usdchf buy positionWith the end of the downtrend, we see an increase in prices. The process is well suited to the theory of Elliott waves.
Chf
NZDCHF ShortExpecting price to continue with the Bearish Order flow, delivering lower prices, after mitigating the OTE Area, and after taking liquidity.
USDCHF: Bullish extension on the 1D timeframe.USDCHF is technically bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.467, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 44.050) as it has made a Channel Down bottom on December 29th 2023 and has since rebounded over the 1D MA50. Technically it is still halfway through the new bullish wave that should extend over the 1D MA200 at around +8.18% from the bottom. That falls a little under the 0.786 Fibonacci level and that's what we will use as target (TP = 0.9000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USDCHF:Strong dollar macros and potential upsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86900 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.86900 support and resistance area.
The Federal Reserve's recent cautionary stance, particularly the indication of no rate cuts in the near term, has the potential to bolster the US dollar against major currencies like the Swiss franc. This shift in sentiment towards a more hawkish Fed implies a stronger dollar, which historically correlates with higher USDCHF exchange rates. Investors tend to favor currencies associated with central banks that adopt tighter monetary policies, as they offer higher returns and lower inflation risks. Therefore, the Fed's reluctance to implement rate cuts in the immediate future could attract investors to the US dollar, leading to potential upside movements in USDCHF as traders adjust their positions in response to the evolving policy outlook.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF - After breakout, price can make retest and continue riseHi guys, this is my overview for USDCHF, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After price bounced from support line, which coincided with $0.8570 support level, it rose to resistance area.
Price some time traded in this area, made correction, after which CHF rose higher resistance area and then started to fall.
Also, price entered to falling channel, where it broke $0.8680 level which support line, and declined to support area.
Then price made strong upward impulse from this area higher than $0.8680 level, breaking it again and exiting from channel too.
At the moment, price trades near support area, and I think Swiss Franc can bounce up from support area to $0.8745
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USDCHF: Capitalizing on Fed's March Rate Cut WarningHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86350 zone, USDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.86350 support and resistance area.
While technically USDCHF shows signs of a potential buying opportunity around the 0.86350 zone, it's essential to consider recent fundamental developments. The Federal Reserve's recent announcement, indicating no plans for a rate cut in March, has influenced market sentiment towards the US dollar. This cautious stance from the Fed has implications for USDCHF, potentially bolstering the dollar's strength against the Swiss franc. Traders should keep a close eye on how this fundamental factor interacts with the technical setup to make informed trading decisions
Trade safe,
Joe.
Sell GBPCHF Bearish ChannelThe GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe exhibits a bearish channel pattern, suggesting a potential selling opportunity in the coming minutes or hours. Let's delve deeper into the details:
Key Points:
Bearish Channel: The price has been trading within a downward-sloping channel defined by two converging lines: a falling resistance line and a falling support line. This pattern often indicates ongoing selling pressure and the potential for further decline.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0940, which is close to the channel resistance. This could offer an entry point near a potential reversal point.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.0892 and 1.0867, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the channel resistance line at 1.0965. This helps limit potential losses if the downtrend breaks unexpectedly.
Fundamental Updates :
UK Bank of England (BoE) meeting minutes: Due for release later today, these minutes could shed light on the central bank's future monetary policy stance. Hawkish signals might boost the Pound, while dovish ones could weaken it.
Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan's speech: Scheduled for tomorrow, February 2nd, any comments about potential interventions or the economic outlook could impact CHF sentiment.
Thank you
GBPCHF SHORTSI have analyzed and seen the weekly and daily timeframe being bearish, these are the main timeframes, so I went to the four hour timeframe to look for opportunity to short, then I spot the resistance zone just below the 50 exponential moving average, now expecting a retracement to the moving average then take shorts.
BUY TRADE SETUP ON USDCHFHey Trader,
Check this analysis out on USDCHF
After the FOMC data that simply put Dollar in a more stable state, USDCHF has successfully retested the previously broken Resistance zone (supply) and is moving toward the upside.
Keep a close tab on this one.
