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Gold → A Buying Opportunity or a Market Trap?OANDA:XAUUSD continuing to bring hope for buyers, trading inside the local upward channel resembles a flag on the backdrop of a local downtrend. In the medium term, the dollar needs to be reassessed in the context of the Fed remaining supportive. This raises the question: What will happen to interest rates? Hold steady or increase? It must be understood that as Donald Trump prepares to return to the White House in January, the market will closely monitor U.S. economic data to forecast how the Federal Reserve will respond to anticipated inflationary pressures from administration policies, including tariffs, deregulation, and tax reform. The focus remains on U.S. jobless claims data. Economists polled by Reuters forecast around 224,000 claims for the week ending December 21, up from 220,000 claims in the week ending December 14. If jobless claims figures rise significantly, this will put pressure on the USD, and the gold market may start trading with a slightly positive trend. And vice versa. However, Ben does not talk about growth based on these numbers. Theoretically, as prices approach strong resistance levels, selling pressure seems stronger. Be careful! From a technical perspective, the price has the potential to rebound from any nearby strong level, which could lead to a subsequent decline. A key level to watch is 2620. If the bears manage to break this level and maintain their position below it, the overall selling pressure may intensify, likely resulting in a further price drop. The anticipated decline is expected to reach the range of 2,605–2,600 before setting up for any additional downward moves. Best regards,Bentradegold! Wishing everyone a joyful holiday season and a productive New Year 2025!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
1
USOIL:Latest trading opportunities. USOIL: The current position is around 71.2. According to the quotation of tradingbiew. From a macro analysis, as a strategic reserve, the rise of oil is inevitable. From the perspective of long-term trading, buying is feasible. Short-term observation. "Whether OPEC+ will cut production" is an important factor in the upward trend of oil prices. From the perspective of short-term trends, buying is still feasible. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the price around 73.5. Because there is a major support below. If you can accept a price fluctuation of 20 points, then there is room for profit in buying. Stop loss and take profit are ±2 respectively. The current price is 71.2. Remember to take profit in time after making a profit. TVC:USOIL FX:USOIL
TVC:USOILLong
by Newbie-Trading-
Crude Oil January Futures: Bullish Option Trade SetupBuilding upon my prior analysis, where I held a bearish outlook on Crude Oil January Futures , I now present a contrasting bullish perspective. While I had previously emphasized the confidentiality of the stop-loss level for short trades, this setup focuses on a call option strategy aligned with my expectations of upward momentum in the market. For this trade, I have chosen the 6000 strike call option . The optimal entry point for this position is below ₹234.20 , providing a favorable risk-reward ratio. As of this writing, the current market quote (best offer) stands at ₹186.00 , offering an attractive entry opportunity for bullish traders. My target for this position is set at ₹468.40 , which I anticipate achieving by the contract's expiry on 15th January 2025. Key Notes: This trade is based on my personal analysis and market perspective. It is important to emphasize that this is not a trade recommendation for the public. The stop-loss level remains confidential and forms an integral part of my risk management approach. Disclaimer: Trading in options and futures involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. This analysis is solely my personal view and is shared for informational purposes. Perform your own due diligence or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by IndexAce
Gold is Ready to Attack to Heavy Support zone!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) seems to have managed to break the 100_SMA(Daily) , the Support zone($2,613-$2,608) , and the lower line of the ascending channel and is currently moving in the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 . In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , with the breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel, we can also see the Bearish Flag Pattern well in the higher time frame . I expect Gold to GO down at least as wide as the ascending channel and go down to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and 21_SMA(Weekly) . ⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the 100_SMA(Daily) and Resistance lines, we should expect Gold to rise further.⚠️ 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
