EURCHF Strong sell opportunityEURCHF got rejected this week not just at the top of the 2023 Channel Down but also on the MA200 (1d).
A candle closing under the MA50 (1d) can be a confirmation for a long term sell opportunity.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell after the price closes a (1d) candle under the MA50.
Targets:
1. 2.000 (Rising Support).
2. 3.000 (Resistance 2).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) broke under the MA line and is on a similar Double Top rejection pattern as the March 23rd top.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Chf
CHF JPY - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISAdam Cole, Chief Currency Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, has highlighted recent policy shifts from the Swiss National Bank (SNB), the persistent threat of imported inflation, and increasing levels of verbal intervention in Japan.
"While the Swiss National Bank (SNB) may have let down some investors with a 25bp rate hike last week when many were hoping for a 50bp increase, it made its intentions clear: it's ready to buy CHF to provide suitable monetary conditions," says Cole.
Indeed, despite a somewhat disappointing rate hike, the SNB's commitment to provide appropriate monetary conditions and willingness to buy CHF indicate a robust approach to currency management.
The SNB's current focus on selling foreign currency further substantiates this view.
Furthermore, the Swiss central bank's leadership recognises the benefits of CHF appreciation in the current economic climate.
SNB Chair Jordan noted that the strong CHF has effectively acted as a shield against imported inflation, an increasingly prevalent issue globally.
"SNB Chair Jordan revealed over the weekend that from the present perspective, monetary policy might not be tight enough to anchor price stability. He also noted that CHF appreciation has shielded Switzerland from imported inflation," Cole adds.
In Japan, meanwhile, the situation is a bit more nuanced. Despite the increasing verbal interventions from officials, the strategists at RBC believe there is potential in shorting JPY at current levels.
"In Japan, officials are ratcheting up their verbal interventions. Despite this, and the rising risk of intervention, RBC sees potential in shorting JPY at current levels," says Cole.
The pullback in USD/JPY from Friday's highs does leave some room for maneuver. This environment, coupled with the SNB's policy stance and Switzerland's inflationary shield, has led RBC to take a bullish position on the CHF/JPY pair.
As the markets continue to evolve in response to inflation, interest rate adjustments, and economic policy decisions, the perspective offered by strategists like Cole is crucial.
EURCHF to find buyers at current range?EURCHF - 24h expiry
Bespoke support is located at 0.9755.
Previous resistance at 0.9755 now becomes support.
0.9750 continues to hold back the bears.
We look to buy dips.
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
We look to Buy at 0.9753 (stop at 0.9729)
Our profit targets will be 0.9813 and 0.9823
Resistance: 0.9795 / 0.9815 / 0.9830
Support: 0.9778 / 0.9765 / 0.9750
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
UPDATE CHFJPY Target hit at 160.79It was a long hold since April.
The interest expense daily, added up and the profits weren't as high as I wanted it to.
But we kept to our guns and held.
And so, target 1 hit at 160.79.
Now we can expect the price to consolidate and move into a range before the next run up, but you'll be the first to know.
CHFJPY Channel Up sell opportunityCHFJPY is trading inside a Channel Up following the March 20th low.
The price is now approaching the top of the Channel Up with the 1day RSI on a Double Top inside the overbough zone. That was a sell signal two time inside this pattern.
Sell with a max extension at 163.000 and target 158.500.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CADCHF, D1 | Reversal off major resistancePrice is testing major resistance at 0.6806 which is an overlap resistance that stretches way back. It also coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and a descending channel resistance.
If price were to reverse from here, we could see it drop all the way to support at 0.6626 which is an overlap support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
EURCHF to find support at previous resistance?EURCHF - 24h expiry
Bespoke support is located at 0.9755.
Previous resistance at 0.9755 now becomes support.
0.9750 continues to hold back the bears.
We look to buy dips.
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
We look to Buy at 0.9754 (stop at 0.9730)
Our profit targets will be 0.9814 and 0.9824
Resistance: 0.9780 / 0.9795 / 0.9815
Support: 0.9765 / 0.9750 / 0.9730
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF potential sellAfter price broke structure to the downside with momentum, it preceded to retrace. It formed liquidity the process that it preceded to take, mitigating a previously established supply area in the process. It has currently broken structure to the downside and could potentially retrace one more time to mitigate supply on lower timeframe before further expansion, giving us an opportunity to capitalize on this confirmation entry.
