#BTC/USDT Weekly Update! $58k first!#BTC Weekly:
Closed red at $54,881. Holding the GETTEX:54K support is a positive sign in the short term. However, the price action seems incomplete, with substantial liquidity sitting around the GETTEX:48K and $43K levels (as mentioned in my previous article on BTC).
The key focus right now is maintaining the GETTEX:54K level.
If we lose this level on the daily chart with a confirmation candle, expect lower levels to be swept soon.
That said, as long as we hold the current level, we could see a retest of $58K to capture liquidity.
BTC Daily:-
The daily chart looks promising, as the price has bounced off the support, with a confirmation candle printing today.
Stay tuned, and I’ll keep this chart updated.
Hit that like button and share if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
Btcupdate
Bitcoin: Hodlers VS Cruisers VS TradersAnother very outside-the-box trend that I discovered while going down an INTOTHEBLOCK rabbit hole was the Holders' Composition by Time Held leading into the parabolic phase. These CRYPTOCAP:BTC Coin balances are a metric powered by INTOTHEBLOCK that shows ownership distribution over time.
What is a Hodler Balance?
They are address balances that have held CRYPTOCAP:BTC over a period of one year or longer. These are long-term investors. An increase in this metric shows long-term bullish sentiment.
What is a Cruiser?
They are address balances that have held CRYPTOCAP:BTC over a period of one - twelve months. These addresses are what we would consider swing traders. The transfer from Cruiser balance to Trader balance can be seen as bearish sentiment and the transfer from Trader to Cruiser can been seen as bullish sentiment.
What is a Trader?
They are address balances that have held CRYPTOCAP:BTC less than one month. These are short term balances of day traders, bot trading, etc. An increase in this metric would indicate volatility and a potential bearish sentiment in the market.
With that being said about the Trader Balance, on 10/22/20 we can see a (+6%) uptick in Trader balances and a (-2%) down in Cruiser Balances showing investors taking profits and trading into the volatility.
On 4/20/24, the Trader Balance crossed the Cruiser Balance solidifying this accumulation period.
They started closing in on each other at the end of July, Post-Bitcoin Conference w/Trump speech + JPY reverse-carry trade unwinding + Mega Tech FC. Now they have returned the their early July numbers.
KEY TAKEAWAY:
You will see a flow into TRADERSBALANCE, out of CRUISERSBALANCE AND HODLERSBALANCE when the market has officially accepted we have entered the parabolic phase of this bull cycle.
Look for a flow change and TRADERSBALANCE | CRUISERBALANCE cross between 10/8 & 10/22.
BTC: Can $50K Hold Strong This Time Around?Bitcoin Update:
BTC closed below GETTEX:54K on the daily chart, bringing the price close to the support trendline. As expected, BTC has made a bearish move.
What’s next?
The $50.6K support, or around $50K, must hold to help BTC rebound and rally. The RSI is attempting to form a bullish divergence; if successful, it could be positive for BTC.
For now, all eyes are on the support range between $50K and $52.5K.
Hope this helps. Trade safely.
Best regards,
Team Dexter
#BTCUSDT #Crypto
Remember! Remember! The 5th of November!Thursday... the 5th of November 2020... CRYPTOCAP:BTC pumped nearly 7% in one day.
We were 30ish days into the parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle for #Bitcoin.
It was trading at $14,911.
The holders had no idea that CRYPTOCAP:BTC would continue to climb an additional 335% over another 5 months, reaching a local ATH of $64,895 on April 14th 2021.
Here we are on September 6th, 2024. CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped to $52,546 or (-3.8%) for the day.
Septembers are a sore subject when it comes to financial markets and Bitcoin in particular.
Across the Post-Halving years, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will drop -2% historically.
Considering CRYPTOCAP:BTC has tested local lows across the 5th and 6th of the last 3 months;
July 5-6th low: $53,499
August 5-6th low: $49,050
September 5-6th low: $52,546 (so far)
It is almost like someone is trolling the Holders...
The focus of this chart is to consider the above and the following.
