CFD
GOLD bounced from Support/Resistance ZoneBig players made e few false movement yesterday to grapp more "small fish" and to kick off stop losses of most intraday traders.
We can open BUY in marked Zone if the price will make a pullback to it.
Potential profit will be in 3 times bigger than risk.
Don't forget to use proper risk magament!
Euro Stoxx BreakdownEuro Stoxx Index is also showing signs similar to my CAC40 idea (link below). Again, be wary with the Fed tomorrow. Cutting rates, and future rate cuts, means that there will be nowhere to go for yield other than the stock market. Central banks are attempting to keep stocks propped. This is their new mandate: to keep assets propped.
You can see a some what of a double top as Euro Stoxx tried to break out. Failed to and you can see the long wick and large engulfing red candle. We then created a lower high and have broken below a support/ flip zone. A strong break as well.
Looking to the flip zone at the 3415 zone...although be wary of 3437 too. Would expect one more lower high swing.
Gold - Bullish Technical Technically, ascending triangle and trend lines show Gold is still looking on an up trend with bullish indicators. However, fundamentals of Fed Cut could lead to a large reversal, breaking bottom trend line and sinking below $1400. The RSI isn't showing overly overbought or undersold, so there may be some technical support/resistance from a break out either way. Due to the unknown of how the market will react to what the Fed does, I will be either looking for a reversal of the up trend and short, or if it continues on the current trend and does a quick break even higher, continues on higher highs, and lower lows, I will look for RSI overbought conditions and short there.
Corn - Looking Stronger BuyI have been hovering over the buy button on corn past week. Wasn't convinced enough to enter, and now heading back to Fib retracement towards $4. The closer to this the stronger chance of a rally - from either fundamentals coning out due to crop damage and lower yields, and also some technical short closing since last rally. Keeping in mind the August report, there could be some positioning before here too from fund managers, adding to volatility. That said, if crops are seen as doing well, with ample inventories, and no substantial buying even though China tariff waiver, prices could continue the current short term bearish trend and breeze through $4 down to $3.80. RSI already showing oversold on shorterm though with possible technicals support current prices and allow for some upside. Overall still see risk to upside despite last week's drop.
Corn - Leaning Towards Nice Long TradeI feel corn is an easy trade at moment. If we look at 4.29 as a kind of average way point at the moment.
If it shoots above that with more news of more crop issues in US, look for an overbought RSI to short or jump on the long train if feel confident. There are uncertainties of the amount of acreage planted, and extended heat causing further crop damage, but there is a good harvest in South American (from my understanding)
But if cooling this week ahead, and crop acreage isn't as bad as people thinking, could be a price breakdown below $4.
Basically, prices below that way point of 4.29 I wouldn't short, and above that I wouldn't long. I want to see some fundamental reason for long or short. Though if wanted to place a position at start of week, I would open a long with low risk equity position.
I feel that risk is to upside at moment, with some bullish news easily pushing to $5. Though over this, demand side reduction could occur, so if it gets there, a short position should be considered.
Unless some overly bearish news, I don't see any huge price drops, and see support around that current $4 - $4.29 level, I see this as an easy long trade (unless fundamental breakdown)
Gold Playing Fib Awaiting NewsGold is playing to recent Fib levels on the 4HR.
Waiting for Fed cut news to see where it goes.
Personally feel the fed cut is priced in, a 25 point cut maybe pop and drop below current levels, but 1400 psychological support - and 50 would be a pop and hold at higher level IMO.
At the moment if RSI gets above 70 looking at short, but any long am happy to sit out as feel risk to the downside, even if there;s a short term pop.
For those wanting long, watch the fib point bounces, could trade that through week before news hits.
Overall though I am looking to short awaiting further indication to enter market through Fed Cut news (due to short term pop as above)