🔥 NEW: EURCHF 🔥 BIG PICTURE (1M) 🔥-SL @ 1.2066 🚫
SLO2 @ 1.1850 ⏳
SLO1 @ 1.1600 ⏳
TP4 @ 1.1475 (closing ALL Buy Orders)
TP3 @ 1.1033 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 1.0755 (shaving 25%)
TP1 @ 1.0333 (shaving 25%)
BLO1 @ 0.9920 ⏳
BLO2 @ 0.9666 ⏳
WE ARE A COMMUNITY
BOOST a trade idea to share with others and "pay it forward"
FOLLOW to receive alerts of any new posted ideas
COMMENT with questions, insight, and expertise
JOIN our group chat: receive free analyses on any instrument
USDCHF - Trend-Following Sell Setup ↘️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
After rejecting a weekly resistance, USDCHF has been overall bearish trading inside the falling broadening wedge pattern in red, and it is currently approaching around the upper trendline.
Moreover, the zone 0.904 is a resistance zone.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper red trendline.
As per my trading style:
As USDCHF approaches the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDCHF to find sellers at previous support?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Daily signals are bearish.
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8993.
We look to Sell at 0.8993 (stop at 0.9017)
Our profit targets will be 0.8933 and 0.8923
Resistance: 0.8985 / 0.9000 / 0.9020
Support: 0.8970 / 0.8950 / 0.8930
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Target Reached! USDCHF ReviewPrice reversed beautifully from the sell entry level we forecasted at 0.8988 and has reached the take profit target of 0.8908. The important lesson here is to place your take profit before a key level (vs right at the key level). As you can see in this video, price touched the TP level and took off in the other direction - just missing this crucial bit of information would have been potentially costly.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
USDCHF, H4 | Reversal off key resistanceWe're seeing USDCHF test a key resistance level at the 0.8988 level which is a strong overlap resistance + 38% Fibonacci retracement and a 100% Fibonacci projection. On top of that, there's a bearish Ichimoku cloud that is contributing to prices being pushed down.
If a reversal occurs from here, we could see it drop towards the 0.8907 level which is the recent swing low level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
EURCHF Selling Opportunity for Next Wave DownThe EURCHF downtrend remains firmly intact, with the support zone successfully transitioning into a robust resistance area. The price action consistently adheres to the downtrend trendline, and today we observe EURCHF retesting this trendline. This presents a compelling opportunity for sellers to enter the market and anticipate the next downward wave.
In the event that the resistance area proves formidable, EURCHF is likely to target the 161.8% Fibonacci support level. However, it is important to note that achieving this target may require several weeks, if not months, to materialize. Patience and careful monitoring of the price action will be key in navigating the ongoing trend in EURCHF.
AUDCHF, H4 | Bounce off major supportWe're seeing price test a major support level at 0.6043 which is an overlap support + has a bunch of Fibonacci confluence levels. This forms a strong level of support that price might bounce from.
If price were to bounce from here, we could see it rise quite nicely towards the 0.6099 resistance level which is an overlap resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent move down.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
I Cannot Long This !!!Hello
The USDCHF currency pair is in a bearish phase by reaching a PRZ zone.
⭐ Bearish signs in the PRZ region are:
- Trend line
- Descending channel breaking
- Moving MA50
- Weekly pivot
-Fibo 50%
⭐ and the downward signals of market momentum are:
- Hidden Divergence in MACD
- Time divergence in the last 2 waves
➡️Note that you should wait for the break of the trend line and pullback to it, or enter the market after seeing strong bearish candles.
✅If this post was useful for you, like it ❤️ and if you think it is useful for your friends, be sure to send it to them.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
🌍Thank you for seeing idea .
Have a nice day and Good luck.
CADCHF: Top of the 1 year Channel Down. Sell opportunity.CADCHF is approaching the top of the Channel Down pattern since May 2022, which is a little lower than the 1D MA200. The 1D technicals have turned green (RSI = 58.741, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 49.805), which indicates that we are entering the long term sell zone. The ideal sell confirmation will be after the 1D MACD makes a Bearish Cross. We will after the Cross is completed and target the LL trendline (TP = 0.63000).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##