Have we found our local bottom this early in September? ($52,546)
How will Bitcoin react to the upcoming 25 bps Fed Rate cut? ($50,000 vs $60,000)
Will our price position entering the parabolic phase affect the overall gains over the next 6 months? (90% vs 480%)
Where will our new ATH fall next April/May? ($100,000 vs $305,000)
Let me know how bearish or bullish you think the future of Bitcoin is.
$BTC is showing positive signs. CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains in a massive consolidation pattern due to the ETF pump, which overheated the market on the 1W timeframe. The MACD has reset, and we are currently in a downtrend.
However, the chart indicates that we may have reached the bottom at 48k, and we’re starting to see higher lows. The MACD also shows the potential for a cross at 0, which could signal a reversal within 2 to 4 weeks.
A new rising pattern is emerging, which could be the foundation for an uptrend reversal. If the MACD fails to cross at 0, consolidation may continue for another month or two, causing further pain for altcoins.
That said, we also observe a bullish divergence forming, which is another positive signal. Additionally, USDT dominance is at resistance and could be rejected.
In summary:
- Possible MACD 1W cross and reversal
- Emergence of a rising channel pattern
- USDT dominance at resistance
- RSI in oversold territory
These signs suggest that the market has cooled down and may be ready to resume its upward progress.
$IBIT Gap Filled As Forecast (New Leading Bitcoin Indicator?)Proof that this works?
So far it's 100% accurate.
Every single 'Gap' on the NASDAQ:IBIT 4-Hour chart has filled.
Refer back to my prior videos showing this, and while this does NOT mean it will continue to work forever... It's certainly a curious anomoly.
And likely works based on the same principals as the CME gaps which typically fill 99% of the time (There's still an unfilled gap on the Bitcoin CME at $9750 as I recall). But who's counting.
Going forward, I'll be using this as an additional guide to where price may be heading and potentially reversing to, before resuming trent.
Like and share this with your other trader friends, as this has been very interesting to monitor!
Long on BTC/USDT – 4H TimeframeWe have entered a long position on BTC/USDT on the 4-hour timeframe after the trade was triggered at a key support level. The strategy is to leverage this 4-hour support zone with the goal of targeting the previous high. We will be actively monitoring this trade and making adjustments as the price action unfolds.
Key Levels:
• Entry: Initiated at the current support level on the 4-hour chart, where buyers have historically stepped in.
• Target: Aiming for a move towards the previous high, where the price may encounter resistance.
• Stop-Loss: Placed below the support level to protect against further downside risk, ensuring a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Rationale:
This trade is based on the assumption that the 4-hour support will hold, providing a springboard for a move back towards the previous high. The technical setup aligns with a potential bullish reversal, but we remain cautious given the market’s volatility.
Risk Management:
We will be actively monitoring this position, ready to adjust stop-loss levels and take partial profits as the trade progresses. The focus is on managing risk effectively while capitalizing on the potential upside.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
#Bitcoin 1D chart updated;CRYPTOCAP:BTC 1D chart;
Let's do a general #Bitcoin analysis;
Bitcoin hasn't had a daily EMA (50-200) crossover in a little over 11 months. However, if it continues like this, it will experience a Dead Cross cross in a few days. This can also be interpreted as a bearish signal. This intersection does not mean that it will fall 100%, but it is one of the strong signals.
Bitcoin continues its downtrend after its historic peak, making continuous lower highs.
I would like to draw your attention to the MSS levels; they signal a trend reversal. The last upward trend reversal happened and it hasn't changed to the downside yet. For this to happen, a close below the +OB level of $56000 is required. Then the downside MSS will take place. Following this closely will give you an idea of the possible trend direction.
It last tested the $49000 level with a hard pin. This is the OB resistance. We see that this area is working well.
I still think that the $48000 level, which I have mentioned every time (unless there is no contrary data), can be retested.
However, if there is a close below it, the OB at $42000 and the BPR (Balance Price Range) at $41000, just below it, could be tested.
These are not possibilities that I expect, I just want to let you know that these levels exist. In a possible dire scenario, these levels can be targeted to determine entry points.
