RYTM Biotech Penny Anti-Obesity LONGRYTM did a 120% run in November and December and then pivoted to start the year. It competes
in the anti-obesity drug space which is all the rage right now and has snack food manufactures
freaking out. The retrace was a shallow one in a sign of strength finding support at the 0.382
retracement level and then pivoting into a reversal in the past week. The dual TF RSI shows
the resurgence of bullish momentum. Earnings were okay, but not great. An FDA approval to add
to the mix of meds and lower their price in the competition may send RHYTHM into
launch mode. RYTM did 10% today such is the life of highly volatile penny stocks in what is
considered to be the likely hottest sector of the year. I will look toward OTM call options
for February 16th presently priced at about $200 per contract and a couple of shares shorted
to provide some hedging. Looking for 100% in 2-3 weeks. Will close 1/2 the position a few days
before upcoming earnings.
Centered Oscillators
Momentum Indicator for USDEUR turns positiveMomentum Indicator for USDEUR turns positive, indicating new upward trend
USDEUR saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 04, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 125 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 46 of the 125 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 37%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USDEUR just turned positive on February 04, 2024. Looking at past instances where USDEUR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 96 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 36%.
Following a +0.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USDEUR advanced for three days, in 69 of 278 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 25%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 81 of 226 cases where USDEUR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 36%.
DogeCoin Ready to Rise ? LONGOn the daily chart. DOGEUSD appears to be at the support line of a symmetrical triangle
pattern with about 30% upside to the pivot high in early December. The RSI lines are stable
and flat sideways in the 40-45 range. The zero-lag MACD shows lines near to the horizontal
zero level. The Fib tool suggests that a retrace to 0.09 is a reasonable target level.
Accordingly, an upside of 30% is forecasted for the next bullish spike. I will wait for a cross of
a shorter MA line over a longer MA line as a "golden cross" sign of bullish momentum and take a
position there .
Exxon Mobil Could Be Near ResistanceExxon Mobil has bounced in the last two weeks, but how much higher can it go?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the $105.87 level. It was the closing price on November 6. XOM remained below it later that month and been unable to reclaim it since. That may suggest it’s become resistance.
Next, stochastics returned to an overbought condition.
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” under the 200-day SMA in late November. That may suggest bears are taking control over the longer term.
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Important Information
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures or cryptocurrencies); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association (“NFA”), and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services under federal and state money services business/money-transmitter and similar registrations and licenses.
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KBE - S %& P Small Bank ETF LONGKBE is an unleveraged bank ETF which on the 60 minute chart is currently trending with a buy
signal from the machine learning algo indicator. Banks are reporting. Interest rate changes by
the fed are flat for the time being. The volume profile shows KBE took a dip to try to fall back
into the high-volume area and bounced. It has recovered from a VWAP band breakdown
correcting from the 3rd upper band to the first upper band. The dual time RSI indicator
shows the faster RSI line crossing over the slower RSI line and both in the healthy 60 range.
I see this as a buying opportunity on KBE and will also take a look at DPST. I see price as
targeting the February 23 high about 20% upside.
PLU Power Price crushed by dilution announcement LONGOn the 15 minute chart, PLUG got a deserving bad haircut today on the dilution announcement.
Buying shares in a chas burning enterprise is risky business. However, the prospects of
a rescue with a federal grant from the Green Left initiative can come any time. Shares
are on sale. So are OTM call options expiring after the recovery if there is one. Price is
showing a glimmer of a bounce with upgoing MACD lines and the fast RSI line rising and crossing
over the slower one and heading to the 50 level. I will take a long trade when price
gets through the Ichimoku cloud at 3.15 with a stop just below the cloud. I may add to
it when price gets over the upper VWAP band situated at 3.5 which is confluent with
the 0.5 Fib retracement price value. As a penny stock, all can afford
stock or options. As to the options, the monthly in two days if only a prospect for those trading
options.in a day-trade or nearly day trade fashion, I will look at the February 16 expiring
options with a strike of $ 4.00 to $ 5.00 and take a bunch of them allowing for secondary
targets and taking partial profits.
