Double Bottom on GBP/JPY @ D1The double bottom chart pattern has formed on the daily timeframe chart of GBP/JPY following a downtrend. I will use this formation as a potential bullish entry. The two bottoms are marked on the chart. The neckline is marked with the upper yellow line. My potential entry level is at the cyan line. My potential take-profit level is at the green line. A stop-loss (not shown on the chart) will be set to the low of the breakout candle or to the low of the preceding candle should the breakout one appear mostly outside the pattern's borders. I will ignore a bearish breakout from this bullish pattern.
Chartpatterntrading
Ascending Triangle on GBP/CHF @ H4This short-term ascending triangle pattern appears on the H4 chart of GBP/CHF. I am planning to use it for a long breakout opportunity. The triangle's borders are marked with the yellow lines. My potential entry is marked with the cyan line. My potential take-profit level is marked with the green line. The stop-loss is to be set to the triangle's bottom point at 1.13090. I will ignore downside breakouts from this bullish continuation pattern.
Symmetrical Triangle on USD/JPY @ D1The long-term downtrend prevailing on this currency pair has consolidated in the form of a symmetrical triangle. It can now be used as a continuation pattern for a bearish breakout trading opportunity. My potential entry will be placed at the cyan line, which is located at 10% of the triangle's base width below the lower border. My take-profit will be at the green line, which is located at 100% of the triangle's base width below the lower border. I will set my stop-loss to the triangle's upper apex (134.767).
📊 Chart Patterns Cheat SheetPatterns are the distinctive formations created by the movements of security prices on a chart and are the foundation of technical analysis.
A pattern is identified by a line connecting common price points, such as closing prices or highs or lows, during a specific period.
Technical analysts seek to identify patterns to anticipate the future direction of a security’s price.
These patterns can be as simple as trendlines and as complex as double head-and-shoulders formations.
🔹 Reversal patterns are those chart formations that signal that the ongoing trend is about to change course.
If a reversal chart pattern forms during an uptrend, it hints that the trend will reverse and that the price will head down soon.
Conversely, if a reversal chart pattern is seen during a downtrend, it suggests that the price will move up later on.
🔹 Continuation chart patterns are those chart formations that signal that the ongoing trend will resume.
Usually, these are also known as consolidation patterns because they show how buyers or sellers take a quick break before moving further in the same direction as the prior trend.
Trends don’t usually move in a straight line higher or lower. They pause and move sideways, “correct” lower or higher, and then regain momentum to continue the overall trend.
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selling potential on AUDJPY AFTER PATTERN COMPLETIONAUDJPY HAS BEEN MOVING IN A CORRECTIVE CHANNEL. Looking forward to seeing a rejection on the third touch of the channel, adding to the case is the potential double top around 93.35.. a rejection and a correction on the 1hour chart will see me getting involved in the trade.
Ascending Triangle PatternAs you can see the the graph forms an ascending triangle pattern and it has now stabilized above the last support of 6.65.
If it continues to go down the second support will be over 6.589. However an ascending triangle may imply bullish so if it continue to stabilize over the 6.589 this is a possible bullish up to the 1st resistance @ 6.85 and 2nd resistance @ 7.25
Short-term Bullish Breakout attemptTSLA broke out of the falling channel with back test today-and could be attempting a 16% measured move up to fill the gap around $137.
*There will be resistance between 124-128.
If..IF Markets maintain bullishness we could see Tsla Move Towards $161-168 area, which coincides with: ~ Previous Support + 200WMA + 0.618 Golden Fibonacci Retracement, before moving back down to complete accumulation bottoming pattern.
Data to keep in mind:
THURSDAY: **CPI data expectations where just changed this morning - expectations of -0.1 instead of 0.0
JAN 23rd. *Earnings expectations are bearish
Protection Ideas:
if bullish pattern plays out - sell Early Feb $140 Calls to protect position
Pattern Failure: Close Below $108 (you could set a stop loss at $117 - Tsla may want to fill gap at $114 first or test 110 area
*** I do not believe the Markets are primed for THE Bull run yet (soon.. not yet) ... New Lowes are coming in Feb. Just an opinion..
Good luck & let me know what you think or if you have any good trade set-ups you want to share or discuss.