1
Trade Idea 2024-12-30 and Review of 2024As the year comes to a close, we expect it to be a quiet week. If you haven’t already, now is an excellent time to set your trading goals for the coming year. Where will your focus be? Which markets will you trade actively? What is your risk management plan? It is also a good time to complete a review for 2024 if you have not already! Keeping a trading journal is essential for tracking progress and learning from your mistakes. Active trading, like other high-performance activities, requires resilience, focus, and a winning mindset, but even with these attributes, losses are a natural part of the process. Always trade with a clear plan, manage your risks effectively, and never trade with more capital than you can afford to lose. As we wrap up the year, we are sharing a couple of the most popular charts we reviewed in 2024 and reflecting on the following questions we asked ourselves: What has the market done? What is it trying to do? How good of a job is it doing? What is likely to happen from here? Volume profile provides key insights into market auction and interaction of buyers and sellers. This is how we approach markets although there are many other ways of doing so. Big Picture ES Futures: Key Levels: 2024 mid point: 5574.50 2024 VPOC: 5441.75 2024 Value Area High: 5844.25 2024 High: 6184.50 Fib Extensions Target 1: 6388 Fib Extension Target 2: 6514.25 Fib Extension Target 3: 6590.75 Fib Extension Target 4: 6695.50 Big Picture BTC Futures: Key Levels: 2024 High: 108,960 2024 Mid point: 77,865 2024 VPOC: 69,710 2024 Value Area High: 79,525 Key Support for Bulls: 78,000 - 76,000 Big Picture CL Futures: Key Levels: Composite Value Area High: 79.65 2024 Value Area High: 74.90 2024 Mid point: 72.14 2024 VPOC: 69.70 2024 Value Area Low: 66.70 Composite Value Area Low: 63.55 We await the start of the new year to further gauge short term price action, volume and ranges for the upcoming year! Happy trading from EdgeClear! We wish you all a great 2025! Disclaimer: The views expressed are opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear
NuScale Power (SMR) - Cup and Handle Breakout, Target $25 - $40Overview: NuScale Power Corporation (NYSE: SMR) is showing a bullish Cup and Handle pattern, a classic setup that often precedes a significant upward move. The cup has formed over the past few months, and the stock is currently in the handle formation, signaling a potential breakout. Technical Setup: Pattern: Cup and Handle Breakout Level: ~$20.31 (current resistance area) Target Zone: $25.37, $33.65, and $40.57 (potential targets based on previous resistance levels and measured move) Handle Formation: The current consolidation in a descending channel within the handle adds to the potential breakout strength. Price Action: A breakout above the $20.31 level would confirm the cup and handle pattern, with the first target around $25.37 and higher targets up to $40.57. The price could continue to consolidate within the handle for the next couple of weeks before making a decisive move, making now a good time to watch for a breakout. Risk Management: A drop below the $18 level would negate the setup, suggesting further consolidation or a potential reversal. Catalysts: Watch for upcoming earnings and other news that could act as a catalyst for the breakout.
NYSE:SMRLong
by Killahherb
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Analysis on the 1-Hour TimeframeKey Levels and Observations The black horizontal lines on the chart represent monthly support and resistance levels, which are critical zones for price reactions. Significant levels include: Support Levels: 2600, 2580, 2560 Resistance Levels: 2620, 2640, 2660 Momentum and Price Behavior On the 1-hour timeframe, bearish momentum appears stronger as the red (bearish) candles are relatively larger than the green (bullish) ones. The price has tested the 2600 support level twice but has failed to generate a strong rebound, suggesting possible weakness in buying pressure. Possible Scenarios: If Support at 2600 Holds: The price could consolidate above this level, potentially targeting higher resistance zones like 2620 or 2640. If 2600 Breaks: A break below 2600 could lead to further downside movement, with 2580 and 2560 as the next potential targets. Market Outlook For now, the price appears to be stuck in a tight range between 2600 and 2620, indicating consolidation. Traders should wait for a clear breakout or reversal around the key levels before making decisions.
