Bitcoin | Liquidation of Highly Leveraged LongsBitcoin's price movement often reflects a balance between bullish sentiment and market corrections. In this scenario, we anticipate an upward trend overall. However, there is a potential for a short-term dip caused by the liquidation of highly leveraged long positions.
When a large number of traders enter long positions with high leverage, it creates a fragile market structure. If the price dips slightly, triggering stop losses or margin calls for these leveraged positions, a cascade of liquidations can occur. This sell-off pressure can temporarily drive the price down.
In such a situation, the orange box represents a strong support zone, likely characterized by high buying interest or significant historical price activity. As liquidations occur and the price approaches this area, it is expected that buyers will step in, absorbing the sell pressure and stabilizing the price. This makes the orange box a key level for potential reversals or consolidation before the upward momentum resumes.
My last bitcoin analysis. 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
This explanation highlights the importance of understanding leveraged dynamics and support zones in Bitcoin trading.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. Trading doesn’t have to be overly complicated, and I enjoy sharing setups that have worked well for me.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. It’s all about learning and growing together as traders, and I’m here to share what I see.
The markets can confirm what the charts whisper if we’re paying attention. I hope these levels help you as much as they’ve helped me in the past. Let’s see how this plays out!
My Previous Hits
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
At the end of the day, trading is a journey. I’m happy to share mine, and I’d love to hear your thoughts as well. Let’s keep learning and improving together. 😊
Btcusdanalysis
BTC Consolidating on support Bitcoin is currently consolidating around a critical support zone, with traders closely watching for the next decisive move. A breakout above resistance could ignite bullish momentum and push prices higher, while a breakdown might signal further downside. The market is at a pivotal point, and all eyes are on BTC's next steps...
Bitcoin BTC Analysis By Skyrexio: Correction To $85k Is IncomingHello, Skyrexians!
In our last Bitcoin analsys we pointed out how BINANCE:BTCUSDT will break $100k and why it's not going to happen with the first attempt. There we expected correction before the bullish continuation. Now it looks like our scenario is playing out. Let's look in details when this correction will be over.
Let's take a look at the 4h time frame. We can see there the large wave 3 which has been finished almost at $100k. This wave consists of 5 Elliott waves inside. All this small cycle has been finished with the bearish divergence and the red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . You can see two red dot. On low time frames, like 4h it's needed more than signal to have the high probability of reversal.
Large wave 3 is finished and now it's time for wave 4. This wave is likely to be the zigzag ABC. Waves A and B have been already printed, now price is I wave C. The target for this dump is clear, waves 4 tend to reach 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels. Moreover the wave 4 of lower degree usually ends at the same zone. As a result we have the very strong potential reversal level at $85k approximately. After reaching this zone expect the bullish continuation to the target $107k.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTCUSD Trade LogBTC Long in 4H FVG
Entry : Within the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) at a relative discount level.
Risk Management : Risk 1% of your trading capital, incorporating any commissions.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) : 1:2 (set the take-profit at twice the distance of the stop-loss).
Take-Profit (TP) : Position the TP below the 1-hour bearish FVG, which has signaled a potential short opportunity.
Confirmation : Ensure a strengthening uptrend in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) to confirm increasing buying pressure.
This strategy balances the long opportunity while respecting potential bearish setups in shorter time frames.
MARKET LAST 2 DAYS Over the last two days, XAU/USD (gold against the US dollar) has experienced a relatively stable trading range. The price hovered around $2,640–$2,642 per ounce. The slight movement reflects cautious sentiment among investors. Factors influencing gold include geopolitical developments and mixed signals about economic conditions globally. Recent news of a temporary ceasefire in the Middle East exerted downward pressure on gold as geopolitical risks eased slightly, though the metal remains sensitive to changes in the U.S. dollar and Federal Reserve policy.
BTC on BUY! - But on 92 - 91k! Understand Why!Bitcoin looks promising as both retail and institutional players hold onto their profits. If BTC had reached 100K, it could have triggered liquidations worth approximately $2 billion, but that scenario didn’t unfold.
What’s worth noting here is the SMA that previously acted as support around the FWB:67K level. Historically, SMAs don’t always provide pinpoint resistance or support. Instead, they can often dip slightly before reclaiming their role as support. Buffer zones are crucial when relying on SMA levels.
