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BITCOIN Held key Cycle Support, preparing a mega break-out!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding off the 0.5 Fibonnaci Lower Lows trend-line that provided Support numerous times during the previous Cycle but when it finally closed a 1W candle below it (June 06 2022) it started the final bearish sequence. Currently this is very positive for the upside's chances and if BTC manages to close a 1W candle above the 0 Fib, we can see the final two bullish waes to 36000 and 43000. At the same time, the Higher Lows trend-line since the market bottom is holding, while the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) hasn't been re-tested in a month and a half. Do you think that hold on the 0.5 Fib was the key and we are off to the races again? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
SHORT ON BITCOIN : DO YOU AGREELooking at it the price of bitcoin has grown to our daily order block and has reached the equilibrium of the order block jumping to a one-hour timeframe we can see a weakness that the price what to reverse in the short term to efficiently deliver the price to 28600 level this is my low handing fruit objective to take a trade to, from there we can see a further weakness or strength in the price of bitcoin that will be for later analysis... Pay close attention to the area I marked bearish and bullish for trade entry or exit respectively...... Follow me for more analysis and feel free to ask any questions you have I'm here to help. remember this is not a trade signal DYOR before investment. Oluwadahunsi Eyenla @oluwadahunsieyenla 14th April 2023 Please do like and comment if you like my work even though I just started :) motivate me to do better...
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by oluwadahunsii
2
BITCOIN being pumped after China bonds macro cycle bottomIt is not the first time we look into how the Chinese bonds (with our unique CN02Y/CN20Y ratio displayed by the green trend-line) affect Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles: It is however the first time we add stocks (S&P500 with the blue trend-line) in the mix. We can see the Cyclical behavior of the bond yields ratio as illustrated by the Sine Waves. Every time it bottoms, BTC and stocks bottom as well and start a cyclical rally. Additionally, you can see how the ratio has been on a Channel Down for the past 10 years, supporting the bullish expansion on both Bitcoin and the stock market. Since the bond yields ratio is already rallying hard with BTC/ stocks following, do you think that this is just the beginning? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN Keep it simple. 1W RSI above 70 = rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame is about to see its RSI break above the 70.00 overbought barrier. A simplistic yet reliable historical way of viewing the current situation is that every time the RSI broke above this level, BTC was either starting a mega Parabolic Rally or was in the middle of a smaller rally. On five occasions the rallies were very aggressive, on four there were less, the kind of rallies we see at the start of a Bull Cycle. What is it going to be this time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
10
BITCOIN Is 300k the true potential of this Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) isn't backing down, withstanding to perfection so far any noise in the stock market, a development that establishes that its new Bull Cycle is well underway. Having broken above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and what will most likely be the 4th straight weekly closing above it, we can see that it is testing (and so far struggling to break) the key former Support of the Bear Cycle (Fibonacci 1.0). The previous Cycle made an aggressive rally to the 2.0 Fib extension after it broke above the Bear Cycle's Support (Fib 1.0) and peaked 28 weeks after the bottom. In an amazing act of symmetry, we see that these last two Bear Cycles lasted for 52 weeks each. Since so far the moves are proportional, we cannot easily dismiss the probability of this '1st Rally Phase' being also 28 weeks and reaching as high as the 2.0 Fib, which is a little over $53k. Beyond this, a year of basically ranged trading wouldn't be unrealistic, until the Halving 4 event (which is programmed for March 2024) that will inflict a huge supply shock and as it did in May 2020, initiate the final, mega parabolic rally of the Bull Cycle. That part of the previous Cycle, from the time BTC reached the 0.2 Fib until its November 2021 peak, lasted 124 weeks. The peak was achieved a little under the 5.0 Fibonacci extension. A repeat of makes $300000 by October 2025 a plausible target. Does this reveal Bitcoin's true potential for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
