#BTC reaches the target area📊#BTC reaches the target area✔️
🧠When I woke up, I found that my holdings had decreased. It turned out that I had automatically reduced my holdings. After breaking through the upper edge of the ascending triangle, we broke through the resistance zone and reached the target area above 64k. The goals of the 1-hour long structure have been fully achieved, so we need to be alert to the risk of a pullback. The resistance zone of 61400-62000 turns into a support zone. 🔥
➡️But judging from the 4-hour chart, we have broken through the turning point (62721), which means that a 4-hour long structure has emerged, and it also means that we still have expectations of continuing to rise, so we have retained a small number of positions. Go expect more. 🎉Congratulations to all the friends who followed Wolf King to print money and made huge profits. 💰🚀🌕
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
BTCUSDTPERP
BTCUSDT Active Range BreakoutThis is an active range breakout on BTCUSDT that i'm going to be trading.
It may not work, but with higher TP then SL you can afford to have a lower percentage of profitable trades as the wins well outweigh the losses.
As you can see the range has been broken with HIGH VOLUME CANDLES. This is what we were waiting for, not like the first break of range that didn't have the BIG CANDLE moves i'm looking for.
I'm looking to TAKE PROFIT at the next large key RESISTANCE ZONE. It is a very large percentage so it's probability of hitting is low, but the potential reward far outweighs the risk.
I can RISK MANAGE in several ways. I can move the STOP LOSS TO PROFIT once the trade has good gain to safely lock in. I can use MULTI TAKE PROFITS, to take profit several times before taking 100% of TRADE CAPITAL. What I like to do is use 25% of my portfolio but use higher leverage, so i effectively trade the same amount as 100% my portfolio whilst having 75% free to take OTHER TRADES. If you do this WATCH YOUR LIQUIDATION PRICE.
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle📈
🧠After being rejected at the resistance zone, we made a pullback as expected. From a morphological point of view, we have formed an ascending triangle within the ascending channel, and we need to observe the breakthrough of either party to judge how the next trend will develop.
➡️If we fall below the lower edge and the yellow inflection point, it means that the short structure is established and we have the opportunity to fall below the ascending channel to start a further callback.
➡️If we break upward and successfully break through the resistance zone, then we can see the target zone above 64k
➡️No matter how the final market chooses, we don’t need to guess, just take appropriate measures. The stop loss of the long orders we hold has been moved up, and we are in a risk-free state. We can look forward to more.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Bearish Flag PatternBitcoin pulled back to the broken Support zone($60,520-$60,120) , as I expected ( in yesterday's post ).
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to have formed a Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to fall again after breaking the Ascending Channel's lower line and the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) .
Bad News: Since yesterday, 785 million dollars of Bitcoin and 75 million dollars of Bitcoin have been moved by the Mt.Gox exchange, which is a significant volume.
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $60,700, the Scenario will change.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC SHORT The chart indicates a potential move where Bitcoin (BTC) is currently testing an area of interest around 60,715.9 USDT. The price is approaching a key resistance zone marked as MMSM, which could provide a selling opportunity if the price fails to break above it convincingly.
Trade Setup:
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just above the 62,500 USDT level to protect against potential false breakouts above the resistance zone.
The initial target for this trade would be around the 55,940.7 USDT level, where there is an imbalance wick, which could serve as the first point of profit-taking. Further downside targets could be around the 48,889.4 USDT level, representing a more extended move.
Risk/Reward: This setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio, as the downside potential outweighs the risk if the resistance level holds.
Additional Notes:
- If price breaks and holds above the 62,121.2 USDT level, reconsider the short idea as it would invalidate the current bearish setup/structure.
#BTC reaches the periodic resistance zone 📊#BTC reaches the periodic resistance zone ✔️
🧠 From a structural perspective, the bull structure is still intact, so it is reasonable to continue the bull trend. And today our physical K-line has successfully broken through the downward trend line, so the expectation of further decline has failed. But we will not chase the rise near the resistance zone. If there can be a good correction, we will consider participating in new long transactions.
Let’s see 👀
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
BTCUSDT Facing Repeated Rejections at 200 EMABTCUSDT Technical analysis update
BTC price has been rejected multiple times from the 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart. This time, we can expect a breakout and a bullish move.
Bitcoin price has formed a triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart and is now moving toward a breakout
Regards
Hexa
#BTC enters complex consolidation phase📊#BTC enters complex consolidation phase
🧠From a structural point of view, the 1-hour bullish structure has not been destroyed, and there is still the possibility of continuing to rise. If the yellow inflection point (58501) is broken, then this bullish expectation will most likely be invalid.