UNG ( Natural Gase Futures ETF) Swing trade Short then LONGUNG is shown here on the 15 minute chart with text box comments showing the three trades
over 8-9 trading days yielding 25% overall first two trades short then a one day long trade at
what may be an early reversal. A pair of hull moving averages 49/140 ( multiples of 7) are used
to generate buy and sell signals in golden and death cross fashion. A dual TF RSI indicator is
used to support those signals. As swing trades with typical stop losses these were quite
profitable with low risk. As an alternative if a trader has options charting available the same
strategy/ method can be applied for significantly higher profit with less capital in each trade.
Blackstone Could Be BouncingPrivate-equity firm Blackstone pulled back in early 2024 after rallying in November and December. Now it could be bouncing.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price zone around $116 where BX peaked in mid-September and early December. It marked the approximate low last week. Has old resistance has become new support?
The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is in the same area. That represents potential confluence and confirmation of a bullish intermediate-term trend.
Next, you have the weekly close of $119.34 on January 12. The stock reclaimed that level on Monday and has remained there since.
Stochastics are rebounding from an oversold level, as well.
Additionally, BX’s fundamentals may interest traders after earnings beat estimates and inflows increased.
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Important Information
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures or cryptocurrencies); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association (“NFA”), and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services under federal and state money services business/money-transmitter and similar registrations and licenses.
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
BFRG AI penny stock ready to SHORTI have been in BFRG since the November earnings it has done 300% over that time almost all
of it in one week. There are no options on this one. The RSI indicator tells me that it is now
overextended and overbought. This is confirmed by a reversal signal triggering on this
60-minute chart with a mass index indicator below it. The topping candles with long wicks
is another hint of the price action underway. I am closing my long position over 300%
gain and instead look for a short with the profits to retrace from present price to
to the 0.382 Fib retracement at about 5.65. Stop loss above the wicks at 7.7. I expect the trade
to last this week and part of next.
HRTX a biotech penny stock with 70% in two months LONGHRTX has been suggested by various trading websites as a potentially explosive penny biotech
stock for 2024. It has experienced excellent price actions since an earnings beat in November.
It beat the estimates; that is to say it burned about half as much cash as the analysts estimated
the it would. Today it pumped 11%. Relevant articles can be found compiled on the Yahoo
Finance page linked here.
The chart is 120 minutes. A alpha trend indicator is shown and the supertrend since the
November earnings is upward. An AI Lorentzian indicator is added with a 2000 candle lookback
to generate buy and sell signals. It calculated a 59% win on 83 trades over those 2000 candles
two hours each; this amounts to about 2000 x 2 / 6 hrs per session or more than 600 trading
days = 2 1/2 years.
Also supporting an entry at this time is the faster (45 min) RSI line rising over the 50 level
while the slower ( 240 minutes in red) RSI line has been over the 50 level since those earnings.
The ADX indicator had a DI- and DI + flip with a mini pullback to close out last week's trading
( profit taking).
The volatility indicator also showed that dip with selling volatility greater than buying which
has now flipped.
Given that price has went 5X in 2 months , there is a possibility HRTX is overbought.
Analysts seem to think otherwise.
I will take a stock position here and anticipate holding the position into the next earnings.
For trade management I will take partials of 5 % each at the high of day for ten days going
into earnings and hold the remaining 50% through the earnings. In the meanwhile I will review
the trade if the machine-learning alo indicator generates either a buy or sell signal.
For those lacking the risk tolerance for money-losing biotechnology penny stocks with high
potential but are aware that biotechnology is expected to be "outperforming" in 2024,
XBI and LABU are ETFs with risk-mitigation in the form of a diverse portfolio from the sector.
Pullback in American Tower American Tower ended 2023 by rallying from its lowest level in almost five years. Now, after a pullback, some dip buyers may see opportunity.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price area between about $200 and 204. It marked the highs for AMT between May and July. The wireless tower company paused there late November before continuing toward $220. If this level holds, some investors may think old resistance has become new support.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in mid-December. That may suggest the longer-term trend is getting bullish again.
Third, stochastics dipped to an oversold condition.
Fourth, fundamentals may be improving after quarterly results beat estimates on October 26. The stock could also potentially benefit from lower interest rates.
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Important Information
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures or cryptocurrencies); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association (“NFA”), and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services under federal and state money services business/money-transmitter and similar registrations and licenses.
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SIRI is pulled back for a LONG entryOn 1 120 minute chart, SIRI is now well positioned having tested the support of
two sets of VWAP bands anchored back two earnings periods and so 3 months apart.
The mean VWAPs are confluent and so form strong support. I expect the price to
return to the early December high and test that level. In the past day a buying volume
aberrant spike was printed. The MACD lines have been crisscrossing under the histogram
signaling support of the cons9olidation of price with a series of Doji candles before the
final engulfing green dandle. Of interest, the next expiration of the options is February 16th.
On that date the dominant option strikes are %5.00 , %5.50 and $6.00
$5.00 is the present level for the strong support of the confluent mean VWAPs aforementioned
It is in this range that I will join the options activity for the time being. I will take a few calls
at each strike level as they are presently priced at $ 12- $ 32 per contract. I will also
take 10-20 shares of stock in a short position to provide a little risk-off hedging.
50 EMA + Heikin-Ashi + Stochastic Oscillator
**Strategy: 50 EMA + Heikin-Ashi + Stochastic Oscillator**
**Indicators:**
1. **50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):** It helps identify the overall trend direction.
2. **Heikin-Ashi Candles:** These modified candles provide a smoothed representation of price movements.
3. **Stochastic Oscillator:** It helps identify overbought and oversold conditions.
**Conditions for Long (Buy) Trade:**
1. Price is above the 50 EMA, indicating an uptrend.
2. Heikin-Ashi candles show a series of bullish candles.
3. Stochastic Oscillator is below the oversold level (e.g., 20), indicating potential buying opportunities.
**Conditions for Short (Sell) Trade:**
1. Price is below the 50 EMA, indicating a downtrend.
2. Heikin-Ashi candles show a series of bearish candles.
3. Stochastic Oscillator is above the overbought level (e.g., 80), indicating potential selling opportunities.
**Trade Execution:**
- **Buy Signal:** Enter a long position when all three conditions for a long trade are met.
- **Sell Signal:** Enter a short position when all three conditions for a short trade are met.
**Risk Management:**
- Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
- Consider a risk-reward ratio to ensure that potential profits outweigh potential losses.
**Example:**
1. **Long Trade:**
- Price is above the 50 EMA.
- Heikin-Ashi candles are bullish.
- Stochastic Oscillator is below 20.
- Enter a long trade.
2. **Short Trade:**
- Price is below the 50 EMA.
- Heikin-Ashi candles are bearish.
- Stochastic Oscillator is above 80.
- Enter a short trade.
BTC Bullish Confluence Detected on the 4HRThe 4HR RSI has a divergence on candle closes, also the 4HR MACD has an upwards cross happening. I laid out the retracement Fibs my guess is that it'll go somewhere between the 1.618 or 1.786, then pivot again bearish, making a right shoulder on the chart.
Alternatively, if it somehow becomes more bullish, it could hit the top Trend line forming another larger scale bearish divergence in the upward trend, I don't think this is as likely.
Has the S&P 500 Been Here Before?Some investors liken the current moment to 1995 because of the potential for a “soft landing” after a bout of inflation and interest-rate hikes. Can technical analysts also find things in common?
Today’s S&P 500 charts consider some potential similarities between the start of the late-1990s bull market and the situation in January 2024.
The first pattern is the strongly overbought condition on Wilder’s Relative Strength Index. RSI jumped into the high 70s or low 80s on the initial rallies. In both cases it dipped to 54 before the index bounced.
Second, prices held a low from 2 weeks prior both times. That kind of tight consolidation may reflect a lack of selling pressure. (It can also keep attention focused on the next potential level slightly above 4800 from early 2022.)
Third, in 1995 and again in 2024, the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) provided support.
At least one other pattern appears on the more recent chart that was absent a generation ago. This time, the index also managed to hold a 50 percent retracement of December’s advance. That, combined with the 21-day EMA and holding the December 20 low, may suggest that bulls remain in control over the short term.
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Important Information
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures or cryptocurrencies); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association (“NFA”), and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services under federal and state money services business/money-transmitter and similar registrations and licenses.
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
BTC SHORT/CRAB, LET GO.BTC looks to be in a short term distribution phase, with a likely top already in ~47k on CME.
Expect moderate volatility this quarter, where I expect constant violent 10% swings in either direction between 46k and 41k until the ETF approval. Afterward, expect a drop to ~38.5k by the end of January. Note, January EOM has the highest likelihood of dropping the furthest beyond the "Q1 High probability range noted on the chart" towards 34.5k.
Breaking out the Q1 Range will likely result in continued momentum to follow until the next line of support/resistance, noted at 50k or 34.5k.
The last line of defense will be ~31.6k in the event of a full liquidation cascade as it supports the previous sideways structure we had between 32k and 25k since March last year and acts as the 0.5 fib from the ATH to this cycle low. If we drop further under 30k, than you must accept the increased probability of 46k being a bull trap and being the largest rug pull to occur and we head toward revisiting 20k, 15, and even 10k.
RWI (Random Walk Index) and LS (Liquidation Screener) are the indicators used. RWI is printing bearish divergences along with starting to crossover toward bearish trend. LS probably has shown the top as it has hit the red bearish territory and recently dropped out of it and heading over the median line currently at 33.7k (but is rising and i could see it bottom out toward the lower side of Q1 probability range by EOM JAN or even EOQ)
Overall, I believe the ETF may be a sell-the-news event that will in the grand scheme of things crab between 46k and 41k, until the end of Q1, but with a short visit to 38.5k. Breaking out the expected range of 46k-38.5k, begets continued momo in the same direction. Take note this is likely due to lowered overall volatility of BTC maturing as a whole. But alts may push forward after the expected flush.
Let go. Relax.
Q1 Ranges:
High probability
46k-38k
Moderate probability
52k-30k
Max probability
54k-18k
Trades:
Short @ 44k
TP 41k, 39k, (may carry it down to 30k depending on PA under 39k)
SL 47k
Short @ 50k ( if expected range breaks out)
TP 40k, 35k, 32k
SL 54k
Long @ 39k
TP 44k, 50k
SL 37.5k
Long @ 35k & 32k
TP 40k, 50k
SL 29k
Paycom May Be Rolling OverPaycom Software has rebounded after a big drop, and now some traders may expect further downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the November 1 bearish gap after earnings and guidance missed estimates. (The 38 percent drop that day was the biggest in PAYC’s nine-year history as a public company.) It was the second consecutive downside gap on results.
Prices stabilized and clawed back roughly half their decline over the course of the fourth quarter. The stock remained above its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) during the rebound, but fell under it yesterday. That may suggest its short-term trend is getting bearish again.
Second, prices are slipping back toward the falling 50-day simple moving average (SMA). That may reflect a bearish trend over the intermediate term.
Stochastics are also dropping from an overbought condition.
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Important Information
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures or cryptocurrencies); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association (“NFA”), and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services under federal and state money services business/money-transmitter and similar registrations and licenses.
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Selling Puts on MSFT with 1 month expirationI’m selling this options contract, with expiration and strike at the crosshairs.
Selling the Put means I want price to say above the strike until the expiration.
The D+ indicator is showing a red cloud, but it is weakening. The red cloud means downward pressure. And we can see that price had leveled out by the time the cloud began.
The red outline on the cloud shows heightened downward pressure. And that has also cleared.
With some downward pressure recently cleared, confidence in the Put sale increases.
NASDAQ:MSFT
BTCUSDT bearish impulse waveBTCUSDT up-to-date. Price is retracing below USDT41400, which level is a limit for a impulse wave confirmation, from an Elliotician perspective. On this case, if price is rejected from this 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, we'll see a profitable leg downward to accomplish wave -3. Potential USDT40400 target, in demand zone, for this swing trade. Chaikin Money Flow below zero showing selling pressure in confluence with price action.
BTCUSDT IGNITING AN IMPULSE BEARISHAs an update from my first post on this new account, I'm showing u that on this 30m BTCUSDT chart that price is heading in a potential impulse wave (Elliot Wave Count). So, look on Chaikin Money Flow and u'll find a strong bearish divergence printed! Bears on command.