USD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury YieldsUSD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury Yields
The USD/CHF currency pair is currently navigating a complex landscape, marked by a pullback in the US Dollar, potentially fueled by lower US Treasury yields. Despite the initial cheers from hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve officials, the Greenback finds itself facing challenges, with risk aversion sentiment lending some support. Additionally, the Swiss Franc has experienced selling pressure, triggered by concerns raised by Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan regarding the impact of CHF's strength on inflation and the broader domestic economy.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the forecast remains clear, indicating a possible continuation of the bearish trend. The failure to breach the resistance at 0.8700, coupled with the rejection at the confluence of the Dynamic trendline and the 78.6% Fibonacci level, suggests that the bears might still have the upper hand. Traders are keenly watching for any signs of a new bearish impulse aligning with the established downtrend.
SNB's Inflation Concerns:
The recent selling pressure on the Swiss Franc can be attributed to SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan's expressed worries about the CHF's strength and its potential impact on the SNB's ability to maintain inflation above zero. This concern arises despite some positive economic indicators, such as a slight increase in Swiss consumer prices in December and an improvement in consumer demand in November.
Economic Indicators:
While recent economic indicators paint a mixed picture, with positive signs in consumer prices and demand, Swiss Producer and Import Prices (YoY) witnessed a decline in December, following a similar trend in November. These more moderate figures may temper the SNB's decision-making in the upcoming meeting, as they grapple with the delicate balance of supporting economic recovery while ensuring inflation remains within a stable range.
SNB's Commitment to Monetary Policy:
In the SNB's last policy update in December, the central bank reiterated its commitment to adjusting monetary policy if necessary to maintain inflation within a range consistent with price stability over the medium term. The cautious stance suggests that despite the recent economic fluctuations, the SNB remains vigilant and ready to act to ensure economic stability.
Conclusion:
As the USD/CHF pair faces headwinds from lower US Treasury yields and the SNB's inflation concerns, traders are keeping a close eye on technical indicators and the broader economic landscape. The failure to breach key resistance levels indicates a potential continuation of the bearish trend. However, the SNB's commitment to adjusting monetary policy underscores the uncertainty in the current economic environment. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly, considering both technical and fundamental factors shaping the USD/CHF trajectory.
Our preference
Short positions Below 0.88200 with targets at 0.85200 & 0.8400 in extension.
Sell USDCHF Channel BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the H1 chart exhibits a bearish signal suggesting a potential decline in the coming hours. A recent downside breakout from a descending channel pattern could offer a shorting opportunity.
Key Points:
Descending Channel Breakout: The price has been trending downwards within a channel defined by two falling lines, one for resistance and one for support. This indicates ongoing selling pressure and potential for further decline.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 0.8620, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 0.8540 and 0.8470, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken channel at 0.8700
Fundamental Updates :
Stronger Swiss Franc: The Swiss Franc has been gaining strength recently due to its safe-haven appeal amidst global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. This could put downward pressure on USD/CHF.
Thank you
EURCHF SHORTING MOREJust as GBPCHF is similar to this, EURCHF is also expected to reach the 50Exponential moving average and is expected to short from there, also note the resistance zone that support this bearish move and the daily and weekly trend that also support this movement.
NZDCHF: Falling Channel & Bullish Move 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF is trading within a falling channel on a daily.
The price reached its support on Friday.
As a confirmation of the strength of a trend line, the pair
formed a tiny double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame and
broke its neckline.
We can expect a pullback now.
Target - 0.53
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USDCHF Watch: PCE Numbers and Fed Policy ImplicationsIn today's trading session, we are closely observing USDCHF for a potential selling opportunity around the 0.86500 zone. The latest release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data revealed an increase of 0.2%, slightly surpassing the previous 0.1% reading and meeting the forecast of 0.2%. However, when comparing this to the trend of recent months, where we've seen fluctuations between 0.1% and 0.3%, it indicates a relatively modest inflationary pressure. This moderate uptick in inflation might raise concerns about the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy decisions, particularly as it deliberates on tapering its asset purchases and potential interest rate hikes. Traders are likely to scrutinize this data closely, as any indication of subdued inflation could weigh on the USD and cast doubt on the Fed's hawkish stance in the near term.