➡️Judging from the 4-hour chart, we are still blocked by the downward trend line and then started to fall back, and the closing price of the 4-hour K-line is lower than 59300. This is a not very good signal, which means that we may fall further. . If we can break through the blue inflection point (61386) again, then we can see an increase above 64k, otherwise don't be too optimistic.
Let’s see 👀
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
#BTC/USDT
#BTC
#BITCOIN
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to its borders well. The price reached the upper limit of the channel and closed above it, which supports the rise.
The price also touched the 100 moving average and is expected to rebound from it.
The price is now at $59,200, which is the entry price.
The first target is $60,000.
The second target is $61,200.
We have a downtrend on the RSI, but from
#BTC bullish head and shoulders structure, cautiously bearish📊#BTC bullish head and shoulders structure, cautiously bearish⚠️
🧠 From a structural perspective, we have discovered a bullish head and shoulders structure. If we continue the bull trend with this structure as support, we could at least see a move above 64k.
➡️But we are currently in the resistance zone and are also blocked by the downward trend line. The price/performance ratio of chasing the increase is the worst, so if you want to go long, you must at least wait for a period of correction before considering it.
➡️If you want to go short in the resistance zone, my suggestion is to be cautious and set a stop loss. The current resistance that can be seen is around 61,000.
Let’s see 👀
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Weekly Review August 18th - August 25thThis review will focus on four issues:
1. When is the bottom?
2. At what price?
3. If we make a definitive bottom, will a fresh upward impulse follow? Or is it just a relief rally?
4. What is the likely target to the upside?
TLDR:
• The trading week beginning on August 19th will likely be a substantial low, followed by a rally. The bottom will likely be after August 19th.
• The absolute bottom (for now) is 45K. If Bitcoin makes an HL above 49K, it is a bullish signal for continuation.
• Even if Bitcoin makes an HL above 49K, a bullish continuation to a substantial ATH is doubtful. My most optimistic projection is 85K.
• The “line in the sand” is 61K. If Bitcoin holds 61K, expect a continuation and vice versa.
A. When is the Bottom?
A.1. Mercury Cycles:
Mercury cycles are based on Mercury’s 88-day orbit around the Sun. There is some correlation between the end of a Mercury cycle and a change in trend. However, it’s not reliable enough. The current mercury cycle ends on August 26th and may herald a trend change.
A.2. 30-Week cycles:
Measuring Bitcoin Cycles on the weekly cycles from one low to the next, it is possible to divide the cycles into 15-week cycles and 30-week cycles. The 15-week cycle measurement doesn’t have good proportions because of deviations.
Figure 1: 15-week cycles
The 30-week cycle is consistent and reliable. In this cycle, the 30-week cycle plays out perfectly. The data points to a macro bottom this week beginning on August 19th.
Figure 2: 30-week cycles.
A.3. Financial Astrology:
A.3.1 Bitcoin Horoscope:
Between August 17th and August 19th, transiting Mars will square Bitcoin’s natal Uranus. This challenging aspect brings increased volatility and the possibility of a trend change. The change in trend is unlikely to occur while this aspect actively influences Bitcoin’s chart, but a day or two after this aspect has run its course. Accordingly, we can expect a trend change after August 19th.
A.3.2 General Astrology:
Even if we disregard Bitcoin’s transits, the astrology of the coming week (beginning on August 18th) is somewhat challenging. August 19th is particularly auspicious and looks like a prime candidate for a low because Venus in Virgo forms a T-square with Saturn in Pisces and Jupiter and Mars in Gemini
These are the active aspects for August 19th:
1. Sun, Conjunct, Mercury. Neutral.
2. Sun, Square, Uranus. Negative.
3. Mercury, Square, Uranus. Increased volatility.
4. Venus, Square, Jupiter. Conflict.
5. Venus, Opposition, Saturn. Conflict.
6. Jupiter, Square, Saturn. Conflict.
7. Neptune, Sextile, Pluto. Positive.
B. At what price will Bitcoin find support?
B.1. Volume Profile:
From a volume perspective, Bitcoin lost a high-volume zone when it dropped below the distribution range-low of 60.8K.
The next volume support is the zone between the VAH at approximately 45K and 41.5K.
This is a “do or die” level for Bitcoin. If Bitcoin loses this volume cluster, the bull market will be over.
Figure 5: Bitcoin cycle volume profile.