140 Days into the 2024 Post-Halving for $BTCWe have 47 days until the new CRYPTOCAP:BTC ATH.
Watch for pressure driving the price down as there is a high potential to retest the $50-52k range within the next 9-10 days. Avoid capitulation if possible. Historically, the parabolic phase of this cycle will start within the next 4-5 weeks.
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Key Notes:
- Holiday Prediction Levels -
Halloween | 2024 | GETTEX:82K
Thanksgiving | 2024 | $105k
Christmas | 2024 | $142k
New Years Day | 2025 | $185k
- 500 D ATH Prediction Levels -
Bear | $110k
Base | $200k
Bull | $314k
- 280 D ATH Prediction Level -
Realist | $148k
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Prediction indicators based on historical data from the 3rd Post-Halving cycle.
Institutional, Micro, Macro and Seasonal economic pressures from either direction could blow this off course. I am hopeful the pending September 2024 Fed Rate cut will move the new ATH up by 10-15 days and result in a higher retest low before going parabolic.
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Indicator used is LuxAlgo's historical price prediction indicator, Date is 9/5/20 used on a daily chart with a growth factor of (1). The BLUE trend line is traced over the 2020/2021 parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle.
#BTC/USDT Bounce Incoming! Futures Trade Setup!#Bitcoin : 10/10 So far! Bounce seems highly likely at this level.
RSI Bullish divergence in the hourly chart.
But of course, no one knows for certain in this kind of market!
Invalidation:- Daily close below $54018.18!
If you're looking for a swing Trade, $54890 to 56150 is a good range to accumulate long on spot!
Futures Setup Here:- There's a higher chance of this setup getting invalidated if we lose 55500 again so be careful to try to keep your entry as low as possible to keep your Stop Loss small.
Always use leverage below 5x!
Entry:-
$56150, (50% entry)
$55700, (20% Entry)
$54890 (30% Entry)
Targets:-
$57155
$57855
$58200
$59544
Stop Loss:- $53854
This is a risky trade so always do your research this is not financial advice.
Do hit the like button if you want me to post more!
Thank you
PEACE
BITCOIN PARABOLIC PHASE INCOMING ‼️ BITCOIN PARABOLIC PHASE INCOMING ‼️
Confirmed $100k CRYPTOCAP:BTC by 2025.
If TVC:GOLD walks away from this new ATH...
It would confirm there is enough correlation to look further into a 49 month clock in the #GOLD & #Bitcoin Bull-Cycle.
Theory is... #GOLD will start it's parabolic phase of its bull cycle, lasting 6 months and reaching a new ATH. There will be a 2 month "break" between both assets, sideways or slightly down. After the 2 month break, #Bitcoin will start it's parabolic phase of its bull cycle, also lasting 6 months. The two assets will go sideways and do their thing for 35 months before the 14 month parabolic dance starts all over.
Cycle 1⃣:
02/01/2020 | TVC:GOLD | $1,587
08/01/2020 | TVC:GOLD | $2,049
+29% Change
10/01/2020 | CRYPTOCAP:BTC | $10,555
04/01/2021 | CRYPTOCAP:BTC | $58,732
+456% Change
Cycle 2⃣:
03/01/24 | TVC:GOLD | $2,004
09/01/24 | TVC:GOLD | $2,555
+27% Change
11/01/24 | CRYPTOCAP:BTC | TBD
05/01/25 | CRYPTOCAP:BTC | TBD
TBD% Change
The TVC:GOLD trend lines match during the 6 month parabolic phases.
46 degree trend on the daily, both cycles.
-31 degree trend on the daily, 8 months after ATH.
...If History repeats itself...
CRYPTOCAP:BTC should stay sideways or down for the next 55 days. Most likely a fake-out pump coming from the pending Fed Rate cut this month. We should stay below FWB:65K based on the price action around the Jackson Hole speech.
We would only need an 88% increase this phase for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to reach $100k. This is a small ask, considering the previous post-halving cycles. If it follows the same trend line up this cycle we could see $305k next April. As nice as that sounds, it is not very likely we will see a 456% gain this cycle.
