eurusd h4 long/short +220/+300 pips swing trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4hour chart for EURUSD today.
All previous setups hit TP, +600 pips original short and recently
another short from resistance TP hit +240 pips.
feel free to recap via links below:
🔸Currently after hitting 0500 EURUSD remains weak / vulnerable
to further downside. I'm not expecting any bounce from current
levels and also can't recommend any new entries, right now this
is a no trade zone for me.
🔸Bears will target re-test of key s/r zone at 0380, this is also
the highest probability zone for a bounce in EURUSD.
Resistance overhead set at 0600, so this is a +220 pips trade setup
based on the bounce off the key s/r zone.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders:no trade recommended
at current price, however bulls should enter BUY/HOLD at/near 0380
SL 40 pips TP1 +120 TP2 +220 final exit at 0600. Bears should wait
for the bounce to complete and short from overhead resistance at
0600 TP1 +150 pips TP2 +300 pips final exit at 0300. SL 40 pips.
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Falling towards the 50% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 2,648.80
1st Support: 2,622.49
1st Resistance: 2,685.35
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NATURAL GAS - 2025 IS THE LAST YEAR IT WILL BE CHEAP !📣 Hello everyone!
I believe that with a high degree of probability, a long-term reversal model "Inverted head and shoulders" is being formed on the price chart of natural gas.
If the above is true, then in 2025 the right shoulder will be formed and this is the last year when natural gas will cost so cheap $$ !
From my point of view, after the "Inverted head and shoulders" model finds its confirmation, or if the high 9.1560$ is broken even earlier, WE CAN CONDITIONALLY SAY THAT THE PRICE OF GAS WILL NEVER DROP <1.5$ AGAIN - IN MY UNDERSTANDING, THIS PROBABILITY IS >90%
Oil will also form a bottom next year and from the end of 2025 - the beginning of 2026, I expect the beginning of a long-term bull market!
That's all for today, I wish you good luck in making independent trading decisions and profit. Please analyze the information received from me, always think only with your head!
Goodbye! ✊
Bearish drop?WTI oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 69.74
1st Support: 67.19
1st Resistance: 71.20
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Geopolitical risks pushed GOLD to increase rapidly in the short In the early trading session on Asian markets on Friday (November 29), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot rose suddenly and rapidly from the intraday low of $2,633 and headed into a key technical position for technical downside expectations. Impacted by escalating tensions in Ukraine.
Russia launches joint attack, Putin "speaks tough"
While Israel and Lebanon have reached a 60-day ceasefire agreement, this will essentially create pressure on gold as market risks become less. However, the escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict may continue to keep gold prices stable above 2,600 USD/ounce in the near future.
The latest Reuters report on Friday said that Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday local time said Russia could use the new "Hazel" hypersonic missile to attack Kiev in response to Ukraine's missile launch. Western fire penetrated deep into Russian territory.
So far in the 33-month war, Russia has not yet attacked Ukrainian ministries, government agencies, parliament or the presidential office.
Putin said on Thursday that Russia's large-scale attack on Ukraine was a "response" to Ukraine's use of Western missile systems to attack Russian territory.
Earlier in the day, Ukraine reported that energy facilities across Ukraine were being attacked by Russian armed forces.
Ukraine's Air Force said Thursday that Russia launched a joint attack on Ukraine using missiles and drones starting early that morning. Most regions in Western Ukraine are under attack, especially Ternopil, Lviv, Lutsk, Vinnitsa, Khmelnytsky and others.
Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the social platform on Thursday that he had a conversation with the Air Force commander, the Minister of Internal Affairs and the Minister of Energy that day about the Russian attack. Mr. Zelensky said that the target of Russia's attack this time is Ukraine's energy infrastructure. Russia launched about 100 attack drones and more than 90 missiles of all types.
In the current market context, traders need to pay attention to geopolitical conflicts, their escalation or reduction will have a sudden impact on gold in the short term.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold recovered from the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level but is temporarily limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level and the EMA21 moving average.
In the short term, Gold can still decrease in price as long as it has not broken the medium-term trend price channel. In the immediate future, gold does not have enough conditions to increase in price in the short term, but a drop below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level will cause gold to fall further with the goal of reaching the original price point of 2,600 USD.
However, geopolitical risks are dominating the market, so any purely technical structure could be broken quite easily during this time. The $2,693 level will be the next target in case the 0.50% Fibonacci level is broken above.
The market is very volatile in the short term, so long-term open positions will be less effective, and notable technical levels for the medium-term bearish outlook from the price channel on the daily chart will be seen. noticed again as follows.
Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD
Resistance: 2,663 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2575
→Take Profit 1 2586
↨
→Take Profit 2 2591
Gold hard to TA, but Silver save the day, got 5 bullish targetsGold hard to TA, but Silver save the day, got 5 bullish targets
Biden attack to Russia change the trend for now, bearish signal maybe later when Trump become president. The presidential inauguration is always held on Jan 20, so after Trump inauguration maybe bearish signal again
Gold--> Trade inside from channel boundaryOANDA:XAUUSD A slight increase from $2,650 after the breakout, this is generally due to political news, but the overall fundamental backdrop remains challenging. Today, liquidity is low due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States.
Metal prices are affected by geopolitical risks, which remain high due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Additionally, the commitment of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico is also having an impact. "This has raised a bit more concern about the possible consequences from these two countries. So, that remains an important supporting factor for gold."
In theory, any effort to push gold prices higher may be limited because Trump’s tax plan is also considered a potential driver of inflation, which could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow the process of cutting interest rates.
Technically, gold is moving sideways, so we consider trading from the range boundaries. We focus on the local channel from H1 2660 - 2618 and the global channel from D1 at 2690 (2710) - 2605.