B.2. Elliot Wave Count:
From an EW perspective, Bitcoin is in the process of making a complex correction in wave 4. Bitcoin reached 0.5 retracement of wave 3 at 49K and lost the acceleration channel. If the 0.5 retracement holds and Bitcoin makes a double bottom, it will be a macro-low signal.
If Bitcoin loses the 0.618 retracement, the chances are that this is a failed cycle, and Bitcoin will head lower.
Figure 6: Bitcoin cycle EW count.
B.3. Gann analysis:
The 1/1 Gann angle points to the possibility of a low at 45K. However, this doesn’t mean that the price must go there; it is merely that 45K is a strong support level that will likely hold.
B.4. Wick Fill strategy:
The wick-fill strategy gives us a few support targets:
1. 50% of the wick on the 1W chart: 53K. In confluence with the 50W EMA.
2. 50% of the wick on the daily chart: 51.5K.
3. 100% of the wick at 49K.
Figure 7: Bitcoin Gann & wick-fill.
B.5. Classical Charting:
According to classical charting techniques, Bitcoin’s price forms a Descending Broadening Wedge. The wedge support is 45K, coinciding with the cycle 50% retracement and the 1/1 Gann angle.
Figure 8: Descending broadening wedge.
B.6. Bitcoin Support Levels:
a) 53.5K (50% of the weekly Wick, 50W EMA).
b) 51.5K (50% of the daily wick).
c) 49K (previous LL).
d) 45K (horizontal support, high-volume node).
I will look to buy between 49K and 51.5K. This is my assessment. Regardless, because there is no definitive level, it may be a good idea to wait until after August 19th to confirm a bottom in place.
C. Is Bullish Continuation Likely?
The evidence for continuing the bull trend mainly relies on historic PA patterns. The fact that the four-year cycle held in the past does not guarantee future performance. Also, the macroeconomic conditions today are different. There is no historical record to compare Bitcoin’s performance in a recession. Low interest rates, low unemployment, and economic growth characterized the past 13 years of Bitcoin’s existence. The situation has changed, and we need to adapt.
C.1. The Bear Case:
C.1.1 Wyckoff Distribution:
It appears as if Bitcoin completed a Wyckoff distribution schematic. The last LH of 62.8K was the Last Point of Supply, and if the price stays below 62.8K, I expect lower prices.
Figure 9: Bitcoin Wyckoff Distribution.
C.1.2 Market Structure:
Bitcoin M.S. since March 13th, 2024, is indicative of a downtrend. The price is making LHs and LLs. “The trend is your friend until it ends.” Until the price makes an HH above 70K or an HL above 62.8K, I expect a continuation to the downside.
Figure 10: Bitcoin M.S.
C.2. Neutral:
C.2.1. EW Analysis:
The fact that Bitcoin lost its acceleration channel is bearish. If Bitcoin drops below the 0.5 retracement, it will exacerbate the situation because a bullish continuation in wave 4 below 0.5 retracement is doubtful. Even if Bitcoin rebounds from the 0.5 retracement, it is possible for the 5th wave to top at 64.6K. Frankly, it is A maximum pain and confusion scenario. See Figure 6.
D. Continuation Targets:
1. Bullish Continuation Targets:
If Bitcoin holds the 49K level and reverses course, the optimistic wave 5 projection is 85K.
If wave 5 matches wave 1, it will only reach 64.6K.
Some analysts, are calling for a “melt-up” phase preceding a 1929-style crash. I doubt if we will see a melt-up in the crypto market. If we do, 107K is the maximum. Although, I doubt it will happen. see figure 6.
2. Bearish Continuation Targets:
The immediate significant support level is 49K. However, if Bitcoin continues the current trend, I expect the next target to be 45K. see figure 5
Best Wishes
NTC
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Breaking Downtrend lineBitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the First Target after the Downtrend line breaks .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $57,000 , we should wait for Bitcoin to fall to $55,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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#BTC has reached the selling zone, beware of pullbacks📊#BTC has reached the selling zone, beware of pullbacks📉
🧠 From a structural perspective, the long structure we built near the support zone has achieved its ideal goal and there are signs of a pullback, so we need to be alert to the occurrence of further pullbacks.
Let’s see 👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
#BTC has a new short structure, be cautiously bullish📊#BTC has a new short structure, be cautiously bullish⚠️
🧠 From a structural perspective, we have constructed a new short structure after breaking below the support zone, so we need to be wary of the risk of further pullbacks.