FX:XAUUSD
by MD-Priceaction
Analysis of gold operation strategy next week Recently, the U.S. dollar index has continued to strengthen, rising for several consecutive weeks, putting pressure on gold prices. If the US dollar index continues to remain strong, gold prices may be further suppressed. However, we also need to pay attention to the fluctuations of the U.S. dollar index. Once it pulls back, gold prices are expected to get a chance to rebound. Although the US dollar and US bond yields pose downward pressure, the continued escalation of geopolitical tensions provides safe-haven support for gold. Conflicts in the Middle East and turmoil in the Russian-Ukrainian situation may trigger risk aversion in the market, thereby pushing up gold prices. In addition, the state of the US economy will also have an impact on gold prices. Recently, the U.S. economy has shown strong resilience, but there is still uncertainty about its future direction. The international gold trend next week may show a volatile trend, which is jointly affected by the U.S. dollar index, geopolitical situation and U.S. economic conditions. Investors need to pay close attention to the changes in these factors in order to grasp the trend of gold prices. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay attention to risk management and avoid blindly following the trend. Gold technical analysis: Next week will usher in the final battle between the annual and monthly lines. From the perspective of the annual line, the overall bull market is still there, the general trend is still bullish, and there is no trend reversal, just a temporary pause. In terms of the monthly line, the overall structure is bullish, but the monthly K line is currently in a continuous negative pattern, which is beneficial to the bears. In addition, the short-term 5-day moving average of the monthly line shows signs of turning. Although the bulls are dominant, we must also pay attention to the downward retracement strength. In terms of the weekly line, the weekly line received a small cross positive. If we only look at the rebound strength, the upward momentum is obviously insufficient. In addition, the overall technical pattern shows that the bears have the conditions to break the support and extend. The gold hourly line is still oscillating within a large range. If gold rebounds first at the opening of next Monday, and if it continues to be under pressure at 2640, then gold will continue to sell short on rallies under pressure at 2640. Gold bulls have not shown full strength, and they have risen many times. After falling back, gold is not very confident in its upward breakthrough. It keeps making false breakthroughs, and then lures the bulls to fall again. Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the lower support focuses on the 2600 integer mark, and the upper short-term pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2640. The overall tone of high short-selling participation remains unchanged based on this range, and the middle position is cautious to pursue orders, and patiently waits for the key point to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds and sells short at the 2637-2640 line, stop loss at 2649, target the 2610 line, and look at the 2598-2600 line if the position is broken;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Caesar_Gorman01
Trading Plan: WTI Crude OilBased on my proprietary indicators, I maintain a bearish view on WTI Crude Oil. I am anticipating a downside target of ₹5800 (target open until 15th January 2025). Current Position: Holding short positions in MCX Crude Oil January 2025 expiry futures from ₹6025 levels. Intend to add more shorts if prices move to higher levels. Risk Management: Stop-loss and risk parameters are carefully planned but not disclosed here for strategic reasons. Position sizing is aligned with my overall risk appetite and trading capital. Disclaimer: This trading plan represents my personal views and trading decisions and is shared for informational purposes only. Trading in crude oil futures involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Readers should not consider this as financial advice and must conduct their own research or consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Past performance of proprietary indicators is not indicative of future results.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by IndexAce
Gold buy zone CAPITALCOM:GOLD Buying Zone: 2610** - **Rationale:** The 2610 zone represents a strong **support area**, where you anticipate buyer interest will outweigh selling pressure, leading to a potential price reversal or bounce. - **Confirmation Signals:** - Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) or significant buying volume around 2610 on the **1-hour chart**. - Ensure that price respects this level without breaking below it significantly, confirming it as a reliable entry point. CAPITALCOM:GOLD **Target: 2634** - **Rationale:** The 2634 level is identified as a **resistance zone** or a high-probability take-profit area. This could be a previously tested resistance or a psychological level where selling pressure is expected. - **Technical Indicators:** - Monitor for potential slowing of momentum (e.g., RSI divergence or overbought conditions) as the price approaches 2634. - Watch for a failure to break 2634 on prior attempts, as this strengthens the case for a reversal or consolidation near the target. **Risk Management** - **Stop Loss:** Place your stop loss slightly below the **2610 level**, around 2605 or lower, depending on your risk tolerance, to protect against invalidation of the support zone. - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** Ensure the trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio. For instance, if targeting a $24 move (2610 to 2634), limit your risk to around $10 (stop at 2600).
