Breakouttrading
Strong Buy SBIN cmp 622, Target 670++ within 3-5 trade sessions.State Bank of India is a Fortune 500 company. It is an Indian Multinational, Public Sector banking and financial services statutory body headquartered in Mumbai. It is the largest and oldest bank in India with over 200 years of history.
Branch Network
Presently, the bank operates a network of 22,219 branches and 62617 ATMs across India. It also operates 71,968 business correspondent outlets across India.
Market Share
The bank has a market share of 22.84% in deposits and 19.69% share in advances in India. It has a strong customer base of 45 crore customers.
Loan Book
Retail loans account for 39% of the loan book, followed by corporate (37%), SME (14%) and Agriculture (10%). The bank has a well-diversified loan book exposed to various sectors. Top sectors include home loans (23%), infrastructure (15%), services (12%) and agriculture (10%). 75% of the corporate advances are rated A and better ratings from rating agencies. 38% of the corporate book accounts for PSUs & Govt. departments.
International Business
The bank has a global footprint with a network of 233 branches/offices in 32 countries. It has presence in USA, Canada, Brazil, Russia, Germany, France, Turkey, Australia, Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka and other countries. Presently, Overseas business accounts for 3% of total deposits and 13% of total advances.
Government Business
SBI has always been the banker of choice to the government of India and is the market leader in government business. It had turnover of 52,50,000 lakh crores and commissions of 3,700 crores from government business in FY20.
Financial Inclusion Business
The bank has 71,000 BC outlets which has primary focus on financial inclusion customers. The bank accounts for 40% of all PMJDY accounts i.e. more than 12 crore accounts. Presently, the deposits from PMJDY accounts are 42,500 crores i.e. 1.2% of total deposits of the bank.
Digital Metrics
Increasing digitization resulted in 40% of asset accounts and 60% of liability customers added via digital channels in FY21.
Subsidiaries Operations
The bank owns various subsidiaries which are engaged in related business activities :-
1. SBI Capital Markets Ltd (100% stake)
2. SBI DHFI Ltd (72% stake)
3. SBI Cards and Payment Services Ltd (69% stake)
4. SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd (57.6% stake)
5. SBI Funds Management Pvt Ltd (63% stake)
6. SBI General Insurance Company Ltd (70% stake)
KEY Ratios (Q1FY24)
Capital Adequacy Ratio - 14.50%
Net Interest Margin - 3.34%
Gross NPA - 4.77%
Net NPA - 1.23%
CASA Ratio - 45.15%
Book Value ₹ 402
Price to book value 1.55
Bank's performance:
Quarterly net profit of 14,330 crores.
Operating profit for Q2FY24 at 19,417 crores.
RoA for H1FY24 at 1.10%.
RoE for H1FY24 at 22.57%.
Net interest income increased by 12.27% YoY.
Non-interest income increased by 21.59% YoY.
Credit growth:
Domestic advances grew by 13.21%.
Driven by SME advances, retail personal advances, and agri advances.
Corporate segment advances grew by 6.62%.
Asset quality:
Gross NPA ratio improved by 97 bps YoY to 2.55%.
Net NPA ratio improved by 16 bps to 0.64%.
PCR improved by 39 bps YoY to 91.93%.
Future outlook:
Credit and deposit growth expected to be around 16-17% in FY24.
Margins may see a slight compression of 3-5 bps due to increased deposit rates.
Aims to maintain credit growth momentum by disbursing pending loans and converting proposals into sanctions.
SME loans:
Witnessed healthy growth in SME book.
Initiatives taken to improve infrastructure for SME lending.
Expects to reach target of 4 trillion in SME loans by FY24.
Unsecured loans:
Unsecured loan portfolio, including Xpress Credit, has a low GNPA ratio of 0.69%.
Resilient in terms of asset quality.
Digital initiatives:
Increased traction in cross-selling business through YONO.
Sourced 61% of savings bank accounts digitally.