➡️ It is currently in the rebound stage after encountering the gray neckline support area, and the periodic resistance area is 59000-59200.
➡️If we make a deeper correction as expected, then focus on the buy zone below and buying opportunities near the downtrend line
Let’s see 👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Reversal Patterns==>>(Short term)Bitcoin moved as I expected in the previous post .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($60,800-$56,700) and near the Support lines .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in forming a Falling Wedge Pattern , and an Inverse head-and-shoulders Pattern is possible .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least near $60,000 .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
#BTC will rise following the falling wedge pattern📊#BTC will rise following the falling wedge pattern📈
🧠 From an image point of view, we have formed a falling wedge near the support area, generally we follow this pattern to rise, and we have broken through the upper edge, and the rising signal is confirmed.
➡️From a structural perspective, if there is a nice pullback, then there is an opportunity to build a bullish head and shoulders structure.
Let’s see 👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
What If We Are in A Bear Market and Don’t Know It?When a partner cheats, the spouse is the last to know. Could the “Composite Man” is cheating, and we don’t realize it yet?
Let’s look at the evidence. “Facts Not Feelings.”
1. A complete Wyckoff distribution pattern.
2. M.S. confirms we are in a downtrend.
So, why is everyone still expecting an uptrend?
1. Traders and investors are relying on historical patterns such as the four-year cycle.
2. Traders and investors hope the FED will cut rates and boost liquidity.
We need Objective tools
The most objective tool we have is the price. The chart doesn’t lie.
We have two main levels that will serve us to determine if the current trend is still on the downside:
1. The Last LL. The last LL was 49K. If Bitcoin loses the 49K support, it is a point in favor of the Bears. If it finds support above 49K, it is a HL and a point in favor of the Bulls.
2. The Last LH. The ultimate LH is 70K. If the price remains below 70K, we will still be in the bear market.
62.8K Is an intermediate level. This means that if the price breaks above 62.8K, it will increase confidence in a trend change. However, let’s assume that the price will find support at the 45k level and then fail to break above 62.8K it will be all the proof you need that the bear market is here.
What should we do?
The safest course of action is to operate as if we are in a bear market.
What does it mean?
This means that you only trade long when it is obvious that the sellers are exhausted. And you treat every LH as a short opportunity.
Bear markets are Bull markets in reverse. Instead of “buy the dip,” “short the rally.”
Best Wishes
#BTC/ETH#BTC
#BITCOIN
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 4-hour frame and is adhering to its limits well, and the price has reached the upper limit of the channel
The price is now $22.40, which is the entry price
Targeting the $21.50 area, which is the lower limit of the channel
There is a strong resistance point at the upper limit of the channel that supports the decline
We have a trend-hop on the RSI indicator, but more declines are expected on it
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Death Cross HappenedBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($63,000-$61,450) and the upper line of the Ascending Channel .
Finally, the Death Cross Sell Signal was seen yesterday.
Death Cross Signal : The death cross appears on a chart when an asset's short-term Moving Average(MA) , usually the 50-day, crosses below its long-term moving average, usually the 200-day .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Price and Volume .
I expect that Bitcoin will NOT be able to break the Resistance zone($63,000-$61,450) in this attack and at least fall to the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone($58,500-$57,140) .
Note: If the Resistance zone($63,000-$61,450) is broken, Bitcoin can rise to $65,000.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin analysis - short term idea (longer term included)I've been on a losing streak recently for day trades, but I am optimistic about this trade idea! As illustrated in the chart (90 minute chart), the price of bitcoin is holding steady above $58k (last weeks value high). The orderbook also shows strong bids appearing at this price level (Green dashed line). The first visit to this level resulted in a sustained move up on Tuesday. This is a good sign that shows price is accepting this zone(58k to 62k) and is stabilizing/balancing within it. Just about an hour ago, the green dashed line was revisited. This also cleans up Monday's value area low. Based on this, I am positioned long. See chart for entry, target and stop loss.
This short term Bitcoin trade idea is backed by my longer term analysis I posted a little over a week ago. Chart link below for that.
Boost and follow for more ideas! Thanks!
#BTC/USDT#BTC
#BITCION
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 4-hour frame and is adhering to its limits well
The current price is $59,102. It is expected to fall to touch the lower limit of the channel at $57,700, which is the entry price
There is a strong support point at this level, green
Targeting the upper limit of the channel at $60,000
This boot supports the lower limit as we are still below the moving average 100
But what supports the rise after touching the lower limit is the presence of an upward trend on the RSI