BITCOIN About to wave goodbye to 30k for good if broken?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of a critical breakthrough on the 1W time-frame. The former Support of the first half of the Bear Cycle is around 30k and is currently being tested. History has shown that when this level gets tested as a Resistance and breaks during the start of a new Bull Cycle, it never gets retested (cannot count the irregularity of a once in 100 years event like the COVID pandemic in March 2020. At the same time time, when it breaks the 9°Lower Highs trend-line, the Parabolic Rally starts and doesn't look back. All this while the 1W LMACD is on perfect symmetry with the previous Support tests. Are we about to wave 'bye bye' to 30k for good? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN Inverse Head & Shoulders gives historic bull runs!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is in the process of completing a peculiar Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern on a bullish slope. This has historically been extremely bullish for BTC. For reference, we post the most recent such formation (June - August 2021) and the whole 2017 Parabolic Rise which contained 5 similar patterns. The technical target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, currently a little over $38000. Do you think that's BTC's immediate target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
BITCOIN So much for Resistances...Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yet another Resistance level, this time the Lower Lows Pivot trend-line that started from the Lower Lows of the Bear Cycle. When this happened during the previous Cycle in early May 2019, BTC skyrocketed to the next Pivot trend-line (upper dashed) and consolidated there before the next one (dotted). Of course the fundamentals aren't the same, and Bitcoin doesn't have the Libra euphoria to ride but still this technical symmetry is an indication. Notice also now correlated the LMACD sequences are. Both bottomed around the same (2D tf) level at -0.18 to -0.16 and faced Resistance above the 0.00 mark on the previous Highs. Do you expect Bitcoin to continue rising and hit the next Pivot trend-line around $39000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN What happens if 30k breaks?A lot of market participants are calling for a firm end to Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) rally around the 30k mark. Who can blame them? Bitcoin has been on a very aggressive rally since the start of the year with its price in the low 16000s at the time. As we pointed out at an earlier analysis however, the breaking and closing of a 1W candle above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), set in motion the 2nd phase of this rally towards $30000. ** Former Support Zone turned into Resistance ** This is the level that most are afraid of and rightly so as the broader range of 29500 - 32500 is the former Support Zone (now Resistance) of the Bear Cycle, the Zone that initially supported the first sell-off and closed all candles above it for many months. When it finally gave in in May 2022, BTC entered the 2nd, most aggressive but final phase of the Bear Cycle. In fact, such Zones were present in BTC's previous Cycles. The Resistance Zone in 2019 was within 5800 - 6200 while in 2015 with 350 - 410. ** The 0.5 Fibonacci ** What's perhaps more important than this Zone itself, is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level since the Cycle's top. On the current Cycle that's at $32800. In these past two Cycles, when Bitcoin closed a 1W candle above the 0.5 Fib, the price rallied and hit the 0.786 Fib in 6 and 8 weeks respectively! The 0.786 Fib on the current Cycle is at $50000. But why do we give more weight to the 0.5 Fib instead of the Resistance Zone around the 30k mark? Because even though in the previous Cycle on the week May 06 2019, BTC broke above it and aggressively extended the rally, in the Cycle before on the week of November 02 2015, it broke (even above the 0.5 Fib) but got sold massively only to close the 1W candle back below it. As a result, a closing above the 0.5 Fib would be a more accurate signal. Notice also that by the time the post 0.5 Fib rally reached the 0.786 level and peaked, the 1W RSI was at or slightly above 80.00 (obviously massively overbought). A strong medium-term sell/ take profit signal. But what do you think will happen if 30k breaks? Will it rally to 50k and the 0.786 Fibonacci or pull-back and and consolidate for a multi-week period until it does so? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN Cycle comparison and how China bonds initiate new Bull!This is not the first time we incorporate the Chinese bond yields element (CN02Y/CN20Y) to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analysis, but it is the first time we do so in such an illustrative way by displaying all Cycles from a common starting point. We have made a case in the past how strong of a correlation the Chinese bond market has with Bitcoin and how efficiently that can predict its Cycles. As you see on the chart, each Cycle portrays a certain period: Red = Cycle 1 -2 (2010 - 2014), Blue = Cycle 2 - 3 (2015 - 2018) and Orange = Cycle 3 - 4 (2019 - now). The CN02Y/CN20Y ratio is displayed in Grey. A key characteristic is that all Cycles have a common start, the bottom of the previous one. We see the effect of diminishing returns as each Cycle is less aggressive (naturally) from the previous one. We also see the strong connection with CN02Y/CN20Y, as when the ratio starts declining, BTC enters a Bear Cycle, and once the ratio starts rising, BTC initiates a Bull Cycle. Right now it appears that we are at the point where the CN02Y/CN20Y ratio typically peaks and consolidates, which for BTC is translated to the time it breaks above its 1W MA50 and practically starts a new aggressive rally, the first of the new Bull Cycle. Based on this model, Bitcoin should extend the rally it started this year. Do you agree? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
