Could Gold reverse from here?Price is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,334.91
1st Support: 2,311.24
1st Resistance: 2,354.31
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Commoditysignals
WTI OIL Death Cross formed Pullback to $76 would be very healthyWTI Oil (USOIL) is forming a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first since December 22 2023. That comes after the former Channel Down had a bullish break-out following a rebound on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), a series of events that happened also on December 20 2023 and before that on May 17 2023.
We already have a 1D MACD Bullish Cross. Circling back to the 1D Death Cross, the one on December 22 2023 formed a short-term top that had the price pull back within the 0.618 - 0.786 Fibonacci retracement Zone.
As a result, even though we have confirmed a new long-term uptrend, we technically turn bearish on the short-term, expecting a pull-back towards the 0.618 Fib, targeting $76.00.
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Bullish breakout?The silver (XAG/USD) is currently breaking out of the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 28.96
1st Support: 28.65
1st Resistance: 29.40
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could potentially bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 2,308.18
1st Support: 2,298.47
1st Resistance: 2,332.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?XAG/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 29.84
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 30.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 29.09
Why we like it:
There is a an overlap support which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is currently to the pivot and could potentially fall to the pullback support.
Pivot: 2,334.49
1st Support: 2,306.73
1st Resistance: 2,354.71
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD Needs to correct a little more. Timing for buy is crucialLast week (June 18, see chart below), we analyzed Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1D time-frame, clearly stating that the May 20 Channel Down was more likely ready to reject the price on its top (which is what happened) and then make one final pull towards the 1D MA100:
This week we want to put that medium-term price action into a longer term perspective, presenting to you the 1W outlook. As you can see the current 1-month correction is nothing but a technical pull-back for the 2-year Channel Up in the form of a Bearish Leg. The 1D MA100 (red trend-line) has been the first line of Support on all of those Legs with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) being the 2nd and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) the 3rd, which has only made contact once in more than 1.5 years.
Since that is now much below the Channel Up, if the 1D MA100 fails to hold, then the next and final in our opinion level of long-term accumulation should be done on the 1W MA50, which is now perfectly located at the bottom of the Channel Up.
The similarities between all Bearish Legs RSI (in 1W terms), show however that the 1D MA100 will most likely hold. If it does, then the 1W RSI should break above its MA level (yellow trend-line) and confirm the new Bullish Leg, otherwise the 1W MA50 becomes a strong probability, like the July 24 2023 rejection.
With regards to the Target, our long-term candidate is 2600, very well placed near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Up.
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Bullish momentum to extend?XAG/USD is falling towards a support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 29.91
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 28.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 31.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could copper rise from here?Price is currently breaking out of a resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could potentially rise our take profit.
Entry: 4.4291
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 4.3607
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 4.5416
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD Channel Down leading to inevitable 1D MA100 test.Gold (XAUUSD) is failing to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on successive tests and as long as it remains below it, the trend will be bearish. In fact the dominant pattern is a Channel Down and the last time we had such a formation was from December 28 2023 to February 14 2024.
It was on that day (Feb 14) that the price bottomed exactly on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and initiated the incredible rally of March - April. As you can see, the two Channel Down patterns share similar characteristics. Both sequences experienced identical phases and the current one appears to be finishing phase (C) and on the next top test of the Channel Down, start phase (D), which should be the final and the one to deliver the 1D MA100 test.
We expect that to be around 2260. Notice also how the 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals are also similar, in fact even more than the price action as the RSI filters out the more aggressive nature of the current price action.
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?XAG/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 29.91
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 30.88
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 28.67
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could Silver bounce from here?XAG/USD is falling towards the pivot and could potentially bounce from this level to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 28.76
1st Support: 27.96
1st Resistance: 30.23
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop for gold?Price has rejected off a resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could fall to our take profit.
Entry: 2,337.01
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 2,353.31
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 2,308.44
Why we like it:
There is a pull back support level which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards pullback support, could it bounce from here?XAU/USD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,292.30
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 2,271.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 2,334.80
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?XAG/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could fall to our take profit.
Entry: 30.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 30.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 28.80
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards pullback support, could it bounce?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could potentially bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 28.83
1st Support: 27.70
1st Resistance: 30.08
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
WTI OIL Sell signal at the top of the Channel Down.WIT Oil (USOIL) didn't disappoint last time we looked at it (June 05, see chart below) and delivered our buy signal, easily hitting the 75.70 Target:
The price is now at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2-month Channel Down and just below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which is where the last Lower High was priced and rejected. At the same time, the 1D RSI is on the 53.80 Resistance, which was the level that priced the last two Lower Highs.
Technically this is the most optimal sell entry on this pattern. We have a modest target at 72.45 (Support 1), as despite the fact that a Lower Low is expected lower, the 1W MA200 looms as a Support and long-term may form a strong Support base. That remains to be seen, so for the time being we take only short-term targets.
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XAUUSD Is it oversold?Gold (XAUUSD) delivered our expected pump and dump move following the higher than expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday:
It almost hit our 2280 Target, so we recommend taking the handsome profits as there is high probability of a rebound towards 2360 and another dump. We are willing to re-sell there and target 2280 or if the 2277.50 Support breaks (candle closing below it), in which case our bearish break-out Target will be 2240, which would represent a potential contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
As mentioned on our previous study, the current Rectangle pattern since mid April is fairly similar to the one from late October 2023 to late February 2024.
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GASOLINE Medium-term buy opportunityGasoline (RB1!) has been on a strong Bearish Leg ever since the April 12 High, which is a Lower High for the 2-year Channel Down, and even broke below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Having already touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, we expect a medium-term rebound, similar to the one on May 04 2023.
The rally not only hit and broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but also extended as high as the 0.236 Fib. As a result, we consider the current level to have a solid R/R behind it and buy, targeting 2.600 (just below the 0.236 Fib).
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WTI OIL Oversold. Short-term buy signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit the bottom of the 2-month Channel Down and is consolidating since yesterday. This prompts to being a technical Lower Low for the pattern and the buy signal gets even stronger as the 1D RSI broke below the oversold barrier for the first time in 6 months (since December 06 2023).
The 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) provided the last rejection (Lower High) on May 29, so that is our Resistance and unless we break above it, the long-term trend remains bearish. But on the short-term we will use this oversold opportunity to buy and target 75.70 (+4.65% rise, which has been the minimum Bullish Leg % within the Channel Down.
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PALLADIUM Trend changing from bearish to bullish.Palladium (XPDUSD) gave us the most optimal sell entry on our March 15 (see chart below) sell signal:
Now however it is time to take profit on that trade before the projected Target as the 1D RSI Double Bottomed, while the price is on Lower Lows. Even though this isn't a direct Bullish Divergence, when RSI Double Bottoms were formed along price Lower Lows, Palladium always started a rally, at a minimum of +21.30%.
As a result, since the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) are squeezed the closest they've been to each other since November 2022, we turn bullish now, targeting 1090 (+21.30% rise).
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