BTC Daily - Key Levels for Bulls and BearsOn the daily timeframe, we’re closely monitoring Bitcoin at pivotal levels. A **green line** indicates a strong buy opportunity where bullish pressure might emerge. Meanwhile, a **red line** marks a critical sell zone, where bears most probably would step in to push the price down. These levels are essential for planning both long and short positions, providing clear signals for potential moves in either direction.
Feel free to drop a comment, boost this post if it helps, and hit that follow button for more trading ideas and insights!
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC As expected testing $56,557 support, Next key support at $54,364, Failed to follow up on bullish engulfing on 1D which was pretty clear yesterday. RSI on 4H almost in oversold region, $58,882 will resist, $61,953 key resistance. $52,529 next key support after $54,364.
BTC Monday Range Play and KeylevelsIn this video, I analyze Bitcoin's (BTC) price action with a focus on a short-term Monday range play. I dive into the specific key levels where we could potentially see a reversal. We’ll break down how these levels have been acting as support and resistance throughout the trading week, and discuss the importance of monitoring price behavior at these zones.
17 year experienced trader talks about BITCOINMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and just want to share my thoughts on Bitcoin. This is a very important video and should be watched carefully.
Bitcoin is getting to the end of the consolidation and very close to a move.
Any questions please hit me up
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Last 4h closed with bearish pin bar, testing $58,882 support with potential of follow thru to previous bearish close on current 4H, on the other hand 1D closed with bullish engulfing but considering current volume and everything seems tough for it to follow up, $58,290 next support area and key support at $56,557.
#BTC/USDT Urgent Update!### BTC/USDT Technical Analysis (1D)
**Overview:**
Bitcoin is trading below the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs, within a descending channel, indicating a bearish trend. A break above these EMAs could trigger bullish price action.
**Key Points:**
- **Resistance:** $61,802 (channel top), $60,364.
- **Support:** $54018, 47,710, $43,882.
- **Invalidation Level:** $54,018 (daily close below).
**Scenarios:**
1. **Bullish:** Break above EMAs and channel top could target $68,000.
2. **Bearish:** Failure to break above EMAs and a close below $54,018 may lead to a drop towards $47,710 or lower.
**Conclusion:**
I think the price must break soon in the next few weeks, likely following our scenario with the blue forecast lines. Watch for a breakout above the EMAs for bullish potential; otherwise, expect further downside within the channel.
Do let me know what you think in the comments section and please hit the like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
$BTC is in a Descending Channel.CRYPTOCAP:BTC is in a Descending Channel.
Around 24th of January 2024, BTC started the descending channel journey. Currently, this asset is a smaller channel.
Overall, should we say BTC has been selling?
Anyway, $58K, $56K & GETTEX:54K are some zones to look our for below the current price.
Risk management is still the king.
BTC BITCOIN Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we explore BTC, which has recently exhibited bearish momentum with a break of structure on the 4-hour time frame. The pair has pulled back and is now retracing into a critical resistance level. I see potential for further downside and am closely monitoring whether the price holds below the current range low. If a breakout occurs, I plan to enter a sell position, as explained in the video. However, if the price action doesn't align with the discussed setup, there will be no trade.
It's essential to understand that these insights are speculative and not guaranteed predictions. Confirming specific price actions before entering any trades is crucial, as emphasised in the video. The analysis offers an in-depth look at the current trend, market structure, and price behaviour. Remember, this content is for educational purposes and does not guarantee success. Trading involves significant risks, so always implement strong risk management strategies. 📈✅
BTC updateThe current monthly candle appears neutral. It is likely to test the 0.618 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels of that candle, which are around the 55k mark.
Following this, we could see a range forming, with the range high around 60k.
Despite the monthly close, there is still no clear trend on the higher time frame. We can expect more choppiness and sideways movement. I am working on identifying dates when the market sentiment might turn positive and will share them once I have more clarity.
Looking at Line chart we should bottom between 0.236-0.382. Max drawdown is 54k