still it is a global sideways range. The movements in it are quite difficult and the price is dragging between the local levels. Ahead is the NFP report, which may become an engine for the price, and based on the assumptions from Wednesday and ADP NonFarm we can assume that on this background the growth of the dollar and the currency pair may continue.
Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the defense above the previously broken resistance. The impulse is beginning to form...
Resistance levels: 1.358, 1.364
Support levels: 1.353, 1.347
If the bulls keep the price in the new plane (buying zone), the price may reach the nearest targets quite quickly. If the news will be favorable, then in this case a rally to the distant targets may be formed. Unpredictable data will bring the currency pair back to the range and may bring the price down to 1.347
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GOLD → Support breakdown. The beginning of correction...FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase. The price is coming out of the consolidation downwards, and what we have been preparing for for the last few days has happened. Bears are trying to keep the defense below 2623....
Posted on October 8: The pressure from above is building. New lows...
Traders are waiting for the Fed meeting minutes to gauge the magnitude of the next interest rate cut, especially after Friday's strong US NFP data removed bets on a 0.5% rate cut. The FOMC meeting is likely to show a discussion on the outlook for the labor market and inflation, as well as further action on interest rates. Traders are still not turning their eyes away from the tense situation in the middle east, but one must realize that reacting to any action is a temporary action in the market...
Technically, on D1 we can see the beginning of the correction phase. Break of the strong level and fixing of the price below 2623. The market has defined a temporary outlook for itself.....
Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2631
Support levels: 2613, 2600, 2585
News can have an additional impact on the market, but it all depends on the context. At the moment I consider the price decline. The bears are holding 2623 and we can see how the price has consolidated below this area, which may provoke further selling....
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EURUSD → The realization phase isn't over. Emphasis on 1.095 ↓FX:EURUSD breaks the uptrend and prepares to continue falling due to the change of fundamental background, the reasons for which were strong economic data in the US. The price is in the realization phase...
The weekly timeframe clearly shows the forming sideways range (consolidation). The market failed to break the resistance of the channel, although a lot of effort was put on it (5 attempts on W1).
At the moment the currency pair is testing last week's low, it is also worth noting the fact of weekly candle closing - almost at the low. This is a rather good and promising sign for the continuation of the downward movement. Emphasis on the support at 1.095. Breakdown and consolidation of the price below this area will strengthen the decline to the intermediate bottom...
Support levels: 1.095, 1.0892
Resistance levels: 1.100, 1.1011, 1.1047
A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to support. Emphasis on the breakdown of the level and further decline to the zones of interest. As an unpredictable scenario we can have in mind a pullback to 1.100 and further decline...
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GOLD → The pressure from above is building. New lows...FX:XAUUSD stops testing local highs. Strong growth has stopped and the price is being squeezed between the boundaries of the narrowing consolidation. The exit of the price from the figure will be accompanied by an impulse...
Last week changed the general fundamental background, gold traders are getting nervous and moving into a phase of profit taking on the back of strong economic data. Ahead is the FOMC meeting where further steps to regulate the US economy will be discussed.
Technically, gold stops trying to update or test the highs, feeling pressure from above, but at the same time the price is probing the base from below, gradually updating the local lows. A gradually narrowing consolidation is forming on the chart and if there is a price exit from the figure, it will be accompanied by a strong impulse.
Resistance levels: 2650, 2659
Support levels: 2632, 2623, 2613
I continue to hold that bears will continue to press the price, which will provoke the price exit downwards with further retest of 2623-2613-2600. But we need to keep an eye on the regulators' comments and the dollar's behavior...
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Regards R. Linda!