Candlestick Analysis
Australian ASX 200 SPI futures look good if you're a bearThe picture for Australian ASX 200 SPI futures look good if you're a bear.
We've seen a bearish engulfing candle on Wednesday with follow-through selling today, accompanied by an uptick in volumes. Momentum indicators are providing bearish signals, too.
But it is month-end and the price does find itself sitting on the 50DMA, a level that has been respected consistently apart from a period between June and July this year.
Even though price and momentum signals suggest selling rallies may work better than buying dips in near-term, unless we see a close beneath the 50DMA, going short beforehand comes across as a low probability play given prior interactions with the level.
If the price closes and holds beneath the 50DMA, you could sell with a stop either above it or 8200 for protection. On the downside, 8080 is the first level of note, but to make the trade stack up from a risk-reward perspective, 7860 comes across as a more appropriate target.
Good luck!
DS
Trade Recaps: USDJPY-LONG, AUDUSD-SHORT, 30/10/2024UJ Bias Analysis: Price corrected deeper into the 1H range discount, entering a 1H OB and confluent 1-sded FVG. The deeper retracement protracted lower at London open, sweeping Tuesday's low as it mitigated the KI areas before entry confirmation was received.
Grade: High Quality Valid
AU Bias Analysis: Price distributed higher aggressively at London open. This distribution was misinterpreted as a protraction which was sweeping 1H TBL, where it was actually shifting structure to the upside. Price traded higher into a 4H OB, where entry confirmation was received and a short position was executed. This was an invalid trade as the shift of structure to the upside violated my trade parameters which require the entry to be in alignment with the 1H range.
Grade: Invalid
What I did well or could've done better:
- Executed aggressively on the setups during my forecasting session despite a shorter day at work. Focus was good.
- Managed the trades according to the plan.
- Misread the distribution AU as a protraction, when it actually shifted 1H structure long which did not align with my trade parameters
- Took a trade that violated my plan as the UJ loss closed out today, which meant I only had 1 trade I could execute on instead of 2.
- I did not identify what would've lead me to be risk off on a setup and was only focusing on execution characteristics.
- I had a strong bias towards Dollar strength today, which led to marrying my bias and resulted in an invalid trade.
BTCUSDT Long Term Analysis (4H Chart)Technical Analysis Summary BTC/USDT
TREND ANALYSIS We have 1 Upward trend in green color (Long Term) Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks (Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS We have 2 support levels that I have mentioned above in the long term.
The 4H Support level that is protected by the daily level can be support level to be hit and then let bitcoin move upward to new highs or if broken most probably we will be moving downward to the 40000-dollar mark to reach the greediest level and lowest and most likely go upward from there and is a great place to buy.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
White Levels are stop losses or levels and trends that were respected from the past.
Yellow Levels are tighter stop losses and generally will be used after trade is in small profit to start lowering the loss in case trade goes against us.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment If you find this content beneficial, please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk Not Financial Advice
USDJPY Long Term Analysis (4H Chart)Technical Analysis Summary
USD/USD
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 2 Upward trends in Green color (Long Term and Short Term)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have 1 resistance and 1 support levels that I have mentioned above in the long term.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
White Levels are stop losses or levels and trends that were respected from the past.
Yellow Levels are tighter stop losses and generally will be used after trade is in small profit to start lowering the loss in case trade goes against us.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
If you find this content beneficial, please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
EUR/USD Builds Bullish Momentum with Strong Support and Pin BarAfter bottoming at 1.0760 exactly one week ago, FX:EURUSD has started to consolidate, forming what appears to be a base.
Since then, dips below 1.08 have been consistently bought up, culminating in a strong bullish Pin Bar candle yesterday.
To further support this bullish outlook, this base is forming at a key confluence of support levels, reinforcing the potential for an upward move.
With this in mind, I am looking to buy this pair, ideally on a dip, to ensure a positive risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.
