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BITCOIN, Massive Channel TO Show Final Outcome!Hello Community, Welcome to my new analysis of Bitcoin from the daily timeframe perspective. Since the FTX crypto collapse, massive liquidation were triggered within the crypto market and Bitcoin all-together with other major cryptocurrencies showed up with a devastating plunge to the downside which is likely not have happened if the FTX exchange at this time the second biggest exchange within the crypto market collapsed. The interesting thing here is that Bitcoin actually follows a pattern with fractals in this pattern as Bitcoin showed a similar fractal-dump already in the U.S.-Dollar index within August as seen in my chart. Taking these events into perspective now, as it is seen within my chart, Bitcoin is trading in a paramount Descending-Channel-Formation with the Accumulation-Channel in the lower boundaries and the Distribution-Channel in the upper boundaries. Now as Bitcoin is testing the lower Accumulation-Channel again this is a crucial situation as Bitcoin from here on shows a second Accumulation-And-Breakout-Fractal as it already formed within the bigger channel. Therefore, once Bitcoin manages to break out the Accumulation-Channel a rally is likely to continue till the Distribution-Channel is reached once again. The final crucial determination of the concluding trend direction will come once Bitcoin is in the Distribution-Channel again because if Bitcoin manages to hold this area and built up bullishly on it this will be the setup for a final breakout above the upper boundary and converting into the scenario A seen in my chart. Otherwise, if Bitcoin should confirm the upper Distribution-Channel together with the upper boundary and the 100-EMA as resistance again the bearish fractal and second scenario B is likely to be triggered again and Bitcoin will continue till the Accumulation-Channel is tested again, it will be an interesting determining journey ahead. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, Let's move forward together. "Each new day the market has a new shape. Just the patterns repeat." The information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
by VincePrince
13
BITCOIN Huge volume signaling the end of the Bear Market?Two weeks ago, we saw the strongest weekly volume in more than a year, fueled by the collapse of FTX. This is a good opportunity to historically examine the effect of such huge volume spikes on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). On this 1W chart, we see that such volume spikes tend to be associated with trend reversals on BTC. In recent price action in particular, we've had a similar volume spike on June 13 2022. Practically same volume spikes between a 5 month period. As this chart shows, volume spikes of such a period or shorter have historically been either Bottom or Top formations. The previous such volume pattern was between January 11 2021 - May 17 2021 and was the formation of the Bull Cycle Top. The one before was between November 19 2018 - May 13 2019 and was the bottom formation of the Bear Cycle. Before that we've had the Bull Cycle Top formation of the December 18 2017 - February 05 2018 volume spikes. Finally the Bottom formation of the 2014/15 Bear Cycle was made on the January 12 2015 - November 02 2015 spikes. The latter is the pattern that has the most similarities with the current one (June 13 - November 07 2022) as there is a Lower Highs (Bottom) trend-line involved. Can the November 07 volume spike be the moment that gives the trend reversal to bullish and get Bitcoin out of this two year Bear Cycle or is it simply a short-term rebound at best like the June 13 2022 and February 05 2018 volume spikes? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
11
BITCOIN The Fib-Dollar Cheat sheet says the bottom is formedThis analysis is centered around Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Halvings and their important to the market due to the supply shock they fundamentally deal and have done so historically and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY being the green trend-line). On this 1W time-frame, we've applied time and horizontal Fibonacci levels on each Halving Cycle, from start to end, to classify the different phases that BTC has traded and determine where we are at now (always based on the model). ** The Time Fibonacci levels ** As you see, the price tends to rally aggressively after each Halving (Fib 0.0) until Fib 0.236. We classify this as the Parabolic Phase. From Fib 0.236 to 0.382, BTC tends to make the final rally and forms its Cycle Top. We classify this as the Top formation. From Fib 0.382 to 0.5, BTC has officially entered Bear Market territory. We classify this as the Bear Phase. From Fib 0.5 to 0.618, BTC is in the final staged of the Bear Cycle, preparing for its last (and most aggressive) fall. We classify this as the Despair Phase. From Fib 0.618 to 0.786, BTC traditionally forms the Bottom of the Cycle, signaling the end of the Bear Market. We call this the Bottom formation phase. From Fib 0.786 to 1.0 (next Halving), BTC officially starts the new Bull Market. Categorization: Bull. ** The horizontal Fibonacci levels ** Those are measured from the bottom of the Halving candle to the top of each Cycle. Those are mostly useful in calculating a potential bottom level. The first Cycle bottomed after the 0.382 Fib broke. The second Cycle bottomed after the 0.5 Fib broke (a Fib level lower than the previous Cycle), while the current Cycle has already broken