Will BTCUSDT go Short? Watch out😱BTCUSDT is currently on the $22k market price. Using Chart pattern, it has shown a double top which could result to a corrective movement back to $21k market price before an impulsive move to $24k market price. Will BTCUSDT do accordingly to my analysis? Probably not.
Best we move with the trend📈📉
Bull run price projection end, based on Adam and Eve formation This is just a quick calculation I did on the Adam and Even formation that has driven the latest bull run, the Adam and Eve pattern has high success rates especially if it is wide and deep. For pattern dependent traders the important thing to note is that the measured move for the Adam and Even pattern has been completed, and a pullback should be in by now. Notice how the yellow line "measured move end" aligns perfectly with a major R level, patterns are just a great way to trade when done properly.
Don't forget your risk management!
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Also, share your views in the comment section.
Thank You!
🔠 The ABCD PatternThe ABCD is a basic harmonic pattern. All other patterns derive from it. The pattern consists of 3 price swings. The lines AB and CD are called “legs”, while the line BC is referred to as a correction or a retracement. AB and CD tend to have approximately the same size. A bullish ABCD pattern follows a downtrend and means that a reversal to the upside is likely. A bearish ABCD pattern is formed after an uptrend and signals a potential bearish reversal at a certain level. The rules for trading bullish and bearish ABCD patterns are the same, you will just need to take into account the direction of the pattern you trade and the movement of the market it predicts.
🔷Classic ABCD
The point C should be at 61.8%-78.6% of AB. The point D, in its turn, should be at the 127.2%-161.8% Fibonacci expansion of BC.
Notice that a 61.8% retracement at the point C tends to result in the 161.8% projection of BC, while a 78.6% retracement at the C point will lead to the 127% projection.
🔷AB = CD
Here CD has exactly the same length as AB. In addition, it takes the market the equal time to travel from A to B as from C to D. As a Result, AB and CD have the same angle. This type of ABCD pattern is seen quite often and is popular among traders.
🔷ABCD Extension
ABCD extension refers to when CD is the 127.2%-161.8% extension of AB. CD can be even 2 times (or more) bigger than AB. There actually are some signs that can hint that CD will be much longer than AB. They are a gap after point C or big candlesticks near point C.
📊Trading with ABCD pattern
The key thing you should remember is that you can enter the trade only after the price reached the point D.
Study the chart looking at the price’s highs and lows. It may be helpful to use ZigZag indicator (Insert – Indicators – Custom – ZigZag) that marks the chart’s swings.
Watch the price as it forms AB and BC. In a bullish ABCD, C must be lower than A and should be the intermediate high after the low at B. Point D must be a new low below B.
When the market arrives at a point, where D may be situated, don’t rush into a trade. Use some techniques to make sure that the price reversed up (or down if it’s a bearish ABCD).
The best scenario is a reversal candlestick pattern. A buy order may be set at or above the high of the candle at point D.
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Bull Flag trading Long Silver HUGE MOVEAll details are on the chart.
This is the weekly chart for Silver. From left to right, you can see that Silver consolidated for 2.5 years before it started the big move Upwards in 2019.
Price dip in March 2020 with COVID as everything else then it recovered to make a HUGE MOVE to ATH (ALL TIME HIGH) of ~79000.
Since then, Price has been consolidating in a Channel for ~2 years now and it has a beautiful Bull Flag Pattern that has formed.
You can see in the round green circles i drew in the top of the channel that price has already tested that area 4 times. From my experience, the more a Resistance or Support is tested, the weaker it gets.
All eyes are on a Recession for 2023 and in all Recessions, metals goes up big time.
Unless some external forces save us from Inflation and Recession, history will repeat.
If we look into the charts, the pattern also tells the same thing. Bull Flags are 67% accurate when they break to the upside so as for possible Targets, you can see that Target 1 is half way the distance of the Flag pole which also coincides with the width of the Parallel Channel. That is a great Target 1. Target 2 will be the move of the Bull Flag which is a measured moved and it goes the same distance of the Flag Pole.
Happy trading.
As always, comments, likes are welcome. thx.
H&S Bottom: Double Bust (ETH)The inverted head and shoulders pattern failed .
All is well, as we have Thomas Bulkowski's history of patterns & statistical setups to guide us along together.
Ethereum has already invalidated the single bust .
It is time to explore the Double Bust IH&S chart pattern, & look for these elements:
Price must confirm the head-and-shoulders bottom by closing above the neckline or right armpit (A).
