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BTCUSDTPERP

Bitcoin - COVID vs RECESSION fear comparison#BTC #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- The monthly chart for Bitcoin is displaying a pattern reminiscent of the 2020 COVID crash chart. In 2020, Bitcoin experienced a similar crash, leading to a significant wick in the monthly chart. We are currently observing a similar pattern in 2024, attributed to the market crash caused by recession fears. I anticipate a recovery in the price similar to what was witnessed in 2020. Such a recovery would confirm the presence of a bull market. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
Long
by VectorAlgo
Bitcoin Weekly Review – September 1st – September 7th.TLDR: My bias remains bearish. According to my analysis, Bitcoin is in a complex WXYXZ correction. Ultimately, this correction will lead Bitcoin to lower prices of as low as 45K, possibly lower. However, all hope is not lost for the bulls. The possibility of a bullish continuation exists under the following conditions: 1. Bitcoin must make an HH above 65K. 2. The correction period will not exceed beyond December 2024. 3. The price must stay above 49K. High Probability Scenario for September 1st – 7th. I expect Bitcoin to dip into the daily demand zone (54K-56K). This will end Wave A, and a bullish reaction will follow in Wave B. Trade Idea: Entry: 56K SL: below 54K Target: 62.5K. R: R: 1:3.3 Don’t set a limit order. Follow the PA. Price can reverse slightly above 56K or further into the demand zone. Low Probability Scenario for September 1st – 7th. Bitcoin continues to make an HH, completing wave 1 of 5. Trade Idea: Entry: 66K SL: 67.3K TP1 58K, TP2, 55K R: R to first TP is 1:6 Is a 100K Bitcoin Still Possible? Bitcoin’s wave 3 top was 73.777K on March 13th, 2024. Since making the ATH, Bitcoin has been in a wave 4 correction. As far as the criteria for invalidation are concerned, a continuation in wave 5 is still possible. A continuation in Wave 5 is possible as long as: 1. Price: The price doesn’t close a weekly candle below the 0.618 retracement at 43.5K. 2. Time: Theoretically, wave 4 can last 300% longer than wave 3 and is still considered valid. However, this is a textbook definition, and I think it’s senseless. Between 1 and 1.618, fib time is realistic. According to this criterion, Bitcoin must enter wave 5 territory between September 9th and December 30th. You must understand that the longer Bitcoin stays in a correction, the bigger the chances of the macro headwinds catching up with Bitcoin and cutting any bullish continuation at the knees. China is already experiencing a recession, or, at the least, an economic slowdown coupled with deflation. So is the EU and the U.S. I don’t want to go into the details of each Zone’s economic performance, but if you are economically savvy, you already know the score. As I see it, Bitcoin must begin wave 5 no later than October 2024; otherwise, it will be too late. Also, for a realistic chance at 100K per Bitcoin, 49K must be the lowest price. 100K Bitcoin Roadmap: From a macro view, we must assume that 49K was the lowest point in a WXY complex correction and that Bitcoin is already at the initial stage of wave 5. Wave 5 Roadmap: For a realistic chance of continuation in wave 5, we must assume that 49K was the end of a complex WXY correction in wave 4. Also, Bitcoin must make an HH in wave 1 of 5 as early as next week! After making an HH in wave 1, Bitcoin must retrace in wave 2, no lower than 0.786 retracement at 52.8K. Bitcoin can then push higher in wave 3 to the 1.618 extension at 81K. Retrace in wave 4 to 70K and push higher between 90K and 100K in wave 5. For this scenario to be realistic, Bitcoin must make an HH to around 66K next week—it then needs to hold above 53K in the wave 2 retracement. Without an HH or if it falls below 53K, the chances of continuation in wave 5 will significantly diminish. Gann Support to EW analysis: Pulling a Gann fan from the bottom of Wave 1 to the top of Wave 3 on a squared chart supports the EW analysis. From a Gann standpoint, the current support level for Bitcoin is the 2/1 angle at 55K. If Bitcoin doesn’t close a weekly candle below 55K, it is good for continuation. Lose 55K, and it will continue lower. Daily Chart Analysis The daily chart analysis remains almost the same as the previous weeks. 58K is the most significant support level on the daily TF. If Bitcoin loses the 58K support without making an HH first, it will open Bitcoin to a bearish continuation. Initially, to fill the wicks on weekly and daily TFs but ultimately to 45K and possibly lower. The primary bias remains short. As Bitcoin continues to chop around the 200D EMA with low volatility, I am not interested in trading micro moves. If you intend to trade Bitcoin long, look for a break above the 200D EMA and a retest. Best wishes
by NewThoughtCrypto
2
BTC/USDT NEW ENTERY TO 65k+BTC has a signal long-term breakdown trend but is still able to make a new entry to 65K again since the trend still has not made the confirmation of the breakdown trend. Can BTC have a new volume that will bring BTC to 65K again? This is exactly what we will follow in the coming time frames. The best studies are made with the moment live data follow. At this moment the data shows there is a good possibility, to confirm this we should follow the trend with time since it can change. The key is to change with the trend and to expect nothing from ourselves, only what the data shows. The momentum data shows positive BTC from 59k
Long
by SatochiTrader
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Pumping Again==>>Short termBitcoin moved towards the Support zone($58,520-$57,100) as I expected . Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($58,520-$57,100) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed another Zigzag corrective wave . I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the Fibonacci levels to my targets . Note: If Bitcoin loses the Support zone($58,520-$57,100), we should expect Bitcoin to fall to $55,000(at least). Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
9