Launched "YONO for Every Indian" and witnessed growth in digital loan portfolio.
Capital adequacy:
Well capitalized with a capital adequacy ratio of 14.28% and CET-1 ratio of 9.94% which is well above regulatory requirements. Expects CET-1 ratio to improve further with ploughing back of profits.
Conclusion:
SBIN stock price has given a breakout multiple times along with the strong volumes and today it has retested the breakout zone, which is a strong buying point for a minimum target of 670 in 3-5 trading sessions. Fundamentally, stock can has an intrinsic valuation of Rs.800 so there is an enough cushion and momentum on upside.
Alphabet - Wait For The RetestHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Alphabet.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2012 Alphabet created a beautiful triangle formation and after we saw the breakout Alphabet pumped more than +750% towards the upside. At the moment Alphabet is creating a solid resistance area at the $150 level. If we get a retest of the bullish trendline which I mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for longs and eventually new all time highs.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
EURUSD Possible Falling Wedge BreakHi Traders!
A falling wedge is forming on the EURUSD 4H chart, and we could have a breakout soon.
Here are the details:
The market has found support and resistance at both the trendline support and trendline resistance of the wedge, as the market is looking for a direction.
Looking at the price action, it looks bullish; we have had multiple tests at the trendline support and have broken above the 20 EMA. The market is currently on the trendline resistance, and we are looking for a break and a close above the trendline.
As long as the market stays above the 20 EMA, our view will remain bullish. We expect some more consolidation before a possible attempt at the trendline break.
Preferred Direction: Buy
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Resistance: 1.08501
Support: 1.07960
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD Possible Triangle BreakHi Traders!
A symmetrical triangle is forming on the GBPUSD 4H chart, and we could have a breakout soon.
Here are the details:
The market has found support and resistance at both the trendline support and trendline resistance of the triangle, as the market is looking for a direction.
Looking at the price action, it looks bearish; we have had multiple tests at the trendline support and have broken below the 20 EMA. The market is currently trading on the trendline support, and we are looking for a break and a close below the trendline.
As long as the market stays below the 20 EMA, our view will remain bearish. We expect some more consolidation before a possible attempt at the trendline break.
Preferred Direction: Sell
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Resistance: 1.26947
Support: 1.27674
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
A PSU bank, multi year breakout, can it multiply your profits?A sector that has woken up in recent years.
A bank which is still trading at fair value to its growth backed by positive earnings release
Technical chart looks good for a buy setup at CMP. DMI indicates bullish strength and Fibonacci retracement shows the stock having good support at 116 levels
Union Bank is my pick of the PSU banks for a medium to long-term horizon.
Entry - 140-142
Stop Loss - 116
Target 220/270
The Unspoken Mystery behind SL Hunting - Example: EaseMyTripThe Unspoken Truth & Mystery behind Stop-Loss Hunting:
*** The Most Important Point ***
Many Training Academies & Experts say it is Most Critical to have SL, but where ? How much % ? In Equity Delivery Trading (Not F&O / Not Intraday) – when you have done thorough analysis of stock and sector, more than SL, patience is key. Understand the Unspoken Truth – In Trading, Money is not grown organically – the Loss of one person gets to another one as Profit.
If Everyone knows a scrip will bounce from a Strong Support – then how will Big Players make money ? By Cheating us, By Faking a Breakdown Scenario, By Stretching beyond our SLs. Although no one knows where we have placed our SLs, Big players know for the fact that a Retail trader won’t have their SLs beyond 10-15%. That’s the normal capacity. So, they try to shatter your patience, break your SL by a Fake Breakdown just beyond an average Retail player. Once our SLs have been hit, then they will pump in money aggressively to take the price Higher. This will hit the SLs of other set of Retail players who may have Shorted the scrip Intraday / F&O when the support was broken.
Voila – the Big Players now have hit SLs of Retail players on both sides and will take the price much higher. On a Chart – this will appear as “Wick” on higher timeframe. A proper Breakdown of Support on Daily timeframe will appear as Wick on Weekly and weekly breakdown appears as Wick on Monthly.
