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BITCOIN 1D Golden Cross vs 1W Death Cross. Which will prevail?Two major technical events are about to be materialized for Bitcoin (BTCUSD). On the 1D time-frame a 1D Golden Cross, which is when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), is about to be formed, while on the 1W time-frame a 1W Death Cross, which is the opposite, is about to be formed. So what do those conflicting formation tell us? And which one will prevail? We decided to view this through the dominant technical patterns available. As you see right now the one that stands out is an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), which is a pattern typically seen on market bottoms. This is one of the drivers that guide BTC at the moment. In similar fashion, it was a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern that formed the November 2021 market top and initiated the Bear Cycle. The symmetry on that pattern is remarkable as the price dropped -52.50% from the H&S top to the bottom of the Right shoulder, and another -52.50% from that level to the bottom of the Bear Cycle. Similarly, depending on where the IH&S neckline is formed, we expect an proportional rise. If the neckline is formed on the best case scenario a little over the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) at 27000, completing a +73.80% rise, then another +73.80% would put BTC's next bullish wave to around $47000. If on the other hand the price peaks now within the green neckline and just below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) completing a +56.50% rise, then another 56.50% would but the top of the next wave at around $38500 before the next pattern emerges. It is not unlikely to the medium-term High here as based on the 1D RSI Bearish Divergence (being on Lower Highs against the price's Higher Highs) indicates that the rally is losing strength. The 1W RSI however marginally missed the 60.00 mark and indicates that there is still room for the rally to grow before it turned overbought at 80.00. Which one do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN The potential Resistance in 2023 based on the DXY.In continuation of our recent BTC-DXY cross comparison studies, we will quickly bring you today a trend-line that may have gone overlooked and can pose a real Resistance to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in 2023. As you see, if we exclude the March 2020 COVID crash period which is a non-technical irregularity, there is an underlying trendline on both assets, which on Bitcoin was the Support since late 2016 while on the U.S. Dollar (DXY) was its Resistance. A more controlled rise/ decline respectively may provide the true Resistance level in 2023. What are your thoughts? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
19
BITCOIN Major bullish signals aligned.Powell's icing on the cakeLots of euphoria yesterday after Jerome Powell's Press Conference where he gave the markets what they wanted to hear regarding future policy and how inflation is under control. The rates got increase by +0.25% but on a lower rate than the previous meeting. This may just be the icing on the cake for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) as technically we are close to three major indicators aligned for a huge triple buy signal. We have moved up a time-frame to 3W to see an even longer term perspective that successfully filters out all the noise of short-term fluctuations. As you see, the RSI is already above its MA, the LMACD should complete the Bullish Cross on the next candle while STOCH is just below the 49.50 level. This is the last hurdle to overcome before BTC issues this triple buy signal as it is the level where STOCH got rejected on June 2015 and delayed the rally for another 2 months with one last low. However the LMACD Bullish Cross was formed after this low so if we get it on the next candle then most likely STOCH will be above the 2015 rejection point as well, or it will be invalidated. Will this final alignment put the new Bull Cycle beyond doubt? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
9
BITCOIN The Super Cycle Theory based on the USDThis is not the first time we look into the Super Cycle Theory, which is the idea that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) may have just finished its 2nd Cycle instead of the traditional notion of the Four Cycles driven by the Halvings. It is however the first time we look into it using the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and our favorite CN02/CN20Y ration (Chinese Bond Yields 02Y/20Y). As you see on this 1W chart, this correlation is indeed eye-opening as it paints very efficiently the picture of the two Super Cycles. The DXY (strong) pull-back shows that we are past leg (6), which is the bottom of the Super Cycle and have entered the rally phase. The Higher High on the CN02/CN20Y shows that we could be much closer to the start of the parabolic part than we think. If the DXY extends its aggressive decline, it will confirm the latter notion but a rebound and multi-month consolidation (on the DXY) will take us more smoothly into the rally phase. Do you agree with this Super Cycle Theory based on the USD? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