#BTC is in a complex consolidation phase📊#BTC is in a complex consolidation phase📊 🧠We can see from the chart that we are performing complex consolidation in the parallel channel. In addition, at the end of the month and the weekend, the differences are very serious. The long and short sentiment has entered a white-hot stage, which means that our trading The difficulty has increased a lot, and if you don't handle it well, your stop loss will be hit multiple times, so we should be more conservative in these two days. Be patient and wait for the big swings out of the divergence zone. 💥 ➡️Currently, the upper resistance is around 60k-60.6k. Whether a breakthrough can be formed remains to be seen. 👀 ➡️At the same time, yesterday's short order hit breakeven after locking in the main profit. The order has been closed, making a small profit. We must learn to be satisfied during the complex consolidation stage. 💪 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖and share it💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
2
#BTC blocked by resistance zone, next?📊 #BTC blocked by resistance zone, next? 🧠We started to fall back after approaching the resistance zone. We are currently in the target zone of the small short structure, and there is an expectation of rebound, so it is unreasonable to chase shorts in the buy zone. ➡️If we can get back near the resistance zone again, we can try to place some short orders, and the profit-loss ratio will be better. Let’s see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
#BTC approaching resistance zone📊#BTC approaching resistance zone‼️ ️ 🧠From a structural perspective, the structural form of BTC is not as good-looking as the standard of ETH, so we did not participate in BTC transactions. At present, we are close to the downward trend line and staged resistance zone, so the resistance here is relatively heavy and it is unreasonable to chase the rise. ➡️If we break through the turning point and continue the power of the bull structure to cooperate with market sentiment and go out of extreme market conditions, we will be able to go directly to the resistance zone above. Otherwise, please treat it with caution. Let’s see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Attack to Resistance zoneBitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($63,630-$63,200) , Support lines and 200_SMA(Daily) . According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the correction structure of the Double Three Correction(WXY) . One sign of Bitcoin's increase is the Hammer Candlestick Pattern with a long shadow, which adds to its validity. Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys. I expect Bitcoin to attack again the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) . Note: Bitcoin can attack the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) from around $62,600. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates ; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
17
#BTC long structure is still there, don’t be too discouraged📊#BTC long structure is still there, don’t be too discouraged📈 🤷‍♂️Unfortunately, we did not see a good rebound in the support zone. After falling below the support zone, it started to plummet. At this time, the importance of risk management is reflected. If you do not have strict risk management, you will lose everything. ❌ 🧠 Judging from the 4-hour level structure, the bullish defensive point has not been broken, so the bullish structure has not been destroyed, and the bullish expectations are still valid. Rapid declines without any structural support are often accompanied by rapid rebounds, so please be wary of rebound risks. ⚠️ Let’s see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
#BTC reaches support zone📊#BTC reaches support zone✔️ 🧠The callback has occurred and it has reached near the support area that I am paying attention to. This area was the resistance area that once suppressed us. It has now turned into a support area. The probability of rebound in this area is higher, so please be cautious in chasing shorts! ! ! Let’s see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
Bitcoin Analysis==>> PumpingBitcoin began to pump after Jerome Powell's speech and the possibility of interest rate cuts . ⚠️First of all, I must say that we must always keep up with the news and new events in the market, and all the analyses will never be correct; otherwise, there is no need for capital management, so we should always follow capital⚠️ Bitcoin seems to have managed to break the Resistance zone ($58,500-$57,000) , 200_SMA(Daily) , and 50_SMA(Daily) . Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , the Bitcoin pump has invalidated the Rising Wedge pattern . The Rising Wedge pattern is a Reversal Pattern; if it Fails , it will become a Continuation Pattern . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 4 , and the structure of the main wave 4 can be a Contracting Triangle . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $65,000 after breaking the upper line of the Contracting Triangle . Note: Wave 4's structure is likely to change; overall, I expect the maximum correction or end of wave 4 to be at the Support zone. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
28
#BTC bullish trend is still there, be cautious to bearish📊#BTC bullish trend is still there, be cautious to bearish⚠️ 🧠Yesterday we talked about the weekly level point of view. We have already made adjustments at the weekly level, so there are expectations for an increase at the weekly level. ➡️From a structural point of view, the bullish structure at the 4-hour level is intact, or we can use the upward trend support line as a defense to judge whether the upward trend is intact. Therefore we can also continue to rise without a pullback, so please be cautious on the bearish move. Try to trade with the trend. ➡️If there is a pullback, you can focus on buying opportunities near the neckline 62737 and the support area 61658. Let’s see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