Key Observations:
• BTC Outlook: Currently, BTC appears slightly weak, with potential movement toward the SMA level of $92,490 (previously $91,658 as of December 2, 2024).
• TPO Zone: Watch for a TPO zone between $91,658 and $91,091, which represents a strong area for fresh buying opportunities.
• Short Setup: Shorts can be initiated at the current market price (CMP) with a risk-reward ratio of 1:3, provided a proper stop-loss is maintained.
Trading Plan:
1. Shorts:
• Entry: CMP
• Stop Loss: Tight SL for 1:3 risk-reward.
2. Fresh Buys:
• Entry Zone: $91,658 to $91,091.
• Avoid initiating buys above this zone to ensure optimal positioning.
⚠️ Pro Tip: When trading based on SMA levels, always account for minor deviations. Incorporating a buffer ensures that sudden dips don’t shake you out of a solid trade idea.
Bitcoin Important data bullrunBitcoin is showing signs of an impending bull run as critical data points align in favor of upward momentum. Institutional interest continues to grow, evidenced by increasing investments and positive sentiment from large-scale investors. On-chain metrics reveal a significant decline in the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges, suggesting that holders are preparing for long-term gains rather than short-term trades. Furthermore, network activity, including rising transaction volumes and active addresses, indicates growing adoption and user engagement. As these trends converge, Bitcoin's market dynamics point toward the potential for a strong and sustained rally in the near future.
#BTC - Amazing Long Setup Is #Bitcoin ready to break the legendary 100k mark that everyone is awaiting? Check out the analysis below!
HTF Bias:
Price broke the previous daily rejection block / supply zone / structural high,
marked with a purple rectangle, which now means it should hold as a demand
zone for later pullback
From the swing low to high, if we trace a fibonacci retracement, we see that price perfectly rejected from the **Golden Zone - 0.618 - 0.768 **(in this case it barely hit 0.618)
It bounced back to mitigate supply zone left behind, leaving behind the same
flip zone (supply turning to demand zone), reversed and now it just sweeped the
most recent liquidity, showing clear rejection signs, forming a huge wick
LTF Bias:
Now that the HFT is aligned with LTF, all that matters is where we entry the trade
Given we already sweeped the most obvious liquidity, this is how I would place my trade
Stop loss below the most recent sweep, Take Profit at the 1.236 mark on the Fibonacci Extension tool
What are your thoughts on this chart? Do you have any #Bitcoin in your wallet?
What are your targets?
Follow for more daily ideas!
2500+ points captured in BTC againMy sentiment cycle indicator (PAID) is doing its job perfectly to capture big moved. Another big move captured of 2500+ points.. if you look at the red area (sell signal), there were few green candles, still signal was sell because sentiment was still negative.. thats how this indicator gives you confident to hold the trade.. now price is currently sideways. chart is 15m Time frame..
BTC AT IMPPORTANT LEVELBitcoin is at a pivotal juncture, testing an important price level that could define its next move. A breakout above this zone could signal renewed bullish momentum, attracting fresh interest from traders and investors. On the other hand, rejection here might lead to consolidation or a pullback, highlighting the importance of this level in shaping BTC's short-term trend. All eyes are on the charts as the market awaits the next big move..
Scenario on Btc From a technical analysis perspective, we are fighting for the main level and that is the price around 95k, which means at this moment that we do not have any real reason to start anything yet. In short, we have the 95k level here. If the market does not hold this level, a short at 90-87k is very likely. If the market holds this level, it is quite likely that it will go for a new all-time high, but I personally see a short setup there.
BITCOIN UPDATE: MUST READ!!!I may get a lot of criticism for this, but before you write a hate comment, please read the update carefully.
November has been a great month for BTC, with a solid 48% gain, pushing it to a new all-time high. This growth has also benefited altcoins.
Currently, BTC is facing rejection, and if it undergoes a correction, we are likely to see levels around FWB:73K –$74k by February 2025. The RSI is already in the overbought zone and is displaying a bearish divergence pattern.
The only way BTC can avoid this rejection is by breaking above its new all-time high. I plan to follow this pattern unless BTC successfully breaks above its all-time high.