Fib 0.618 (a Fib level lower than the previous Cycle). Not surprisingly, this recent (FTX led) low is timed right within the 'Bottom formation' Phase (blue zone). In the 2018/19 Cycle, the price rebounded relatively early after the 'Bottom formation' Low, while in 2014/15 in did so towards its end. The phase's end is in May 2023. ** The Dollar's importance ** Among all the Fibs and classifications, the USD Index (DXY) plays its own highly important role during BTC's Cycles. Right now the DXY has been on a +1 month (aggressive) decline. Typically, as it is valued in USD, Bitcoin tends to rise when the DXY falls. The stop of USD's previous run was in March 2020, right on the COVID crash. What Bitcoin did then was bottom out and start the 2020/21 Parabolic rally. The previous USD top was on December 2016, when again Bitcoin was in its 'Parabolic Phase'. The USD's previous top was in March 2015, right at the start of the 2015 'Bottom formation' phase. From all the about, we could reach a (always with a certain degree of error/risk) conclusion that the combination of a new (fundamentally led/ FTX) Low within the "Bottom formation" phase of this Halving Cycle, while the DXY is dropping aggressively, could be Bitcoin's new bottom. Whether the price rebounds now as in 2019 or twards the end of the phase as in 2015, it remains to be seen, and certainly depends on a lot of variable factors, most of which fundamental. Stability in the stock market is definitely among the top ones. But what do you think? Has Bitcoin priced its new Cycle Bottom as this Halving model suggest, especially if the DXY is starting a new long-term decline? Or the global fundamentals are so strong that it will be invalidated? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
12
BITCOIN Strongest sell signal since 2021! This time's different?Those who follow our channel for long, know that we like to look into Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on many different time-frames for a more all-around perspective. The 3D time-frame is one of the most accurate for long-term price projections and this time is no different as since last week its MACD formed a Bearish Cross. As you see, since March 2021 we've had this formation another four times, all of which delivered a new Low. The September 16 2021 Cross was limited to 'only' a -18% drop but the other three delivered enormous -50%, -52% and -57% drops. A 'standard' (according to this model) -50% drop from today's Bearish Cross' candle would push the price down to a little below the $10000 barrier, a huge psychological level undoubtedly. Add to the mix that BTC got rejected on its 3D MA50 (blue trend-line) same it did in late March/ early April 2022 before the last MACD Bearish Cross and the -57% drop. Now, what's different this time? The only parameter that differs is that in the past four events, the build-up to the Bearish Crosses was a Channel Up. This time it was a Channel Down. How important can that be and whether it can cause the opposite outcome (a rise), it remains to be seen. A good indication that this time it might be different would be if the price breaks above the Channel Down, thus the 3D MA50 (currently at 20386) as well. What do you think? Are we about to see Bitcoin at $10k in the next 2 months or does the Channel Down signal the end of this bearish model? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
16
BITCOIN Bollinger W rebounding, does it mean the bottom is near?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame is flashing some bottom signals we can't ignore. The core of this post is the Bollinger Bands Width (BBW) indicator which rebounded on a level (blue line) that has historically preceded major rallies and market bottoms (circles). The period that bears more resemblance with today is the BBW rebound that started on the week (1W candle) of November 12 2018. This was a strong red week, which was immediately followed by another, even stronger one. The bottom was made three weeks after on the Higher Lows trend-line (dashed) that was almost half the angle (16°) of the previous one (30°). If this is any pattern to follow, then the bottom of the current Cycle could be made on a 8° angle Higher Lows trend-line. All those lines start on the last major low before each Cycle Top. Keep in mind that depending on your screen's dimensions, the angles can change but they do so proportionally, so the analogy remains. In any case, on the current weekly candle, the Higher Lows trend-line has a downside limit (Support) around $14000. The more the price doesn't drop, the higher this level gets. Is the bottom close? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
15
BITCOIN Is the FTX crash similar to 2015 Bitfinex??This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame, on the left displaying the 2021 - 2022 price action while on the right the 2014 - 2015. For the record we need to make clear that FTX crashed and filed for bankruptcy while Bitfinex on August 17 2015 experienced a flash crash. At the time, Bitfinex claimed to had the most liquid exchange but the flash crash was triggered when several leveraged positions were forcibly closed in close proximity to each other. When both are put next to each other within their respective Bear Cycle parameters (1W MA20 = red trend-line, 1W MA50 = blue trend-line, 1W MA100 = green trend-line), we can identify some similarities so far, especially in terms of RSI and LMACD. The Bitfinex flash crash took the market 8 weeks to recover from and break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The FTX crash last week, didn't recover its 1W candle as fast as Bitfinex, so there is already a divergence and 'bad sign' if we can call it for a new low. Nonetheless, the current week, is so far on the green. What do you think? Can the market recover the same way it did after the Bitfinex crash in August 2015? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