Bitcoin Weekly Review August 25th - August 31stTwo scenarios for Bitcoin. Both options will result in lower prices in the short term. However, one is bullish, the other is bearish: My view is that the correction period is not over. I am intellectually honest enough to entertain both options, but I must be truthful with myself and you: I don’t think the Bull’s time has come. TLDR: The bulls have a chance as long as the price is above 60.3K. 1. Bullish Scenario: According to this scenario, 49K was the end point of a wave 4 correction, and Bitcoin is about to complete wave 5. If this is the case, the target is between the 0.618 and 1:1 retracement. In numbers: 79.2K – 97.9K. Supporting evidence for the bullish scenario: A. HH on the daily TF. B. Bitcoin formed the cup of a Cup & Handle, which could lead to a breakout with a price target of 76.5K and the completion of the higher degree 5th wave. 2. Bearish Scenario: According to this scenario, Bitcoin is not done with the correction. Whether Bitcoin is a more extensive correction that will result in much lower prices or is still in wave 4 is irrelevant. Supporting Evidence for the Bearish Scenario: A. The PA has moved in three waves, ABC. A three-wave move is a corrective structure that continues the higher TF trend down. This is indicative of a shark harmonic with a target of 46.8K. B. The weekly TF structure is bearish and points to 45K. C. Bitcoin left wicks to the downside on the higher TFs. The daily week is between 49 - 54K. The weekly wick is between 59K and 58K. This kind of imbalance represents a liquidation opportunity for the MM. D. No accumulation period. A prolonged accumulation period at the lows must support any substantial price growth. A structure without a base is vulnerable. Validation and invalidation: A. Validation: Bitcoin consolidates above 60.3K, the cup and handle pattern is intact, and the bullish scenario is alive. B. Invalidation: Below 60.3K, the bullish case is unlikely. Below 56K, the bull case is indefensible.
Short
by NewThoughtCrypto
#BTC/USDT Bullish September+Q4 Ahead!Detailed technical analysis of the BTC/USDT pair on a daily timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements and potential trading ideas based on the chart: ### Key Observations: 1. **Descending Channel Formation**: The price action is moving within a descending channel, with clearly defined peaks (marked as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and a possible 6) and troughs. The price seems to respect this channel, bouncing off both the upper and lower trendlines. 2. **RSI Divergence**: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom of the chart is showing a bullish divergence. While the price has made lower lows, the RSI is making higher lows, indicating a potential reversal or a weakening bearish momentum. 3. **Two Scenarios Outlined**: - **Scenario 1**: A breakout above the upper trendline, leading to a potential rise towards the resistance zone around the $70,000 level. This is supported by the drawn path, suggesting a bullish move if the breakout is confirmed. - **Scenario 2**: A pullback to the support area around $55,000 - $54,000, before a bounce that could either break the descending channel or test the upper boundary again. 4. **Volume Consideration**: The chart indicates a period covering 197 bars (days) with a total volume of 6.448M BTC traded. The consistent volume could signify accumulation or distribution phases, depending on the context of the breakout or breakdown. ### Trading Idea: Given the current technical setup: - **Bullish Scenario (Long Trade)**: - **Entry**: Enter a long position on a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline, ideally above $62,000 with a daily close above this level. - **Target**: Initial target could be around $68,000 to $70,000. Further targets can be set at key Fibonacci extensions or psychological levels such as $75,000. - **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss just below the breakout point, around $60,000 to $59,500, to protect against a false breakout. - **Bearish Scenario (Short Trade)**: - **Entry**: Enter a short position if the price fails to break out and instead pulls back towards the support zone around $55,000. - **Target**: Target the lower end of the channel, potentially around $47,000 to $45,500. - **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss above the upper trendline, around $62,500, to protect against a sudden breakout. - **Neutral (Wait and Watch)**: - **Strategy**: If the price remains within the channel without any clear breakout or breakdown, it might be prudent to wait for a clearer signal. This could involve waiting for a decisive move outside of the channel or for confirmation via volume and RSI divergence resolution. This analysis provides a balanced approach, allowing traders to react to the market based on the price action relative to the defined channel. Ensure that positions are adjusted according to evolving market conditions and use proper risk management. Not Financial Advice, Always do your own research. Please hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section. Thank you #PEACE
Long
by Cryptorphic
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin failed to break the Resistance zone ($58,500-$57,000) for the fifth time . It seems that important news is needed to break the resistance zone. According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave C with the Ending Diagonal Pattern . Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . Looking at the USDT.D% chart , we find that USDT.D% is in a symmetrical triangle . The main wave 4 can be completed in this triangle. I expect USDT.D% to pump after breaking the upper line of the symmetrical triangle, which will cause a correction in the Cryptocurrency market .👇 Another important chart that can help us analyze Bitcoin is the BTC.D% chart . BTC.D% is moving near the Heavy Resistance zone(60%-57.2%) and the Resistance line , and according to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that it has completed the main wave 5 in the two-day time frame with the help of Ending Diagonal . So, we should expect a correction of BTC.D% , which means that if the cryptocurrency marketcap decreases, Bitcoin can fall more .👇 I expect Bitcoin to at least fill the CME Gap($55,880-$56,775) after breaking the lower line of the Ending Diagonal . Note: If Bitcoin goes over $63,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to pump to $65,000 (at least). Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
72