10-Year Treasury Hiding StrengthFRED:DGS10
Thought I would check out the the 10 year after some crazy price action and decided to analyze this on a longer term time frame.
The Laguerre RSI doesn't show much weakening compared to price which indicates to me there could be a possible pop up even making higher highs.
Calls
MARKET ALPHA WATCHLIST - AMATOption Alert
Symbol: NASDAQ:AMAT
Type: Call
Strike: $155
Expiration: 8/20/21
Indicators
Laguerre RSI
Multi-Time Frame EMA x2
Comments...
Large call option came in for AMAT and decided to check out the technicals.
This buyer decided to place a massive bet on this stock rising higher buying way out of the money calls. The technicals show this may be a good time to purchase this price because we are coming into heavy support but it seems unlikely we would reach the price by expiration.
AMC Pumped Into Opex Week, Retail's FOMO's In LongInstitutions pumped $AMC last Thursday to create retail fomo and call buying. Now the stock is being faded as we get closer to options expiry this Friday. This type of action happens all the time as amateur traders don't understand the in's and out's of how the market functions.
BANK NIFTY 14TH JULY PREDICTIONAS PER ANALYSIS , I FOUND THAT THE SUPPORT IS 35500 AND RESISTANCE IS 36000 [
BANK NIFTY MAY BULLISH ON 14TH JULY,
TRADER SHOULD WAIT TILL 35500 TO 35550 , AND THAN BUY BEFORE THIS DON'T TAKE BUY POSITION,
IF GAP UP THAN WAIT TILL 36000 FOR SHORT POSITON.
FOR GETTING LIVE SIGNAL CONTRACT ME 9811158705
AFRM Long - Affirm Holdings, Inc. - The Triple Affirmed PlayAFRM Long - Affirm Holdings, Inc. - The Triple Affirmed Play (Flow, Dark pool, and Capital Inflows into Tech)
This long biased thesis is based on the following factors:
An aggressive series of short term bullish call option flow totaling $413.5k with a strike price of $70 coming in within the last 20mins of the day (July 1st) that exceeded Open Interest.
Approximately $20M in dark pool activity placed at key levels mid day. Although we do not know the nature of this we were able to see it act as respected levels through out the day and are currently trading above these levels. Also one of the dark pool prints came in at a respected fib level, further showing consistency with price action. Continued upside price action will further increased the probability that these trades were a buy.
Price action has been consolidating for around two months and is primed for a move, making the timing of the the options flow orders and dark pool activity that much more relevant to an upward move.
Bank of America Flow Show report released today (July 1st) showed an inflow of $1.1bn into the tech sector.
Bank of America comments came out with AFRM as a high conviction short-term recommendation.
Possible Threats:
The $212.62 fib defined level may show support where price action may struggle or bounce from.
Price has been rallying for the last two months and a half and a double top pattern had formed mid June, but continued price action may have already shown the pattern to have met its price potential.
Short term tactical sentiment for the tech sector is coming to an overheated area and a bearish downtrend may soon show up to push tech stocks, in general, downward.
That nature of the large dark pool trades are unknown and can only be inferred.
The July 1st dark pool levels are being used to define the following trade parameters:
Short Entry: price levels above, but in close proximity of the $68.27 (dark pool print)
Stop Loss: The invalidation of the ascending channel support line (conservative) or the break of lower dark pool level of $67.75 (aggressive)
Possible Targets:
$72.81 (currently) - Anchored VWAP (from all time high)
$79.30 - A support / resistance level that has been respected by prior price action
$85 - A fib level that may coincide with a ascending channel resistance line
$96.80 - The 50% retracement fib level from all time highs to all time lows
Other targets can be based on the fib levels show in the chart or by drawing support lines
This thesis/idea is just my opinion based on the information discussed within. None of it should be looked as a recommendation or as financial advice.
AFRM Daily Chart
SISymbol: NYSE:SI
Support: $108.46
Resistance: $117.87
Indicators
Implied Volatility Suite
Laguerre RSI
Laguerre Filter
Opinion: Bullish
Comments: This stock looks really bullish but IV is high so proceed with caution.
DISCLAIMER: All opinions are my own and are not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any financial product.
Market Alpha Watchlist SGMSSymbol: NASDAQ:SGMS
Support: $73.60
Resistance: $78.58
Indicators
Laguerre RSI
Laguerre Filter
Opinion: Consolidating bullish with a possible top coming in.
Comments: Overall this stock has skyrocketed and still shows bullishness on the chart however there's a lot of resistance above.