27
BITCOIN Inflation down -0.5% a 9-month low! Is it truly Bullish?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an initial bullish reaction before the U.S. session opens following a more than expected -0.5% drop on the U.S. CPI to 7.7% from 8.2% in the previous month. This reading beat the forecast by 0.3%. Is a drop to inflation truly bullish for BTC? To answer this, we should look at the previous 3 times that the CPI had a monthly fall. Since August we basically have falling CPI each month: * On August 10 the CPI fell to 8.5% from 9.1% the previous month. * On September 13 the CPI fell to 8.3% from 8.5% the previous month. * On October 13 the CPI fell to 8.2% from 8.3% the previous month. * And today (on November 10 ) the CPI fell to 7.7% from 8.2% the previous month. As we see on the chart, the August 10 CPI fall instead of a rise caused a massive drop on Bitcoin. The September 13 CPI fall also caused a drop on BTC instead of a rise, though less aggressive. The October 13 CPI fall though did start a rally but not as aggressive as one would expect, but reasonable considering the drop was only 0.1%. That price action has kept Bitcoin within a Channel Down since the June 18 Low and yesterday the bottom was hit making a new Lower Low. This time though, the 1D RSI is rebounding after breaking yesterday below the 30.000 oversold level. The last two oversold 1D RSI readings caused short-term rallies (May and June-August) which are highlighted (black and yellow lines). Their projections are illustrated within the Channel Down, both showing a touch of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) in 4-5 weeks. If it happens, that would be the first 1D MA200 contact since January 02! Do you think this huge monthly CPI drop will make Bitcoin fall and break below its Channel Down or rebound and test the 1D MA200? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
8
BITCOIN Nightmare fractal if this level breaksBitcoin (BTCUSD) is following the overall panic sentiment of the market after the Binance news and tested the Support Zone of the June 18 Low. A break below can set in motion a sell-off similar to that of May 09, which first hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and after some consolidation, moved to make the June 18 Low on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. What stood out then as the trigger of the sell-off was a Lower Highs trend-line that started on March 02 and then turned into Lower Lows that held the price action until the Support Zone. When it broke, the aggressive sell-off took place. On today's sequence, we have that (former) Lower Highs trend-line starting on the August 15 High, getting hit today on the Binance exchange. A break below it can trigger that same massive sell-off with the 1.5 Fib extension being around 14000 and 2.0 around 10200. Another common characteristic of the two fractals is the fact that the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) was never broken and acted as a Resistance. That means that technically only a break above it can invalidate this bearish pattern. So what do you think? Can the former Lower Highs trend-line save the day? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
28
BITCOIN Can the Adam & Eve pattern push the price to 29-34k?Despite today's drop, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is still on its path of completing an Adam and Eve (A&E) pattern since the June crash, which is a formation consistent with market bottoms. In fact as we see on this analysis, which is made on the 1D time-frame, every market Bottom on BTC's previous Cycles was formed on a A&E pattern. Despite the different eras, even the RSI and MACD indicators seem quite consistent across those patterns. Technically, the short-term target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The next is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which was the previous Support Zone during this Bear Cycle and is around $29700. But based on the A&E characteristics, the price can skyrocket by Q1 2023 as high as Eve's 2.0 Fib, which is around $34400. Is this a realistic Target Zone for Bitcoin for the next 4 months? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
20
BITCOIN Supertrend about to turn green after a year! Bottoms in?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading on a red (bearish) Supertrend on the 3D time-frame since November 2021, i.e. a year. If the price breaks above 23k, this very reliable indicator will turn green (bullish) again. On this time-frame in particular, it has the highest historic accuracy. With inflation being the cause of this 2022 Bear Market so far (asset wide), a big part of it is Oil (black trend-line). In fact it is often the leading indicator of inflation. An extremely interesting correlation of Oil with BTC is that every time the Supertrend turned green after a Bear Cycle bottom, WTI Oil was already on a strong, counter trend (as the primary trend was bearish) rally after a Lower Lows bottom. In ten years, this combination of parameters has always been the start of Bitcoin's new Bull Cycle. Oil has been on a bearish trend since March 2022 but posting a counter trend rally since the September low. Can this be the build-up to a Supertrend green reversal and a new BTC Bull Cycle? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