2) Pattern Negation:
While Taking a trade using Breakout patterns (Rounding Bottom, Inverted H&S, Cup & Handle etc…), the Pattern is Deemed as Negated when the price re-enters below the BO zone. But watch carefully on higher timeframe to ensure it is not a Fake Negation. At least we need to have patience to confirm negation of Pattern on Weekly Close. Even if it gets negated on Weekly – do not exit the trade on SL. Understand where the next major support is. Only if it is far down below – take a calculated decision to exit the trade on SL. Else hold patiently for the price to take support from the next Demand zone and bounce back. 9 out of 10 times (unless the sector itself is in negative sentiment) the price will bounce back / goes sideways accumulating power from the Demand zone.
In the case of EasemyTrip - The Falling Parallel Channel / Flag Pattern breakout happended on Weekly and it had to cross the resistance at 46 to be deemed a successful Breakout. But even after Breakout, the scrip started falling down sharply below the 46 Resistance zone on Daily. But look at the Weekly Candle - Only Wick below. for 2 Weeks Big Players tried to scare-off weak hands by faking Breakdown again and again on Daily Timeframe. But on Weekly - for both the weeks only Wick is below 46 and candle ended above 46 zone confirming the Flag Pattern Break-Out as Successful and Still Valid
Disclaimer:
Stocks-n-Trends is NOT a SEBI registered company. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi--timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions.
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-Team Stocks-n-Trends
SILVER Trendline Resistance BreakHi Traders!
SILVER has broken its trendline resistance on the 1D chart.
Here are the details:
The market has found support around the 21.874 level, which is a previous swing low. Today's candle has opened above the trendline resistance and is currently on the 20 EMA.
We are looking for a close above the trendline resistance and a momentum push above the 20 EMA. The plan here is to buy market dips near the trendline resistance.
Preferred Direction: Buy
Resistance (FLAG CHANNEL): 23.25
Support (FLAG CHANNEL): 21.874
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
USOIL Triangle PatternHi Traders!
A symmetrical triangle is forming on the USOIL 1D chart, and we could have a breakout soon.
Here are the details:
The market has found support and resistance at both the trendline support and trendline resistance of the triangle, as the market is looking for a direction. Looking at the price action, it looks bullish due to the market swings; the lows and highs are starting to get higher, and additionally, the market is above the 20 EMA.
As long as the market is still above the 20 EMA, our view will remain bullish. We expect some more consolidation before a possible third attempt at the trendline resistance.
Preferred Direction: Buy
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Resistance: 74.91
Support: 72.13
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
USDCAD Triangle PatternHi Traders!
There is a triangle pattern on the USDCAD 4H chart ahead of the Bank of Canada (BoC) Monetary Policy Report, Rate Decision, and press conference.
Here are the details:
The price action looks bullish due to US dollar strength, and the market is currently in a consolidation phase in the triangle.
Depending on what we get later from the Bank of Canada, we may get a re-test of the monthly high at 1.35420 if the triangle resistance breaks.
It is expected that the BoC will hold rates at 5%.
Preferred Direction: Buy
Resistance: 1.34797 (TRENDLINE RESISTANCE)
Resistance: 1.35420 (MONTHLY HIGH)
Support: 1.34401 (TRENDLINE SUPPORT)
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
Bitcoin price action analysis can reach 30k ranges The price has lost 50 Moving average and EMA top. Heading to 100 and 200 moving averages.
Hopefully 200 MA must give some support or else it can reach more downside .The lower low price action indicates bearishness and no sight of uptrend .
On weekly scale a large bearish wick is worrisome .if price retraced from rectangular box with good volumes there can be hope to reach 48k ranges again for retracement.
if price goes down and down the 1 day MA and EMA will print death cross which can lead to more downside in next month mid.
thank you.if helpful like and follow for more updates.