USDCHF:The Confluence of Trends and FundamentalsHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.85300 zone, USDCHF is trading an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.85300 support and resistance area.
From a technical perspective, USDCHF exhibits a clear uptrend, and its current correction phase positions it near the critical support and resistance area at 0.85300. Traders will be closely monitoring this level for potential entry points.
Now, let's add a fundamental layer to our analysis. Recent economic indicators, especially the Consumer Price Index (CPI), play a pivotal role in shaping currency dynamics. Examining the previous CPI figures (3.1%, 3.2%, 3.7%) in contrast to the latest readings (3.4%, 3.1%, 3.2%), we observe a nuanced inflationary pattern. This trend suggests a potential strengthening of the US dollar, aligning with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment.
Considering the CPI data within the broader economic landscape, traders may anticipate increased speculation regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. A growing inflationary environment could prompt the Fed to adopt a more hawkish stance, signaling potential interest rate adjustments in the future. This shift in monetary policy can significantly influence currency valuations, contributing to a possible strengthening of the USD against its counterparts.
In conclusion, as we navigate the intricacies of the forex market, keeping a watchful eye on both technical and fundamental factors is essential. The alignment of a favorable technical setup with evolving fundamental narratives enhances the overall decision-making process for traders.
Trade safe,
Joe.
EURCHF Forecast: Uptrend StrengthensIn tomorrow's trading session, our attention is on EURCHF as we identify a potential buying opportunity around the 0.93300 zone. EURCHF is currently trading in an uptrend, and amidst a correction phase, the price is approaching the key support and resistance area at 0.93300.
Traders should consider this as a potential entry point for long positions, given the prevailing uptrend in EURCHF. The correction phase presents an opportunity to enter the market at a favorable price level near the 0.93300 support area.
Trade safe,
Joe.
USDCHF:Identifying a Correction Phase and Potential selling ZoneHey Traders, In tomorrow's trading session, our attention is on USDCHF as we identify a potential selling opportunity around the 0.86700 zone. USDCHF is currently trading in a downtrend and is in the midst of a correction phase, making the 0.86700 level a crucial area of interest.
As traders, it's essential to carefully analyze the price action in the vicinity of 0.86700, as it represents a key support and resistance area within the broader downtrend. This zone could serve as a strategic entry point for short positions, aligning with the overall market trend.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Eurchf and Gchf bias to short Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Looking for shorts for both of these pairs, I have mentioned it towards the end of my last week's live stream. You can check it out.
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Swiss Franc can rebound up from support line to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Swiss Franc. By observing the chart, we can see that the price started to trades in a downward pennant, where it first rebounded from the resistance line and made a strong downward impulse to the support line, thereby breaking 0.8720 and 0.8490 levels. But after this, CHF at once rebounded from the support line of the pennant, and made a short impulse up to 0.8490 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and soon broke this level. After the price some time traded near this level, it bounced and started to rise to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and the resistance line of the pennant. When Swiss Franc reached this area, the price at once turned around and in a short time declined to support line of pennant. But a not long time ago, the price bounced and started to rise. So, I think that the Swiss Franc can fall to the support line, making a little correction, and then rebound up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the pennant, pattern. For this case, I set my target at the 0.8720 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
CADCHF to comeback to 0.66 ?I honestly believe that CADCHF may try to go up and re-rest the important 0.66 zone before continue on a strong downtrend despite following the strong CHF that is getting strength lately.
Will keep eyes for a possible re-take of 0.66
AUDCHF - Wait For The Bears 🐻Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Daily: Left Chart
AUDCHF is retesting a strong resistance zone so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
On H1: Right Chart
📈 For the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the last major lower in gray.
📉 Meanwhile , AUDCHF would be bullish, and can still trade higher inside the resistance or even break it higher.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
SELL CADCHFConsider selling CADCHF based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
USDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86000 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.86000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