BITCOIN is repeating late January. Small rise and consolidation Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in terms of RSI and MACD on the 4H time-frame, is replicating the formations of late January. We have applied the Pitchfork tool since January's Low and is shows a highly accurate pattern whose Fibonacci levels form Resistance/ Support lines. The 4H MACD is about to make a Bullish Cross and on January 20 that was the start of a mini price jump before a 3-week consolidation. This is portrayed by the green Rectangle. As long as the 4H MA50 holds (blue trend-line), it is not unlikely to see another mini pump. The Support is located within the 0.236 - 0.382 Fibs, assuming it follows January's sequence. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
BITCOIN $50000 is a realistic target by November!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) satisfied those that kept comparing the 2022/23 Cycle to the 2014/15 one as after the a clear rejection on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it rebounded on the Cyclical Lower Highs trend-line and since last week it closed above it as well as the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This symmetry is remarkable and it doesn't stop here. Right now we are 101 weeks after the Cycle's true technical top on the week of April 12 2021. Notice that the 2nd week following the first 1W candle closing above the 1W MA50 in 2015 was on the October 26 2015 candle. That was 100 weeks after the Cycle Top! If this amazing symmetry continues to hold, then we can expect BTC to reach the 0.786 Fibonacci level in 33 weeks from now, i.e. on the 1W candle of November 06 2023. That gives an exact target of $50000. Do you think this pattern will hold until then? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7
BITCOIN Knocking on the massive 2-year Liquidity Zone's door.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week the first 1W candle above the 1W MA50 since March 2022, ending a full year of intense selling pressure. This closing opens up enormous long-term bullish possibilities as the new Bull Cycle has just started and the first challenge is the massive Cycle Liquidity Zone (green range) that goes back to January 2021! As you see this zone, which sits around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and within the 0.382 - 0.618 Fib range, has provided long-term Support three times but when 2 straight 1W candles closed below Fib 0.5, it turned into Supply and opened the way for the May-June 2022 collapse. It is easy to understand therefore the importance of this Cyclical Zone. BTC is about to enter it and most likely will test Fib 0.5 (32750) and provide us with the direction. A double candle closing above it, could be what fuels Bitcoin to even higher Highs. Don't neglect also the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which most likely will be on the 0.5 Fib by the time of a potential test. It is worth noting that all the time the Liquidity Zone was tested, were with the Supertrend indicator in red. This time the indicator is in green, showing that Bitcoin has indeed started a new Bull Cycle. So what do you think this Liquidity Zone test has in store for Bitcoin? Will it be bullish or bearish? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN The party has started and has another 33 months left!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) gives us a very clear picture with regards to its long-term Cycles on the 1M (monthly) time-frame. As you see, once the 1M RSI hit the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of its 10 year Channel Down, BTC bottomed and the new Bull Cycle started. This Bull Cycle should last for approximately 35 months (1065 days) as this was roughly the duration of the previous two Cycles. Even the Bear Cycles are on almost perfect symmetry as the last three lasted for around 13 months (396 days). We have also plotted the patterns of the last two Bull Cycles on the current one in order to give an average projection. If the top hit somewhere within Multiple 6 and 7 (Fib MAs), then we can see $150k. So what do you think about this Cycle symmetry? Has the Bull party just started and has another 33 months to it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
BITCOIN The S&P/GOLD ratio is leading the way!This is a unique study showing the correlation of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) with the S&P500/Gold ratio (SPX/XAUUSD) displayed by the orange trend-line. On this 1W time-frame, Bitcoin has broken above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and will attempt to make the first closing above it, in order to confirm the new Bull Cycle beyond any doubt. In the previous Cycle this took place on the week of April 29 2019. As you can see, the patterns between the two Cycles are identical. Bitcoin tends to peak earlier when the S&P500/Gold ratio makes its last Higher High before it eventually tops after BTC is well within its Bear Cycle. The S&P500/Gold ratio then forms a series of Lower Highs, the second of which is when BTC bottoms (excluding the FTX crash, that would have been the bottom). At the moment we are expecting a Lower Low on the S&P500/Gold ratio in order to price the first High of the first rally of the new Bull Cycle. Do you think the S&P500/Gold ratio is leading the way for Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7