Accordingly, at this time, gold is heading toward liquidity above. A false breakout of the main resistance zone and price consolidation in the selling area could lead to a price drop to the lower boundary of the sideways range.
Heading into overlap resistance?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 69.81
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 70.76
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 68.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could fall from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,659.61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,713.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 2,611.27
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAG/USD 27.11.24FXOPEN:XAGUSD
Hello Traders,
Here's a quick update on silver. Today, we successfully completed our small 12345 setup. This marks the formation of our big wave 1, and we are now in the wave 2 support region. The stop-loss should be placed below the starting point of wave 1 or under the fiv levels of wave 2. Be careful the nromal spread at silver is 20+ so rather make the sl a little bit bigger before you get stopped out and the chart turns around.
Gold Analysis 1HWe have broken out of a triangle pattern, and now the price is approaching the resistance zone in gray.
✅ What I’m watching for:
If we break above this gray resistance, my target will be the next resistance zone in red.
🚨 Plan:
Wait for confirmation of the breakout before entering a position to increase your chances of success.
👉 Follow me for more trade ideas and updates!
Gold slightly rebounds trying to get back the bullish action OANDA:XAUUSD the bulls struggling to stop the price bearish movement
Now that will depend on the stability of the support 2,605.00
if this support prevents the negative price movement, then it more likely to try to pass the previous top @ 2,721.00 to target then 2,790.00
But if the price breaks done 2,605.00 then it may target lower supports starting 2,540.00
Gold Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 2620 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2620 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker Dollar Drive tGold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker Dollar Drive the Recovery
Gold prices have rebounded after a recent dip, which followed reports of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah. Despite this temporary pullback, the broader dynamics supporting gold remain intact, driven by geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns, and central bank policies.
Geopolitical Tensions Support Gold
One of the primary factors behind gold’s continued strength is the persistence of geopolitical risks. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets, with gold standing out as a key hedge against global instability. Even with temporary easing of tensions in the Middle East, the broader geopolitical landscape remains a strong support for gold prices.
US Dollar Weakness Boosts Gold
US economic data presented a mixed picture, which weakened the dollar and provided a boost to gold prices:
- **US GDP QoQ (2nd Estimate):** 2.8%, in line with forecasts, indicating steady economic growth.
- **US Initial Jobless Claims:** Reported at 213K, slightly better than the forecast of 215K, showcasing a stable labor market.
- **US Durable Goods Orders:** Increased by 0.2%, below expectations of 0.5%, signaling a softer investment demand.
- **US PCE Price Index YoY:** Rose to 2.3%, matching forecasts but higher than the previous 2.1%.
- **US Core PCE Price Index YoY:** Climbed to 2.8%, in line with expectations but up from the prior 2.7%.
These figures weakened the US dollar, which typically moves inversely to gold, making the precious metal more attractive to global investors.
Inflation Concerns and Central Bank Activity
Inflation remains a key driver for gold. Planned tariffs on imported goods, proposed by future President Donald Trump, could exacerbate inflationary pressures in the US, further boosting gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Moreover, gold continues to benefit from a global environment of falling interest rates. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, while central bank purchases add strong, consistent demand to the market.
Emerging Market Demand Strengthens Gold
Emerging economies, such as China and India, play a critical role in gold’s price trajectory. In these regions, gold holds significant cultural and investment value, and rising wealth levels contribute to increasing demand. This structural support further solidifies gold’s position as a long-term investment choice.
What’s Next for Gold?
Gold’s rebound highlights its resilience amid shifting global dynamics. While geopolitical developments like the ceasefire in the Middle East can trigger short-term volatility, the broader drivers—geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and central bank policies—remain firmly in place.
As the dollar shows signs of softening, gold is likely to maintain its upward momentum in the long term. Is this the beginning of a renewed rally for gold, or will further global developments bring new challenges? Share your insights in the comments!
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDADE > READ THE CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋
Gold trading analysis map 🗾 update Gold already breakout bullish trend. 2721 -2605 Sellers closed trade. gold recover quickly ✔️ 2658 rejected again test diamond zone 2621 again recover quickly ✔️ Bullish trend 📈. Gold ready for short trade 😀 closed below 👇 Trend 📉 2605 - 2548 don't forget back up trand 😱 if blackout 2648 Next target 2680 ?!!!
Support ✨ My hard analysis Setup like And Following Me 🤝 that star ✨ game 🎮
XAUUSD: Expecting a Triangle bullish breakout.Gold is neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 48.029, MACD = -5.300, ADX = 29.357) as it is consolidating inside a Triangle, same as it did within November 13th - 15th. Once the LH trendline breaks, we expect a similar bullish breakout to a new High but on the short term we are happy to just aim for the R1 level (TP = 2,721)
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Shorting gold is my best Thanksgiving gift to youBros, although gold has risen sharply to around 2646 in the short term, from the overall structure, the rebound strength of gold is still lacking, and it has never been able to break through the key level, resulting in limited room for gold to rise; and gold still faces the resistance area of 2650-2655 in the short term.
So don't be scared by the sharp fluctuations in the short term. The rebound is an opportunity to short gold; in addition, once gold forms a falling relay platform, gold is likely to continue to fall and try to reach 2600, or even 2580.
Bros, this is my Thanksgiving gift to you! Be brave to short gold! Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Bitcoin and Gold to Counter InflationConsidering how Gold and Bitcoin surged significantly in response to inflation when it peaked at 9% in June 2022, and given that they are still maintaining their high levels, it seems the fear of inflation is not yet over.
Today, I will focus on Gold and strategies to manage this upward trend, which you can also apply to Bitcoin.
Mirco Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
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