HelenP. I Gold can correct to support level and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After looking at the chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the support level and started to grow to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. When the price reached this level, it broke it and then continued to move up to the trend line. After Gold reached the trend line, it turned around and started to decline inside the triangle pattern, where it soon broke the resistance level one more time. Next, the price tried to back up but failed and fell until to 2536 points, breaking the support level too, after which it quickly rose higher level, and broke this level again. After this movement, price rose to the resistance zone, after which at once rebounded down and some traded almost near the 2605 support level. Some time later price rose to the resistance zone again, where it reached the trend line and then dropped to the support zone. Recently price rebounded from this area and started to trades near the support level. So, I think that XAUUSD will fall to the support level and then start to grow inside the triangle. That's why I set my goal at 2660 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Commodities
crypto is crypto, but do you need to buy corn? - If the trend line breaks, this is the beginning of a bullish trend.
- a Formulated is Golden Cross Moving Average
- the reason for the rise in corn prices is the decrease in the EU corn harvest in 2024/25. This is the third consecutive year of poor harvest.
If you have anything to add, please write in the comments.
GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallFX:XAUUSD is consolidating below the key point - 2620. Against the backdrop of a strong and growing dollar, gold has a chance to test local lows
Gold price gains are likely to remain subdued as the US dollar continues to be supported by the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. Trump's protectionist policies are fueling inflation expectations, setting the stage for higher interest rates.
In addition, amid Christmas holidays and reduced trading volumes, market participants are inclined to maintain positions in the US currency.
Thus, gold is still seen as an attractive instrument to sell in case of attempts of its recovery, except for cases of sudden geopolitical aggravations, for example, in the regions of the Middle East or Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 2620 - 2622, 2633
Support levels: 2606, 2590
Emphasis on 2622. If the bears keep the price below this zone, it is worth looking at local support levels, as a breakdown of these levels will only strengthen the fall to 2600-2560.
Regards R. Linda!
USOIL Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 70.339.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 69.359 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 31.708 level.
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12.24 Gold operation and market trend guidance
🎈Gold did not continue the previous rebound trend yesterday, and did not continue to rise. It rebounded and fell as we expected. It began to retreat after touching 2633, and stopped correcting after touching the lowest level of 2607 in the US market. It rebounded again in the Asian morning session and retreated after touching 2621 in the European session. It was also affected by holidays. The short-term volatility was also relatively cold, and there was no great willingness to break through. In addition, the market will be closed for Christmas tomorrow, so today's volatility may not be very large. Although the current daily line is still above the 5-day line, yesterday's negative line retreat also increased the market's short-selling enthusiasm. It is very likely to continue to retreat under pressure in the short term.🔴
🎈Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the key support below is the 2600 integer mark. If you step back to test the low and stabilize this position during the day, you can go long first and then see the rebound. The short-term pressure above is focused on the vicinity of 2633-2638. Overall, rely on this range to maintain high short positions and low low positions. , the main tone of cyclical participation remains unchanged, cautiously pursue orders in the middle position, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.🔴
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short sell gold when it rebounds to 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, target at 2588-2593;
2. Buy gold when it falls back to 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35;
12.24 Gold operation and market trend guidance
🎈Gold did not continue the previous rebound trend yesterday, and did not continue to rise. It rebounded and fell as we expected. It began to retreat after touching 2633, and stopped correcting after touching the lowest level of 2607 in the US market. It rebounded again in the Asian morning session and retreated after touching 2621 in the European session. It was also affected by holidays. The short-term volatility was also relatively cold, and there was no great willingness to break through. In addition, the market will be closed for Christmas tomorrow, so today's volatility may not be very large. Although the current daily line is still above the 5-day line, yesterday's negative line retreat also increased the market's short-selling enthusiasm. It is very likely to continue to retreat under pressure in the short term.🔴
🎈Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the key support below is the 2600 integer mark. If you step back to test the low and stabilize this position during the day, you can go long first and then see the rebound. The short-term pressure above is focused on the vicinity of 2633-2638. Overall, rely on this range to maintain high short positions and low low positions. , the main tone of cyclical participation remains unchanged, cautiously pursue orders in the middle position, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.🔴
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short sell gold when it rebounds to 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, target at 2588-2593;
2. Buy gold when it falls back to 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35;
Silver - Another Textbook Trade For 2025!Silver ( TVC:SILVER ) is again approaching strong support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Silver has now been consolidating for more than 6 months and is slowly but steadily approaching the previous horizontal support. Another retest would perfectly match with the overall bullish trend, the rising channel formation, as well as the fact that Silver will soon catch up with Gold.