10
BITCOIN The new Geometric Cycle has begun. $150k within reach.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding aggressively after the LMACD on the 1W time-frame hit and bounced on its historic Support that formed the 2015 and 2018 Cycle bottoms. This suggests that the new Bull Cycle has begun and to keep a better perspective, we have plotted the Geometric shapes from bottom-to-top. Along with the Ichimoku Cloud and Fibonacci MAs, they paint a fair projection of where the price will trade to from now on. First consider that the next Cycle bottom could be around October 2026 if the (approximately) 1430 day (205 week) time range holds. The next (and final according to this model) bullish confirmation of the new Cycle is the price entering the (red) Ichimoku Cloud. When this happened in June 2012, October 2015 and May 2019, the Bull Cycle never looked back (obvious exception of course is the March 2020 crash due to COVID). Then a break above Multiple 3 of the Fib MAs, will most likely kick-start the Parabolic Rally (but most likely this will be after Halving 4), as it has done during all previous Bull Cycles. A nice touch of the current study is the plotting of the past Cycles inside the projected current one. With its geometric adjust, all fit fairly easily within. On average, we should see the next Cycle Top around August 2025. Do you agree with the above? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7
BITCOIN The month is closing on an enormous buy signalWe only look at Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the monthly time-frame when it is necessary to keep a long-term perspective and not miss the big picture. This is one of those times as the monthly (1M) candle, following January's hyper strong rise and impressive start to the year, is now testing the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). This is a critical Resistance and last time BTC closed above it was on July 2022. Needless to say, a close above it will be a massive buy signal. The true catalyst though may be the 1M RSI. As you see it is also testing its MA trend-line (yellow), having been trading below it since May 2022. The real interesting fact here is that every time the 1M RSI broke above its MA, Bitcoin was well past its bottom and trading on its new Bull Cycle. An astonishing feat is that the time range between those RSI monthly break-outs is quite similar, 39 months then 42 months and if it closes above it now, then 45 months. We can say that each sequence is 3 months longer. On top of that, the 1M candles that made those break-outs are not far off in terms of rises, each representing very strong monthly closings (+47%, +33%, +33% and now +40%). Based on all the above, it appears that the market is on the verge of breaking out to a new multi-month rally. Do you agree? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
36
BITCOIN The USDT dominance rejection is fueling this rallyAre you still looking for reason that are behind Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) January rally? We have analyzed in the past a number of key factors that aligned perfectly and set the stage for this great start to 2023. On the current analysis you don't have to look beyond the USDT market cap dominance (USDT.D) for a driver to this rally. As you see on the 1W time-frame, the USDT.D got rejected on its historic Higher Highs trend-line. In the previous two such encounters, that initiated very strong rallies on BTC. The fractals are identical and it appears that on a long-term perspective the current rally has only just started. What do you think? Has it only just began? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
10
BITCOIN It's blue-print is Gold and it is a bullish one.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is displayed on this 1W chart alongside Gold (XAUUSD) by the black trend-line. The text will be short as the chart is pretty much self-explanatory. Every time Gold breaks its Lower Highs trend-line, BTC is past its bottom and well into its Bull Cycle, starting an aggressive rally. Right now Gold is dangerously close to that Lower Highs trend-line, while Bitcoin is already posting an impressive rally this first month of the year. If Gold breaks its trend-line again, will you take it as an additional signal that the new BTC Bull Cycle has officially started? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
Bitcoin bounced just as expected, & Possible scenarios.$BTC bounced off the support just as expected and reached my first TP (take profit) at $23,800. $BTC rejected hard and dumped very fast after reached the first TP unfortunately though, which was honestly unexpected. After this current rejection, I have charted possible bearish scenarios, as well as the bullish scenarios of course. I am still going to hold my long, but I will be cautious and might hedge a short, we will see. $BTC is in for volatile times, personally I would not use high leverage during the volatility. FOLLOW ME for accurate FREE Crypto analysis/signals!