Price rises no more than 10% before reversing.
Price closes below the bottom of the chart pattern (B). This busts the pattern for the first time.
Price drops no more than 10% below the bottom of the head-and-shoulders bottom.
Price closes above the top of the head-and-shoulders bottom. This busts the chart pattern for the second time (C).
The stock rises more than 10% above the top of the head-and-shoulders bottom.
A double busted head-and-shoulders bottom turns into a triple bust when the rise after the second bust is no more than 10% and price then closes below the bottom of the chart pattern.
Busted Inverted Head-and-Shoulders Historical Performance :
16% of head-and-shoulders bottoms will bust
Of those that bust...47% will single bust
36% will double bust
17% of them will triple bust
Single busted patterns will see price drop 22% on average (invalidated)
Non-busted head-and-shoulders bottoms (that is, head-and-shoulders tops) will see price drop by 16% on average
If you have related analysis please be sure to share so we can learn together!
Confirmation of Single Bust Invalidation:
Price must confirm the head-and-shoulders bottom by closing above the neckline (down sloping necklines) or above the right armpit. That occurs at (A) in the figure above.
Price must rise no more than 10% above the neckline.
Price then closes below the bottom of the head-and-shoulders bottom (B).
Price continues dropping more than 10% without closing above the top of the head-and-shoulders.
SPX: Imminent Crash! Next Key Points to Watch.• The SPX reversed the short-term bull trend, as it lost our 21 ema in the 1h chart, failing in breaking the previous top (it did a Double Top chart pattern around the 4k);
• In addition, it lost the support we mentioned yesterday, at 3,950, indicating a sharp correction – maybe even an overreaction;
• Either way, the 3,950 is a new resistance on SPX, according to the Principle of Polarity;
• Now, it seems the index is heading to the 21 ema in the daily chart, as I mentioned yesterday (link to my previous public analysis is below this post, as usual);
• What’s more, it triggered our Shooting Star candlestick pattern, which reinforces the bearish sentiment, at least for now;
• Let’s pay attention on how it’ll react around the 21 ema in the daily chart.
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TSLA: BULL TRAP? Pay Attention to the Most Important Support!• TSLA crashed yesterday, and it seems it wants to resume the bear trend, making the previous rally a bull trap;
• Today, TSLA is trying to lose the 21 ema in the 1h chart (pre market), and if that’s the case, we can expect more drop ahead;
• What’s more, if it loses the 21 ema in the 1h chart, it’ll lose yesterday’s low at the same time, triggering a Dark Cloud Cover pattern in the daily chart;
• The area at $123 is the next technical support level in the 1h chart: 1) previous top level; 2) 38.2% Fibonacci’s Retracement; 3) Gap level;
• Therefore, in my view, the $123 area is the most important support level. If TSLA loses it, the bearish momentum will persist, and it could easily seek the $100 again;
• In order to frustrate this bearish thesis, it must stay above the $123, and do a very good (bullish) reaction;
• I’ll keep you updated on this everyday, as usual.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
NVDA: This is what it needs to EXPLODE. 🚀• NVDA is incredibly bullish, however, it is trading at a critical key point;
• NVDA just hit a trend line that connects all its previous top levels since Nov 2021;
• What’s more, NVDA is inside a Descending Channel;
• However, if it breaks this resistance level, NVDA might trigger a long-term bullish reversal structure;
• It would not only break free from a Descending Channel, but would trigger an Inverted Head and Shoulders chart pattern, in the weekly chart;
• This would be the confirmation sign of a bullish reversal on NVDA – however, this pattern wasn’t triggered yet;
• Any top sign under this resistance could easily frustrate the bullish thesis, therefore, we must keep our eyes open;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
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BBIG Breakout Alert we had a breakout last friday from the 0.55$, now we need to hold above that level as a support, and then break from the resistant at o.87$, which will give us another bullish momentum towards 2 profit taking around the 1.32$ then the 1.92$ lveles .
USOIL CHART ANALYSIS using SMART MONEY CONCEPTS trading strategyA HIGH timeframe 4hr-1hr chart breakdown on usoil using SMART MONEY CONCEPTS trading strategy...
Expecting a sell trade on 4HR AND 1HR for price to go downwards towards the imbalance and liquidity before a change in price direction or continuation!!!