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Is Gold the Best Investment in a Mixed Metals Market?Gold Shines in a Mixed Year for Metals Markets In 2024, gold emerged as a standout performer in the often-volatile metals markets. While other metals experienced a mixed bag of results, gold surged by an impressive 27%, defying the broader market trends. This bullish run can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including US monetary easing, heightened geopolitical tensions, and strategic central bank purchases. A Year of Contrasting Fortunes The performance of base metals in 2024 presented a more nuanced picture. While some base metals witnessed healthy gains, others struggled. Iron ore, a key ingredient in steel production, witnessed a significant decline, and lithium, often touted as the white gold of the electric vehicle revolution, also faced headwinds. Gold's Allure: A Haven in Uncertain Times Gold's resilience throughout 2024 can be ascribed to its inherent characteristics as a safe-haven asset. When economic or political uncertainty clouds the horizon, investors often flock to gold, perceiving it as a store of value that can weather market storms. • US Monetary Easing: In 2024, the US Federal Reserve implemented a series of monetary easing measures, injecting liquidity into the financial system and lowering interest rates. This dovish stance by the Fed weakened the US dollar, making gold, a dollar-denominated asset, more attractive to international investors. • Geopolitical Upheaval: The year 2024 was marked by a heightened sense of geopolitical instability. Trade tensions, regional conflicts, and concerns over global security fueled investor anxieties. Gold, perceived as a hedge against geopolitical risks, benefited from this flight-to-safety bid. • Central Bank Buying Spree: Central banks around the world were significant buyers of gold in 2024. This strategic accumulation by central banks bolstered investor confidence in the yellow metal, further solidifying its position as a valuable reserve asset. The Road Ahead: A Look at 2025 As we enter 2025, the outlook for metals markets remains shrouded in some uncertainty. However, several key factors are likely to influence the trajectory of gold and other metals. • The Trajectory of US Monetary Policy: The future course of US monetary policy will be a critical determinant of gold's performance in 2025. If the Fed maintains its dovish stance, it could continue to buoy gold prices. However, if the Fed signals a shift towards tighter monetary policy, it could dampen gold's appeal. • The Evolving Geopolitical Landscape: The geopolitical landscape in 2025 will significantly impact investor sentiment. If geopolitical tensions escalate, gold could surge as investors seek a safe haven. Conversely, a period of relative geopolitical stability could lead to a pullback in gold prices. • China's Growth Engine: China's economic growth prospects will also be closely watched. China is a major consumer of metals, and its demand can significantly influence prices. If China's economy strengthens in 2025, it could provide a tailwind for base metals. Gold's Strong Gains: A Harbinger of Change? Gold's stellar performance in 2024 may signal a fundamental shift in market dynamics. After years of dominance by riskier assets like equities, investors may be returning to safe-haven assets like gold in anticipation of a more uncertain economic and geopolitical environment. In conclusion, the year 2024 was a year of contrasting fortunes for metals markets. While gold emerged as a clear winner, other metals painted a more mixed picture. As we look ahead to 2025, the trajectory of US monetary policy, the evolving geopolitical landscape, and China's growth prospects will be the key factors shaping the performance of metals markets. Gold's robust gains in 2024 serve as a reminder of its enduring allure as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. Whether this marks a long-term trend or a temporary blip remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: gold will continue to be a closely watched asset class in the ever-evolving global financial landscape.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
GOLD // short countertrendThe trend is short on every major timeframe, and the market has a nice room till the correction fibo 38.2 There are 2 clean (not yet tested) H4 breakouts that can be excellent entry zones for short trades. ——— Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated. ——— Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ <<boost🚀 if you enjoy💚
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheMarketFlow
Silver bells have a morbid tone compared to gold target to R24.1Unlike Gold which is still holding its stature in the Symmetrical Triangle. Silver has broken below not only it's Uptrend but also below the neckline of a Head and Shoulders. Now commodities don't stay down for too long normally, so I wouldn't be surprised if this market rockets up due to some "catalyst" in the new year. But until then, the price and nature is bearish and will set a target of around $24.15. The price does however need to close below the 200MA to make it a higher probability idea.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by Timonrosso
Gold Symmetrical Triangle could sky rocket the price to $2,789Gold has been forming a Symmetrical Triangle since July 2024. The Uptrend Flag pole was established, followed by the constricted Triangle. Now it's still early days, but the price could constrict further until it reaches 3/4s of the apex. If theory speaks, then the price should break up and out of the Triangle which will take it to $2,789. I want to be optimistic in 2025. And ONLY if the price breaks below the support, will it show a bearish nature. Until then, golden balls all the way.
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by Timonrosso
Silver H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 29.78 which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 30.30 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 28.80 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by FXCM
Weekly Forex Forecast: Last Show For 2024Dec 30th to Jan 3rd. USD is still strong, and so are the indices. I will be looking for buys until there is a significant bearish Break of Structure. A strong USD is a headwind for Gold, Silver and the other metals. It is also a headwind for GBP, EUR and the other majors. USDCHF, USDCAD and USDJPY should see some upside. Thank you for hangin' with me for 2024! I hope you found a benefit in my weekly forecasts this year. 2025 will be even better! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
GOLD IN CORRECTION FOR SELLOnly weekly is in buy but it give sub choch for sell which is day sell CHOCH in day retracement also gives day sub choch for sell now gold in day sub choch retracement confirm point strgy if above 2608 it will continue to 2650-2660 which is day sub choch 50% fibo zone then if we got 4hrs revers sell point on there we can place sell order on there other wise we must wait 2717-2725 extreme sell area(day sub choch OB) then we place aggressive entry on there if market opens below 2608 our buy entry should be 2587 sl 2580 and sell analysis will be same week=BUY Day= sell and Retracement buy 4hrs-15mins-1min=buy THIS ANALYSIS MAY CHANGE AFTER MARKET OPENS
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY