Next bullish impulse aheadBuy stop order placed. On the last trading day the downward correction could be finished with the creation of this hammer candle. If the price breaks the Thursday's daily high we can expect the next bullish impulse to take place. This should last as well for a couple of days.
Meanwhile, all the moving averages are still bullishly aligned, indicating that the price could be ready for another move.
Candlestick Analysis
CHAINLINK SWING TRADINGSwing trading
BINANCE:LINKUSDT
Seeing that the structure has been respected, I decide to open a position now. These are my arguments:
Bullish arugments:
Monthly PCL being disrespected
Weekly PCL being disrespected
Daily swing low being disrespected
4H swing low being disrespected
So far I see no bearish arguments.
Trade management:
SL at $9.94 which that would indicate strong rejection and would power a search for liquidity at the lower end of the range. However, there does not seem to be so much weakness to look for a lower low than the September low.
TP, partials could be obtained. A partial TP would be on liquidity on the buy side at $13.90 and let profits run to ITH with SL on BE once the 1TP profit is taken.
Silver (XAGUSD) - Has The Bull Run To $50 Begun? 10%* appreciation if you were buying Silver in a discount below $30.32 which is something to be proud of.
Silver should be seen as a long term hedge against inflation. There will always be a need for silver and as long as the money printer goes Brrrrrrrr, price will slowly trickle to the upside overtime.
Quarter time chart dax weekly time frameDax hit the XAMD model in the annual quarter, so it is in the distribution cycle. I expect a downward correction to FVG or BPR and the start of the movement, so I expect the rise of Dax in the last three months of the year, as a result of active Euro sellers. and we have a decline
ORGABIO - Proposed Bonus Issue (Free Warrants)ORGABIO - Current price RM0.375
An analysis on price action without using any indicator.
On 21 May 2024 the stock made a significant Rising Window (Breakaway Gap) and closed at RM0.405. From there, the share price made a rally until 11 July 2024, hit an intraday high at RM0.520 (surge 28% from RM0.405) and closed at RM0.475 - lower than previous session closing price. Based on JAPANESE CANDLESTICK CHARTING TECHNIQUE , it made a BEARISH ENGULFING pattern which indicates potentially a decline is coming. As expected, from that BEARISH ENGULFING pattern, price falls until 12 Sept 2024, an intraday low at RM0.325 (strong support level of RISING WINDOW zone) and bounced back higher to closed at RM0.335. As such, the support level made on 21 May 2024 is still intact. At this point, traders may view this as an opportunity to buy on support.
On 02 Oct 2024, the company made an announcement to proposed BONUS ISSUE of up to 61,967,000 FREE WARRANTS in ORGABIO ("WARRANT(S)") on the basis of 1 WARRANT for every 4 existing ordinary shares in ORGABIO held on an entitlement date to be determined and announced later.
After that announcement, on 03 Oct 2024 the stock made a small rising window and closed higher at RM0.360. Then for 4 days the stock test the resistance RM0.360 and finally made a breakout to closed higher at RM0.370 on 17 Oct 2024. This price action added more the BULLISH scenario for this stock.
In my view, the stock may extend its uptrend as supported by :
i) SUPPORT LEVEL OF RISING WINDOW 21 MAY 2024 STILL INTACT - RM0.325
ii) GOOD NEWS OF BONUS ISSUE (FREE WARRANT)
Lets monitor closely !
US CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bearish Outlook ExplainedThe USOIL price dropped below a strong horizontal support level last week and closed below it.
After breaking this support, upon retesting the broken structure, the market started to consolidate.
A bearish breakout of the consolidation range's support area confirms a strong bearish trend, increasing the likelihood of a continued decline.
The target price is set at 67.20.
UEMS (5148) - PropertyUEMS - Current price : RM1.08
Fundamentally broker house RHB Investment BHD give a target price of RM1.60 (19 OCT 2024 reports). The research house expect demand for property will continue to be driven by :
i) Better economic growth outlook,
ii) Influx of foreign and domestic direct investments
iii) Return of tourist arrivals
iv) Easing of the Malaysia Second Home programme
v) Major instructure developments
Technically there is a Falling Window (Gap Down) on 01 Aug 2024. As such, it may acts as a strong resistance. A breakout above that Falling Window resistance level RM1.10, may propel the share price towards RM1.20 and RM1.28 (52 Weeks High).
Based on ICHIMOKU, price manage to trend higher above CLOUD and CHIKOU LINE crosses up the cloud. This two scenario added more the BULLISHNESS outlook for the stock.
Lets monitor closely !
A breakout above RM1.10 , will trigger a buy signal.
Entry price at RM1.11 and our support will be EMA 50.
BTCUSDBTC is not telling us a market reversal at the moment. Let's see if on Sunday it reacts for a continuation of the rise or a bearish return.
The bollinger bands don't show us anything interesting for the moment, we see higher and higher highs for the moment and internally lows that are building.
Nasdaq (NQZ2024) - Lacking VolatilityAs a short term trader, its volatility that I cherish but looking at how the week has printed, we can see that price has been efficiently delivered.
$20,680 - $20,206 are the levels i will be keeping an eye out on going into next week but for the time being, I will be sitting on my hands awaiting for more data.
S&P 500 (ESZ2024) - Numerous Opportunities ScalpingVery efficiently delivered price during this week with little to no inefficiencies to the downside. This suggests a massive price to the downside if ES was to print bearish price action.
$5,850 is the weekly lows is in the cards if we see a sharp retracement but due to the overall sentiment being bullish, it would be wise to anticipate longs up to $5,927.25 all-time highs but sitting back, awaiting for more data would be the best thing to do in this case.
Studying Mondays price delivery will be key to detect whether the highs has been printed for the week.
possible NZDCHF breakout looking from the 4 hour time frame we can see that the market has been in a state of consolidation retesting major level of resistance 0.52620 4 times, the current upside push is currently retesting previous level of resistance from a higher high, if you look at it on the 1hr or 30 min time frame the rejections on all these levels are very clear. Giving me the optimism of a continuous push to the upside, eventually break out of this consolidation phase
SWING IDEA - EQUITAS SMALL FINANCE BANKEquitas Small Finance Bank , a leading small finance bank in India, is showing promising signs for a potential swing trade.
Reasons are listed below :
75 Zone as a Strong Support Zone : The 75 level has proven to be a solid support zone, providing a strong foundation for a potential upward move.
Bullish Hammer on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish hammer on the weekly chart, which also engulfed the previous week's candle, indicates strong buying pressure and a potential reversal from the support level.
0.5 Fibonacci Support : The stock is currently resting at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a key area where buyers often step in to push the price higher.
Gradual Uptick in Volumes : An increasing volume trend suggests growing investor interest, further supporting the potential for a bullish move.
Target - 95 // 105 // 115
Stoploss - weekly close below 72
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): More Growth is Coming Next Week
US100 nicely respected a recently broken horizontal structure resistance.
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on that and bounced.
I think that the Index will continue growing next week.
Next resistance - 20460
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Titagarh Rail systems catching the train. Titagarh Rail Systems Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of freight wagons, passenger coaches, and steel castings. It operates through the following segments: Freight Rolling Stock, Passenger Rolling Stock, Shipbuilding, and Others. The Others segment includes miscellaneous items like specialized equipment's for defence, bridge girders, tractors, and others.
Titagarh Rail Systems Ltd CMP is 1197.50. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Rising Net Cash Flow and Cash from Operating activity, Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth AND Strong Annual EPS Growth. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=55.3), High promoter stock pledges AND Companies seeing significant coronavirus impact.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1283. Targets in the stock will be 1338, 1509 AND 1596. The long-term target in the stock will be 1710, 1795 AND 1876. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1049.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Kopran can climb further. Kopran Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacturing of pharmaceuticals and related products. It operates through the following business units: Formulations, and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients. The firm's products include Amyn, Lokit, and Ciproquin.
Kopran Ltd CMP is 320. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding, Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth AND Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding in Past Month. The Negative aspects of the company are Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash AND Stocks in the sell zone based on days traded at current PE and P/BV.
Entry can be taken after closing above 321. Targets in the stock will be 330 and 342. The long-term target in the stock will be 352 AND 368. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 291.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
EUR/USD Long Counter-Trend Setup (4H/8H Timeframes)I’m looking at a long counter-trend trade on EUR/USD based on several technical confluences across multiple timeframes.
Market Sentiment: Currently, risk sentiment is “risk-off,” which has pushed the dollar higher, but now we’re seeing signs of a potential reversal in both EUR/USD and the Dollar Index (DXY).
Key Observations:
Engulfing Candles on the Daily Timeframe:
Both EUR/USD and DXY have printed engulfing candlestick patterns on the daily chart. This could signal a potential reversal, with the momentum shifting in favor of EUR/USD.
Monthly 20 MA:
The 20 MA on the monthly chart is being tested on both EUR/USD and DXY, adding to the importance of the levels we’re currently observing. A bounce or break here could trigger significant moves in either direction.
5 EMA Hit Probability:
On the weekly timeframe, the 5 EMA lines up with my 4H target. Historically, if a session doesn’t hit the 5 EMA, the next one has a higher probability of doing so, something to be mindful of as we approach the weekly close.
Divergence on Multiple Timeframes:
MACD divergence is present on the 4H and 8H timeframes for EUR/USD, suggesting weakening downside momentum. Additionally, there’s a bearish divergence on DXY and a bullish divergence on EXY (Euro Index), further supporting the case for EUR/USD upside.
Conclusion:
With the alignment of these factors—candlestick patterns, moving averages, and divergences—this setup presents a solid opportunity for a long counter-trend trade on EUR/USD. While it’s a counter-trend trade, the confluences from multiple timeframes increase the probability of success. Keep in mind that this trade is aligned with technical signals and risk sentiment, so proper risk management is essential.
REVERSAL AUDUSDAUDUSD has now started a reversal to the upside making higher highs and higher lows, price is currently consolidating on previous level of resistance that has now become support with some signs of rejection around this area. Push to the upside continues to feel optimistic. Price could keep pushing up although could be affected by some US data coming out next week