Levels to watch: $27.0, $34.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Year 2025 and Beyond: Where to Place Your Bets?S&P 500:
US indices may continue their upward trend until the first quarter of 2025. The ultimate target appears to be above 6300, where they may peak and begin a significant correction. A global stock sell-off could potentially trigger a stock market crash similar to that of 2008.
India's Nifty 50:
India's Nifty 50 may find support around the 23,000–22,700 range and resume its upward movement in the final fifth wave, targeting a peak near 29,000. The Nifty 50 is likely to follow a trend similar to the S&P 500. The bullish cycle that began in 2009 is expected to conclude near the 29,000 level. Subsequently, a significant sell-off in Indian indices could trigger a major bear market, potentially erasing up to 50% of market capitalization from its peak.
Gold:
Gold may continue its consolidation for another month or two. A final surge toward the $3,000–$3,100 range is expected to mark the end of the rally that began in December 2015 at the $1,050 level. However, the bear market in equities is unlikely to spare even the perceived safe haven, leading to a pullback in gold prices as well.
Brent Crude:
Since March 2020, Brent crude experienced a remarkable rise, surging from $15 per barrel to $139 per barrel by March 2022. Over the past 33 months, it has already corrected by more than 47%. Brent crude is still expected to decline further, potentially reaching $50 per barrel within the next 3 to 6 months. However, the current inflationary trend could drive Brent prices beyond $160 per barrel later in 2025, before eventually succumbing to a deflationary trend that may persist for several years.
US Dollar Index:
The US Dollar Index peaked at around 114 in September 2022. Since then, it declined to 100 by July 2023 before starting to rise again in a corrective A-B-C pattern, forming part of a larger (A)-(B)-(C) decline. The Wave C of (B) is expected to conclude near 109, followed by another decline toward 98 by the first half of 2025. However, a renewed bullish trend in the US Dollar Index could reinforce the "Cash is King" narrative during a global equity market downturn.
USD/INR:
The bullish trend in USD/INR, which began in January 2008 at the 39 level, has seen the Indian Rupee weaken by over 60% against the US Dollar over the past 17 years. In the short term, USD/INR may peak around 86. However, the Rupee is likely to weaken further, reaching 90 against the US Dollar by the second quarter of 2025.
US Govt. 10 years bond yield:
The long-term yield on U.S. Government 10-year bond's yield indicates rising interest rates for this decade. In the short term, the yield may ease to 3%-2.6% by the second quarter of 2025. However, fears of a U.S. Government default could push the yield to 10% or higher over the next couple of years. The "Bond Ghost," along with a global equity rout, may haunt investors again in 2025-2026.
Bitcoin (BTC):
Bitcoin's bullish trend may continue until the first quarter of 2025, albeit at a slower pace. BTC still has the potential to reach around $115k-$120k, concluding the bullish run that began in November 2022 from the level of $15,500. Over the past decade and a half, BTC has significantly outpaced any other asset class globally. However, global risk aversion, which may start with an initial global equity market sell-off, could pause Bitcoin's bullish journey for the rest of 2025. Before the end of 2025, BTC might lose up to 50% of its value from its peak.
In the longer run, however, BTC has the potential to become the most valuable asset class globally, even after experiencing a 50% erosion in its value.