12
BITCOIN Is LTC a leading indicator to BTC's Bull Cycle??This is a chart on the 1W time-frame of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Litecoin (LTCUSD). This is not the first time we do this analysis, those who follow for long will know that during the previous BTC Cycle, right when it was consolidating after the December 2018 bottom, we used LTC's price action to identify similarities with historic price runs. And yes, in the past two Cycles, Litecoin has been an excellent leading indicator to Bitcoin, showing the way with a first rally into the market's new Bull Cycle. As you see on the chart, LTC right after the market bottom, tends to make an initial rally and diverge from BTC while it is still sideways (green zone). Shortly after, LTC explodes to the upside with a strong rally, while BTC only posts a small rise (blue zone). Right after this, the Bull Cycle begins officially. Litecoin has been rising since mid October, diverging significantly from Bitcoin. We can claim that we are already in a new Green Zone as at the same time Bitcoin is trading sideways. Do you think this correlation will play out once more? And if so, should we expect a small rise for Bitcoin in the final two months of 2022 and a new Bull Cycle starting as early as next year? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
13
BITCOIN Complete 1H analysis. Buy above this level only!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is falling back after the Fed's +0.75% Rate Hike and Powell's press conference. From a technical perspective on the 1H time-frame, the price remains within a Channel Down pattern (blue) since the October 29 High but on the longer term within a Channel Up (dashed lines) since the October 13 Low. We can see an interesting finding on this chart as this Channel Down is a recurring pattern since October 07. The price drops with the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Resistance and the catalyst that gives a confirmed signal to buy is a break above the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line). In remarkable fashion, both previous MA200 break-outs, gave an instant rise of +2.50%. Based on the 1H MA200's current level, a +2.50% rise would approach the $21000 mark. Until the 1H MA200 breaks, the Channel Down would aim lower. A break below the Channel Up bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) can target Support (A) and further break-out Support (B) at 19240 and 18650 respectively. On the bull side, if the Channel Up extends fully to its Top to form a new Higher High, it can hit $22000. Which break-out do you think will come first? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN Can it reach the 250-500k range based on the DXY Cycles?This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) against the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the monthly chart. It is obvious how the two are (naturally) negatively correlated. When the DXY rises (green channel), BTC enters a Bear Cycle (red channel), when the DXY trades sideways (blue), BTC accumulates and starts the new Bull Cycle (blue), when DXY falls (red), BTC registers the 1 year parabolic rally of the Bull Cycle (green). Last month, the DXY closed its first red candle after 4 straight green months. If this is the top of DXY, based on this model we should see it turning sideways, prompting BTC into an Accumulation Phase (blue). What is really interesting is that since April 2015, we see a clear Pivot Zone for DXY, which the price always revisits. At the same time, BTC has its own Pivot Zone which also revolves around its previous two Accumulation Phases. If the same pattern is repeated and DXY's pull-back of roughly -14% hits its Pivot Zone, then Bitcoin may register the top of its next Bull Cycle within a (wide indeed) range of 250k - 500k USD by late 2024/ early 2025. How realistic can this scenario be? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
24
BITCOIN Fibonacci charts the new Bull Cycle! It's already began!This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame displaying all of its Cycles historically. I've used the Fibonacci Channel extensions to identify any possible correlations and how this can create a roadmap moving forward and project the next Cycle. To start putting the chart's indicators into perspective, the 1W MA50 is the blue trend-line, the 1W MA200 the orange, the 1W MA300 the red, while the yellow represents the Multiple 5 and the green the Multiple 6 of the Fib MA's. ** The next High ** For starters, I've made several publications on why the +.382 (horizontal) Fibonacci extension roughly calculates the Highs. I've plotted that on this chart again and as you see so far the 2.382 Fibonacci extension has roughly predicted the December 2013 High while the 3.382 extension, the December 2017 High. The previous Cycle though broke that progression and topped on the 3.786 Fib extension instead. This means that the top of the next Cycle doesn't have to be on the 4.382 Fib extension (roughly at $350k) but most likely will be in the lower 4.236 (230k) or even 4.0 (120k) tier. ** The Fibonacci Channel extensions ** But let's circle back to how the Fibonacci Channel extensions can relate to these patterns. As you see, the first two Cycle Highs have been (naturally for the first) on the 0.0 Fib with bottoms outside of the 0.5 Fib. The High of the next Cycle was on the 