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PLong
by MarketAnalyzerFX
BITCOIN Yuan and China bond yields point to a mega rally!This is not the first time we emphasized the strong correlation of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) with Yuan (USDCNY) and the Chinese Bond Yields (CN02Y and CN20Y). We made an analysis right in the aftermath of the FTX crash, indicating why those indicators have all aligned, paving the way for BTC's new Bull Cycle. As you see that happened and this time we incorporate the element of CN02Y/CN20Y. This shows that every time the ratio's Lower Highs broke in the past, Bitcoin started the first phase of the Bull Cycle. For shorter or longer periods, this was achieved within a Channel Up (green). Right now we have started the new one. Adding the fact that every time the USDCNY topped and dropped as aggressively as it has been doing since October 24, Bitcoin has started the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle, the parabolic rally. This mix is incredibly bullish for Bitcoin technically and it prompts to a mega rally next, the likes of which we may have not seen in the past. Do you agree? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Bitcoin- It's imperative for bulls to keep 21k intactSince the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has entered a strong recovery move, and although I'm not so optimistic and don't see a sustained rise for the next 6 months or so, for me, as a speculator, doesn't matter much if the price of BTC will be 100k or 10k in the next 6 months. All that matter is where BTC's price will be next week. And all I know is that, at this moment, the old 21k resistance should act as support now. As I said, the price is very well sustained at this moment and, as long as we are above 21k, bulls hold the upper hand. That being said, buying dips could be a good strategy if we target 25k and set a stop loss under 21k
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
12
Short Term Bitcoin longThe chart for $BTC is showing me many bull flags. From the chart shown above, you can see a local breakout, Moving Average support is holding $BTC, and that RSI has lowered. I have done much more analysis to back my long belief, special indicators of mine indicating it will go up among other fundamental and technical analysis. Keep in mind $BTC is volatile these days so I advise being very careful and vigilant! STOP LOSS: $22,180 TP1: $23,400 TP2: $23,600 TP3: $23,800 TP3: :$24,000 You may wonder, "Why have you not shared all your TA and other analysis?" Well simply because the Fundamental side of it is quite long, and honestly I do not like showing all my TA tricks publicly on TradingView. I also unfortunately cannot tell you where to go to see all my tips and tricks because TradingView will label it as self advertising lol.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PLong
by MarketAnalyzerFX
BITCOIN This is the Bullish Cross that will take it to $33kBitcoin (BTCUSD) just made a hugely important and unique Bullish Cross on its LMACD. Those who follow us regularly over the years, know that we like looking into assets (and Bitcoin in particular) from different time-frames that provide a more spherical overview of the market and the direction. This time we analyze the 15D chart as it just formed a Bullish Cross on its LMACD indicator. This is a very rare pattern which below the 0.00 (LMACD) level has always formed straight after a Bear Cycle Bottom. Even during Bitcoin's first Cycle (2011/12) and the March 2020 COVID crash, the Bullish Cross was formed marginally above the 0.00 level. Now the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) comes into the spotlight, as it is the Resistance to beat. Every 1W MA50 break following a 15D LMACD Bullish Cross, hit at least the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level in a maximum of two weeks. We can make a case about the 0.618 Fib as well, which failed to get hit only marginally on October 28 2015. As a result, with the 1W MA50 currently at 25615, we can expect another sharp 2-4 week rally once BTC breaks it, that will target at least the 0.5 Fib at $32900 with a riskier extension being the 0.618 Fib at $38900. What do you think? Has this 15D LMACD Bullish Cross shaken your last bearish bias and if so, will you buy the 1W MA50 break-out confirmation? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
14
BITCOIN Transition from a Wedge to an Inverse H&S showing 33.5k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is up +40% since the start of the year and did so by breaking above its former Falling Wedge pattern that was holding since the June 18 2022 Low. On this 1D time-frame, we see that there is a high probability of the Wedge break-out to transition BTC into the next pattern that could be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). Such patterns are technically market bottom formations and initiate sharp recoveries. Right now the price is forming the Right Shoulder and could range within it as it did on the Left Shoulder. The rise after the completion of the Head until Saturday's High is around +44%. After BTC breaks above its Right Shoulder, we can measure another +44% to find out the target of the IH&S pattern. At the moment that is a little over $33500. By the time it reaches that level, it may coincide with a test of the all important 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which has been the last long-term Support that Bitcoin broke on May 06 2022. If you are looking for confirmation of this move, keep an eye on the potential 1D Golden Cross (blue 1D MA50 crossing above the orange 1D MA200) and a break above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been untouched since April 05 2022. So what do you think? Will we hit $33.5k that fast after the Inverse Head and Shoulders break? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