GOLD Sell signalA bearish inside bar / pinbar pattern has formed in TVC:GOLD on the weekly charts. While these types of patterns can be quite strong, keep in mind that this is a counter trend trade which adds an additional element of risk to the setup. The invalidation level for this setup is the top of the pinbar @ $2730. Long term, key support sits at around $2080.
Bearish drop?USO/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 70.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 71.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 69.35
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Potential bearish drop?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,627.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 2,655.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2,585.75
Why we like it:
There is a pullback sup [port level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD: Bullish trend intact. Cycle target 3,100Gold may just be neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.126, MACD = -15.410, ADX = 31.343) due to the December's consolidation but on the 1M timeframe the Channel Up is very much intact and is immitating that of 2019 so far. Basically since late 2020, Gold has been replicating the post-2016 Cycle, which started with a 3 year accumulation period that led to the 2019-2020 Channel Up. This topped on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. This is enough for us to keep us bullish (TP = 3,100).
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GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Markets ranging sideways today before Christmas and our plan of action remains the same with our levels and targets still valid for the week for the days that are open.
We continue to play between both weighted levels, 2629 Goldturn resistance and 2600 Goldturn support and will need ema5 cross and lock on either Goldturn to confirm determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2629 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
BEARISH TARGETS
2600
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2561
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2518 - 2486
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold (XAU/USD) Consolidating Within Symmetrical TriangleChart Analysis:
Gold is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, reflecting a phase of consolidation as price tightens between converging trendlines. The current price of $2,611.97 is near the middle of the range, with both upward and downward breakouts possible.
1️⃣ Symmetrical Triangle:
Price action is consolidating within the converging trendlines. A breakout above the upper boundary ($2,650) or below the lower boundary ($2,570) would provide the next directional clue.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at $2,667.53, acting as a dynamic resistance just above the triangle.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at $2,477.51, providing long-term support well below current price levels.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 44.34, trending slightly bearish but still neutral, indicating room for further movement in either direction.
MACD: Negative but flattening, signaling waning bearish momentum during consolidation.
What to Watch:
A breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle and the 50-day SMA could signal a bullish continuation, targeting prior highs near $2,750.
A breakdown below the lower boundary may lead to further declines toward the 200-day SMA near $2,477.
Gold is at a pivotal point, consolidating within a symmetrical triangle. A breakout in either direction will likely determine the next major move.
-MW
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12/24/2024 : Rally111Please pay attention to this video. Today, I share some vital data related to how I plan on helping all of you become better traders in 2025 and what you need to do to try to improve your own trading results.
Trading is not gambling. It is not about throwing money at trends and hoping to catch a few winners.
Trading is about trying to time market trends when the best opportunities are ready for profits - then getting out of those opportunities as profits start to mature.
Trading is about honing your skills to be able to target 35% to 55% or more every 15 to 25+ days.
If you can do that efficiently every 15 to 25+ days, then you are SET.
You can turn $1000 into more than $300k in less than a year trading like that. Then, you can turn that $300k into more than $10 million in another year.
Can you imagine that happening to you and your family?
It is all about having the right tools, gaining proper knowledge and experience, and putting that to practice/use. And that is what I've been trying to teach you for the past 6+ months - the knowledge and skills to be able to see/time the biggest market moves.
I know many of you have followed me for many months. I appreciate all of you. Now, as we close out 2024, let's make a commitment to really focus on gaining the success we desire for ourselves and our families so we can enjoy 2025 as a better year.
I challenge all of you to a straightforward goal: Learn, Practice, Gain experience, and Execute better trades so you can grow your accounts and move into the "Trader Life" you have always desired.
Trade 2-4 times a day (when opportunity strikes) and try to grow your account by 35 to 55% every 15 to 25 days. That's all it takes.
Are you ready?