My target for a reversal is set at 1.0950, with respect to 1.09 resistance (this could serve as short term trader's target)
CRUDE OIL (WTI): When the Gap Will Be Filled?
I strongly believe that a huge Monday's gap will be filled.
The confirmation that I am looking for is a breakout of a resistance
line of a horizontal range on a 4H.
4H candle close above the yellow structure will indicate
the strength of the buyers and make the market finally start rising.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
50 Hours EMA and Trendline resistance again stop Nifty progressAgain The Mother line (50 Hours Resistance) and trendline resistance threw spanner in the growth effort of Nifty. Till Mother line and trendline thereafter is not crossed we can't reach Father line resistance which is at 24853. Supports for nifty remain at 24307, 24173 and finally 24073. Below 24073 Nifty will become very weak and bears will spell further doom. Resistances on the upper side remain at the zone between 24448 and 24513 (tough to conquer Mother line and Trend line resistance respectively), 24613, 24730 and 24853. Above 24853 the critical resistance will be the zone between 24860 and 24971. Bulls can come back into the game after the close above 24971. Above 24971 Bulls can create an upward rampage. Tomorrow is a very critical day where Nifty going into November needs to close above 24513 or atleast above 24448. Signs are looking little difficult for Nifty with a negative shadow of the candle but festive buying can bring back the bulls in action hopefully. .
To know more about Techno-Funda investment, Mother-Father and Small Child theory, Happy Candles Number read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation. Gift it to yourself or your special ones this festive season.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Monday Range, CLS setup targeting MR highsMonday Range, CLS setup targeting MR highs
I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart if we get the confirmation.
Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution
- No liquidity raid = No trade
- Never buy high and never sell low
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Important Decision Ahead ₿
Bitcoin has finally reached the levels of a current all-time high.
Analyzing the current sentiment, I believe that the market will
update it soon.
Your confirmation will be a breakout of the underlined red resistance.
A daily candle close above that will be a strong bullish confirmation.
Growth will continue then.
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Topside wicks, sagging momentum suggests AUD/JPY break may stickAUD/JPY looks primed for downside.
The price has broken the uptrend it's been sitting in since late September. RSI (14) is trending lower with the bearish signal confirmed by MACD. And one look at the topside wicks above 101.00 suggests sellers are lurking and unwilling to budge.
If the price manages to close beneath the uptrend, you could sell with a stop above for protection. To make the trade stack up from a risk-reward perspective, the 50-day moving average or 98.04 are potential targets.
Good luck!
DS
It could be the euro's time to shineThis may not be a popular theme, but that is usually the case at turning points. Like it or not, EUR/USD bears have failed to break the August low, and the rally on the USD index and yields looks exhausted. Every trend needs a retracement, and I suspect a small one, at a minimum, is due.
MS.
GBPUSD SHORTMarket structure Bearish on HTFs 30
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 1.30000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.42
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
Trade Recap: EURUSD - SHORT & USDJPY - LONG, 29/10/2024EU Bias Analysis: Although price is deeply discounted on the 1D timeframe, the 4H counter trend persists. Short entries were in line with the 1H bearish range and price pulled back into the 79% OTE area, which confluently overlapped with a 1H bearish OB.
Grade: High Quality Valid
UJ Bias Analysis: Similarly to EU, price from a 1D perspective was in a premium area but with the 4H counter trend also persisting, the bias remained long and in line with the 1H bullish range. After a pullback into the OTE area following high volume news releases, I waited for a retest of the 1H FVG to seek entry confirmation.
Grade: Valid
What I did well or could've done better
- Persisting in my execution of EU shorts despite being taken out on multiple occasions (both at full loss and with partial profits)
- Read through the news "noise" and executed on UJ longs despite the volume which could've been misleading.
- Executed on my phone and set the wrong take profit area. Had I not done this recap, I probably would've left money on the table (Given full TP is realised) so I need to be mindful of double checking trade parameters on my laptop if execution takes place on my phone.