That’s all for now. I hope this helps you make better decisions.
As always, conduct your own research and analysis before investing.
Thank you!
BTC LONG TP:100k 1 HR 30-11-2024Bitcoin is aiming for 100k on a 1-hour timeframe, with a focus on establishing a long position in the 96,500 to 95,000 range. It's recommended to set a stop loss at 94,000. Please note that the entry points and stop loss are merely suggestions, so feel free to adapt them to your own trading strategy. This analysis will be invalidated if the expected movement doesn't occur within the next 30 hours. Stay sharp and trade wisely! #Bitcoin #Trading
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close Colours since 2011 -UPDATEWe had a lovely November Green candle close, as expected after the sequence mentioned last time I posted this chart, that seems to be following the 2013 - 2017 BTC Fractal.
But whats coming in December then ?
To date, we have had 7 Green December closes, to 6 Red
Of those Red candles, only 2 were Red after a Green November. and they were in 2013 and 2014 and that was the first 2 years after the ATH, in that Bear
In the years that I believe we are following, currently 2015 and 2016, The Green November was followed by Green December. This happened in 2023 also.
To remind you, The candle colours since August have all matched those years and they are the only years that sequence of colours occurred in those months.
So, if we continue to follow, we will get a Green Dec, possibly a new high but Jan is highly likely to be Red, as in 2015, 2016
January 2023 was green but only just as we saw the battle between Bulls andBears fight it out.
There are no guarantees here and we will have to wait and see where we go
On average, December is a 50/50 shot of either if we look at the basic chart numbers.
But if we continue to follow that Fractal mentioned earlier, we can expect Green December but a Draw back in January
Time will tell.
#BTC Rally Continues 2H. 12/01/24The monthly closing price is significantly higher than the opening, indicating steady growth throughout the month. The closing price was $96,475.
In my opinion, Bitcoin's price is likely to continue rising in the coming days, either by the end of this week or early next week. Target range: $99,600 - $99,700. In other words, I’m expecting a new ATH soon.
DYOR.
What goes up Must come downHey guys and girls,
almost 5 weeks ago, I suggested
Oct 23, 2024 (Target = 100k)
Oct 27, 2024 (Target = 100k)
(As you well know) in November, there was some good news:
"Donald Trump won the 2024 election"
What happened next?
Bitcoin soared nearly 49% (after Trump was declared the winner of the election)
(my scenario ---> I sold)
What goes up must come down
When's the correction?
In my opinion, Bitcoin is ending its rally and expectations are shifting to a slowdown and the pressure is more on the devaluation side,
What to expect next? (medium term overview- Wave A)
To the best of my understanding, I think this chart is not representative of what the real market is.
why?
Wave 3 = $ 48,500 ( = 3.12 x length of Wave 1)
Wave 5 = $ 50,500 ( = 3.25 x length of Wave 1, means there is pressure everywhere, and I mean everywhere)
Yes, this chart tells me there is something brewing (there is something there that was not there before)
Further targets:
$ 90k, $ 87k, and $ 83k
OVER BTC PLANBitcoin's trajectory seems to be holding steady, defying expectations of a significant drop. Rather than falling drastically, it appears poised to consolidate within a stable range, likely centered around the $90K mark. Although a push beyond the $100K threshold may not be imminent, its current position reflects resilience, indicating that BTC might remain within this middle ground as the market seeks its next major catalyst..
Is Bitcoin's Liquidity Index a Reliable Indicator for PredictingBitcoin (BTC) has been making significant strides in recent times, and a new analysis suggests that the cryptocurrency could reach a local top of $102,000 by January 2025. This prediction is based on the behavior of Bitcoin's liquidity index, a metric that measures the ease with which Bitcoin can be bought or sold.
The Significance of Bitcoin's Liquidity Index
The liquidity index is a crucial indicator of market sentiment and potential price movements. A higher liquidity index suggests increased investor interest and a stronger demand for Bitcoin. Conversely, a lower liquidity index may signal waning interest and potential price declines.
Historical Correlation Between Liquidity Index and Bitcoin Price
Historical data reveals a strong correlation between Bitcoin's liquidity index and its price. In the past, periods of high liquidity have often preceded significant price rallies, while periods of low liquidity have coincided with price corrections.