0.5 Fib with the Low outside of the 1.0 Fib. The Highs of April 2021 and November 2021 were outside of Fib 1.0 and the Low of June 2022, closer to the middle of the 1.5 Fibonacci extension of the Channel. This pattern, though not perfect, it shapes fairly well Bitcoin's parabolic path over the years. Based on that, the next High should be either on or on the left of Fibonacci Channel extension 1.5 but most likely after its middle and the Low either on or left of extension 2.0 (probably middle). ** The Triangles and the bottom based on LMACD ** Notice also that all Cycles have traded inside an Ascending Triangle pattern until they hit their prior (All Time) High, and after turned parabolic for some months to complete the Cycle's Top. As for those who are unsure if June was the bottom and if a new Bull Cycle now is not plausible amidst the current high interest and inflationary fundamentals, they can seek answers, only technically, on the 1W LMACD. As you see, we have completed the Ultimate Bottom Pattern: Formed a Bullish Cross and after a red rising histogram narrowed down, it has turned into green territory. MACD-wise, there isn't any other condition left to fill. So if the bottom is in, is a top by late 2024 a wild projection to make? Can those Fibonacci Channel extensions identify the logarithmic path of Bitcoin and if so is $120k, $230k or $350k the next top? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
17
BITCOIN: Can hit 24k next month. Major breakout on 1D RSI/ MA100Bitcoin hit the 1D MA100 (green) last week for the first time in 1.5 month with the 1D RSI crossing above the Lower Highs trendline that started on January 05 2021. We have seen similar RSI Lower Highs breakouts in all previous Bear Cycles, namely on February 16 2019 and June 13 2015. Common characteristic is that the RSI breakout happened at the same time with a breaking above the 1D MA50 (blue) and caused an instant test of the 1D MA100. It took 15 days in 2015 and 40 days approximately in 2019 to reach (and break with ease) the 1D MA200 (orange). Based on the above Bear Cycle bottom occurence, we should be expecting a test (and break) of the 1D MA200 next month, which is now at 24,665. Thumbs up if you agree! ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
BITCOIN The winning signal for the new Bull Cycle!This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame, where we will be basically adding elements and making an extension of our June 17 idea that projected the bottom on the 1W MA300 (red trend-line): As you see, BTC hit the 1W MA300, the Ultimate Support Band as we called it and since then traded sideways in our designated Bottom Phase. On the current analysis, we are taking a slightly different approach, still focusing around the Halvings but also introducing new key Resistance trend-lines as well as the the element of the Vortex Indicator (VI). ** The ATH Lower Highs and 1D MA50 test ** The price is having a bullish week so far that took a stop yesterday. Still, we don't have a major break-out yet, as it is not only below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as well. The chart shows that the first major bullish break-out in Bitcoin's past Bear Cycles occurred when the price broke above the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line, after which it immediately tested the 1D MA50. The 1D MA50 typically broke after some consolidation. ** The Vortex Indicator signal ** A critical indicator that basically confirmed the ATH Lower Highs break-out was when the 1W Vortex Indicator (VI) made a Bearish Cross (red line crossing below the blue). In past Cycles this Cross took place right on the LH break-out, practically calling for the 1D MA50 test next. We can see that the past two Cycles made the LH break-out 55 weeks on average before the next Halving. The next Halving (no 4) will be in early March 2024. That gives us a projected range for the LH break-out and 1D MA50 test within the Jan 30 2023 and Feb 27 2023 1W candles. With the VI diverging from a Cross, it confirms so far this scenario. Do you agree with the above model? Is a break above the ATH Lower Highs the roadmap to follow into the new Bull Cycle and if yes will it come when the model predicts or earlier if the VI makes a Bearish Cross? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
30
BITCOIN What a real Recession could look like...Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has never faced an economic Recession. There is no real comparative metric as to how this new digital asset can behave during such an economic downturn. Looking back into S&P's recent Recessions (2000 Dotcom Bubble and 2007/08 Housing Crisis) could provide some basis as to how BTC could fare relative to the S&P500 index (SPX) during a Recession. This analysis is on the 1W time-frame and so far it appears that Bitcoin (orange trend-line) is strongly correlated to S&P500 (candles) during the 2022 Bear Cycle. The Dotcom Bubble caused a -50.50% drop on S&P while the Housing Crisis caused a -57.50%. The index has already dropped -27% from its All Time High. Relatively to the previous Recessions, I've marked the analogous level. If the more 'modest' scenario of -50.50% is materialized, the S&P500 looks at roughly 2400 for a bottom. Again there is no absolute formula to measure this but is Bitcoin stays correlated to the S&P in this scenario, it can reach levels around or even below the December 2018 low. Can this be a fair bottom if this turns out to be Bitcoin's first Recession? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
3