13
BITCOIN ahead of 1st 1W Death Cross in history! End of rally?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2023 with a relentless +40% rally, completing a +50% rise from the November Low. But perhaps the biggest technical development of the upcoming days is the emergence of the Death Cross formation on the 1W time-frame. This is when the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and on Bitcoin in particular this will be the first such pattern in history. It is inevitable and it will be formed in the next or 2 weeks maximum. Being a technically bearish formation, will it affect the price negatively and restore the bearish trend long-term? Well we need a examine a few more parameters in order to determine this. ** Up by 50% ** Like we said, BTC is up +50% from its November Low. Throughout in history, every time the price rose by +50% or more after hitting the 1W MA200, it was a Cycle bottom, with the exception of the January - March 2015 rise. ** The RSI > 60.000 factor ** The one condition however that when fulfilled, always indicates that the Cycle bottom is in, is when the 1W RSI breaks above 60.000 after hitting the 1W MA50. We can see that typically, those take place at the same time. The January 2020 break doesn't fall into that category as, not only did it take a once in 100 years event to crash the price (COVID lockdowns March 2020) but also BTC wasn't on a rally rebounding on the 1W MA200 (previous condition we set). As a result, the RSI > 60.000 is a Market Bottom rule. ** Where are we now? ** At the moment, the 1W RSI is at 56.520 and the 1W MA50 around 25620. As mentioned, we are in a peculiar spot, largely uncharted territory for Bitcoin ahead of this inevitable 1W Death Cross, as in addition this time the rebound is being done way below the 1W MA200 and not on it. However, a simultaneous RSI 60.000/ 1W MA50 break, being at more than +50% from the Low, checks all the boxes for being past a Cycle Bottom, effectively starting the 1st rally of the new Bull Cycle. Do you think the 1W Death Cross has the power to eventually invalidate the Bull Cycle? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
25
BITCOIN 33k seems inevitable next. This pattern always delivers.We talked yesterday about how beautifully Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Adam and Even (A&E) pattern delivered a textbook short-term target at 21650: We looked into such past occurrences more and discovered even more interesting clues for the immediate future. As this analysis shows, every Bear Cycle bottom has been formed on an A&E pattern (even the first Cycle in 2011 but on the current analysis we look into the 2014/15, 2018/19 and 2022/23 Cycles). Following the A&E pattern and break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), if no unexpected black swan event takes place (such as the FTX crash in November or the Bitfinex crash in August 2015), BTC can start a relentless rally, the first of this Bull Cycle, and if supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) can reach at least as high as the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level as in October 2015 and May 2019. Right now the 0.5 Fib is exactly at 32900. In 2015 it took the price 114 days and in 2019 82 days from the completion of the A&E pattern before reaching the 0.5 Fib. If we take the maximum 114 day extension as a projection, we can expect it to hit 33k by early May. Do you think that is a realistic immediate target? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
8
BITCOIN's Adam & Even was spot on! What to look for next.Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) rise last week took many by surprise but what few noticed is that it basically made the theory into practice. The application of the Adam and Even (A&E) pattern that started forming since the November FTX crash went under the radar but was spot on with its target. As you see Wednesday's peak wasn't just a consequence of the 21500 Resistance that was formed by the November 05 top but also completed a +18.00% rise from the December 14 High, which was a proportional rise (18%) from the November 21 Low. Like we said, the application couldn't have been more precise! So what to look for right now? Well BTC is now sideways and about to test the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since January 06. A break can seek the 4H MA200 as its last Support. You should look for confirmations that will either lead to that correction or the extension of the rally. First keep an eye on the 4H MACD. A Bullish Cross will be a signal to buy into round 2 of the rally. The 4H RSI has a clear Higher Lows trend-line as its Support and a Lower Highs trend-line is leading it there. A break above the Lower Highs earlier, will again be a buy signal. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
26