The 2025 Prediction
Based on the current trend of the liquidity index, analysts predict that Bitcoin could reach a local top of $102,000 by January 2025. This projection is supported by the historical correlation between the index and Bitcoin's price.
However, it's important to note that this prediction is based on the assumption that the historical correlation between the liquidity index and Bitcoin's price will continue to hold. While this assumption is reasonable, it's not guaranteed. Several factors could influence Bitcoin's price trajectory, including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and geopolitical events.
Potential Correction After the Peak
Following the projected $102,000 peak, Bitcoin may undergo a correction to around $70,000. This potential correction could be driven by profit-taking, overbought conditions, or a shift in market sentiment.
Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price
Several factors could impact Bitcoin's price in the coming months and years:
1. Macroeconomic Conditions: Global economic conditions, such as inflation rates, interest rates, and GDP growth, can significantly influence Bitcoin's price.
2. Regulatory Environment: Regulatory clarity and favorable policies can boost investor confidence and drive Bitcoin's adoption.
3. Institutional Adoption: Increased adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors, such as hedge funds and pension funds, can provide significant price support.
4. Network Upgrades: Technological advancements and network upgrades can enhance Bitcoin's scalability and efficiency, attracting more users and investors.
5. Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment, including fear, greed, and speculation, can play a significant role in short-term price fluctuations.
Conclusion
While the liquidity index suggests a potential $102,000 peak for Bitcoin by January 2025, it's essential to approach this prediction with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and unforeseen events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial advisors before making any investment decisions. It's also crucial to diversify one's investment portfolio and manage risk effectively.
As Bitcoin continues to evolve and mature, its long-term potential remains significant. However, investors should be prepared for both upside and downside volatility in the short term.
Is it ALT Season soon ? A New ApproachNearly Everyone looks to BTC.D to judge when ALT season starts, and while it is obviously Not wrong to do so, I have Looked at OTHERS.D for a while. alongside BTC.D
And this is what I find.
But first, a little History lesson. Bitcoin began in 2008 and was obviously The only one.
The First ALT coins were mined in 2011 and included LITECOIN and NAMECOIN.
ETHERIUM was not created until July 2015 - ETH is NOT the original ALT by a long way but it was marketed better.
So, What is OTHERS.D
The symbol "OTHERS.D" refers to the "Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 Dominance, %" index. This metric is used to track the performance of the cryptocurrency market, excluding the dominance of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.
Or the Mid to Low Cap ALTS
Previous altcoin seasons have witnessed remarkable surges in various altcoin prices, with some experiencing exponential growth within relatively short periods. Examples of notable altseasons include the bull runs of 2017-2018 and 2020-2021.
To the Chart
Vertical bold gashed lines are Bitcoin Halving dates
Vertical Green dashed lines are Bitcoin ATH dates
Green Boxes are ALT seasons that lasted more than a week.
We have had only 2 real ALT seasons previously and, if I am honest, it may remain that way.
Bitcoin has attained Mass adoption now and Corporate ownership.
But Time will tell and the ALT market is still seen as THE money maker.
But Bitcoin Dominance has to drop for ALT season to begin - OR DOES IT ?
YES - But we can also see how the Lower Caps rise, outside of the ETH based ALTS
The REAL ALTS, like LTC Run with this chart
And I wan to show you something I have noticed.
See the Day count from BTC ATH in Jan 2018 to the Low in August 2019 ( A ) of 608 days
From there to the beginning of the next ALT season was 519 days ( B )
From the ATH in Nov 2021 to the Low in Jan 2023 was 577 days ( Aa )
If we project a similar day count for Bb as we had for B, it takes us to --Drum Roll-----
NOW ( this is a monthly chart so we need an allowance of error of at least 15 days either way )
Also note how ALT season begins BEFORE BTC ATH
And with predictions of ATH in March to Dec Next year, this works out well.
BUT I WILL SAY - this is based of only 2 previous occasions and you will also note how much SMALLER the 2nd ALT season was.
As I said at the start, Bitcoin is THE Crypro. It will always be number 1
The Multitude of ALTS entering the market have not changed that.
But BTC.D just took a fall in the last 24 hours, ALTS Are running Hot right now.
ALT SEASON MAY HAVE JUST BEGUN