Cadjpyanalysis
CADJPY - Retracement expected ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis on CADJPY .
Here we are bearish from H4 timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect price to make the retracement to fill imbalances higher and then to reject from bearish orderblock + institutional mid figure 98.500.
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DeGRAM | CADJPY major supportCADJPY is trading in the descending channel .
The market could not make a lower low at support, indicating a potential reversal or consolidation.
Price is testing at a psychological level of 96,000.
We expect a test of support and bullish move.
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CADJPY : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#CADJPY
- CADJPY is currently selling after a STRUCTURE BREAK because the current MARKET SENTIMENT is NEUTRAL. Somehow, JPY is becoming somewhat STRONG. Similarly, the YEILD given by the BOJ to JP10Y increased, making the JPY STRONG. The reason for that is because the Bank of Japan did not intervene in the long term to strengthen the JPY, they are strengthening the JPY in other ways without raising the rate. Meanwhile, the price of OIL has gone down a bit, so the CAD has become very weak in the last few days. Anyway, as expected in the BOC RATE DECISION the other day, the RATE HIKE was done.
- But somehow the CANADIAN CENTRAL BANK has become HAWKISH. Therefore, CADJPY should definitely be slightly UP until the 103.110 LEVEL. Before that, there is definitely a very high possibility to sell to the 96.68 LEVEL. So FOLLOW STRUCTURES.
CADJPY LONG BUYThe Canadian Dollar vs. the Japanese Yen. When a trader is unsure about trading the US Dollar, the CADJPY is often determined to be a suitable replacement. However, the historically higher yield of the Canadian dollar in the past has made the CADJPY more sensitive to market wide sentiment changes than the USDJPY. Also, Canada’s large amount of energy exports, most notable oil, causes it to be affected by crude oil prices.
CAD/JPY LongI came up with this idea because on 1D chart , there is possible next wave scenarios as described in the chart
My idea is that CADJPY will hit at least 99.890 .As a second target i will set 100.27 and as a third target 100.75.
! I will risk 0.33% for each trade , we aware risk on your own !
CADJPY : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#CADJPY
- CADJPY is currently selling after a STRUCTURE BREAK because the current MARKET SENTIMENT is NEUTRAL. Somehow, JPY is becoming somewhat STRONG. Similarly, the YEILD given by the BOJ to JP10Y increased, making the JPY STRONG. The reason for that is because the Bank of Japan did not intervene in the long term to strengthen the JPY, they are strengthening the JPY in other ways without raising the rate. Meanwhile, the price of OIL has gone down a bit, so the CAD has become very weak in the last few days. Anyway, as expected in the BOC RATE DECISION the other day, the RATE HIKE was done.
- But somehow the CANADIAN CENTRAL BANK has become HAWKISH. Therefore, CADJPY should definitely be slightly UP until the 103.110 LEVEL. Before that, there is a very high possibility of selling to the 94.00 level. So FOLLOW STRUCTURES.
CADJPY, still waiting, around 150 pipsRecently, the price has been moving in the designated channel (red lines). I am waiting for a support or resistance breakout.
This will be a buy or sell sign.
Beware of false breakouts.
TP around 102.60 (if long) or 98.00 (if short).
Around 150 pips in both cases.
GG
P.S.
This is of course not financial advice, just my idea.
CADJPY : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#CADJPY
- CADJPY is currently selling after a STRUCTURE BREAK because the current MARKET SENTIMENT is NEUTRAL. Somehow, JPY is becoming somewhat STRONG. And as expected, JPY WEAKNESS came after the BOJ INTERVENTION. This was because the Bank of Japan did not intervene in the long run to strengthen the JPY. Meanwhile, CAD has become very STRONG in the last few days due to the increase in OIL prices. Anyway, the RATE HIKE was not done as expected in the BOC RATE DECISION the other day. The rate hike was less than that.
- The price of OIL is going down very fast. For this reason, CAD will be slightly SELL.
- But somehow the CANADIAN CENTRAL BANK has become HAWKISH. Therefore, CADJPY should definitely be slightly UP until the 105.89 LEVEL. Before that, there is a very high possibility of selling to the 97.50 level. The reason for that is because even now OIL PRICES are going up a bit.
Expect a Bullish run on CADJPY - ReversalPIVOT: 99.00
OUR PREFERENCE
Long Position above 99.00 with targets at 101.20 , 102.20 & 103.20 in extension
Alternate Scenario
Below 99.00 look for further downward trend with 97.00 & 96.30 as targets.
Comment:
the immediate trend is down but the momentum is weak
DeGRAM | CADJPY bullish opportunityCADJPY moved out of the descending channel .
The market formed a consolidation at resistance after bullish move.
Price is testing at a psychological level of 101.000.
We expect a breakout and a bullish move.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!