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
XAUUSD on the way to 2900 Price LevelThe currency pair in focus is XAU/USD, representing the exchange rate between gold (XAU) and the US Dollar (USD). The current price of XAU/USD is 2611, meaning one ounce of gold is valued at 2611 US Dollars. The target price is 2900, indicating a projected increase in gold's value to 2900 USD per ounce. The expected gain is 2000 pips, with each pip representing a small price movement in the currency pair. The pattern being observed is a Symmetrical Triangle, a chart formation that indicates a period of consolidation. In this pattern, the price moves between converging trendlines, suggesting that the market is uncertain and waiting for a breakout. A breakout occurs when the price breaks above the upper trendline or below the lower trendline, signaling a strong price movement. Traders are watching for this breakout, as it could push the price toward the target of 2900. The symmetrical triangle pattern typically leads to a significant price movement once the breakout occurs, making it a key technical indicator. This setup is used by traders to anticipate the direction of the next major move in the market.
GBPUSD on the way to 1.34The currency pair in focus is GBP/USD, representing the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). The current price of the pair is 1.25, meaning 1 British Pound is worth 1.25 US Dollars. The target price is 1.34, indicating an expected price movement to 1.34, where the British Pound will be worth 1.34 US Dollars. The gain in pips is 400, meaning the price is anticipated to rise by 400 pips, with each pip representing a small movement in the exchange rate. The strategy being followed is based on support and resistance levels, which are key concepts in technical analysis. Support refers to a price level where the pair tends to find buying interest, while resistance represents a price level where selling interest is typically strong. This suggests the pair has recently bounced from a support level and is approaching a resistance level. If the price breaks through the resistance, it could move toward the target price. The pattern of support and resistance helps traders identify potential entry and exit points, guiding them towards achieving the 400-pip gain. This strategy relies on observing price trends and historical levels of support and resistance to predict future price movements. Good Volume Expecting.
Will China's Game Redefine The Global Copper Paradigm?In the dynamic landscape of global commodities, copper emerges as a fascinating case study of economic interconnectedness and strategic policymaking. Recent developments have seen prices climb to $8,971.50 per metric ton, driven by China's bold $411 billion treasury bond initiative – a move that could reshape the metal's trajectory in international markets. This price movement, however, tells only part of a more complex story that challenges conventional market wisdom.
The interplay between supply fundamentals and geopolitical forces creates an intriguing narrative. While physical demand remains robust and Chinese inventories run low, the market grapples with a 19% decline from its May peak, highlighting the delicate balance between immediate market dynamics and broader economic forces. This tension is further amplified by the looming influence of potential U.S. trade policies under President-elect Trump's administration, adding another layer of complexity to an already multifaceted market equation.
Perhaps most compelling is the transformation of copper's role in the global economy. As traditional demand drivers like property construction show weakness, the metal's crucial position in the green energy transition offers a new frontier of opportunity. With electric vehicle sales continuing to break records and renewable energy infrastructure expanding, copper stands at the crossroads of old and new economic paradigms. This evolution, coupled with China's strategic stimulus measures and the market's response to supply-side developments, suggests that copper's story in 2025 and beyond will be one of adaptation, resilience, and strategic importance in the global economic landscape.
Gold fell and weakened
Gold fell after rising to 2790. The daily chart shows a descending triangle pattern, with the high point gradually moving down, and the overall trend is a five-wave decline at a high level. The lower support level of 2545 is the dividing line between long and short positions, and the upper level of 2720 forms a double top and falls back, and it rebounds near 2584.
In general, gold is in a trend of high-level shock and decline, with a short-term rebound and a small ascending triangle structure. In terms of operation, you can pay attention to the breakthrough of the triangle before trading. Short-term support is 2610 and resistance is 2635.
It is recommended to arrange short orders when breaking below 2610, and those who are conservative can wait for the price to rebound to 2630-2635 under pressure before going short. The downside targets are TP2605, TP2580, and TP2550, respectively, and the stop loss can be set at 2656 (breaking above the previous adjustment range).